DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 16-20)
Our first little bout with “winter weather” has occurred with some snow at the start of our rainstorm last night. But with warm ground and brief duration this has not caused any real issues, even with up to nearly 2 inches falling in some of the higher elevations of interior portions of the WHW forecast area. Any remaining slushy snow on the ground from that will disappear today as we see the rain taper off and end, but the clouds hang on. Eventually the air will start to dry out as a northeasterly wind shifts to northwest. After this, the weather through the weekend will feature mostly dry conditions, a gusty breeze at times, and below normal temperatures. The only additional precipitation chances we have are a potential passing brief shower of rain or snow on Thursday as an upper disturbance passes, and a passing snow flurry possibility Sunday as a reinforcing cold front moves through.
TODAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog morning. Rain ending southwest to northeast by midday. Highs 41-48. Wind NE 5-15 MPH inland and 15-25 MPH coast, higher gusts especially Cape Cod and Islands shifting to NW during the afternoon.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 34-41. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, a few higher gusts.
THURSDAY: Sun/cloud mix. A passing rain or snow shower possible – snow showers most likely interior locations / higher elevations. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Maybe a passing snow flurry. Highs 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 21-25)
Thanksgiving Week starts dry with below normal temperatures, followed by a temperature moderation and eventually some unsettled weather toward Thanksgiving afternoon or “Black Friday” – timing as well as details of that potential unsettled weather system can’t quite be determined yet.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 26-30)
The final 5 days of November should feature near to below normal temperatures in general with some variability. While there is continued (but not unexpected) inconsistency in medium range guidance for these days, the idea I have right now is a few showers of one kind of precipitation or another at the very start of the period with the departure of the system I’m watching for just after Thanksgiving, and then around mid period the chance of additional precipitation (probably rain but too soon to say for sure) around the middle of the period.