Cold Ease

192 Comments

2:02AM

It will still be cold through the weekend, but it will ease up from the levels of the last 2 days. A small clipper low pressure system will drop down from Canada via the Great Lakes tonight bringing some light snow to MA and RI. It will be too dry for anything more than flakes in the air in southern NH. There will be some additional moisture passing to the south, but the lack of phasing of the northern energy with the southern energy will prevent a significant snowfall in this area. More cold and dry weather will return for the weekend.

A moderating trend will get underway Monday and last into the middle of next week, but will be rather short-lived, as it looks like cold air will charge back as the month comes to an end. Some unsettled weather will take place during this time, and this may include some variety of precipitation.

Forecast for southern NH, eastern MA, and RI…

TODAY: Increasing cloudiness. Highs 20-25. Wind NW 10-15 MPH gusting 20-25 MPH in the morning, shifting to N and diminishing to 5-10 MPH in the afternoon.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. A period of light snow, especially MA & RI, with accumulations of a dusting to 1 inch, except  locally around 2 inches over Cape Cod and the Islands. Lows 15-20. Wind N 5-10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 25-30. Wind NW 10-15 MPH with higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 10-15. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 25-30. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 16. High 35.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light snow, sleet, and rain. Low 29. High 40.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Low 35. High 50.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Low 30. High 40.

192 thoughts on “Cold Ease”

  1. TK, thanks for update. I’m beginning to wonder whether B-town will ever see another major snowstorm. For the last 2 years, snowstorms have been taking more of a southerly/OTS route. I haven’t looked it up but I suspect some states south of MA have received more snow than MA over the last 2 winters.

    1. Timeframe : Feb 2nd thru the 14th. Amount : One that dumps 20 inches. 🙂 Well, at least thats what I wrote on my 2013 predictions when we did that a few weeks back.

      1. When you kept advertising a MLK storm, I would not have been as hopeful if you’d said coating to an inch 😕

        How’s the truck? Do you take it to work or leave it for your wife to use? And I didn’t see if you answered whether you got the towing package.

        1. Truck is awesome. Yes I take to work, I don’t use for work.my wife is a tad intimidated by the size. She drove it in the parking lot last Saturday but that’s it, so no she is not driving now but when ready she will. Yes it has a tow package. I thought you said plow package and I did answer no for that. The thing is such a comfortable and extreamly smooth ride, think I’ll keep it, LOL. Have a nice weekend Vicki.

          1. I did mean plow – sorry I misspoke ! So glad you are enjoying it!! I bet your son loves riding in it as well.

            I might be intimated by size at this point in my life also. Tell your wife my oldest who is 5’2″ (but claims to be 5’4″) and may have topped 100 lbs when pregnant used to drive a big old diesel truck with a gooseneck trailer full of horses. Scared the heck out of me but didn’t bother her in the least 🙂

  3. Today marks 5 weeks past the winter solstice, in which each individual day now gains 2+ minutes of sunlight.

    In the 5 weeks total, I’d assume most have noticed a change in the evening around 5pm and a smaller change in the morning around 6:45am.

    However, now, the change will be noticeable every 4 to 5 days, both in the morning and the evening. SOLAR winter is about over.

    Happy Friday all !!

    2. Sun coming north 17.70 now more northerly today.

      If it’s not gonna snow, let’s get the sun and warmth back.

  4. Has anyone noticed the actual radar vs. the projected runs of the models. I’m no expert but I couldn’t find anything that showed the snow that Chicago is getting right now. It just seems like the radar is more impressive than the models would have indicated. Thoughts?

      1. Dew points this morning are averaging 0f to -10f in our area. In Ohio this morning where it is snowing, the dew points are running 5f to 20f.

  5. I’m not doubting that a lot of it will dry up once it hits the dry air here, but I am wondering why it never showed up on the models where it’s snowing right now or at least to the degree its snowing where its snowing right now. I personally like clippers because they always seem to have a few surprises up their sleeves. Not expecting much snow, but wouldn”t mind a surprise couple inches, just enough to cover up the grass. I live in Groveland, MA so it would really need to be a surprise for this to happen.

  8. NWS map this morning is finally caught up. It is now showing less than an inch for most except far SE Ma and the cape where it shows 1-2.

