12 thoughts on “C-19 Chat Post – August 6 2020”

  1. So far the NBA and NHL “bubbles” are working smoothly so far. MLB, however, not so much. I believe they have instituted some additional rules for the players.

    It will be interesting if the NFL does anything additional.

  2. Daily deaths are no longer increasing. Slight decrease this week compared to last, and today’s numbers look to reinforce that trend. Also, a decrease in new daily cases. Some of this has to do with fewer tests. But, test positivity is coming down a bit nationwide.

    So, all in all, relatively hopeful signs during a very difficult period.

    1. Sutton has been low but added six new cases today. 🙁 If I hear the words “quarantine fatigue” one more time, I will scream. We are such fools – and yes, not all of us.

    2. Is the second wave still coming in the fall once schools/colleges start, or was the spike in cases in the southern states considered the “second wave”?

      Or…was the southern spike the second part of the first wave? Confused?

  3. Philip, it’s a good question. Waves are ill-defined and numbering them is rather arbitrary. So, as a nation, after we descended, plateaued for a long time at a fairly high level, and then started ascending again, can we call this the second wave? Or, is it a continuation of the first wave? I am in favor of calling it an extension of the first wave, because we never contained the first wave. A second wave is something that comes after the first one has been contained, or after it’s gone away as part of a seasonal pattern. Spain, Israel, and France appear to be undergoing a second wave. Their case numbers really dwindled, and deaths went down to zero or close to it. Now, they’re seeing a surge in cases. That to me is a second wave. Perhaps as autumn and winter arrive Scandinavia that appears to be following a traditional seasonal pattern, will have a second wave.

  4. We’ve peaked, folks, in terms of the daily deaths curve. It’s a high number, no doubt (today is 1,134), but I see a downward trend, albeit small thus far. Test positivity is 8.1% nationwide, which is too high, but lower than last week.

    Let’s keep it up. Let’s pound this thing into the ground. I have more confidence in beating back the virus with measures in place like physical distancing, masks, hygiene, no indoor events with more than 5 people, and avoidance of large gatherings generally, than I do a vaccine. I’m very unsure enough people will get vaccinated. I’m wary about the safety profile. And, even if it’s efficacious, the problem is how long will we be immune?

    By contrast, France now has a test positivity of 20.3%, and Sweden’s is 11.9%. France has a major problem on its hand if this continues. UK is perhaps the best performer in all of Europe. Most tests – higher testing rate than the U.S. – and lowest test positivity among large nations.

    1. I hope we can maintain. Sadly, I don’t have confidence and I hope Beyond hope I am wrong

      This alone scares me. “… no indoor events with more than 5 people, ” schools??

      I am hearing 300,000 deaths by December if we don’t smarten up

      I’d sure like your thoughts Joshua and hope this is so very wrong

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