Monday August 31 2020 Forecast (8:49AM)

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 31 – SEPTEMBER 4)

Discussion…

A well-advertised high pressure system sits atop the region at this time and will provide splendid weather for the final day of August and “meteorological summer”, but we know that summer itself is not over here and the weather going forward will prove that point easily before the end of this 5-day period is over. Before that, high pressure shifts offshore but far enough north for an east to southeast wind flow Tuesday into Wednesday, and while a weak upper level trough slides across there will be some cloudiness and the opportunity for a few showers, but no widespread rain. Thursday we will find ourselves in a summery southwesterly flow with higher humidity. A weak cold front moving across the region Thursday night and first thing Friday may bring a shower but the front is likely be a poor precipitation producer, just bringing slightly drier air for Friday, which will still be quite warm.

Details…

TODAY: Sunshine, eventually some high clouds too. Highs 70-77. Dew point upper 40s. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Dew point near 50. Wind E-SE under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Risk of a few showers. Highs 71-78. Dew point upper 50s. Wind E-SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 58-65. Dew point upper 50s. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 72-79. Dew point lower 60s. Wind SE-S 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of a shower. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point lower 60s. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. An isolated shower or thunderstorm mainly west of I-495 late-day. Highs 82-89. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog. Lows 63-70. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 83-90. Dew point upper 50s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 5-9)

Predominant pattern as high pressure aloft off the East Coast. High pressure builds in from the west at the surface September 5 with fair and mild weather but cooler than the previous couple days, then shifts offshore with a warm up September 6 before a cold front approaches with a shower and thunderstorm risk September 7 (Labor Day). High pressure builds in with dry weather to end the period but temperatures averaging above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 10-14)

Overall large scale pattern doesn’t change too much with a warmer than average temperature regime overall and a few, but limited shower chances.

Sunday August 30 2020 Forecast (7:49AM)

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 30- SEPTEMBER 3)

Discussion…

High pressure, building toward the region from the west and over the region Monday, brings two very nice days to end the month of August, although today will be on the breezy side. Then high pressure shifts offshore, first far enough north to keep temperature in check during the first couple days of September before it heats up by Thursday. A coule fronts will try to make it into the region as we approach mid week but will have trouble pushing all the way through.

Details…

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 77-84. Dew point falling through 50s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog lower elevations. Lows 55-62. Dew point upper 40s to lower 50s. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny, but some high cloudiness later in the day. Highs 75-82. Dew point lower 50s. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 50-57. Dew point middle 50s. Wind SE under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Risk of a few showers. Highs 70-77. Dew point upper 50s. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point lower 60s. Wind SE to SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and possible thunderstorms. Highs 72-79. Dew point lower 60s. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of a shower. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point lower 60s. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Highs 80-87. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 4-8)

Predominant pattern as high pressure aloft off the East Coast. For us, very warm September 4, a bit cooler September 5 as a front pushes through, then mainly near to above normal temperatures thereafter. Limited shower chances.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 9-13)

Overall large scale pattern doesn’t change too much with a warmer than average temperature regime overall and a few, but limited shower chances. We’ll have to continue to pay attention for any tropical activity in the western Atlantic.

Saturday August 29 2020 Forecast (7:54AM)

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 29- SEPTEMBER 2)

Discussion…

Low pressure tracks eastward passing north of our area today. Its warm front brings fairly widespread wet weather through the region during the morning hours in the form of showers and embedded thunder. The cold front trailing this will pass by this evening with an additional shower and thunderstorm threat, while many areas have at least a few hours of rain-free or minimal shower threat time during the afternoon, during which time the majority of the remnant moisture from Hurricane Laura passes to the south of the region, not adding any beneficial rainfall. You’ll notice a jump in the humidity today, easily the most humid day of this week, before drier air returns behind the departing system during Sunday. High pressure provides very nice weather for August’s final day Monday. September will get underway with a warm front / cold front combo trailing from another low passing north of the region Tuesday and Wednesday, as high pressure starts to build off the Atlantic Coast.

