Saturday February 26 2022 Forecast (9:09AM)

45 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 26 – MARCH 2)

A quick review of Friday’s winter storm: Snow forecast was OK. Most areas performed as expected. Didn’t think we’d see any 12 inch amounts. We didn’t. Figured the 10+ inch amounts would be limited. They were. In fact, here at the WHW home base, I was one of those 10+ with 10.7 inches. I don’t recall seeing my location at the top of the list before. Well, it happened this time. What do I win? 😉 It was fascinating to see the shift in the consistency of the snow between the northern limit of the warming and where it didn’t quite reach. Up here in my area north and northwest, a lower water content, fluffier snow, while a fairly quick shift to a wetter / heavier snowfall going south from here, but it all makes sense when you break down the temperature profile of the atmosphere during the event. So we made it through another significant winter storm and now we’ve had a few of them this winter. Are we done? Time will tell. But we are done with those kinds of threats at least for this 5-day period. We start with a cold/dry Saturday, and a temperature moderation you won’t really notice on Sunday as the wind picks up ahead of an approaching cold front. That cold front may bring a band of snow showers with it as it passes by tomorrow evening, but whether or not you see those in your area, you won’t miss the reinforcing shot of cold it brings in for Monday, the final day of February. Wouldn’t you know that is also the day I am planning on traveling to the Atlantic ocean (Hampton Beach NH) to put my feet in the water – something I now do at least once a month year-round. Timing is everything and who doesn’t love a little frozen foot adventure? Last month after I did that I put my feet in the snow that was on the beach (just 2 days after the blizzard). Anyone want to come join me on Monday? Weather looks great! Once I can feel my feet again and we get to March, we’ll see a little more active weather. I’m watching for 2 systems, one to pass by late Tuesday to early Wednesday, and another late Wednesday to early Thursday. Neither of these look significant, but both can cause a little bit of messy weather just the same, as we’ll have temperatures in the marginal category at least so that we will have to consider other precipitation types than rain.

TODAY: 100% sunshine. Highs 28-35. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: A clear sky. Lows 14-21. Wind WSW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Clouds increase. Highs 35-42. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-30 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 9-14. Wind shifting to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill near to below 0 at times.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 22-29. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts in the morning.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-10 interior areas, 10-15 coastal and urban locations. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Late-day rain or snow showers possible. Highs 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow/mix showers. Lows 26-33. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Snow or rain showers possible both early and late. Highs 35-42. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 3-7)

Temperatures trend milder. Driest early period. Precipitation threat increasing mid to late period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 7-11)

Temperatures trend colder. A couple additional precipitation threats possible.

45 thoughts on “Saturday February 26 2022 Forecast (9:09AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Logan received 8.5 inches bringing the season total to 51 7 or .9 don’t remember which. either way, they have surpassed their seasonal average.

    For my area, this was the 4th snow event with 6 inches or more.

    More than I ever expected as we moved into this Winter season.

    1. Even though I hate the phrase “we are due…”, Boston seldom has 4 consecutive below-normal snow seasons. They had 3. They won’t reach 4 in this stretch either. I guess they were “due” for a snowier winter … haha 🙂

      1. I’d have to look at my notes but I believe Boston had 7 consecutive below normal snow years in the 1950s. A very lean decade overall for snow, obviously.

  2. NWS dropped my measurement from the list on the final report this morning. What is this, free-style ski judging? Toss the low and high scores? I’m displeased with those ****’s at the moment, and I wrote to them to tell them so. I’ve been measuring snow for decades. I think I know what I’m doing. So that better be a mistake. I have asked them to put that number back on the list. They’d serve themselves well to do just that.

      1. I did. 😛 I’m not in the mood to be screwed with today, so as I said, that better be a mistake. 😉 I’ll forgive them if it is. I won’t if it’s not. Their choice. 😉

  3. JPD .. similar subject. When I was watching (or trying to watch) some of the winter olympics events online, their ads were messed up to the point that it would cut to ads while somebody was literally in the air, mid-trick, on a snow board, for example. No. Unacceptable. And then you’d get this run of ads that would go over 10 minutes. No. Also unacceptable. So I wrote to them and look at this for a cheap canned response. I guarantee you this gets sent to anybody who includes one negative word in their email (programmed to recognize certain words)….

    ****

    Thank you for contacting our NBC Olympics Support Team.

    We really appreciate hearing from our customers because it gives us an opportunity to make your experience even better. Your feedback is very valuable to us. We will be sharing your thoughts with the appropriate department to correct any issues or make any improvements.

    If you require further assistance, please feel free to contact us again at any time.

    Thank You,
    NBC Olympics Support

    ****

    Blah blah blah. Cheap. 😛

      1. Gotta love it. Ever see one of those “customer service” FB pages? Total bot action. It’s funny though. I’ve gone on those and tried to have a normal conversation with them (knowing it’s a bot). It’s almost as fun as trying to confuse “Alexa”. 😉

    2. Mac and I stopped watching the Olympics years ago. Coverage stinks and reporting has a distinct US bias. And we did write. When she was 11 (30 years ago) my daughter wrote to bob costas re equestrian coverage. He did respond, and she still has the letter. He said equestrian events just were not popular……hmmmmmm.