  9. Still hanging in at 2.9 degrees above normal at Logan through yesterday. With the next three days still below normal, we may end up being close to average with two extremes this month.

    1. And I wonder – yet again 🙂 – if that is why when we look at the data we see “normal” or “below normal” when in fact the majority of a period cannot be classified as either. It is simply a brief burst of weather in one direction or another that skews the entire average.

    1. Thank you, North. At this point I’d rather they remain higher since it means nice temps in the summer too 🙂

      Jordan Basin and Central Maine Shelf are reporting 45.xx Are they influenced by the gulf stream? Do you know what the typical low is for water temps?

  13. Good morning all. To change things up a bit since Tom was talking the other
    day about the possibility of the wind turning to NE to NNE (now it doesn’t look that way)
    to produce some ocean “enhancement”. I found this great article on Lake/Ocean Effect
    snow. It gets quite technical in places, but yet much of it is readable and very informative. Worth a look in my opinion. Enjoy.

    http://stream2.cma.gov.cn/pub/comet/WinterWeather/oceansnowcase/comet/norlat/snow/lake_effect/1_lo_snow_basic_ingredients.htm

    1. Here’s an excerpt to reference Tom’s Point:

      1.6.8 Lake/Ocean Enhancement: When Synoptic Forcing is Dominant

      A favorable fetch of the low-level wind, produced by a synoptic-scale storm system and in the precipitation-producing portion of the storm, can enhance snow production when it happens to be over a warm body of water, even when lake/ocean effect convective processes do not occur. In this case, additional destabilization occurs as heat and moisture are transported upward into the low-level air in the same way that pure, direct lake/ocean effect processes begin. In such lake/ocean-enhanced snow situations, however, the synoptic uplift is dominant, and the contribution of the lake or ocean is simply to add to the resulting snow amounts.

      1. Thank you OS – yes it is technical in parts but mostly understandable. I am only partway through it at the moment (have bookmarked it for more reading) but the graphics are great and help clarify the technical parts.

  14. It is 9 degrees in Sudbury right now. Thinking back to when we had a heat wave w/90+ degrees in the last few yrs., I think we made choices on which we would prefer – a bitterly cold day or a stifling hot day. Well, I think I chose a cold day because it’s always easier to get warm (if you have the proper clothing, etc.). Today I ask myself the same question – and although the thought of a HHH day right now sounds kind of nice, I still would go for a day like today. I just wish we had some snow coming down along w/the cold – makes it more worthwhile, as I think others have said here!

    1. rainshine great point and perfect time to rethink what we had said back in the summer. Thanks for bringing it up. I absolutely agree. As much as I hate to actually have the heat on in the house during the day, it is comfortable in here and I have tons of energy. Cold air IMHO really is invigorating. And when I go outside I can breathe deeply and not end up coughing on “bad air”

      1. Vicki, same here. Heat on, shades closed (peeking out window and opening shades when sun comes in ) isn’t bad. Air conditioning on, shades closed, windows closed – 🙁 . But – for those w/o heat or air conditioning in weather like this is bad. So I am grateful to have the comforts I have in any season!

        1. I’m 100% an all summer kind of guy. Shorts, t-shirt and flips on. I just don’t like the winters. I enjoy all the other seasons. I like November and December because of the holidays, but that’s it. I just enjoy that warm feeling so much more, everything that comes with it .

          1. I can’t deny that right now I wouldn’t mind some magic to happen and it would be summer right now! 🙂 If I had the $$ I would be on a plane to FL or SCA right now!

            1. My wife and I are taking my son and my mom to Disney the beginning of May. Cant wait. Hope your husband is doing well. My wife has been doing remicade and she said it seems to be working.

              1. I am glad the remicade is working for your wife. Right now my husband is using Baliside Disulfide, max. dose and he is doing ok. We went to Disney in FL back in 1976. It was great – am sure there are lots of changes now. I am guessing you are going to FL not CA. Whichever, sounds like fun!

            1. Thank you! I never heard the song before but I have heard of the group, War, before. Really enjoyed it! 🙂

    2. i like both cold and hot so i would take either one of them. all i will have to do to cool off in the summer is go in my pool or go to the beach. winter= ski slopes if it is cold, sadly there is no snow to come with it.