Details…

TODAY: Mainly cloudy with widespread showers and possible thunderstorms as well as areas of fog this morning. Variably cloudy with a passing shower possible this afternoon. Highs 77-84. Dew point upper 60s to around 70. Wind SE up to 10 MPH morning becoming SW 10-20 MPH afternoon.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy with a passing shower or thunderstorm possible during the evening, then clearing. Lows 65-72. Dew point upper to middle 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to W.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 77-84. Dew point falling into 50s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog lower elevations. Lows 55-62. Dew point 50s. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 75-82. Dew point lower 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog interior lower elevations. Lows 50-57. Dew point upper 40s to lower 50s. Wind calm.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of showers by late-day. Highs 70-77,. Dew point 50s. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point rising to lower 60s. Wind SE to SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and possible thunderstorms. Highs 72-79. Dew point lower 60s. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 3-7)

High pressure offshore will make frontal systems struggle to push through. Greatest chance for showers and possible thunderstorms September 4 & 6. Temperatures above normal but may cool back by the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 8-12)

Fair, slightly cooler September 8. Warming up, more humidity, and a few opportunities for showers thereafter. We will be in a pattern that we’ll have to pay attention to any tropical activity in the western Atlantic.

Friday August 28 2020 Forecast (7:52AM)

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 28- SEPTEMBER 1)

Discussion…

Yesterday’s event went as expected – biggest storms southwest of the WHW area, so thankfully this region escaped the severe weather while still receiving some needed rainfall. No rainfall today, but it may start gloomy looking as some low level moisture remains in place, but clouds will break for at least partial sun as the morning goes on and it turns into a pretty nice day overall, under the influence of weak high pressure. Although high clouds will also start to stream in ahead of a warm front, which will be moving through the region tomorrow morning, followed by a cold front late in the day, parented from a jet stream disturbance passing to our north. Moisture from the remains of Laura will be somewhat involved in this, but as I have been indicating, the majority of this will pass south of our region. High pressure approaches from the west Sunday, which will be a breezy day between it and the departing low to the east. High pressure settles right over the region for a wonderful final day of August. September gets underway Tuesday and some cloudiness will advance ahead of a warm front, which may result in showers arriving in the region before day’s end.

Details…

TODAY: Variably cloudy to partly sunny. Highs 78-85. Dew point middle to upper 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Showers and a chance of thunderstorms overnight. Lows 63-70. Dew point rising through 60s. Wind E to S 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers likely, favoring the morning hours. Chance of thunderstorms, favoring late-day. Highs 77-84. Dew point upper 60s to near 70. Wind variable to SW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: A shower or thunderstorm early, followed by clearing. Patchy fog evening. Lows 65-72. Dew point upper to middle 60s. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 77-84. Dew point falling into 50s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog lower elevations. Lows 55-62. Dew point 50s. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 75-82. Dew point lower 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog interior lower elevations. Lows 50-57. Dew point upper 40s to lower 50s. Wind calm.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of showers late-day. Highs 70-77,. Dew point 50s. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 2-6)

High pressure builds offshore and remains mostly in place while frontal systems from the west try to push into the region. Much of this period is likely to be rain-free with above normal temperatures. Best shower opportunities early September 2, late September 4, and September 6.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 7-11)

Fair, slightly cooler September 7-8. Warming up, minimal shower threat thereafter.

Thursday August 27 2020 Forecast (8:38AM)

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 27-31)

Discussion…

The last 5 days of August and Meteorological Summer will be marked by some changing weather. We first have an unsettled day today with a warm front moving into, but not fully through, the region. In fact, the front itself may never make all that much progress even into the WHW forecast area. This will be good news, as it will prevent the region from getting severe weather, which is a danger in the warm air mass just to the southwest of the front as a disturbance arrives and passes through the region from northwest to southeast later today. Worth monitoring for this area anyway, but I think we’re just in for some showers and maybe embedded thunder. Even the rainfall production from this event should be non-beneficial, in terms of chopping into the drought. Weak high pressure brings nicer weather for Friday. Then it’s back to unsettled weather again as a disturbance moves through, warm front passing by around dawn, cold front in the evening. This may allow several rain-free hours at any given location, but cannot rule out pop up showers / storms at any time either. Tropical moisture from the remains of Laura will probably be involved, somewhat, with the cold front, but the bulk of those remains will likely miss this area to the south. High pressure builds back in with rapidly improving weather by Sunday and glorious late summer weather to end the month of August on Monday.

