Thursday November 24 2022 Forecast (8:18AM)

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 24-28)

High pressure in eastern Canada provides our region with nice weather and seasonably cool air for Thanksgiving today, which I hope is a happy one for all! We have a couple of systems to track that will bring us periods of unsettled weather heading through the holiday weekend and into Monday. The first system is pretty straightfoward – a disturbance moving quickly west to east in the northern jet stream of a split flow pattern. This system will encounter mild air in place here, bringing a period of rain showers sometime during the day on Friday, but only for a limited time, leaving many rain-free hours during daylight. It exits by evening with a quick shot of cooler air and gusty wind at night into early Saturday, but the wind will relax and the air will already have moderated coming along into our region so Saturday ends up being quite a nice day with dry weather and air that is on the mild side of seasonable, as an area of high pressure slides to our south. The second disturbance is actually made up of 2 pieces of energy. The first one will be a closed low embedded in the southern jet stream over Texas that begins to eject east northeastward, opening up and weakening. This will send clouds our way during Sunday but the rain area with it may be on the wane, and timed late enough so that we sneak most of Sunday in rain-free, with just a period of wet weather in the evening. But there is a second piece of energy coming along right behind this that I think the guidance has been struggling with. This is the one that I think will keep the clouds and rain chance in place for at least a portion of Monday, favoring the morning hours, before we finally see improvement after that. Still monitoring this and will fine-tune it going forward…

TODAY (THANKSGIVING): Patchy low clouds portions of Cape Ann MA, the MA South Shore, and Cape Cod early to mid morning, otherwise sunny this morning and sun becoming filtered by high clouds during the afternoon. Highs 41-48. Wind NE up to 10 MPH becoming variable.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind S under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Early day partial sun. Midday clouds and rain showers west to east. Later day breaking clouds. Highs 46-53. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 34-41. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 49-56. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sunshine followed by increasing clouds. Chance of rain late-day. Highs 50-57. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain evening. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain morning-midday Highs 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, shifting to W with higher gusts later in the day.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 29 – DECEMBER 3)

The upper pattern is expected to feature a ridge of high pressure over the southeastern US while much colder air sits just to the north in Canada. Initially expect dry and mild weather for the last couple days of November, a disturbance coming through to start December with rain showers in the last of the mild air, then a drier and colder shot for the balance of this period, based on current expected timing.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 4-8)

General pattern is mild and not too stormy, but some unsettled weather may occur between the mild air associated with high pressure in the US Southeast and much colder air moving across Canada. We should be on the milder side of that pattern for most of this period, but have to watch for quick cold shots.

26 thoughts on “Thursday November 24 2022 Forecast (8:18AM)”

  1. Happy thanksgiving everyone, have a wonderful day today , I call today gratitude day !! If allowed I put in my snowfall guess for Boston only , if that’s not allowed just guessing one , Tk you can delete .

    1. You can just guess 1 if you want. Just takes you out of the running for the other 3 which you are ok with, otherwise you’d not have asked. 🙂 Happy Thanksgiving!

  2. Thank you, TK. Happy Thanksgiving to this wonderful WHW family. I’m grateful for this blog thanks to TK and to everyone who takes time to post. May you and your families have a peace filled day.

  3. Thank you TK!
    Let’s take a minute today to give thanks and reflect on the ability to share this day with the ones whom we are most grateful for, then enjoy the feast. HAPPY THANKSGIVING WHW!

  4. Happy Thanksgiving to you all.
    One of my rare posts is required because we are in Texas (Missouri City to be exact) visiting my daughter and family (including my ex-wife…yippee!).
    It has rained every day except yesterday since we arrived last Friday. Today, heavy showers later and 4-6 inches tomorrow. Got that info from the late news Met who shamelessly cited only the Euro as his reasoning. Is the Euro king again, or just in Texas? At any rate, this is the energy TK referred to in today’s summary and I’m sending it your way.
    Unfortunately, it will delay our departure until Saturday. The good news is my daughter will be forced to feed me more great bbq.
    Be well, all!!!

  5. Happy Thanksgiving to all!

    Looks like cutterville in the short term.

    With a southerly flow could reach 60F on Wednesday or Thursday (December 1st).

    1. Very tragic. This actually happened on Sunday which was a cold and brisk day, even in SNE. I cannot imagine how harsh the conditions must have been up there up.

  6. Thanks TK and Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

    There are a few patches of a snow on the ground in shaded areas here in Amsterdam NY but mostly bare ground. Beautiful day otherwise with sunshine and temps in t here 40s. Went for a short hike with the dogs this morning.

    Not liking the looks of the forecast tomorrow. We were considering going to Stratton for opening day. Might have to make the call first thing in the am as it is looking a bit wet.

  7. I managed to get it done sooner – new weather post…

    Had quite the quick turn of events health-wise over here.

    Summary…
    Early this week I worked very hard outside clearing the leaves and mowing the lawn for the final time to have everything ready for the yard waste collection the day before Thanksgiving. Wore a mask while working but that is still of limited help and I am allergic to leaf mold & dust which both were definitely kicked up during this process. So for those couple evenings I attributed feeling lousy (allergy symptoms) to that – and was probably generally correct. As I always do in my abundant caution because of my mom and my own health, I covid tested and it was negative.

    Shortly after that I had symptoms that were a bit more like the common cold and I started to think this isn’t quite from the leaves, so I tested again and came up negative. Yesterday despite some lingering sinus issues and a minor cough I was feeling somewhat better so I went about my holiday business.

    Shortly after we returned from dinner at my brother’s my son started to feel lousy and within a few hours spiked a fever (about the time I was taking a little nap). I woke up from that with chills and what was a more “painful” cough, so we both tested again – and we are both positive for Covid 19. Hey, it only took 2 years and 8 months to finally get to me.

    I have advised everybody I was in the vicinity of yesterday to test and monitor for the next week. With a little luck this stops right here with the two of us.

    This forces a big re-plan of our Christmas decorating project, obviously, since a lot of it is done in my mom’s house. It also kills a concert we had tickets for (I can re-sell those and go next year, it’s just TSO and they come every year), and sadly my son won’t be able to sing with his choral group in our town’s tree lighting ceremony tomorrow. That part is the biggest bummer for me I think.

    We both have symptoms. His are body ache, chills, fever.
    Mine are sinuses that are an absolute mess, minor body ache, spiked a 101.5 fever last night, headache. It’s not pleasant, but I can’t say this is the worst I’ve felt either. My bout with influenza in 2001 makes this look like a minor cold.

    Anyway, we’re doing what we have to do, and all systems will be go again as soon as we both test negative. Just gotta get from here to there… 🙂

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