Mid Weekend Update / First Tropical Storm Forms

82 Comments

4:50PM

The first tropical storm of the season, Alberto, has formed off the South Carolina coast, about 2 weeks before the official start of Hurricane season.. Alberto will meander off the coast of South Carolina before moving northeastward away from the US East Coast during the next few days.

Closer to home…

Approaching the half way point of what is a great weather weekend, there are no major changes to the discussion posted on the previous blog, so what follows is just an updated forecast with a few minor tweaks. A look at next weekend will take place with tomorrow’s blog update.

Eastern MA, RI, southern NH forecast…

TONIGHT: Clear. Low ranging from the lower 40s inland valleys to lower 50s at the shore and in urban centers. Wind light variable.

SUNDAY: Sunshine, becoming filtered at times by high cloudiness, especially south of the Mass Pike. High 65-70 coast, 70-75 inland except 75-80 inland areas of southern NH and north central MA. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Low upper 40s to middle 50s. Wind SE under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Increasing clouds south to north. Showers developing mainly south of the Mass Pike during the afternoon may reach areas north of the Pike by the very end of the day. High 60-65 coast, 65-70 inland. Wind SE-E 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Low 55. High 68.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Low 54. High 66.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Low 54. High 65.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Low 52. High 71.

82 thoughts on “Mid Weekend Update / First Tropical Storm Forms”

  1. TK, are the middle of the week showers “post” Alberto? On a close tangent, i noticed you did not put any significant wind into your forecast.

    1. Not to speak for TK, but any “winds” from Alberto should remain well offshore assuming track holds. However, according to NWS good rains from Alberto could get to parts of the Cape, especially Nantucket.

  3. Keep those showers away for Monday TK for the outdoor commencement I will be attending! After that, it can rain all it wants. I have a dental appointment on Tuesday, lol. 🙂

    On Barry’s evening blog, he already has damp maritime air for next Sunday into Memorial Day due to a back door cold front. Might have known. As I mentioned earlier, spring really stinks around here in NE. 🙁

    1. This is a perfect spring weekend. Last weekend was also. And up until late april we didn’t see a rain drop.

      1. The issue for some of us is no consistency. I’m done with cool, damp and dreary till fall.

  4. Already a system to track in the tropics and it is not even hurricane season. Thanfully the center of Alberto will remain over the fish. I don’t think having a tropical system this early means its going to be an active season although it only takes one landfall of a hurricane to make it bad season. Andrew in 92 is proof of that.

  5. The EURO is starting to adjust to the negative NAO projections and with each successive run, the Memorial Day Weekend warmth is more and more suppressed.

    1. My bet is by middle of the week, memorial day is forecast in the 60’s. The NAO shows fairly negative. We can’t get that warm. And yes, just another reason I hate new England. No consistency this time of year, at least for me.

      1. The reason you dislike New England is the same reason I love it. We are in a location where naturally there is not a lot of consistency, by the way of the structure of the planet and its atmosphere. It makes it a challenge to forecast and fascinating to study. 🙂

        1. I feel EXACTLY the same way. It’s why I could never pick a temp I’d want every day. I want them all. Consistency is so over-rated 🙂

        2. You guys can have it 🙂
          It’s interesting. All you guys on here that are weather enthusiast like it. But, I’d say 90% of the people I know and run into on a regular and not so regular basis hate the weather. People’s lifestyle now really prefer nicer, more consistent weather. I’d say at least half the people I know are looking to move. Whether they can or not is the question but the desire is there.

          1. Brad it’s because a large majority of the people lately seem to need to have something to complain about and I don’t think it has anything to do with weather. I know a ton who hate the cold and can’t wait until summer and then when summer arrives it’s too hot. And spring is too rainy and fall is absolutely freezing. 🙂

            1. I should add that it’s not just New England. We were at a 95th birthday party Friday night. Kids and grandkids came from literally every corner of the country. Tuscon is too hot. Seattle is too rainy. LA is too smoggy. NYC is just too. Atlanta is miserably hot. FL is even worse. TX just needs to be separated from the country. 😯

              1. I wonder if anybody that lives in San Diego gets bored with the same weather every day… If so, they probably ARE weather enthusiasts. The entire thing is a great study in psychology and its relation to weather. 🙂

                1. That was one place not covered. And I’m not sure it’s really about not liking the weather as much as weather is a great conversation starter or filler – since everyone has it.

                2. I forgot the young couple who just moved back to Phoenix from Alaska far prefers Alaska weather !!

                3. I think I fall into the trap of letting the solar season affect my expectation of the weather. By April, when the days have lengthened, I’m ready for warmth, and by late October, early November, when it’s dark by 5pm, I’m looking for the first snow…and of course, the sustained warmth and cold of summer and winter don’t usually arrive in New England until just after the respective solstices.

  6. TK – quick blog question. I use the free blogger but my son in law wants to start a blog with its own name – like yours. Do you mind if I ask if you pay monthly for this blog and if it’s expensive?