Details…

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Passing showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs 70-77. Dew point rising through 50s. Wind SE to variable 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Becoming partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point near 60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 80-87. Dew point near 60. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Showers and a chance of thunderstorms overnight. Lows 63-70. Dew point rising through 60s. Wind E to S 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 77-84. Dew point middle 60s to near 70. Wind variable to SW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 67-74. Dew point upper 60s. Wind SW to variable 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY: Clearing. Highs 77-84. Dew point falling to 50s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog lower elevations. Lows 55-62. Dew point 50s. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 75-82. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 1-5)

High pressure builds offshore and remains mostly in place while frontal systems from the west try to push into the region. Much of this period is likely to be rain-free with above normal temperatures. Best shower opportunities around September 2 and 5.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 6-10)

The general patterns should feature high pressure in control most of the time aloft with weak frontal systems trying to push through, resulting in above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation.

Wednesday August 26 2020 Forecast (7:38AM)

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 26-30)

Discussion…

Fall preview today with an invigorating Canadian air mass flowing across the region, marked by a gusty breeze and extremely dry air. But it’s going to be short-lived, as humidity starts its climb back, first with the arrival of a warm front and disturbance on Thursday. That warm front may struggle to make much progress through the region due to a wave of low pressure on it, and this will lead to a shower threat. There is the possibility of strong thunderstorms for any areas that get into the warm air behind the front, or even right along the front itself, but as it stands now, with the front’s progression likely to be limited, the heavier storms may occur mainly south and west of the WHW forecast area, over western CT westward into NY and southward into PA. However we should monitor this in case this threat does make its way further east. Once the disturbance moves away and pulls the boundary away with it, a weak area of high pressure will build in for Friday, which will be a nice summer day other than higher humidity and a risk of a pop up shower or thunderstorm. On Saturday, expect high humidity and a good chance of showers and storms as a disturbance moves through, and tropical moisture from the remains of Hurricane Laura may enhance the rainfall potential here, but that remains to be seen. This will be fine-tuned as we watch the progress of that system. When we get to Sunday, another push of dry Canadian air will arrive as high pressure builds across the Great Lakes and eastern Canada.

Details…

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 71-78. Dew point falling to near 40. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear except patchy fog in low elevation areas. Lows 47-54. Dew point rising through 40s. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Passing showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs 70-77. Dew point rising through 50s. Wind SE to variable 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms early. Patchy fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point rising into 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH but possibly stronger near any storms.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 80-87. Dew point near 60. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 63-70. Dew point rising through 60s. Wind variable to S 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 77-84. Dew point middle 60s to near 70. Wind variable to SW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Lows 67-74. Dew point upper 60s. Wind SW to variable 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY: Clearing. Highs 77-84. Dew point falling to 50s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 31 – SEPTEMBER 4)

High pressure brings fair, dry, pleasant weather to end the month of August, then shifts offshore with temperatures warming to above normal during the first several days of September. One or two fronts will try to get close but may never completely make it through the region, so there will probably will be some cloudiness at times along with a few shower threats.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 5-9)

The general patterns should feature high pressure in control most of the time aloft with weak frontal systems trying to push through, resulting in above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation.

Tuesday August 25 2020 Forecast (7:35AM)

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 25-29)

