Monday May 30 2022 Forecast (8:10AM)

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Memorial Day 2022 … Remembering all who paid the ultimate sacrifice. Never forget them.

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 30 – JUNE 3)

Many Memorial Day parades and services will take place across the area this morning – some of them in their full form for the first time since 2019. The weather could not be better as we’ll have sunshine, mild to warm air, and fairly low humidity, as well as not too much wind, just a gentle breeze. For people in uniform and some spectators, it may be a bit warm in the sun, especially by late morning, so hydration and as much shade as possible will benefit. We won’t be in a situation with high heat and humidity that would accelerate those potential problems, at least. Today’s weather will be governed by high pressure which is centered to our south, and high pressure aloft overhead, which ensures the fair and dry, warm conditions. There will be some high cloud patches from time to time coming down in a northwesterly air flow aloft due to the ridge axis sitting just to our west. It’ll also be a great day for other outdoor activity – walks, cookouts, pool, beaches, although the latter two come with a reminder that any unheated pools and rivers/lakes/ocean are likely to still have water that is quite cold, and that one needs to exercise caution and limit time when going in water. It’s also a big road traffic day for many returning from early-season visits to their favorite places, and while we’ll probably see heavier than normal traffic on the highways especially later today, at least there won’t be any weather-related problems. Tomorrow, we end the month of May anticipating the arrival of a back-door cold front. My best guess on the timing of this feature is that it arrives via the Gulf of Maine making its first impact on the NH Seacoast and Cape Ann MA as early as 8 or 9 a.m., Boston about an hour after that, then across the remainder of the WHW forecast area from northeast to southwest so that by late afternoon, everybody has lost the warm air mass, is in a cool marine air mass, and has at least considerable low cloudiness if not a complete stratus overcast. Areas of fog and drizzle will develop especially by Tuesday evening and night, favoring areas closer to the eastern coastline, but some penetrating inland as well. Wednesday, the first day of June, will remind you more of the middle of April, with temps that may hang in the 50s, an east wind, not too strong but noticeable enough especially if you are near the shore, and in the soup of clouds with patchy fog/drizzle. The frontal boundary just to our south and west will make a feeble attempt to push back this way as a warm front Wednesday night and Thursday, but will likely be thwarted by high pressure too strong to the north and a wave of low pressure moving eastward along the boundary, pulling it back to the south somewhat by Friday. An additional wave of low pressure may cause more showers Friday as well. So we have an unsettled first 3 day s of June coming up, and ironically we may receive very little in the way of any beneficial rain to help with our precipitation deficit and early drought conditions in some areas.

TODAY (MEMORIAL DAY): Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 79-84 coast, 85-90 inland. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 60-67. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy start, then becoming mostly cloudy from northeast to southwest. Chance of drizzle near eastern coastal areas by late in the day. Highs 78-85, but turning much cooler from northeast to southwest starting mid morning / midday. Wind W 5-15 MPH shifting to NE.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog and drizzle, especially near the coast of NH and eastern MA. Lows 51-58. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of drizzle with areas of fog especially near the eastern coast. Highs 55-62, coolest coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Patchy drizzle/fog. Lows 52-59. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 68-75, coolest South Coast. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 55-62. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 63-70, coolest East Coast. Wind NE-N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 4-8)

Optimistic for a push of cool to mild, dry air from Canada for the June 4-5 weekend with fair weather. High pressure builds in during this time then shifts to the southeast with a frontal boundary likely nearby with some unsettled weather chances during the June 6-8 period. During a portion of the DAYS 6-10 period we may see an early season tropical system crossing somewhere near Florida then moving into the Atlantic but the early indications are that system would stay well to the south and move out over open water.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 9-13)

A weak westerly flow should be the dominant pattern and we may find ourselves near a boundary between cool air to the north and warmer and more humid air to the south. This could increase or shot at periodic showers which could help alleviate the dryness we’ve been experiencing. But I’m far from sold on this idea at this point. Either way, I don’t see it being overly cool or overly warm to hot either – just kind of seasonable.

38 thoughts on “Monday May 30 2022 Forecast (8:10AM)”

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.
    Looks like a pretty dramatic bd front.
    Gfs really brings it in with temps in the East only in the 50s most of tomorrow
    and all day June 1st!
    The kind of weather I detest!!!
    Pathetic!!!