  7. Mt Washington is 50F already and look at Blue Hill and Worcester’s temps….70F in Worcester already. Warm airmass above us.

    Doesn’t look as healthy on satellite compared to yesterday, but the radar loop still shows a circulation and plenty of showers and storms with the feature off of the southeast coastline.

  8. Mt Washington at 54.9F, warmer than yesterday. Similarly, even with light seabreezes, Logan and Marshfield are already 2F warmer than yesterday’s high temps……

  10. Since I can’t reply under the last thread:)

    Nobody will ever ever ever hear me complain it’s too hot!! And yes, I know several who live in San Diego and I’ve never heard a peep about the weather in terms of complaints. It’s basically perfect weather. Not too hot, not too cold, very consistent. My ideal place is Atlanta. I’d move today of I had a job there in my field. Winter from mid December to mid feb, spring till late match, then 6 months plus of summer. My wife lived there for 5 years and would move back in a heartbeat. And she’s a native new englander but hates it. With the exception of charlie, (lol) I have never really known a native that lived elsewhere ever really want to come back unless they had too for some reason. Honestly, if I’d have known 20 years ago what I know now, I’d have never stayed and put down any kind of roots. I dunno, I go thru phases. In the last couple years, I just want to move very badly. I just don’t like living here any more and feel trapped with no way out.

    1. I hope you end up where you are happiest, either way. 🙂

      But if you move, don’t stop posting! I like reading your thoughts here.

      1. Thanks. But I’m not going anywhere unfortunately. Can’t find anything that pays me what I make here. And there’s no pharma in Georgia :(. So I’m stuck till retirement.

        1. Sister in law lives in Atlanta. I think for 8ish years. She’s a delta flight attendant so has lived all over us and Europe. Was with pan am originally.

    1. Maybe we’ll head out for a few local chases this summer!

      I can’t wait to plan a trip to the Plains again when I can afford one. 🙂

  12. I am a native New Englander and would never leave. I love the climate here mainly because I hate the heat and that even during the hottest summers, I know that cooler air will come eventually unlike many areas of the south which never really cool down until well into October. The only issue I have with NE is that spring is the most frustrating season here. It just can’t seem to make up its mind in terms of temps and by the time Memorial Day comes and goes, the warm temps are finally established what they should have been in the first place back in April and May.

    I would say that spring is the most “inconsistent” season and fall the most “consistent” season here in NE. 🙂

  13. I also read a few days ago that there are a streamline of people from places like buffalo,Detroit,Cleveland,Pittsburgh and even Chicago that are moving here bc of computer jobs and start up comp in the seaport district, I believe the seaport district is the fast’s growing 9 blocks in the country or close to it, rain tommorrow , around a quarter to half inch 🙂

      1. Seaport hotel, bark and crab, convention center, that whole area down there is seaport district. I really don’t know why companies want to go down there. The rent is attociously high the the parking is to.

        1. got – it. I know the metrowest area had a huge surge in business but don’t know if that has leveled off.

    2. I’m really tired of rain at this point. But if it has too, Monday, Tuesday is better than fri-sun. At least the humidity is coming up. I can’t wait until we get some mid 80’s and some 70+ dew points. Kinda like you snow people like a big nor Easter to get ginned up, I’m ready for a week to 10 days of HHH.

      1. Where are you at Brad? We’ve barely had any rain here all spring. I thought even those areas that got rain did so in a one to one and a half day timeframe.

      2. I did some quick checking. Note all days I’m counting as rainy had greater than or equal to 0.1

        March avg high was 55.2 – average overall temp (high/low) was 46.4. Total rain was 1.21 and the majority was in a 2 day period.

        April avg high was 62.3 – average overall temp was 53.1. Total rain 3.09 which fell for most part over 4 days.

        May MTD avg high is 63.3 – average overall temp 56.9. Total rain 2.66 which fell for most part over 5 day period.

        I know these figures are for Boston and I understand totals are higher depending on area but generally rain is rain and the days you can’t play outside are just about the same if not the same across the area

        1. I just done with it. I don’t care much for rain either to tell the truth. I know you need it, but n all honesty, if you could get moisture another way, I’d prefer clear and 80 365. I guess being where in from I can’t get worked up over being a few inches below normal. Especially knowing this IS new England and it WILL even out at some point. My view is summer is so short and fleeting here that for any stretch of anything other than sunny and warm June thru August is less than desirable for me.

          1. I can’t relate to weather deciding if the day is a good one or bad one so im afraid I’m no help. Sorry. I tried. 🙁

            1. When your prone to clinical depression like I am, gray rainy days make it very difficult to get out of bed and function without pharmaceutical help. Sometimes by February, I get close to having to go to the hospital. This winter was the first in many I was able to function without meds. I keep a year round tanning pass just so I can get some UV light and heat.

              1. Ah ha. I see where you are coming from. I’ll just keep trying to make you smile then. Now out in the yard with you says grandma Vicki.

                2. You have a pool and I don’t and I’m happy. Something is very wrong with the picture. Just so you know I’m even happier (contagious) in person. Although I travel with a crowd (family).