Discussion…

One more hot day with high humidity, which will be sliced into by a cold front moving quickly northwest to southeast across the region during the afternoon. While there may be a few pop up isolated showers and/or thunderstorms ahead of this front, the front itself will also bring a chance of showers and storms, some of which may be locally severe. The front may struggle to produce widespread coverage on the activity, so some locations could be missed entirely by the activity. But don’t count on that – keep an eye out, especially if you have plans to be outside. By tonight, a cooler and drier air mass will be arriving and you’ll notice that on Wednesday with a fresh northwesterly breeze and very low dew points – an autumn preview. But that doesn’t last, as a low pressure disturbance moves rapidly southeastward out of Canada and across New England during Thursday. This day ends up being a tricky forecast as we’ll have a warm front trying to cross the region in advance of the disturbance, and it’s a little uncertain how far eastward that boundary will get. This will be important to determine both high temperatures and the strength of possible thunderstorms that could occur near and just on the warm air side of the boundary, which will push southward again later in the day as the low pressure wave goes by. So there is going to be some fine-tuning to do with that part of the forecast during the next couple of blog updates. By Friday, a weak area of high pressure will be in control and that looks like a decent late summer day. The next wildcard day is Saturday as we have another disturbance to contend with – timing uncertain, and moisture content also uncertain as it may be infused with some tropical moisture from the remnants of Marco & Laura from the Gulf Coast.

Details…

TODAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers and thunderstorms possible first half of afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms likely second half of afternoon. Any storms, especially later, may be locally strong to severe. Highs 83-90. Dew point middle to upper 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, but locally strong and gusty near any storms.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 55-62. Dew point falling to upper 40s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 72-79. Dew point falling through 40s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear except patchy ground fog in low elevations. Lows 47-54. Dew point lower to middle 40s. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Passing showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs 70-77. Dew point rising to 50s. Wind SE to variable 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms early. Patchy fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point near 60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH but possibly stronger near any storms.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 80-87. Dew point near 60. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 63-70. Dew point rising through 60s. Wind variable to S 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 77-84. Dew point middle 60s to near 70. Wind variable to SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 30 – SEPTEMBER 3)

High pressure moves back in with fair and dry weather August 30 & 31. High pressure shifts offshore and a frontal boundary sets up to the west, probably far enough west for mostly dry weather and a warm-up during the first few days of September.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 4-8)

High pressure offshore strengthens early in the period with above normal temperatures but some risk of a few showers and thunderstorms as well. A frontal boundary in the region may bring the risk for showers during mid period before drier air arrives at the end of the period.

Monday August 24 2020 Forecast (9:15AM)

Commentary…

First a word on general media’s handling of something. You all know how I feel about the media these days. It may be opinion, but it’s pretty accurate opinion when I say that there is so much unnecessary hype out there. This is not about information folks. It’s about hype. If you want to inform people, you don’t tell them a week in advance as the most important news story of the day that we could possibly see history by having 2 hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico at the same time, for the first time in recorded history. That doesn’t accomplish anything other than getting people in a frenzy. I’m going to shorten this by suggesting that you google the phrase “two hurricanes gulf of mexico” and reading some of the headlines, even as of just a few hours ago, which now have had to back away from the “two hurricanes” hype since that’s not going to happen, and still push things like “unprecedented back to back threats target Louisiana”, when even that may still not be quite how it unfolds. I’m not going to downplay the potential impact of Marco, which will likely bring some flooding to New Oreleans, that city whose brilliant designers thought it was a great idea to put an entire city below sea level next to a hurricane-breeding bathtub. Marco’s center may never actually make a full landfall, certainly not as a hurricane, as wind shear, as the meteorologists on this blog had predicted, is doing a number on that storm as it approaches. Granted, you don’t need a powerful storm from a wind standpoint for it to be dangerous. Even tropical depressions that don’t make landfall can cause serious flooding. But my point here isn’t that, it’s that we’re getting a firsthand example again of putting the unnecessary “expectation” in the public’s collective heads that this was going to be one of two hurricanes. It’s not. It simply is not. So now while people are stuck thinking these headlines from 5 days ago are still true, will they actually have known the struggle that Laura has been going through trying to stay together as a tropical storm while traversing the mountainous terrain of the Greater Antilles? Probably not, because it’s all about what it’s going to do later. I get that. And I don’t have a problem with warning people in advance about possibilities either. That’s part of what we, as meteorologists, should be doing, albeit responsibly. And I think the responsible thing at this point, now that we know that there is no such thing as a “double hurricane” or a “fujiwara megastorm” (or do some of us still not?), is to focus on what both of these systems are doing, and what we know they will do, and what we know they may do, from a level-headed meteorological standpoint. Yes, it’s quite possible that Laura may organize itself and intensify rather quickly once in the Gulf of Mexico and even become a major hurricane that threatens the Gulf Coast. But will it be Louisiana? Its center could very well never touch that state, although that would still not take the threat away from the state either. But we may have to shift focus to the Upper Texas Coast too, and what if Laura took a more unexpected turn north sooner. Would we have to possibly talk about an impact east of Louisiana? Yes we have wonderful technology and ability to predict weather, but it doesn’t always quite go as expected. We’ve even seen that locally with 3 short-range model failures in the last week alone trying to predict the coverage and severity of thunderstorms in our region. The focus on weather news needs to shift away from far fetched potentials to more responsible advising. Wrong way: “Two hurricanes could be in the Gulf next week – first time ever!” Right way: “There is the potential for two tropical systems to impact portions of the Gulf Coast in several days. All residents should monitor the progress of these systems and be ready to take action if directed to do so.” I realize that the second statement doesn’t carry the excitement and isn’t as “sexy” as the first one, but it’s the right way to say it. Oh, by the way, are you people getting ready for the day-before-election-day asteroid? I mean, it’ll be the first time ever that an asteroid has a 0.1% chance of hitting Earth the day before a presidential election! 😉