      1. Wait, you’re complaining that an American network, broadcasting the Olympics back to America, was biased towards America? Seriously?

        You do realize that other nations send their own broadcast teams to send back to their home nations, right? If you’re in Canada, you get coverage from CBC, not NBC.

        1. Gosh. Thank you for the very respectful educational moment. I suspect you are not aware that Mac and family lived a majority of their lives in various countries outside of the United States so just might have knowledge of what other countries do and don’t do.

  4. Thanks, TK.

    No thanks to any frozen driving early Wednesday morning — I have work downtown at 9.
    (I know…it’s too early!). 🙂

    1. I’d put it in the back of your mind that you may have to deal with a little bit of dicey conditions and then we will see what happens. It could very well turn not to be not much of a deal at all.

  5. This shows the current conditions at the Mt Washington Observatory:
    https://xmountwashington.appspot.com/csc.html

    I have a question about this row on the right:

    24-Hour Data
    Precip Snow High Low Gust
    0.65 in 6.6 in 5.7° F -6.1° F 52

    It often seems to be the case that the Snow:Precip ratio is about 10:1. Why is it not higher with such low temperatures?

  6. Boston vs. Worcester 2021-22 snow race:

    BOS (to date): 51.9”
    ORH (to date): 47.1”

    BOS (2/25/22) = 8.5”
    ORH (2/25/22) = 8.2”

    Btw, Boston is currently tied with 51.9” for the entire season of 1996-97.

    1. I’m going to go out on a limb and say Boston will beat the total for 1996-1997. 😉 I’m going to crawl out a bit further on the limb and say Worcester will still pass and finish ahead of Boston for the season. 😉 😉

    1. My son in law cleared the driveway and front walk around noon yesterday so we had about an inch cover. It’s all melted now. My car wasn’t cleared so it may not melt in time for me to go out an an hour.

  10. Drove to Gloucester to walk the shore today. It was difficult to count the number of cars with snow on their roof going 60+ MPH. UGH!!

  12. Thanks TK.

    Here is the final list of snow totals from the NWS:

    https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=box&issuedby=BOX&product=PNS

    And a map of the totals:

    https://www.weather.gov/box/weatherstory

    TK, they removed my initial snow report as well and I resubmitted it last night around 9:30 and it ultimately was included. I am not sure why they constantly drop spotter reports from their statements like that. The final report from the late January storm was ridiculous…nearly all the final snow reports from northern CT were dropped and the final list was all cocorahs reports. Whatever system they are using is broken.

    1. I’ll have to start to submit SSutton. Not sure where that reading was taken but assume an area that didn’t rain. We didn’t have more than 6.1

    2. I was thinking about it. It may be that they somehow grabbed the version before for it maybe? I don’t know. No big deal. I was mad at them earlier, but I’m over it. 😉

  13. Looks chilly with a series of three clippers affecting the Northeast this week….first one tomorrow, second one Tuesday and the third one on Thursday.

    The first two are a more NNE deal, which should give a few more well needed inches of snow for the ski areas.

    The third one however on Thursday looks to dive further south and spawn some coastal redevelopment. Most models are giving us a period of accumulating snow from this on Thursday. Bears watching….

  14. Was just out shoveling the back stairs and the bulkhead to the cellar. Walking out there, I thought wow, this snow is deep, so when I finished up, I stuck a ruler in several places. A solid
    8.5 inches for each and every measurement.

    Nice little event. Spectacular? NO, but certainly satisfying.

    I hit the LIKE BUTTON!

  15. Thank you, TK.

    It’s been very mild ALL winter throughout Ukraine. But, some snow has been falling this weekend in the Eastern and Northeastern parts of the country. You’ll see that in a video taken today of an entire convoy of resupply vehicles destroyed by the Ukrainian Air Force. Poor tactical planning by the Russians, coupled with an idiotic move to operate as if it’s 1950 and assault the country with tanks, infantry, and paratroopers WITHOUT first securing total dominance in the air (knocking out all air defense systems), are contributing to very heavy losses. https://twitter.com/AVindman/status/1497619842551230468 

    1. For some reason when you click on the link it doesn’t work. Cutting, pasting and going to a new tab should work.

      1. Yes that worked. The Russians need to be stopped.
        Looks like the only thing stopping us from helping
        is the threat of nuclear war. We should at the very least
        be sneaking all sorts of arms and ammunition to Ukraine to lend a hand.

        And it APPALLS me that the orange trumptard supports
        putin! Horrifying!!!!

      1. It’s odd that the link above worked for me.

        I am trying to stay away from the ukraine, but if there is any light in this horror …and it is horror….it seems with a very few exceptions, the world and its people are United.

  17. Medium range: Milder interlude begins later next week and next weekend before we start to trend the other way. Basically 1-5 cold, 6-10 mild, 11-15 colder. These transitions will keep the pattern somewhat active. I like kind of clipper-type tracks next week, tracks from southwest to northeast the week after. Where will we land with each passing system? Well, you know the answer. We don’t know yet. But there are future puzzles to solve. This is very typical of February / March and should come as no surprise. 🙂

  18. TK – Can you connect me with a website that lists the total seasonal snowfalls over the years for Worcester? I already have a list for Boston going back to 1890-91 winter season.

    If you can at least show me where I can get started, I’d really appreciate it. Thanks.

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