Getting Springy With It

127 Comments

6:53PM

A mild Monday saw sun fading behind increasing cloudiness, and rain is set to move in tonight. This rain accompanies a warm front that will cross the region overnight, followed by a cold front that will sweep west to east through the region Tuesday as low pressure moves down the St. Lawrence Valley. The air with this system, even behind the cold front, will be fairly mild, so expect many areas to break 60 for high temperatures on Tuesday. A second front will cross the region Tuesday night and early Wednesday and send a cooler air mass into the region for Wednesday and early Thursday with a northwesterly wind. But winds quickly shift around to the southwest later Thursday as high pressure slips to the southeast of the region, and this will bring briefly milder air in again by Friday, just in time for the arrival of another cold front during Friday, bringing the threat of rain showers. This front may struggle to push through the region so cloudiness may linger into part of Saturday before fair weather takes over for the balance of the weekend, with slight cooling Saturday followed by a warm-up Sunday. This warm up will continue into the start of next week between high pressure offshore and a storm and frontal system to the west of the region.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, and RI)…

TONIGHT: Overcast. Periods of rain. Chance of embedded thunderstorms especially late. Lows 45-50, rising into the 50s overnight. Wind SE 5-15 MPH shifting to S 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy with numerous showers and possible thunderstorms early morning tapering to scattered then isolated showers mid through late morning. Becoming partly cloudy with isolated showers afternoon. Highs 60-65 except 50s South Coast. Wind S shifting to SW 15-25 MPH and gusty.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. Wind SW shifting to W 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s. Wind W shifting to NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 35. High 57.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Low 45. High 62.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Low 40. High 55.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 35. High 65.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 51. High 74.

127 thoughts on “Getting Springy With It”

    1. 1/2 to 1 inch, pockets of heavier. Embedded thunder possible. Heaviest from midnight to dawn.

      Feel better soon!

          1. Not sure what it is a cold or something else . Sweats , chills, cough , cold symptoms , burning chest and fever three days and body aches .

            1. Yep that is it. Grandsons school actually sent home email asking parents to keep kids home if sick. Older granddaughter ran 103-104 temp for several days. Just rest. And drink fluids. I hope you are better soon. Can’t convince me it isn’t flu and either shots were too early or didnt work. But that’s me

  4. Thanks TK. Back in framingham for a couple of work days :(. Sat on the deck and it is a lovely evening.

    You getting jiggy with it 😆

    1. I love Will Smith’s tunes.

      Big Willie Style is one of my favorite albums. 🙂

        1. Music is life to me, so I guess for me age is no barrier. If you saw the list of bands I like, the diversity would make your head spin. 😀

          1. Me too but some music I either didnt know, relate to or don’t remember. We always have music playing here. I range from big band to classic mom and dad to oldies to new age. There is an era in the late 80s till now that I just can’t relate to. Oh and I enjoy the new country and the “head” music of the late 60s early 70s

          2. Love all kinds of music too. Old and new. Music also has a way of taking you back in time, taking you through the happy times and helping you get through some of the painful times as well.

    1. My theory which has actually worked on occasion is that it is best they start like a train wreck. Otherwise they get cocky and fall apart at the end of the season

  7. I hear raindrops on the skylights. Someone wake me if there is thunder please. Mac just laughed when I asked him 🙁 ⚡️⚡️⚡️

  9. Thanks tk, gonna take a rain day I think, or at least have a rain morning, probably just gonna call the day.

    Light to moderate rain, temp is 55.7 degrees 🙂

  10. I must admit ….. late last evening, nowcasting and thinking ….. I dont know if its going to rain as much as advertised ….

    But sure enough, its making up for things quickly in SE Mass this morning !

  11. TK did I see 74 for Monday. You’re forecasting 74????

    WOW!!!

    Btw, because of the bleeping basketball, had to watch channel 5. One good thing, I got
    to see Harvey. He had 75 for Monday, but did ADD that he hoped he didn’t have to change it. 😆

    I want this RAIN to STOP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  12. Feels nice and warm out there this morning. IF we can just get the rain to quit and
    get some sunshine, temperatures will rocket upwards. 😀

    re: RedSox

    As much as I HATE lackey, he is really pitching well. Have to hand it to him.
    He “could” be our best starter this year as much as it pains me to say that.

    GO SOX!!!

        1. I hope so too. I was worried after last year’s “prove it” season that he would lapse back into complacency. So far it looks like he still has something to prove.

