Thursday August 26 2021 Forecast (8:11AM)

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 25-29)

The heat is on for one more day, along with high humidity. Today’s atmosphere is only marginally unstable which may allow for a couple isolated air pass thunderstorms to pop up in the afternoon heat, but it’s quite unlikely that any one location will see one. If you do win the thunderstorm lottery, you can expect a relatively short period of heavy rain with lightning and thunder, along with brief gusty wind and maybe small hail. For most of us though, just a hot and humid late summer day today. Tonight will be one of those warm and stuffy summer nights, but during the night a cold front will be passing by with little fanfare, perhaps a shower or thunderstorm in a few locations, otherwise this front will be announced by a wind shift to north and a drop in the dew point, and while Friday will still be a fairly warm day (80s), the dew point will be falling through the 60s after having been near or over 70 today. But we’re not quite done yet, as a second front, a back-door cold front, will cross our region Friday night, shifting the wind to northeast and eventually east and making it even cooler. The dew point will reduce further so in relativity to today and early Friday it will feel even drier, but not quite as crisp had we had a continental air mass, instead of a maritime one. In addition, cloud cover will be abundant on Saturday both from some low level ocean moisture from the east, and mid level moisture from the west. So while that day will probably be rain-free, don’t expect a stellar one with lots of sunshine either. The cooler air hangs on Sunday but add in the chance of showers as the boundary that went by us to bring the cooler air is returning as a warm front. This front will push back across the region by Monday which will see the return of warmth (not too hot) and higher humidity, with an additional shower and thunderstorm chance as cold front then approaches from the northwest.

TODAY: Sun and a few clouds. A slight chance of an isolated afternoon thunderstorm favoring southwestern NH, central MA, and eastern CT areas. Highs 87-94. Dew point near 70. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. A shower or thunderstorm possible. Patchy fog. Lows 67-74. Dew point middle to upper 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 82-89. Dew point falling through 60s. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. A brief light shower possible. Patchy ground fog. Lows 56-63. Dew point falling to middle 50s. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of a shower, favoring southern MA southward early. Highs 70-77, coolest coast. Dew point middle 50s. Wind NE to E 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers favoring areas southwest of Boston. Lows 58-65. Dew point middle to upper 50s. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Highs 68-75. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Areas of fog. Lows 62-69. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind SE up to 10 MPH shifting to SW.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 80-87. Dew point upper 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 31 – SEPTEMBER 4)

A little unsure of timing but front may still be in the region August 31 with a shower threat then lowering humidity. A disturbance brings a shower chance in the September 1-2 window and there may also be some tropical moisture involved from a system that had been in the Gulf of Mexico previously. A warm and humid set-up follows this.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 5-9)

Watching for shower threats around September 6-7 and possibly again by the end of the period from disturbances which we can’t really time this far in advance. Much of this period, despite the couple shower threats, looks rain free, controlled mostly by high pressure.

52 thoughts on “Thursday August 26 2021 Forecast (8:11AM)”

  1. Thank you, TK.

    I’ll be watching September 1 especially, since I’m scheduled to play an outdoor concert. Hope we get it in!

    1. Let’s hope! Long way to go. So many things can happen.

      GFS model has stuff coming through here around then but that doesn’t mean it will, as we all know with medium range guidance. 🙂

  2. Good morning and thank you TK

    Another Yuck day on tap

    What is up with Logan dp sensor???

    currently 66 while neighboring sites are much higher:

    Beverly 72
    Bedford 72
    Norwood 70

    ???????????????

      1. 5 degree error? That’s rather large, don’t you think?
        Wow! I am bitterly disappointed.

        No instrument should EVER have a 5 degree error.
        Then it is not an instrument, it is a guesstrument.

        Sorry, I am very snarky today.

          1. Yup, Logan’s is now reading 70.

            I guess the sensor finally got a cup of coffee and it is now good to go.

        1. At one point they said that about the temp. I was more joking than anything. I’m not sure about their DP. It’s a stand-out in the region right now but there are other upper 60s around eastern MA so it could just be a matter of the way the air is mixed. I haven’t thought that Logan’s dp is off. It is a different sensor from the temp.

