Tuesday Forecast

3:59AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 31-NOVEMBER 4)
Since yesterday’s update was at the end of the day and today’s is early, there has not really been any change in the outlook. The westerly wind relaxes today and calms by tonight as high pressure moves in. A warm front passes by the region Thursday followed by a cold front later Friday. Not a lot of weather associated with these – mainly just temperature changes with a brief warm up then a shot of chill by Saturday.
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 56-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
THIS EVENING (HALLOWEEN): Clear. Temperatures cool into 40s. Diminishing W wind.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows 28-35 and even colder in some deeper valleys. Wind calm.
WEDNESDAY: Sunshine and high clouds. Highs 55-61. Wind light variable to SE.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of light rain. Lows in the 40s. Highs from the middle 50s to lower 60s.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance of a rain shower. Lows from the middle 40s to lower 50s. Highs from the lower 60s to near 70.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 5-9)
A fast-flowing jet stream will bring frequent changes but no major storms. Look for a frosty start November 5 then clouding up with some unsettled weather into November 7 which will be milder. Uncertain but leaning toward fair and chilly November 8-9.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 10-14)
Similar pattern to the previous period expected but impossible to time systems and air mass changes at this point.

Monday Forecast

5:47PM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 30-NOVEMBER 3)
As the region recovers from a powerful autumn storm that caused 1 to 4 inches of rain and significant wind damage as well as numerous power outages, we enter a more tranquil pattern as October ends and November begins. Behind the storm came some moderate and gusty winds from the west today which will still continue to blow tonight but gradually diminish during Tuesday, so that be Halloween Night all is fair and tranquil, and because high pressure moves overhead the first of November on Wednesday will start fair and frosty in many areas. A few changes follow, with a warm front bringing a slight chance of light rain Thursday and a cold front bringing a risk of a shower Friday
EVENING: Clear. Temperatures cool through 50s. Wind W 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.
OVERNIGHT: Clear. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 56-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY EVENING (HALLOWEEN): Clear. Temperatures cool into 40s. Diminishing W wind.
TUESDAY LATE-NIGHT: Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows 28-35 and even colder in some deeper valleys. Wind calm.
WEDNESDAY: Sunshine and high clouds. Highs 55-61. Wind light variable to SE.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of light rain. Lows in the 40s. Highs from the middle 50s to lower 60s.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance of a rain shower. Lows from the middle 40s to lower 50s. Highs from the lower 60s to near 70.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 4-8)
A fast-flowing jet stream will bring frequent changes but no major storms. Look for fair/cooler November 4, unsettled weather starting cool and turning milder November 5 into 7 then turning cooler and drier later November 7 through November 8.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 9-13)
Similar pattern to the previous period expected but impossible to time systems and air mass changes at this point.