      2. Geez I don’t even listen to them anymore, I can’t stand either of them, I haven’t listened to Weei for many years, I only listen to the 10-2 show on the sportshub 🙂

        1. Felger is on the SPorts Hub.

          I listen to the Sports Hub and not that Flea Bag station,
          Weei.

          1. I gotta admit, i do listen to the morning show on weei (disclaimer: this is only bc i become ill when i hear the talent-less clowns on the sportshub morning show). I also enjoy Holly on weei during sportshub commercial breaks in the afternoon 🙂

            1. Those guys on the sportshub in the early am r horrible, maybe worse than the 2-6 sportshub show IMO 🙂

              2. The morning guys have a different kind of show. I have to be in the mood for them. Sometimes they are quite enjoyable. I like their
                “Ask a Pink hat bit”.

                Yesterday they did that bit and asked this ditsy woman: “Name
                3 other American League teams”
                She correctly named the Yankees and then proceeded to
                say: OREOS.
                The host said there is another bird and she says: “The CROWS”

                It was HILARUIOUS! 😆

            2. The only 2 people I like on Weei are
              Michael Holly and Lou Merloni.

              Lou Merloni has the potential to be
              the BEST sports talk show host of them all.

              I can’t stand Dennis and/or Callahan.

                3. I ONLY listen to them bc they’re the only show that talk sports in the morning anymore. I’d listen to T&R if i was into larping, comic books, and weird movies and pop music

  13. Thanks, TK.

    Doppler radar shows some heavy rains to the south moving northeasterly rather fast. Skies are brightening here in Sudbury – but I am pretty sure they won’t be soon unless the rain diminishes. Sky seems to have more of a spring look to it, finally.

  14. Just looked at doppler radar again – looks like rain is just to the south of MetroWest.

  16. Looking ahead with the Euro to 4/17:

    Surface:

    http://i.imgur.com/IXIrez3.png?1

    SNOW MAP:

    http://i.imgur.com/34ZOcYd.png?1

    High temps in Boston in the 30s for the 17th!!!

    This is TOOOOOOOOOOOOOO CLOSE for COMFORT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    I know it’s out there and the track record has been miserable, but sooner or later
    the Euro is going to nail one of these. 😀

    GFS not even close.
    CMC has a pretty good system in the area, but depicted a bit differently.

    YUCK either way.

    Oh and one more thing. Euro has it about 55 for next Monday, not 75, so we shall see. 😀

    1. And my mom is driving down to CT from Upstate NY that day. I’ll warn her now that 30″ of snow may be coming. LOL!

  18. Bastardi is on board. But then again, when isn’t he?

    @BigJoeBastardi: Euro continues insisting major late season cold outbreak is on the way next week with freeze implications into deep s, snow much of lakes/ne

    2. Lol like that con fluent flow to retrograde the historic blizzard back at us, I don’t believe anything he says, he jumps on every snow wagon or rating wagon idk, it won’t happen IMO 🙂

      2. I do see a good chance of more unseasonably cold air next week. Lots of cold air remains close by just north of the border. Whether its associated with any late season snow remains to be seen, but the far interior and higher elevations would stand the best chance unless the stars really align for us.

    3. Weeks ago people said we would cold all the way into early May…40’s and 50’s…well we are hitting 60’s and maybe 70’s soon and it’s early April. I am not buying any snow threat from a model that sucked all winter. 🙂

      1. Still, majority of the days have been in the 50’s, mid to high 50’s but still 50’s. The 40’s might be all but gone but not too many 60+ degree days yet either so it hasn’t been that far off. Its tough to be consistently in the 60s and 70s in april in NE.

      3. Euro couldn’t predict snow in the winter. Can’t imagine it’ll be any better only seventy or so days before the highest sun angle!

  19. Thanks TK for the April 1982 Blizzard graphic above! 🙂

    On April 6th Boston received 10.8″ then an additional 2.5″ during the early morning hours of the 7th for the final 13.3″ total. The low temperature was 16 degrees which remains a record today.

    I am somewhat surprised that the 7.6″ Providence received is ranked at #5…#1-4 must be quite impressive.

  20. Exactly weather wizard, we seem to go through this every year that it’s not gonna warm up, and it does. Anyways 58.6 degrees, few sunny breaks here 🙂

  21. Its too bad the sun hasnt really broken out today yet.

    Its 37F on top of Mt. Washington. The temps would have soared.

  22. How can the 7-10 day EURO snowfall projections be even given 1% of credibility (I’m not saying anyone is giving it credibility :)) after the March performance of that model.

    In March alone, if the 7-10 day EURO had verified, Boston would have gotten 100 inches of snow for March alone.