  15. Good morning thanks tk, it appears the potential snow event tonight is the same (a nonevent), Boston maybe a coating,, maybe,, better shot going south towards cape, I would be shocked absolutely shocked if Boston got an inch, also as I would agree with some of you that some exciting weather for feb is showing just that on models but I think as they get closer there will be lots of rain snow lines dividing the state and will continue this uneven snow totals, Logan ends up with around 20 inches while Worcester will get triple that for the remainder of season, ik tk disagrees with me but I believe winter is on back 9, (I didn’t say it wouldn’t snow again) declination 1730 which is the same as early Nov, hope all is well 🙂

  16. Good Morning Everyone,

    Are you all prepared for the snow tonight? Expect that when you go to bed nothing to much happening but when you get up in the morning will have snow falling. Not alot but a couple of inches. Just like on monday night and tuesday when we thought we were going to get a couple of inches nothing happened the same can happen here. All the models and mets are calling for nothing and in the last minute the models can make a dramatic shift. Enjoy the day!!

  17. Although its hitting 84 hours on the NAM it does show a decent (1-3..2-4) overrunning snow event for Monday night into Tuesday. I’ve also noticed the models backing off a bit on the extent of the warmup next week. I’d be happy with overrunning snow at this point.

    1. Your saying snow possible for this Monday again. What’s it showing for tonight. I am definitely planning on getting called in late tonight/ early am. I am heavily leaning towards one inch for Boston.

  19. Hey Mark…Thanks for the NAO article regarding the 10/29/11 storm on the previous blog…I stand corrected. I could have sworn that the NAO was positive then briefly went slightly negative, but obviously it was the reverse. I still wonder though how we can get a good widespread snowstorm with the upcoming +NAO. I guess we will see. 🙂

  20. Re-post from the previous entry, not sure if everyone saw, advice appreciated! 🙂

    Non weather related but was wondering if anyone knew anything about the proposed South Coast rail? I had never heard of it before but apparently its a project to extend the commuter rail south from Stoughton into fall river and new bedford. Does anyone know if that will actually happen? Only reason I ask is bc the house I put an offer on in easton, the old colonial railway used to run alongside the house and that would be the rail they would use. Def dont want the commuter rail running literally in my backyard.

    1. The last thing I heard was that eventually yes it will happen, they’ve needed more trains and trainstops to acct record high ridership, when well u know that around here there be all sorts of reasons why this must happen and then you will have people trying to fight it, it’ll prolly take our lifetimes for it to happen but maybe that’ll change 🙂

      1. I’m not gonna get on my high horse but NYC has expanded there trains by 20 miles in last 20 yrs and here we wait and see what happens, anyways I’m off it back to weather 🙂

      2. Thanks Charlie. I thought you might know about it. I agree this would be a huge boost to the area. I think they need to update existing transportation before making new ones, but hey, what do i know. My gut feeling is it wont happen in my lifetime, but I would wake up every morning wondering if today is the day ill see them working on the rail getting it ready for the inevitable. Then my property value goes down the drain 🙁

      3. When did the rail to scituate go in? It seems to me that it happened pretty quickly but I only saw it arrive and didn’t see the back room play preceding it. Maybe someone from that area knows how long that took?

        1. We were gonna live in Sharon but whenever we heard the rules on the trains that they dont stop there after 10pm we couldn’t do that bc sometimes my wife gets home late and what an inconvenience, south station is so overpacked and the trains that some have said its hazardous to some bc alot r standing for 30 min’s, alot of the study’s say south station needs 4 min new rails coming out of south station or it will be cat aspheric within 20 yrs, people getting injured on train rides is up 40% bc of the no seats available, anyways thanks again

        2. This lady that is suppose to fix it came from Atlanta and she fixed it by adding 3 new rails and extended times but people here will fight what fixes Atlanta I’m sure

  21. I have a weather related question of sort (cooling/heating system). Does anyone on the blog have HVAC knowledge? I’m interesting in finding out if a lining material exists that could be inserted into my “old” leaky metal duct work. Intake is not an issue – all brand new, it’s the vent ducts that are problematic. Due to the location of ducts going to second floor (behind walls) replacing is a last resort. Would appreciate any tips or help. Thanks 🙂

      1. Thanks, and would appreciate that! Trying to seal out blown in insulation leaking into ducts via forced air system causing an bad dust issue in the house!!! As I stated, already replace intake so that’s not the issue. I may need a company that can insert a camera into ducts to locate source of leak.

