Monday August 31 2020 Forecast (8:49AM)

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 31 – SEPTEMBER 4)

Discussion…

A well-advertised high pressure system sits atop the region at this time and will provide splendid weather for the final day of August and “meteorological summer”, but we know that summer itself is not over here and the weather going forward will prove that point easily before the end of this 5-day period is over. Before that, high pressure shifts offshore but far enough north for an east to southeast wind flow Tuesday into Wednesday, and while a weak upper level trough slides across there will be some cloudiness and the opportunity for a few showers, but no widespread rain. Thursday we will find ourselves in a summery southwesterly flow with higher humidity. A weak cold front moving across the region Thursday night and first thing Friday may bring a shower but the front is likely be a poor precipitation producer, just bringing slightly drier air for Friday, which will still be quite warm.

Details…

TODAY: Sunshine, eventually some high clouds too. Highs 70-77. Dew point upper 40s. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Dew point near 50. Wind E-SE under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Risk of a few showers. Highs 71-78. Dew point upper 50s. Wind E-SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 58-65. Dew point upper 50s. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 72-79. Dew point lower 60s. Wind SE-S 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of a shower. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point lower 60s. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. An isolated shower or thunderstorm mainly west of I-495 late-day. Highs 82-89. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog. Lows 63-70. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 83-90. Dew point upper 50s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 5-9)

Predominant pattern as high pressure aloft off the East Coast. High pressure builds in from the west at the surface September 5 with fair and mild weather but cooler than the previous couple days, then shifts offshore with a warm up September 6 before a cold front approaches with a shower and thunderstorm risk September 7 (Labor Day). High pressure builds in with dry weather to end the period but temperatures averaging above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 10-14)

Overall large scale pattern doesn’t change too much with a warmer than average temperature regime overall and a few, but limited shower chances.

Sunday August 30 2020 Forecast (7:49AM)

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 30- SEPTEMBER 3)

Discussion…

High pressure, building toward the region from the west and over the region Monday, brings two very nice days to end the month of August, although today will be on the breezy side. Then high pressure shifts offshore, first far enough north to keep temperature in check during the first couple days of September before it heats up by Thursday. A coule fronts will try to make it into the region as we approach mid week but will have trouble pushing all the way through.

Details…

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 77-84. Dew point falling through 50s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog lower elevations. Lows 55-62. Dew point upper 40s to lower 50s. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny, but some high cloudiness later in the day. Highs 75-82. Dew point lower 50s. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 50-57. Dew point middle 50s. Wind SE under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Risk of a few showers. Highs 70-77. Dew point upper 50s. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point lower 60s. Wind SE to SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and possible thunderstorms. Highs 72-79. Dew point lower 60s. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of a shower. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point lower 60s. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Highs 80-87. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 4-8)

Predominant pattern as high pressure aloft off the East Coast. For us, very warm September 4, a bit cooler September 5 as a front pushes through, then mainly near to above normal temperatures thereafter. Limited shower chances.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 9-13)

Overall large scale pattern doesn’t change too much with a warmer than average temperature regime overall and a few, but limited shower chances. We’ll have to continue to pay attention for any tropical activity in the western Atlantic.

Saturday August 29 2020 Forecast (7:54AM)

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 29- SEPTEMBER 2)

Discussion…

Low pressure tracks eastward passing north of our area today. Its warm front brings fairly widespread wet weather through the region during the morning hours in the form of showers and embedded thunder. The cold front trailing this will pass by this evening with an additional shower and thunderstorm threat, while many areas have at least a few hours of rain-free or minimal shower threat time during the afternoon, during which time the majority of the remnant moisture from Hurricane Laura passes to the south of the region, not adding any beneficial rainfall. You’ll notice a jump in the humidity today, easily the most humid day of this week, before drier air returns behind the departing system during Sunday. High pressure provides very nice weather for August’s final day Monday. September will get underway with a warm front / cold front combo trailing from another low passing north of the region Tuesday and Wednesday, as high pressure starts to build off the Atlantic Coast.

Details…

TODAY: Mainly cloudy with widespread showers and possible thunderstorms as well as areas of fog this morning. Variably cloudy with a passing shower possible this afternoon. Highs 77-84. Dew point upper 60s to around 70. Wind SE up to 10 MPH morning becoming SW 10-20 MPH afternoon.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy with a passing shower or thunderstorm possible during the evening, then clearing. Lows 65-72. Dew point upper to middle 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to W.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 77-84. Dew point falling into 50s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog lower elevations. Lows 55-62. Dew point 50s. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 75-82. Dew point lower 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog interior lower elevations. Lows 50-57. Dew point upper 40s to lower 50s. Wind calm.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of showers by late-day. Highs 70-77,. Dew point 50s. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point rising to lower 60s. Wind SE to SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and possible thunderstorms. Highs 72-79. Dew point lower 60s. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 3-7)

High pressure offshore will make frontal systems struggle to push through. Greatest chance for showers and possible thunderstorms September 4 & 6. Temperatures above normal but may cool back by the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 8-12)

Fair, slightly cooler September 8. Warming up, more humidity, and a few opportunities for showers thereafter. We will be in a pattern that we’ll have to pay attention to any tropical activity in the western Atlantic.

