Thursday March 24 2022 Forecast (7:36AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 24-28)

Low pressure out in the Great Lakes has occluded and its frontal system swings out and around to the Northeast, with us on the cool side of a frontal boundary, which is where we will stay as the low redevelops at its frontal triple-point and that low travels northeastward just east of Cape Cod tonight and early Friday. Most of the sleet and any pockets of freezing rain are pretty much done with over interior locations and from here its just rain, in two main surges, one this morning and another one this evening and tonight to early Friday morning. Some thunderstorms may even take place from very late this afternoon into tonight over RI and eastern MA as the atmosphere will be rather unstable. Once the newly developed low moves beyond our latitude Friday morning our wind will switch to westerly and we’ll dry out, and also warm up as the air mass behind this system is not cold at all initially. It will not be until we have upper level low pressure cross the Northeast over the weekend and a trough and a front go by, with some unsettled weather, that we will see colder air finally work in, and once it does, you’ll feel it. Monday will remind you of winter with its gusty breeze and below normal temperatures, creating wind chills in the vicinity of freezing despite bright late March sunshine.

TODAY: Overcast with areas of fog. Periods of rain, steadiest this morning, returning to RI and eastern MA late-day including the chance of thunder. Highs 45-52. Wind E 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-30 MPH in coastal areas.

TONIGHT: Overcast with areas of fog. Rain likely with a chance of thunder, especially RI and eastern MA. Lows 38-45. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy start with lingering rain and patchy fog, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 55-62. Wind NW-W 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a passing rain shower. Highs 50-57. Wind W 5-15 MPH

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain and snow showers evening. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 29 – APRIL 2)

Dry with below normal temperatures March 29. Back into a batttle zone between cold to the north and warmth to the south with unsettled weather in the March 30 to April 1 time frame. Fair weather may return late period, but low confidence.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 3-7)

A very low confidence forecast here. Likely some up and down in the temperature, but leaning toward cooler overall with additional unsettled weather. Medium range guidance is conflicted and we know it will still be cold in Canada and warm in the southeastern US, so likely some sort of battle goes on.

20 thoughts on “Thursday March 24 2022 Forecast (7:36AM)”

  11. This is THE most perilous period in my lifetime, in terms of global (in)stability and the threat of large-scale war. I say that without being hyperbolic. Today’s global developments made me forget about the dismal weather outside today:

    1. North Korea launched a test ICBM (its Hwasong-15; first launched in 2017), which reached an altitude height of 6,000 kilometers and traveled 1,100 km. This is by far the biggest missile test North Korea has ever conducted. NK has the capacity to attach a nuclear warhead, and could theoretically strike the U.S. with an ICBM. Kim Jong Un is anything but predictable.

    2. The war in Ukraine drags on, with enormous losses on both sides, but ominously the threat of biological, chemical, and possible nuclear weapons very much on the table. Putin is anything but predictable.

  12. Number of days with 70 or warmer at Boston…
    March 2021: 3*
    March 2022 (so far): 0

    *March 26 & 31 high temps were recorded at 70 but may have actually been in the upper 60s due to incorrect temp reading due to bad calibration on thermometer. But as the official record goes, it’s 3 days 70+.

    We will not see 70+ at Boston for the remainder of March.

      1. Yes, sometimes. I think we may struggle early in the month as it looks like the cool wins out, but a renegade warm day here and there.

        Still a lot of uncertainty in the medium to long range right now.

      2. The company Mac and I worked for had its yearly international conference at the Copley Plaza every mid April. Back then everyone packed for cold weather. Since clients attended from many different areas of the world, we also recommended they dress for cool weather. I only recall one year that winter dress was quite uncomfortable. Could have been 1978 but that is a guess

        1. Mid April 1976 and 1978 were warm, as I recall. I think the Boston Marathon in 1976 (could have been `77) was a 90F day. Mid April 2014 was warm, too, a fairly long stretch of summer-like warmth at times, with sea breezes in the afternoon.

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