    3. Just talked to a co-worker who lives in Davidson, NC. Said it is real bad down there – in mid 20’s and has been switching between sleet and frz rain all day. Lots of icing.

  23. Visited Providence yesterday. They have snow on the ground. Not much on the east side (perhaps an inche or 2), but still more than Boston. I’ve visited Providence 3 times in the last month and each time the same story.

  25. Boston’s dew point is still at -11, both the GFS and NAM MOS forecast the dew point to trend to near zero by now.

      1. that’s where I always go coastal. other radars tend to look more impressive than what is really happening.

      1. Snow will be falling. Boston dusting to an inch, more Plymouth county, tad more cape. Done deal. Heading to the providence Bruins soon and expecting to be called in later.

    2. Haha of course they r, if they were out of NYC they would be saying its right on track, it’s just funny 🙂

          2. Hey Retrac, whether it verifies or not, did the
            map appear to depict a Norlun to you? Sure did to me. 😀

              1. Your lying eyes what? See the Norlun Trough OR don’t see it? 😀
                You’re being evasive today. 😀

                1. I’m still on edge from the no-snow situation we’re in.

                  Yeah, it’s there O.S.

                  I guess the larger question is does the pattern want one? I think the answer might be yes before the winter is out.

  29. Is the current radar trend moved east and held together. Also if it is actually snowing under all the echo’s, then I should be snowing from Berlin, NH to Nantucket tonight.

    1. Coastal. Most of that precip ahead of the shortwave is virga and not reaching the ground. Notice that the radar echos are moving east rather than north. Don’t believe the hype by the NEWW. Whatever does fall over us for the most part will not reach the ground. I will give you this. The storm looks more impressive than highlighted by the models, but will be eaten live by all the cold, dry air if it were to try to make its way in here unfortunately.

    2. I didn’t Hadi. What’s the timing though….

      Just a bunch of cold fronts after inside runners or something timed better.

  31. Thanks Retrac. Now at least I know I’m not losing my mind. Still Intact and that’s
    a good thing.

    Tonight is doo doo.

    Monday night “may” be a surprise.

    Ground Hog Day looks at least interesting at this point, although I wouldn’t hold my breath as this Winter has been full of disappointment.

    That being said, at some point we’ll probably get a storm so ferocious that we’ll all regret wishing for snow. 😀 😀 😀

  32. More nasty weather in Virginia : Richmond and three other locations reporting moderate snow, with Raleigh at 24F and freezing rain.

    1. Tom, Did you see my post earlier today about lake/Ocean effect snow
      and Lake/Ocean Enhanced snow. If not, check it out. I think you will find
      it interesting.

      Hey, how did the conferences go?

      😀

    2. Yes, I did. Thanks !! I read the specific excerpt you pulled out and will read the rest of the text sometime this weekend. In peaking at it, some of the terminology was slightly over my head.

      The conferences went very well. Very lucky to have very supportive, nice parents. The conferences on top of the regular school day make for a tiring week, however, I enjoy talking with the parents, giving them a rundown of how things are going and answering questions they have.

  33. so i found that my coral reef ecology class is a joke basically a review of what i already know, and full of stuff that half of you on here will totally disagree with ..i was flinching the whole time he talked “topic glabal warming and its causes and effects on coral reefes and coastal areas ) grrrr he did not even call the man of war on the book cover right. he said moon jelly when it was distinctivly a man of war. this class is gonna be fun. lol and he said coral reefs are not making a come back. when in fact they are… hint my st thomas trip /st johns last year. 😉

    1. As Mark Twain once said…believe half of what you see and none of what you hear. Unless I have the backwards, but you get the drift. 🙂

  34. Good afternoon all. A few points to make on this wonderfully cold and increasingly cloudy Friday afternoon.

    * Sun held on longer than I initially though but all that really shows is the air is incredibly dry.

    * Radar makes it look like a surprise snow is coming, but it’s not really the case. Yes, light snow is coming and some areas will be coated tonight, but the fact the dewpoint at Boston is nearly 10 degrees colder than forecast by the computers lets you know what kind of dry air the snow has to overcome.

    * It’s going to get really cold here Saturday night and again Sunday night, and that Sunday night cold is going to set the stage for things being cold through Monday and probably some accumulating warm advection snow Monday night (not a big storm). Ice may become a factor too but it’s really too far away to pin down any details.

