DAYS 1-5 (MAY 26-30)
Today’s discussion will be a quick one to summarize the features in control of our weather from today through the upcoming Memorial Day Weekend. Tomorrow I’ll expand a little bit more to detail the final 5 days of May… Warmer air is making its way in aloft and that’s the reason for the cloudiness we’ll have around today – but these clouds are not going to produce any rainfall in our area, so overall it will be a nice day. You’ll notice the humidity creeping up tonight and especially on Friday as we get into a stronger southerly air flow ahead of an approaching trough of low pressure and associated surface low which will drag a warm front through the region late Friday with a round of showers and a few possible thunderstorms, but the greater risk of showers and storms comes with a trough early Saturday morning and then again with a cold front Saturday afternoon – the timing of these we will have to fine-tune in the next 2 days. This means that the holiday weekend gets off to an unsettled start, but there is good news as it looks like high pressure builds in to salvage 2 of the 3 days, with fair weather for Sunday (removed shower threat) and Monday.
TODAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 67-74, coolest coast. Wind SE-S 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 58-65. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, favoring western areas late in the day. More humid – dewpoint cracking 60. Highs 66-73 coast, 73-80 inland. Wind S 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog. Humid. Lows 58-65. Wind S to variable up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Episodes of showers and possibly thunderstorms, favoring early morning and sometime afternoon / evening. Areas of fog early. Highs 68-75. Dew point 60+. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clouds break, but fog patches remain. Humidity lowers. Lows 55-62. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.
SUNDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 68-75, coolest coast. Wind N to E up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-57. Wind E to variable under 10 MPH.
MONDAY (MEMORIAL DAY): Partly sunny. Highs 75-82, coolest coast. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (MAY 31 – JUNE 4)
The heat potential is there for May 31 and/or June 1 but odds are starting to favor one or even both of those days seeing that thwarted by a back-door cold front and cooler maritime air, at least over eastern parts of the region. After that, the fair and warmer pattern may try to take hold but we will still have to watch for maritime influences. No sign of any significant rainfall, which we need, and this will allow our dry / early drought to expand.
DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 5-9)
Overall pattern looks fairly dry and seasonable to slightly warmer than normal.