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 24-28)

Discussion…

We’ve reached the last full week of August, and there’s a variety of weather on the menu, from some heat and humidity to thunderstorms to a taste of fall, and maybe even some tropical remnants. While the drought continues, we do at least have a few more opportunities to get at least some relief, even though I still believe we’re in it for a longer term. Time will tell. But coming back to the more immediate, it will be a very warm and humid start to the week today, and like yesterday, we’ll once again have to watch for the development of showers and thunderstorms. While short range forecasts have not been stellar at times the last several days, I do feel that today’s activity will end up a little less potent than yesterday with a little less energy available to fire the storms. Regardless, any storms that form can still be strong, produce gusty winds and brief flooding, frequent lightning and again some hail, so we should be on the look-out for that threat today. Tuesday, that warm and humid air mass will still be in place to start, but a strong cold front is going to cut into it and trigger more showers and storms as it cuts across the region, with timing mostly during afternoon and evening. There will be the potential for some severe weather with these storms. Behind this front will come a refreshing Canadian air mass for Wednesday, which will boldly tell you that autumn is not that far away. A warm front will approach on Thursday, bringing clouds back into the region. I still think the daylight hours will stay mainly dry, but some shower activity may occur by evening or at night as the front crosses the region. Friday ends up warmer and more humid, with some clouds lingering about, and possibly thickening up again later as remnant moisture from one or both tropical systems finds its way into the jet stream and makes a run for the Northeast. It remains to be seen how impactful that moisture will be here, but that will be something to watch during the week.

Details…

TODAY: Partly sunny. Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Any thunderstorms may contain gusty wind, torrential rain, frequent lightning, and small hail. Highs 83-90. Dew point middle to upper 60s. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 63-70. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny morning. Variably cloudy afternoon with showers and thunderstorms likely from northwest to southeast. Any thunderstorms may be strong to severe with potential damaging wind and isolated instances of large hail. Highs 82-89. Dew point middle 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 55-62. Dew point falling to upper 40s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 72-79. Dew point falling through 40s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear except patchy ground fog in low elevations. Lows 47-54. Dew point lower to middle 40s. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sun gives way to clouds. Highs 75-82. Dew point upper 40s to lower 50s. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 60-67. Dew point rising through 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH becoming SW.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Late-day or nighttime showers or rain possible. Highs 77-84. Dew point rising into 60s. Wind SW to S 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 29 – SEPTEMBER 2)

A disturbance will be moving across the region August 29 with a shower and thunderstorm threat and possibly some enhanced rainfall, depending on remnant moisture from tropical systems. High pressure builds in with cooler/drier weather August 30-31 with a fabulous end to the month of August and meteorological summer. September gets underway with high pressure overhead then shifting offshore producing fair weather and a warming trend. Timing of next system is uncertain but may end up with a shower threat before the end of this period.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 3-7)

High pressure offshore strengthens early in the period with above normal temperatures but some risk of a few showers and thunderstorms as well. A frontal boundary in the region may continue the chance for showers at times thereafter.