    * The “warm up” will really just be a “back-to-near-or-slightly-above-normal up” Tuesday-Wednesday with LIMITED liquid precip.

    * Back to the chill as the month flips from January to February.

    * Groundhog Day snowstorm is not out of the question, but the chef better remember how to put the ingredients together the right way, as it seems to be very difficult to do of late.

    * No violations were committed in the naming of the current blog entry, since the health aid is called “Cold EEZE”. 😉

    1. I think right around mid Feb we will have a change to above normal, IMO I think the snow better come in the next 3weeks or it’s not gonna happen 🙂

      1. It can and often does snow with above normal temperatures in the winter. So above normal temps does not automatically mean below normal snow for the period that it occurs.

        1. I would agree though above normal temps in late Feb and March would mean no snow as average highs range at that time are 40-45 depending on where in Mass you live, thanks tk, it’s not gut either, I just see a change around then 🙂

          1. It can still snow even then. All you need is one day with the right conditions for snow and BAM.

            I’ve seen it snow big time in a warm week when 6 of the days were above normal and one was below with the storm’s passage. Mother Nature is a fickle lady.

    1. December was an anomaly. We are in a very dry pattern, and have been for quite a while now.

    1. Seriously, here is the radar. To me, these echos are moving due East, if not
      even a bit South of East. Nothing good coming this way, that’s for sure!
      http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DOX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000&centerx=400&centery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0

      Obviously, the previous display is some sort of glitch with the radar OR a joke by an employee OR TK is down there in his Piper Cub again dumping boat loads of Aluminum confetti.

      1. Yup. Those echoes don’t even appear to make it as far north as NYC. The cold air is just eating away at the precip.

  37. Flying out of Newark now, snowing pretty good, maybe 1/2 an inch. Nice to see the white stuff!
    Hope we don’t have to de-ice.
    Tom

  38. Watching it snow pretty steadily on the ocean city inlet webcam (Ocean City, Maryland). Nice area, across the inlet is Assateague Island where we have camped 2 out of the last 4 April school vacations.

    Anyhow, radar looks good for another hour of steady snow. First, its too warm the first 7 weeks of meteorological winter, now the cold is too strong and its snowing at 38N latitude, but not here. Oh well.

    1. Tom so you have a link. As you know we all really enjoy Chincoteage and Assateague. I forget if your kids have read the Misty books. Or seen the movie

  44. There will be atleast an inch in Boston as predicted. It was just really coming down that way from walpole on. The highways were snowcovered.

    1. Around midnight I was standing outside just off Waltham Street in Woburn and it looked great with the moon out and flakes still falling. Only had about 0.2 inch or a “thick dusting”. 🙂

  48. About a quarter to half inch here. Nice surprise, I never would have thought with the weak echoes on the radar and the dry air in place, that the snow would make it to eastern Mass.

  49. Hadi mentioned this earlier in the week, there is an absolute monster storm in the far north atlantic, just southeast of Greenland. I’m trying to find what its current surface pressure is.

  50. AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    What is the recommended indoor relative humidity?
    A. 20%
    B. 30%
    C. 40%
    D. 60%

    Answer later today.

    2. I’ve had BZ on in the background. Not sure if Joe Joyce gave the answer yet (half paying attention), so, I’ll skip this one just to be safe. 🙂

  51. I’m looking forward to the brief warmup during mid week. At the intensity of the past week’s cold, it would be nice to thaw just a bit.

    In the process of doing that, looks like the first event of the severe weather season may be developing in the southern plains/mississippi valley region this week.

  52. The cold air returning in early February is currently reloading up in far northwest Canada and Alaska. -25F to -40F reappearing up in that region.

  57. For the quiz I am going to go with B.
    Looks like a bit of wintry weather moving in Monday afternoon and evening with the possiblity of level 1 snows for parts of SNE. This COULD make for a bit of a slippery pm commute on Monday. The trade off will be a brief warm up but unfortunately there are rain showers with the warmup before the cold air comes back later next week into next weekend.
    Still don’t see any big snows:(

  58. Virginia Beach, VA : 2 inches of snow. Even Duck, NC (out on the northwest part of the Outer Banks of NC) got 0.1 inches. Someday, the goal is to camp for a week somewhere on the Outer Banks of NC.

