DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 18-22)
A solid shot of cold air today accompanied by wind, while making it feel more like mid winter than later autumn, is not indicative of the longer term mild pattern we are in but is a good illustration of the cold shots we still get during a pattern like that, especially when our area will not be far from the boundary between more persistent warmth to the south and plenty of cold air helped a long by a lot of early snowfall in Canada. So we’re in the cold now, and that will be around into tomorrow, although after a very cold start tomorrow morning, we’ll start to moderate during the day as high pressure shifts off to the south and we get a milder west to southwest air flow, which brings in much milder air for Friday, the boundary having slipped north. But it comes back to the south again somewhat over the weekend and we get onto the cooler side again, although only slightly cooler this time as there is not a mechanism to deliver a good shot of cold from Canada. It will be more typical of a pattern we’ve seen many times since summer where high pressure slides across eastern Canada and we get more of a north to northeast air flow, weaker in comparison to the gusty northwest wind we see today.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 42-49. Wind W 5-15 MPH and gusty.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 53-60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 49-56. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 23-27)
As mentioned previously, trying to time systems beyond a few days is difficult at best. Still looking like an unsettled day on November 23 as high pressure shifts offshore and a disturbance and frontal system moves in with a rain or rain shower threat. The front settles to the south after that and timing the next low pressure area is a challenge, with additional unsettled weather possible anywhere from later November 24 through November 25, but not likely for the entire time. High pressure should move in with drier weather later in the period, including Thanksgiving Day (November 26).
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 28 – DECEMBER 2)
The last days of November to the start of December should see a continued generally westerly (zonal) flow with our area often in the boundary zone between mild air to the south and colder air to the north. Early period is most likely to see some unsettled weather with a front in the vicinity.