          Temp…I still question, but I’m still not sure if it’s a matter of bad sensor or bad location at this point. There seems to be just enough oddball behavior to keep me from being confident about it. It’s like the gov’t doing JUST ENOUGH to throw Agent Mulder off the trail when he gets too close to the truth. 😉 HAHAHAHAHA…

          1. I did write to the noaa individual at Taunton yesterday whom I’m told is very nice. I do hope I hear back.

  3. That disturbance skipped the potential tropical cyclone designation, being named a tropical depression.

    Initial thought, by NHC, is to bring it to 110 mph before landfall.

    1. Without looking at them in the last 90 minutes, the spaghetti plots I saw have shifted away from texas a bit and are more towards Louisiana, not too far west of New Orleans.

      1. I noticed yesterday when the temp was off that it caught up to stations around it after a bit. I’ll add that to my list of things to ask the noaa individual if I get a reply.

        1. I noticed that as well. Something just isn’t right. Not sure what it is. How can the sensor be correct or nearly correct at some time and be way off at other times?????????

          1. Good question. Am writing all of this down to ask. I followed it daily when temps were not heat wave high but 70s and 80s. And it was right in line.

            Could you tell from the photo I posted yesterday if it is in the runway area? It looks to me as if it is but I am not really familiar with Logan any more.

              1. Thanks. I thought so also. My guess is it is a location problem. My list of questions is getting longer.

  4. Greetings from hot humid and sunny Six Flags New England.

    It’s important to note here that I will be at the water park for the next few hours. 🙂

    1. What a great place to be when it’s hot and humid and sunny – either that or at the beach on a sand chair and feet in the edge of the waves – or floating in the clean water of a lake. One can dream, right? (currently working, and inside, oh well)

    2. eeeeew!!!!

      Don’t swallow any of that water! I wouldn’t even touch that water, that’s how much I trust them. Spoken by someone that has been swimming in the Charles River on many occasions. 🙂 🙂

      Have a coaster ride for me.

  5. Looking at radar, I see one little cell up by Keene, NH.

    Wonder if any more will pop. Certainly still time. 🙂

  6. Non weather: Please take a moment to honor those heroes who lost there lives today in those terrible events in Afghanistan. Also, to the flight crews risking their lives flying into hell to save as many lives as possible. Think of the crew of the US Air Force C-17 that had to make the unthinkable decision and throttle up to get out of harms way. Just keep praying…

    1. Also, please reach out to any service member who had served in any capacity and tell them that there service mattered. These events can be very traumatic to some.

    2. Thank you. We have been keeping all in our prayers. Also our Afghan interpreters. Just a heart wrenching day.

      1. Vicki, you always have such nice thoughts. Your comment about the interpreters. Many service members became life long friends with these great people. It’s awful to see what there going through along with there families

        1. It was you who reminded us all. Thank you for that. Those who served and my sister in law who was part of a crew who flew into Iran after the hostage release to rescue many many Americans and Iranians have been ever present on my mind. But I didn’t think to reach out to those who have served. I just chatted with a friend who is a retired marine. It is so important as you said to remember that this spans so many both past and current.

          I sincerely apologize. I suspect you have served. My thoughts are with you and your family also. God Bless!

          1. No need to apologize… I’m doing ok and many of my friends and past co workers are ok. Some are having a challenging time though. It’s very tough but much much tougher on those who were in difficult situations.

            1. Please know you, your friends and your past coworkers are all in our prayers…..every single day. There are no words that can express our thanks for your sacrifices and your service.

  7. Go on flightradar.com and scroll over to the Middle East region. This is a real live site that shows airborne aircraft. If you click on an aircraft it will show what it is and it’s call sign. It shows military heavy along with civilian aircraft but doesn’t show fighters or any bombers. There is one C17 enroute. Scroll over to Qatar and you can see the insane number of aircraft in the air moving everyone around. It’s is an immense operation to say the least!

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