    Speaking of which, I’d like to see winter go away sometime during the period of February 16th thru February 24th, so that we can go camping locally at one of the campgrounds that are open or partially open (Thursday-Sunday) in the area.

    1. For Virginia Beach that is an impressive total. Its not unheard to get snow in the southeast Virginia. They average around 9
      inches for the winter if I remember correctly from what the locals told me while vacationing down there last summer.

      1. Wow, I did not know they averaged 9 inches. So, Logan’s been getting Virginia Beach, VA seasonal snow averages lately.

  59. Cape Cod Webcams, Skaket Beach Web Cam may all be good ones to try the next few hours as ocean effect snowshowers are about to come onto the outer Cape.

    1. Looking east, I can see these snowshowers. The sky sharply transitions from clear to a north-south oriented dark mass of low top cumulus clouds.

      1. I think there’s a mini little vortex out there. Hard to tell. Need a few more visible satellite pictures to tell for sure.

  60. In my humble meteorological opinion, I believe that the ECMWF model, though having a decent idea of the pattern, is struggling with some details in the longer range. This may last a few runs.

    I haven’t checked the GFS yet. I keep forgetting it exists. 😛

      1. Both. It’s having trouble resolving the upper air pattern, which in turn messes up its depiction of the surface pattern.

        I see too much instability in the last 2 runs versus what it was doing before. Tell-tale sign. I’m using it as a guide through Thursday then winging it.

        An important practice, again in my own opinion, is when looking for the pattern in the medium range (beyond day 4 especially), when using the models, focus on the large scale and forget the details. A trick I use is to almost take my eyes out of focus and just look at the entire run with just enough reference to know where the USA (or area that I’m interested in) is, and watch the large scale features only. The details are going to change with each run anyway, so it also avoids information overload, and you get to watch the large scale trends. This lends support to my practice of not worrying about whether or not we need to forecast a rain/snow line for a system that is 7 days distant. It may be fun to do, but in a practical sense it’s generally a big time waster.

        1. First, thanks !!

          So, to make sure I understand, beyond 4 days, watch the big picture (ex : ridge in the west, trof in the east) and run to run, make sure that stays relatively consistent ?

          Well, I can say, I need to improve at that, as I generally watch the details throughout. I will definitely do this going forward.

          1. Yes…

            I’m not saying it’s a bad thing to watch the details. I do it too – but I’ve learned not to let it impact my written forecasts. I leave the worry part out because there is plenty of time to work out details. I’m old school in that I believe most people don’t really need to know the details of something beyond 3 days (outside of very delicate trip planning or something like that). Most plans are going to happen one way or another without worrying about details you heard in a forecast that’s going to at the very least be tweaked anyway.

            That said, I do have a lot of fun looking at details and imagining what it would play out like if it verified just as it is there. But I read this more like a work of fiction/fantasy.

            1. Your right tk, most proceed with plans no matter what the weather is, even some cancel plans and then nothing happens

            2. Oh good, cause I know I’ll be the first one to mention the first hurricane the GFS projects on its 384 hr panel. 🙂

              Seriously though, I am going to use what you wrote above. I like the ideas you mentioned above beyond day 4 and am going to incorporate them going forward.

  61. Haven’t been following the models these past couple of days. How’s the potential Groundhog Day storm looking?

    1. Well that’s what prompted my comments above. The Euro can’t figure out what to do with pieces of energy around a trough in the February 1-3 period.

      So in short, I have no idea how it’s looking really, except that the threat exists in that time period.

  62. Hi Tom…. I was surprised when they told me they average 9 inches of snow. I though it would be like 5 or 6 inches. There official weather records are kept at Norfolk, VA.

  63. Good Morning All.

    Not sure I have the energy to clear away all of this snow. Just don’t think I can handle it. 😀

    Monday night? Who knows. NAM has very little. Canadian looks nice. Gfs in the middle. Here is the GFS snow map:

    http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013012606&time=48&var=ASNOWI&hour=084

    Models are NOT consistent at all for ground Hog Day. GFS has no storm at all. Neither does the Canadian. The Euro still has something.

    Nothing has been consistent this Winter. Nothing is ever clear. Always conflicting information. We wait, watch and eventually we’ll find out.

    Have a great day.

Comments are closed.