Sunday Forecast

4:00AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 29-NOVEMBER 2)
Not a lot of change to the coming event. A front sits oriented basically north-south over the region. Low pressure forms on it and intensifies while moving up the front and across southern New England tonight. All the while TS Philippe moves rapidly north northeastward in the warm/moist southerly flow ahead of the front and its moisture becomes involved in the developing low with its circulation eventually being absorbed by it as it goes by as a transitioning, very small system, passing southeast to east of New England during this process. This system is going to have some significant variability with its wind strength and its rain amounts. There will probably be a ribbon of rain that is oriented south-north somewhere in eastern areas that as higher than most other locations. So while I am expecting a general 1-3 inches of rain, lean toward the higher amounts only where this ribbon of heavier rain exists. Behind this system expect one more push of showers with upper level energy Monday before a drying west wind overtakes the region and continues into Tuesday before diminishing. As November gets underway, we’ll transition from a chilly and tranquil start to the new month Wednesday to a milder and unsettled Thursday as a warm front moves in.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy.
Passing showers through midday then isolated showers east and scattered showers west after 1PM. Highs 60-67. Wind S to SE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts by late in the day.
TONIGHT: Overcast with moderate to heavy rain arriving evening then becoming more occasional interior while likely lasting longer in a heavier band over some eastern areas overnight. Thunderstorms possible. Local flooding, especially on streets and in parking lots with leaf-clogged storm drains. Leaves on roads will make them slippery as well. Lows 53-60. Wind SE 15-25 MPH with gusts 35-50 MPH central MA and southwestern NH, and 25-35 MPH with gusts 45-60 MPH elsewhere. There may be pockets of even stronger wind gusts especially where heaviest rain occurs.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy with passing rain showers morning and midday, some of which can still be heavy and may contain thunder. Partly sunny remainder of day. Highs 60-67. Wind SW shifting to W 15-25 MPH gusting 35-45 MPH, especially in the afternoon.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 50s. Evening temperatures in the 40s. Breezy during the day, less wind evening.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 50s.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of light rain favoring northern MA and southern NH. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 60s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 3-7)
Current timing suggests a cold front crossing the region with a chance of showers November 3, high pressure settling in with fair and cooler weather November 4 and possibly into November 5 before warm air attempts a comeback later November 5 or November 6 with more cloudiness and possible wet weather. Another cold front approaches by the end of the period and may bring rain showers with mild air ahead of it.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 8-12)
The upper level pattern will feature a flat ridge in the US Southeast with a trough over the West. For New England this means a largely west southwest flow, airmass changes but a milder than normal pattern overall. For details we may be cooler early in the period, mild and somewhat unsettled later in the period.

Saturday Forecast

8:54AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 28-NOVEMBER 1)
High pressure provides one more very pleasant autumn day today, then a drastic shift takes place during Sunday as a cold front approaches from the west, low pressure forms on it off the Mid Atlantic Coast, intensifies while tracking northward up along the front into a powerful low pressure area, and also links with a tropical system to the south taking in some of its moisture. This combination will lead to a 2-part wind event and heavy rain event, with the strongest wind from the southeast ahead of the low, a lulling as it goes across the region Sunday night as the heaviest band of rain comes through, and a pretty significant westerly wind behind it as it dries out during Monday. By Halloween on Tuesday it will be breezy, chilly, but dry with wind settling down by evening. As November gets underway, we’ll start it with a chill in the air.
TODAY: Early fog dissipating interior valleys. Mostly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Increasing cloudiness. Lows 50-57. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Passing brief light rain showers possible, favoring RI and eastern MA through mid morning, then anywhere after 2PM. Highs 60-67. Wind S to SE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts by late in the day.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Overcast with moderate to heavy rain arriving evening then departing before dawn with general rain amounts 1-3 inches likely. Local flooding, especially on streets and in parking lots with leaf-clogged storm drains. Leaves on roads will make them slippery as well. Lows 53-60. Wind SE 15-25 MPH with gusts 35-50 MPH central MA and southwestern NH, and 25-35 MPH with gusts 45-60 MPH elsewhere.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy with passing rain showers morning. Partly sunny afternoon. Highs 60-67. Wind S shifting to W 15-25 MPH gusting 35-45 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 50s. Evening temperatures in the 40s. Breezy during the day, less wind evening.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 2-6)
Current timing suggests warm frontal passage with lots of clouds and a risk of light rain November 2, a cold front passing with a few rain showers then windy and cooler November 3, a fair weekend November 4-5 with a chilly start and mild finish and still milder November 6 as the jet stream lifts to the north of the region.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 7-11)
Minor systems bringing mainly surface airmass changes but overall a milder than average temperature pattern expected as cool air masses from the north are prevented from fully impacting the region in a somewhat zonal pattern but a slight trough West / ridge East configuration.

Friday Forecast

3:53PM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 27-31)
High pressure brings great autumn weather through Saturday. Another potent storm system is going to impact the region later Sunday into Monday, similar in some aspects to the last system but a slightly faster-moving and shorter-duration event, first taking its time to move in during Sunday but then causing a fair amount of wind and rain by Sunday night and into Monday before low pressure wraps up and moves north of the region and pulls dry air in behind itself later Monday and into Tuesday. While the rain event is ongoing, moisture from the tropics will be drawn northward into it, helping to enhance the rain. We may see isolated to scattered power outages due to strong wind gusts bringing down tree limbs and in some cases entire trees that remain weakened from recent drought. A fair amount of the foliage on the trees is likely to come off with this event. Also, look for street flooding due to leaf-clogged storm drains.
REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON: Sun and high clouds. Temperatures 56-62 will cool back slowly. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-40 interior valleys, 40-45 elsewhere. Wind light SW.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 65-70. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 50-55. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Cloudy. Isolated showers into afternoon. More widespread showers arriving west to east later in the day and becoming heavier at night. Highs 62-67. Wind S 10-20 MPH with higher gusts becoming stronger with higher gusts at night.
MONDAY: Mainly cloudy. Periodic showers. Windy. Lows from the middle to upper 50s. Highs from the upper 50s to lower 60s.
TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Breezy. Lows from the middle 30s to lower 40s. Highs from the middle 50s to near 60.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 1-5)
A frontal boundary nearby during this period makes for an uncertain forecast. Going to go with the idea of a light rain event November 1 or 2, clouds more dominant than sun each day, and temperatures variable but averaging near to slightly above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 6-10)
High pressure should bring fair weather early in the period and then unsettled weather may return later in the period.

Thursday Forecast

4:59AM

Continued slightly altered format.

DAYS 1-6 (OCTOBER 25-31)
A frontal boundary will sit just east of New England today and low pressure will develop along it and move north northwest into New England with continued showers today, some of which may end up quite heavy. All if this gets out of here by Friday which will see the return of fair weather, which will continue through Saturday. The next trough approaches from the west, and although it will be a little faster-moving than the one currently moving through, it will be amplified and pull some tropical moisture northward, along with a possible tropical low pressure area. This will likely result in a significant rain and possibly significant wind event for Sunday night into Monday. Fair but cooler weather is expected by Tuesday to close out the month.
TODAY: Cloudy. Occasional to frequent showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 58-65. Wind variable 10-20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy with many showers evening, some heavy but favoring northern MA into NH. Clearing overnight. Lows 45-52. Wind W increasing to 15-25 MPH but gusts 30-40 MPH and isolated stronger.
FRIDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Drying out. Highs 58-64. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the upper 30s to middle 40s. Highs in the 60s.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely at night. Increasing wind. Lows from the upper 40s to middle 50s. Highs in the 60s.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Possible strong wind. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s but turning cooler late.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 50s.

DAYS 7-10 (NOVEMBER 1-4)
A weak system may bring some unsettled weather at some point during the first couple days of November with temperatures near to above normal. A cold front following this should bring a shot of cooler air in.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 5-9)
A couple minor systems may bring some wet weather a couple times. Temperatures near to above normal.

Wednesday Forecast

2:20AM

Slightly altering the format today for two 7-day periods.

DAYS 1-7 (OCTOBER 25-31)
A more unsettled weather pattern is here and marks a transition from the anomalously warm pattern to a more seasonable but variable temperature pattern. As elongated upper level low pressure slowly makes its way toward the East Coast a surface front will inch eastward through Thursday, and a new low pressure area will form on this front and prolong the unsettled weather right through Thursday evening. By Friday-Saturday, drier and somewhat cooler air will arrive. But the cycle is poised to repeat by the end of the weekend as another system approaches from the west and brings another bout of wet weather Sunday night and Monday. This one is expected to move along a little more quickly and should allow dry weather albeit fairly cool conditions to move in for Halloween next Tuesday.
TODAY: Cloudy. Frequent showers including downpours and a slight chance of thunder southeastern NH, eastern MA, and RI, with more occasional showers to the west. Local flooding in heavier rain areas. Highs 64-70. Wind S 15-25 MPH with higher gusts in eastern areas, W 5-15 MPH in western areas.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Occasional to frequent showers. Lows 52-58. Wind variable 5-15 MPH mainly S to W.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Occasional to frequent showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 58-65. Wind variable 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mainly cloudy. Lingering showers especially RI, eastern MA, and southern NH. Lows 50-56. Wind W 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Drying out. Highs 58-64. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the upper 30s to middle 40s. Highs in the 60s.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely at night. Lows from the upper 40s to middle 50s. Highs in the 60s.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s but turning cooler late.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 50s.

DAYS 8-14 (NOVEMBER 1-7)
A couple episodes of wet weather may take place during the course of the first week of November. Not even out of the question some areas see their first mix/flakes of the season briefly later in the period as a push of colder air arrives after early to mid period temperatures averaging near to slightly above normal. As always will continue to assess the situation and fine-tune as we go.

Tuesday Forecast

7:28AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 24-28)
A slow-moving cold front will take until Thursday morning to completely be offshore so it will take nearly 3 days to transition from the warm and humid southerly air flow we have now to a cooler westerly air flow behind the front. Upper level low pressure still has to cross the region during Thursday so this basically results in a 3-day unsettled stretch, including some badly needed rainfall, though much of that will take place from late tonight into Wednesday. High pressure returns to bring dry weather for the end of the week.
TODAY: Mainly cloudy. Occasional showers, a few briefly heavy. Much of the time rain-free. Highs 68-73. Wind S 15-25 MPH, gusts 30-45 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Occasional showers evening. Band of widespread showers, some heavy, with possible thunder, moving in west to east late. Lows 62-67. Wind S 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY: Overcast. Numerous showers morning, heaviest eastern areas. Occasional showers afternoon. Temperatures steady in the 60s. Wind S 10-20 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to W.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Occasional showers. Low 55-60. Wind variable mainly W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Highs 60-65. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the upper 40s to middle 50s. Highs in the 60s.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the middle 40s to lower 50s. Highs from the middle 60s to lower 70s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 29-NOVEMBER 2)
Mild with clouds arriving October 29 but wet weather likely holding off until late or at night, into October 30 before a drying and cooling trend through October 31. Fair and turning milder November 1-2 based on current timing.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 3-7)
Still uncertain on pattern evolution but current thinking is mainly dry with a mild start then trending cooler.

Monday Forecast

7:34AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 23-27)
Marine air has invaded the region and as a southerly air flow overtakes the region today and continues through Tuesday and Wednesday, along with the approach of a slow-moving cold front from the west, we will see an increasing likelihood of wet weather, which is again badly needed. Drier weather returns later in the week although upper level low pressure may still trigger some showers Thursday.
TODAY: Areas of fog this morning. Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Highs 65-73. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 58-64. Wind S 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Cloudy. Isolated to scattered showers. Highs 65-73. Wind S 15-25 MPH with higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Showers likely, some heavy. Chance of thunderstorms. Lows 58-64. Wind S 15-25 MPH with higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Showers likely, some heavy. Chance of thunderstorms mainly early. Highs 60-68. Wind S 10-20 MPH with higher gusts early, shifting to W and gradually diminishing.
THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs from the middle 50s to lower 60s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 28-NOVEMBER 1)
Weekend of October 28-29 warms up with fair weather Saturday then more clouds Sunday. A transition back to cooler again with some unsettled weather during the last 2 days of the month should lead to a fair and chilly start to November.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 2-6)
Pattern currently looks seasonable to cool with a few episodes of unsettled weather but no major storminess.

Sunday Forecast

7:42AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 22-26)
No changes from the discussion of late yesterday. Monday’s update will be posted in the early hours of the day. In the mean time just a quick forecast update.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 65-72 coast, 72-78 interior. Wind light W early, then light variable with sea breezes.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 50-57. Wind light S.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 64-73, coolest immediate shore. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Cloudy. Scattered to numerous showers. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows from the middle 40s to lower 50s. Highs from the middle 50s to lower 60s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 27-31)
Mainly dry with cooler weather October 27 then moderating October 28 into October 29. Showers become more likely the last 2 days of the month with a mild start then a flip back to cooler but low confidence forecast on the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 1-5)
A pattern of more variable temperatures with episodes of unsettled weather expected.