  8. Thank you, TK.

    While it will turn cooler, it will not be nearly as cool as it was on June 1st and 2nd of 2015. I believe that both days did not get out of the 40s in Boston. As I recall, it got to 49F both days, which broke records on both days, I think.

    2. As much as I like snow, I hope that NEVER happens on Memorial Day around here. Even out there is somewhat beyond belief.

  10. Thanks TK.

    It’s another beautiful morning here in Bar Harbor, sunny and in the upper 60s.

    Did a spectacular loop hike over Dorr Mountain and the north ridge of Cadillac yesterday. Visibility was great and there was a nice breeze in the exposed areas up high to stay cool. A couple shots:

    https://i.postimg.cc/k4Qp0xXw/7-E183-E41-B0-CD-4064-BC40-F41-F5924387-D.jpg

    https://i.postimg.cc/FzKVTcfY/55-BDE8-D9-C25-E-4-EE5-B763-D759-F5485-E4-A.jpg

    https://i.postimg.cc/Hn7VWsRS/46-CB9-EBA-D677-468-C-AB6-C-14-A10-F07-F01-C.jpg

    Unfortunately we need to leave shortly. Back to reality!

  11. Thanks TK.

    Today is the “actual” Memorial Day! (5/30) 🙂

    Wouldn’t it be funny if this July 4 ends up cloudy, cool, damp? 😉

    If I recall correctly, that was the case on 7/4/1978.

    2. I don’t recall 78 but do recall 83 which was VERY hot.

      Also the month of June was cold and drizzly and damp in both 1982 and 2011.

      1. As I mentioned above, 7/4/78 was rainy, chilly and miserable. The Esplanade concert went without a hitch with Arthur Fiedler conducting but iirc the fireworks fizzled.

        As for 1983 that was the HOT summer with 30 days of 90s. AWFUL just thinking about it.

        1. They actually did the fireworks on 7-4-1978. The rain fell mostly during the day and it was just cloudy and cool at night, still damp, but not raining. We spent most of that day in the 50s around the Boston area. It was a one-day thing though. It was 80+ both July 3 & 5.

          I loved the summer of 1983. One of my all time favorite summers. 🙂 It was AWESOME!

    1. Thanks JJ. My oldest and a friend were attending a horse show out that way as grooms for their trainer. Fortunately, they were not in the path.

  14. TK – Are dewpoints going to briefly spike up tonight into tomorrow morning just ahead of the backdoor front?

    1. It won’t, but the remains will, and their future is part of the system I mentioned for the 6-10 day period to our south.

  18. 90 on the car thermometer crawling down 95 in Hampton NH. Getting some weird looks from people as I pass them with skis on the roof rack….

  19. Temps 66-77 Cape Cod & South Coast (coolest Nantucket at sub-70, everyone else in the 70-77 range. Elsewhere, 78-88.

    Not a hot day, but quite warm when you take into account everybody is below 90 and the dew points are modest – middle to upper 50s. The one exception where the dew points are in the lower 60s is where the temps are the coolest.

    1. Warm in the city – mid 80s – but didn’t feel hot.

      Nevertheless, did become dehydrated on my long run. The sun is exceptionally strong these days. It’s dry. I should have brought some water with me. I’m fine now. Just chilling with a large bottle of cold water next to me.

      1. Yes, doesn’t have to be 90+ to feel hot and dehydrate you. Hence my earlier cautions.

  20. Does anyone know which direction is best to view the Tau Herculid meteor shower tonight. One article I read said north. Another said west.

    Peak is 12:45-1:30 or maybe 1:15 am

  21. Tweet below is of graves in Normandy, France, of American soldiers who died liberating France from Nazi terror. I went to Normandy in May 2006. Idyllic spring weather. My children and I visited the beaches where many Americans and British (and Germans) died. The French have not forgotten American sacrifices. Sure, there’s some anti-American sentiment in France. But a lot of it is envy, if you will. The French have seen their power diminish over time, while the U.S. has risen to dominance in virtually all sectors of the economy and culture. Nevertheless, the French I’ve met – and I’ve met and spoken with many during my visits there – have tremendous respect for America. One could call it a love-hate relationship, where the love outweighs the hate. https://twitter.com/DannyDeraney/status/1531324566307450880

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