Friday August 28 2020 Forecast (7:52AM)

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 28- SEPTEMBER 1)

Discussion…

Yesterday’s event went as expected – biggest storms southwest of the WHW area, so thankfully this region escaped the severe weather while still receiving some needed rainfall. No rainfall today, but it may start gloomy looking as some low level moisture remains in place, but clouds will break for at least partial sun as the morning goes on and it turns into a pretty nice day overall, under the influence of weak high pressure. Although high clouds will also start to stream in ahead of a warm front, which will be moving through the region tomorrow morning, followed by a cold front late in the day, parented from a jet stream disturbance passing to our north. Moisture from the remains of Laura will be somewhat involved in this, but as I have been indicating, the majority of this will pass south of our region. High pressure approaches from the west Sunday, which will be a breezy day between it and the departing low to the east. High pressure settles right over the region for a wonderful final day of August. September gets underway Tuesday and some cloudiness will advance ahead of a warm front, which may result in showers arriving in the region before day’s end.

Details…

TODAY: Variably cloudy to partly sunny. Highs 78-85. Dew point middle to upper 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Showers and a chance of thunderstorms overnight. Lows 63-70. Dew point rising through 60s. Wind E to S 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers likely, favoring the morning hours. Chance of thunderstorms, favoring late-day. Highs 77-84. Dew point upper 60s to near 70. Wind variable to SW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: A shower or thunderstorm early, followed by clearing. Patchy fog evening. Lows 65-72. Dew point upper to middle 60s. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 77-84. Dew point falling into 50s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog lower elevations. Lows 55-62. Dew point 50s. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 75-82. Dew point lower 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog interior lower elevations. Lows 50-57. Dew point upper 40s to lower 50s. Wind calm.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of showers late-day. Highs 70-77,. Dew point 50s. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 2-6)

High pressure builds offshore and remains mostly in place while frontal systems from the west try to push into the region. Much of this period is likely to be rain-free with above normal temperatures. Best shower opportunities early September 2, late September 4, and September 6.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 7-11)

Fair, slightly cooler September 7-8. Warming up, minimal shower threat thereafter.

Thursday August 27 2020 Forecast (8:38AM)

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 27-31)

Discussion…

The last 5 days of August and Meteorological Summer will be marked by some changing weather. We first have an unsettled day today with a warm front moving into, but not fully through, the region. In fact, the front itself may never make all that much progress even into the WHW forecast area. This will be good news, as it will prevent the region from getting severe weather, which is a danger in the warm air mass just to the southwest of the front as a disturbance arrives and passes through the region from northwest to southeast later today. Worth monitoring for this area anyway, but I think we’re just in for some showers and maybe embedded thunder. Even the rainfall production from this event should be non-beneficial, in terms of chopping into the drought. Weak high pressure brings nicer weather for Friday. Then it’s back to unsettled weather again as a disturbance moves through, warm front passing by around dawn, cold front in the evening. This may allow several rain-free hours at any given location, but cannot rule out pop up showers / storms at any time either. Tropical moisture from the remains of Laura will probably be involved, somewhat, with the cold front, but the bulk of those remains will likely miss this area to the south. High pressure builds back in with rapidly improving weather by Sunday and glorious late summer weather to end the month of August on Monday.

Details…

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Passing showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs 70-77. Dew point rising through 50s. Wind SE to variable 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Becoming partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point near 60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 80-87. Dew point near 60. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Showers and a chance of thunderstorms overnight. Lows 63-70. Dew point rising through 60s. Wind E to S 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 77-84. Dew point middle 60s to near 70. Wind variable to SW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 67-74. Dew point upper 60s. Wind SW to variable 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY: Clearing. Highs 77-84. Dew point falling to 50s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog lower elevations. Lows 55-62. Dew point 50s. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 75-82. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 1-5)

High pressure builds offshore and remains mostly in place while frontal systems from the west try to push into the region. Much of this period is likely to be rain-free with above normal temperatures. Best shower opportunities around September 2 and 5.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 6-10)

The general patterns should feature high pressure in control most of the time aloft with weak frontal systems trying to push through, resulting in above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation.