Rebound

67 Comments

8:42PM

A short-lived but sharp cold snap is about to leave us as the air warms up through Friday. First, high-level warming will send some high and middle cloudiness into the region early Thursday, with more sun in the afternoon when you will notice that it is milder (50 as opposed to the 30s of Wednesday). The moderation will continue through Friday with a moderate westerly breeze with most areas maxing out between 50 and 60 degrees. High pressure will rebuild from the north on Saturday, which will be a slightly cooler day than Friday. Once we get to Sunday, this ridge will battle an approaching trough from the west, and try to hold off cloudiness from it, so Sunday’s forecast, though probably dry, is a little iffy in terms of sky condition. Once we make it to Monday, the trough will push in and we should be windy and wet, though fairly mild. Lurking behind that is another turn to cold air, which will come in 2 stages during “transition Tuesday”. The first shot will ease in during the day as the axis of wet weather tries to shift offshore, though may be delayed by a low pressure wave. With this so many days out, trying to get detailed will not serve much purpose, so suffice it to say for now that we may have to deal with some additional rain and possibly snow. A shot of arctic air will arrive later Tuesday and Wednesday, and may be colder than the one that we are just saying goodbye to.

Forecast for southeastern New England…

TONIGHT: Mostly clear early. Variably cloudy overnight. Lows in the 20s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Highs in the 40s, may touch 50 in some locations. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows in the 30s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs in the 50s, may touch 60 in a few areas. Wind WSW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 33. High 50.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Low 38. High 54.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Low 41. High 54.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain, may end as snow. Low 38. High 44.

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Low 17. High 34.

67 thoughts on “Rebound”

  6. snore snore snow god darn can the old man stay awake and can heat miser go away! stupid relativily flat jet stream.

    1. I plan on finishing off my leaves Saturday. The trees are just about bare around here now and the late-droppers were dropping like crazy today. My neighbor’s tree which didn’t drop until a few days before Thanksgiving the last few years lost 75% of its leaves today alone. Should be all down by tomorrow, and since some of them end up in my back yard I’ll consider it perfect timing.

      Going to lay out cords for my Christmas lights on Sunday. I have to put stuff up earlier than usual both outside and inside this year. I help my mother decorate and we do a big deal, but she has to have carpal tunnel surgery on December 5 so there are going to be some limitations to what she can do, leaving more for me, and with a late Thanksgiving, I need the jump. We won’t turn anything on until December 1, but getting ahead putting it up will be helpful. I usually start the day after Thanksgiving inside.

      1. TK our leaves are gone earlier than the last two also. I think the winds may have helped but reports from the get-go up north was that as soon as they changed this year, they dropped. We noticed that also. Wonder if it was a combination of the heat in July and the lack of rain.

        I will keep your mom in my prayers for her surgery. My brother had carpel tunnel. When is she scheduled?

        We will do our cords and bush lights, etc this weekend as well. I’m going to start putting up some decorations inside also. Like you, we do a lot inside and out. I’m out of work mostly and as you said Thanksgiving is a week later. We won’t turn lights on until after Thanksgiving in or out but it will give us more time to enjoy them since we are missing a week.

  8. Low 30s in the city so a better start this morning as we warm up for a few days. Looking like some rain to start the week as we will take as much as that as possible.

    1. Warm advection clouds, which nobody except Harvey and myself had in the forecast, acted as a blanket overnight.

    1. Real nice pic, TK! Do I detect a somewhat of a 3D effect? Sure looks like it, or maybe my eyes are just playing tricks on me this morning 🙂

  10. Thanks TK!
    Ideal temps for outside work – raking leaves, pulling up the annuals and putting the gardens to bed for winter. My plants still had flowers up until a week or two ago, but the last two nights took care of that!
    Enjoy the nice weather! Don’t think these temps will be around much longer.

  11. Yawn……Ho hum…….Yawn………..
    Yawn……ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ………YAWN………

    That’s about what I think of this weather. Tough to just get going today.

