Tuesday November 23 2021 Forecast (7:49AM)

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 23-27)

We’ll be feeling the chill of the air today, and that air will be moving in a gusty bluster under a bright low-angle November sun. While it may be cold if you have to walk on part of your commute or pre-Thanksgiving errands, this is good travel weather because there are no storms about, nor will there be any serious weather issues around for quite some time. Our only two minor “interruptions” will come tonight when a few snow showers may occur on Cape Cod and more regionally Friday as a low pressure passes north of the region with a warm front / cold front combo coming through with some rain shower activity and perhaps a few snow showers behind the cold front later. Between those minor events we’ll have two very nice days Wednesday and Thanksgiving Day courtesy high pressure moving across the region. Wednesday will start quite cold, but with less wind than today it won’t feel all that bad during the day. Thursday will be a milder day as we get some return flow on the back side of the high pressure area. After Friday’s system, we’ll have a chilly day with a gusty wind but dry weather Saturday as we will be in a northwesterly flow of polar air from Canada.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 36-43. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill below freezing much of the time.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear except Cape Cod clouds and a few snow showers possible. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill below 20 at times.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 39-46. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts in the morning.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind W-SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY (THANKSGIVING): Sunny morning. Partly sunny afternoon. Highs 46-53. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy with a brief period of light rain in the morning followed by few midday rain showers, then variably cloudy afternoon with a slight chance of a passing rain or snow shower. Highs 41-48 morning, falling into the 30s afternoon. Wind variable 5-15 MPH morning, WNW 10-20 MPH and gusty afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance of a passing snow flurry early. Lows 21-28. Wind NW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill below 20.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.


Dry, chilly, lighter wind but still a bit breezy to finish off Thanksgiving Weekend November 28. Continuing to watch November 29-30 for passing low pressure. Still leaning on the system being shunted to the south with no more than a few snow/rain showers or a period of light precipitation. Fair, seasonable weather to start December based on current pattern projection.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 3-7)

Indications are for below normal precipitation and near to slightly below normal temperatures for the early days of December with high pressure the main controller in a west northwesterly air flow.

53 thoughts on “Tuesday November 23 2021 Forecast (7:49AM)”

  1. Thank you, TK.

    Nice day. Invigorating. Sometimes I wish our weather wasn’t so changeable, and we could just have a week of weather like this.

  2. Good morning and thank you TK.
    Tied up this morning.

    Only made it to 32 here, same as Logan as the wind was up
    all night. Tonight there should be a nice spread between
    Logan and JP and considerably colder. We shall see.

  3. Logan’s first 32 was only 2 weeks to the day behind the average. Kind of fits in with the fall colors being 10 to 14 days behind last year!

    According to the stats, Logan’s warmest fall on record is in progress. It may not finish in first place though. Interestingly, they seem to set these first place things without breaking any daily temperature records. 😉

    1. Oddly, our colors began ahead of what we have seen here since our move in 2016, but we are back on track for considerable late leaf cover with a number of trees still holding on…..old and young.

  4. Couple of cranky points…

    I was watching the noon news on a couple stations today…

    First off, why does the local media continue to insist that the day before Thanksgiving is the heaviest travel day, when statistics show it is clearly not? Also they were talking to somebody about the Thanksgiving travel, referring to the period of time starting about today through about Monday. The person that they interviewed referred to it as the “heaviest travel day since pre-pandemic”. No, the period you are referring to is definitely more than 24 hours.

    On one of the channels, after the TV forecaster carefully explained that Friday’s system may end as a quick insignificant burst of snow for some areas north and west of Boston, the only thing the anchor heard was obvious: “but she did say ‘burst of snow’ .. oh no!” Overreaction. I mean after all we never see snowflakes in November around here….. 😉

    1. To me, lumping all ‘travel’ together doesn’t paint an accurate picture. There’s road traffic/volume, and there’s air travel. Busiest days can be different depending on mode of travel

      1. I also agree with that. There is not really one specific day overall. For road traffic, from my observation in this area, it’s Tuesday. That may be totally different for another metro area. It’s just too variable.

        I was just annoyed with how they handled it on the newscast so I was venting my whine here. 😉

  5. Frost on the grass already.

    I also did a back roads tour of Sutton when I was out picking up an order. The cool parts have very little leaves on trees. They are also more open and windier. As I came closer to home, the number of leaves on trees was anywhere from 25-30 percent. Interesting how Mother Nature works

  6. Today was a 10 in my book. I did my regular run twice to celebrate. To not sweat (much) and be able to breathe deeply and freely is such a blessing.

        1. The vinca in Mac’s garden is still bloomed. It lasted until his angel day of November 11. I don’t think it will last until our dec 9 anniversary

  7. The least `newsworthy’ items of the year that get reported on no matter what:

    – `News’ reports from Logan airport on the days leading up to Thanksgiving;
    – Presidential pardoning of a turkey (or two);
    – Punxsutawney Phil seeing his shadow, or not;
    – Joey Chestnut gobbling 76 hot dogs on July 4th;
    – Someone storrowing in late August as students return to Boston

    1. Love love love this. Many memories….not skiing but time spent with Mac and kids in Stowe and sleigh rides around the lodge property. Thank you, Mark. Made my night special

  8. Before anyone gets too excited about the 00z GFS op run, the ensemble mean is well southeast of that…

    1. When an op run “suddenly” has something, even if it is still kind-of-sort-of there for a few runs, it pretty much never verifies, especially with no support.

  9. And on cue, the weather weenie sites are all over the “potential big winter storm” based on one GFS run in which the operational model is a big time outlier. That’s forecasting at its finest, let me tell ya! 😉

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