Thursday March 31 2022 Forecast (7:22AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 31 – APRIL 4)

As we end March and begin April, we’ll be impacted by low pressure moving east northeastward and passing north of our region. First, its warm front is moving through early this morning and has produced some spotty light rain/sleet over portions of southern NH which is now moving out. During today we’ll see warmer air moving into the region from south to north, although the South Coast will experience its ocean-modified cooler temperatures with a southerly breeze. There will be lots of clouds but only a few isolated rain showers, with most of the region rain-free during the day. This evening, however, as a cold front starts to approach from the west, we’ll see an increase in rain shower activity, and during a few hours of later evening to early overnight there may be some downpours around and even some embedded thunderstorms. This makes an early Friday morning exit leaving Friday as a fairly mild and mostly rain-free day with a sun/cloud mix, but a chance of a rain shower during the afternoon as a secondary cold front approaches. It is behind this front that we will see legitimate drying and cooling with an increase in wind for Friday night through Saturday. Sunday’s weather has been a bit of a thorn bush to navigate in figuring it out. Low pressure or high pressure in control? That is the question. Well, it does look like we’ll have a fairly weak and moisture-starved low pressure area moving into the region from the west, but right now I’m leaning toward this being more of a cloud producer than a precipitation event, although there may be some spotty light rainfall around at times, favoring the second half of the day and the nighttime hours. This system will likely redevelop offshore, but with the fairly weak and quick-moving nature of the system, any redevelopment would most likely bring brief steadier rain to the South Coast before exiting and leaving us with a sun/cloud mix between departing low pressure and approaching high pressure on Monday. There will still be some fine-tuning needed for Sunday-Monday…

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Isolated rain showers. Highs 56-63, except cooler South Coast. Wind S 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy with rain showers likely including a few downpours and possible thunder, mainly late evening to overnight, diminishing toward dawn. Lows 48-55. Wind S 10-20 MPH, gusting frequently 25-35 MPH and occasionally above 35 MPH, shifting to W overnight.

FRIDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Rain showers possible favoring eastern areas around dawn. Passing rain showers possible in the afternoon. Highs 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH, gusty.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sun giving way to clouds. Spotty light rain possible afternoon. Highs 51-58. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain, favoring the South Coast. Lows 40-47. Wind variable to N 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloud/sun mix. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 5-9)

Unsettled weather potential is highest in the April 6-8 period based on current timing and expected pattern, which will feature variable temperatures in a battle zone between southeastern US warmth and Canadian cold.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 10-14)

Overall pattern similar, typical springtime battle zone. Unsettled weather seems likely at some point, favoring mid period.

48 thoughts on “Thursday March 31 2022 Forecast (7:22AM)”

  12. Winds have picked up here in the last hour or so.

    Commenting on Fahrenheit and Celcius from Tuesday, as a crazy, morning DJ on the campus radio
    station, I used to give the temperature in Kelvin, troublemaker that I am.

    I have heard WBZ met freelancer Josh Nichols give the forecast on Marshfield’s WATD during afternoon drive. ATD uses Rob Gilman’s Precision Weather service. Josh is a native of Easton and graduate of Oliver Ames High School.

    The SPC outlook:
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

  13. Re: Ground to cloud lightning video.
    It’s important to note that that video is run at either 1/4 or 1/8 speed. The actual strike takes less time than what you see there. This type of lightning is most common underneath high-based storms or underneath storm anvils with hills or large man-made structures such as skyscrapers or radio towers.

    1. Does anyone know where that was? Based on the call letters of the TV stations it was shared with (K), west of the Mississippi?

  15. CF, I can’t stop laughing at you announcing the temperature in Kelvin on the radio.

    “It’s 288 degrees right now. Winds are picking up. Rain showers should arrive by late afternoon. Looking ahead, by Saturday daytime temps should be normal for this time of year, around 283 degrees. And in sports …”

      1. Crazy, wonderful times on 91 Rock, Nashville’s Rock Alternative. I recently found some of my old aircheck tapes on cassettes. Great stuff!

  17. And just like that, the wind is back. I have to add that I love wind. I’m simply amazed as how much it is in play throughout the year.

  18. Unusual, but not unheard of, the Northern provinces of the Netherlands are getting a real snowstorm. The picture (see link below) was taken several hours ago, just before dusk there. Snow is accumulating on all roads, including highways. I lived in Holland for 15 years. Not once did I see snow accumulate on highways after March 15th. Apparently there’s more snow on the way for Northern sections of the country, along with moderate frost. Keep in mind, Holland had almost no signs of winter until now. It has, however, arrived. Maybe next month the canals will freeze over. https://cdn.nos.nl/image/2022/03/31/847288/1536x864a.jpg

  19. My Weekend Outlook is up.

    As far as the GFS warmup – I’ll believe it when it happens. All I ask at this point is that April 15 is a dry and mild afternoon (ditto for April 18).

      1. Well, I’ve had tickets for Patriots Day every year since 1987. As for the home opener, since I’m off that day, I decided to buy tickets before the prices went through the roof.

        1. I remember you had said you did Patriots Day going back to the late 80s. That’s awesome. Hope they are both good days and both good wins!

      1. Having things checked tomorrow. Pretty certain this was straight up migraine related. It coincided exactly with where Serene Branson had hers in relation to her other symptoms that night.

        Doing much better now – just a little lingering headache (which they can go up to 36 hours on the more serious ones).

    1. I heard from a friend on the cape that the wind finally reached your way. I planned to sit out and listen but everything is wet 🙁

  22. There will be some impressive pictures tomorrow from the Netherlands. It’s been snowing all night in parts of the country. Over 6 inches in some places. It’s in the 20s in the interior right now, and around 32 along the coast. Most of the nation will be covered with snow, including all the highways.

  24. Torrential rain, wind, thunder and lightning here in Coventry a few minutes ago. Next line is moving in shortly. Fortunately it no longer looks to be severe. Danbury was under a severe thunderstorm warning earlier.

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