                  Just sayin ‘

  14. My neighbor just brought over some striper he caught this morning. Nothing like having fish for dinner that was swimming in the ocean this morning 🙂

    He was saying that they are seeing fish literally just outside the harbor area that are typically 100 or more miles out this time of year. He told us the old time fishermen are just shaking their heads in amazement – never seen anything like it

  16. Peaking at some of these obs…once you get about 50 miles inland from the ocean, everyone was 85 – 90F today, even including most of southeast Canada, all of NY State, westward into much of the Great Lakes.

  17. Hey guys! I’m in the van right now, trying to position for the eclipse tonight, targeting around Clovis, NM. Looks good for storms starting around Tuesday. We have a live video stream, here’s the link:

    http://cloud9tours.com/chasecam/index.html

    I will be trying to blog as wifi allows (last night’s hotel had worse than dial-up speed, lol). And then try to repost in here. Hope you’re all doing well!

  18. Vicki,

    Clinical depression is not rational, it just is. You can have everything in the world and it still won’t matter when you really get into that fog. Nothing can “talk” you out of it. It’s hard to explain. Different things trigger it for different people. Mine is cold, damp, wet, dreary. Or even the notion that it’s coming sends me down. Being around perpetually happy people also gets me too. I don’t get how people can be happy all the time. For me it’s not normal. I wish I could but I can’t. See, even today Im not that “up” cause I know cooler and rain is coming. That’s why I do much better with more consistent weather. Like I said before, I’d I knew 20 years ago what know now, I’d have never moved up here, or invested time and money trying to live here. Now intake the best of it and try to get by.

    1. I wish you the best. I won’t try to cheer you since nearly everything makes me happy. Even when I’m down I try not to let if affect others. I will keep you in my thoughts and prayers if that’s ok.

  19. Thanks Vicki. Don’t get me wrong. I’m not perpetually depressed. Most people with it aren’t. It’s just things trigger it. Actually, the last few weeks and even now has been ok. In the summer and even fall I’ve learned to cope. It’s November that’s a killer. By December, I’m resigned to it and I like the holidays, nfl playoffs, and even an occasional snow I’ve learned to deal with. February, march and April are my months to watch myself that I dont get into a deep hole. It’s also the weeks of gray and wet we invariably get in may and June that puts me in a home too.

    1. I’m really waiting on a thunderstorm! Now THAT always cheers me up. I love listening to it thunder. Reminds me of home.

      1. Brad. I know it’s not easy to explain and please do not feel you Need to. BUT I sincerely appreciate your being candid.

        Soooo. I’m now shifting to hoping for a summer of thunderstorms for you and if not a summer of sun and heat and smiles. And the Tstorms is a bit self serving too. But if it makes us all happy what’s to lose 🙂

        I’m off to cook the striper. Yum. Night all

    2. I do believe April is the toughest bc it can still be coolish while the southern half of country is in the 70’s, I think it’s a jeausly thing

  20. 1 thing I do know is I didn’t realize how much I loved home until I moved away to Texas, I was there for 5 yrs but knew after 6 months that I was gonna come back to Boston, the thing I missed here was just about everything, the 1 thing I miss from there was the 10 lane highways going south and 10 lane highways going north, there side roads were 3 lanes each way, so traffic wasn’t so bad, here our major highways arnt even 10 lanes going 1 way, think about it they pay a guy to zipper open an Hov lane everyday and evening on 93, that’s embarrassing! I only ask they are going to have to widen 93 at some point, in 50 years when an additional 75,000 cars drive it to make it 300,00 vehicles daily drive on a 4 lane highway, it can’t happen, you thought sitting in 3 hrs of traffic every morning in the 90’s was bad, if they don’t do something the 10 hrs per day of traffic of the 90’s will look like a cake walk come 2050 🙂 but someone keeps fighting against it, who I have no idea, it’s terrible

      1. That’s ok. Mass pike is awful too. I have no idea what its going to be like in another 20 years

        1. When we moved to Framingham in 1979 traffic during rush hour on pike was more like what it is now late Sunday morning. Barely anything.

          1. Yeah and who ever could do something will do nothing or they will come up with a proposal that activist groups will fight it, so unless the people compromise and the people in charge get off the keista and start fixing it, that will become detrimental to the whole area, I can see it now 25 or 30 yrs 95 will still be 3 lanes, at that time we will be really outdated 🙂

  21. Sort of weather related since weather controls ocean temps. My mom always said you never eat oysters in a month without an R in name. Now you get them year round. But warning Now is ocean may be too warm and cause bacteria in oysters. So was the reason for the R because of inferior refrigeration or ocean was warmer 20+ years ago

    1. I hear ya. I live in Worcester county so thankfully I don’t deal with it much. Except at work in Cambridge it’s pretty nasty.

  26. With my luck it will be in the 90s on memorial day when i have to march up boston road in billerica. Its a hill.
    models are still split between warm and cool . i think low 80s and upper 70s

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