    Perhaps that wave on the front mentioned above by TK and others will actually
    produce something. Also, I am surprised that this next cold shot is coming as
    soon as it is. I was expecting that later in the month. Oh Well. The weather, it does
    change… 😀 😀

    1. Hey, I don’t get it…. Looking at the Euro, there is no serious cold until
      the 25th at the earliest. This cold shot next week is Nothing, according
      to the Euro. The Canadian has it a little colder next week than the Euro does.

      So far, I am certainly not impressed. We shall see.

      And according to the GFS, no serious cold until after the 30th.

      So I guess it’s up in the air, as per usual. 😀 😀 😀

  19. Good morning, enjoy today as we get close to 60 degrees. Rainy Monday on tap and I hope it holds. We really need a good all day soaker but I’m not sure if that would even do anything. It’s very dry out there.

  20. Morning everyone! Another beautiful sunrise. That’s 2 days in a row now I’ve seen such a spectacular sunrise and an equally amazing sunset.

    Thought I’d share this. From our friend over on wxrisk.com, its an experimental upgrade to the GFS up to 180 hrs. Its a little cumbersome to use but pretty sweet at the same time.
    http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/STATS_vsdb/

  21. Gearing up for the Ski Expo tonight through the weekend. I missed last night but hopefully I get to meet Eric Fisher at the BZ Mobile Weather center and try to lure him on here, or at the very least have him observe all of us weather nuts in our natural habitat 🙂

  22. Are the models on Crack????

    The 3 main models are Oh Soooooooooooooo different! 😀 😀 😀 😀

    They can’t handle anything 10 days out!!!!!!!!!!!! Or even 7 for that matter.

    The Canadian looks MOST interesting of all 10 days out. he he ha ha ho ho ho!

    1. I’m glad someone finally posted. I’ve been worried the world ended and I missed it. Very quiet here today. OS can’t you conjure up a storm ….pahhhleezzzz

            1. Yes. Monday morning. Will head to the Cape after dropping my daughter at school to wait with my Dad. Rey gave her the zpack today. We has an upper respiratory infection but will still have the surgery. I am hoping everything goes well and she will be on the mend when she comes for Thanksgiving.

      2. The world hasn’t ended but I feel like I haven’t seen much of it lately Vicki! Was at that conference for a few days in Newport and now we have yet another bank acquisition going on this weekend. No rest for the weary!

        2. Its a busy time of year for banks. We just finished five strategic planning sessions. I can’t decide if I like having this time off ….I’m not used to not working :(. Your bank has an exceptional reputation. Best on the acquisition.

  23. Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    This past Tuesday it snowed. Which airport broke its record that day for snowfall?
    A. Logan
    B. Manchester
    C. Worcester
    D. JFK

    Answer later today.

    1. I’ll be darned. Anyone have statistics on how often these things become sub or tropical into November or is it not unusual? Thanks north

  26. I’m wondering where all this cold weather is that was “supposed” to slip in here
    towards the end of the month. Models “appear” to be backing off from that. 😀

    Sure, another brief cold shot next week. That doesn’t count.

    We shall see. Hope this isn’t another Winter where the models show the cold 10 days out, but it NEVER gets here….. 😀 😀

    1. OS, I noticed that they are even backing of the extreme cold for Wednesday and we may actually make it into the 40’s. looks like we may be going from a strong positive into possibly negative phase on the NAO, so we will have to watch that. There looks to also be a system loaded with moisture for several runs of the GFS beginning in Texas late next week. I know it is the GFS, so we take it with a grain of salt 7 days out!

  27. Before the next brief blast of chilly air arrives looking at showers and the possiblity of non severe storms overnight Sunday into early Monday morning. From reading the NWS discussion from Taunton models showing JKG’s in the 300 – 400 range for November is pretty good. Wind looks to be the biggest threat with these non severe storms.

  28. North the thing to watch for is if any of the winds could get dragged down to the surface with those heavier showers and non severe storms. If that is the case COULD be looking at some isolated power outage issues. Good dynamics with this front.
    In fact parts of the midwest and Ohio Valley are under a moderate risk for severe weather tomorrow which you usually don’t see in that part of the country this time of year. Thankfully no severe storms for us but still I would not rule out a few non severe storms.

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