  24. 2PM, Boston’s Logan Airport:

    Boston, Logan International Airport, MA
    (KBOS) 42.38N 71.03W

    62.0 °F
    Last Updated: Apr 8 2014, 1:54 pm EDT
    Tue, 08 Apr 2014 13:54:00 -0400
    Weather: Overcast
    Temperature: 62.0 °F (16.7 °C)
    Dewpoint: 55.0 °F (12.8 °C)
    Relative Humidity: 78 %
    Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
    Wind Chill: 61 F (16 C)
    Visibility: 10.00 miles
    MSL Pressure: 993.7 mb
    Altimeter: 29.35 in Hg

    1. Getting meaningful snow in April is like hurricane season here, it can happen, but it usually doesn’t 🙂

      1. Charlie, I’ve seen it happen enough times.

        I’m certainly NOT saying it WILL happen, just that it can.
        😀

  27. Certainly a little more warmth than expected as this is our 8th straight day of 52+ and our 2nd day in that span of 60+ here in Western MA. However with average high of 53-55 it is not like it has been exceptionally warm for the time of year. I will take it and look forward to the potential for a warmer, drier period that is more of a long term pattern change, sometime in May. Anyway the 12z GFS gives of 6 straight days of rain/showers/drizzle next week with about 5″ of QPF, 2.5″ in 1 12 hour period. Not my forecast, just a mention that both models are on to the idea of a longer duration precip event next week.

  28. The “possible” snow for the 17th has gone bye-bye with the 12Z Euro run. 😆

    What else did we expect?

    2. Didn’t buy it anyway. I won’t believe a Euro snow forecast until it nails one again, which may not happen until next winter. 😉

  29. 75 next Monday away from the coast is a real possibility! Some of that warmth may last into Tuesday as I foresee the front’s progress slowing as it progresses east.

  31. Today is the first day Boston has reached or exceeded 60 this month (8 days in).

    And so far the extended range outlooks have been generally right on target. It’s not warmer than expected. The warming is typical, for the time of year. Yesterday and today are really the only 2 days this month that Boston itself will be a few degrees above the climate normal after starting out the month cooler than normal.

    We do indeed have some additional warmer than average days ahead. Tomorrow won’t be one of them, Thursday and Friday probably will, Sunday through Tuesday next week will very likely. Later next week I believe we crash back to below normal but not sure how persistent that cool snap will be. Too much uncertainty for me to have any real confidence at this point.

  32. 3PM Logan Obs:

    Last Updated: Apr 8 2014, 2:54 pm EDT
    Tue, 08 Apr 2014 14:54:00 -0400
    Weather: Overcast
    Temperature: 64.0 °F (17.8 °C)

    A few days ago, the EURO had a maximum temperature for Boston of
    65-70. Didn’t miss by much. 😀

      1. Last Updated: Apr 8 2014, 3:54 pm EDT
        Tue, 08 Apr 2014 15:54:00 -0400
        Weather: Overcast
        Temperature: 65.0 °F (18.3 °C)
        Dewpoint: 51.1 °F (10.6 °C)

        2. In Marshfield, we need that wind to come around to the west a bit more.

          I notice Plymouth is 52F and relatively speaking, it feels a bit cool here, courtesy of Buzzards Bay.

  34. SNOW PILE UPDATE!
    4:45PM Tuesday April 8…

    78 inches long
    32 inches wide
    14 inches high

    Quote from my brother: “April 9 & 10 are looking good.”

      1. I just took a peek at the guesses and if it ends up being the 9th then we are going to get an “I told you so” from Charlie. 🙂 He could nail yet another forecast. Well played Charlie!

        1. I’m not rooting for any particular person and I didn’t even put in a guess, but I will say that based on what my brother said and the expected weather, it is going to be Friday the 11th that it goes.

  35. Vicki .. when you have a chance you can re-post the guesses. I still have not solved the issue with commenting in gardening & contests. I’ll try to get some help to get that done by this weekend.

  36. The 8-14 day CPC outlook continues to show below normal temps through Easter and beyond for most of the CONUS, not just here in NE. The upper Midwest looks well below normal in fact.

    I will still keep the winter coat handy for awhile yet, but I can probably “not wear it” on certain days now. I would love to put it in the cleaners by months’ end…any chance of that TK? 😉

    1. Looks (currently) like a cool high bridging north of New England with trofiness out in the Atlantic. Whole east coast might be below normal.

    2. We’re still in a long term cool regime. But remember, climate of the season is making it more and more tolerable for those who dislike the chill. 🙂 Our “below normal days” are now mild compared to the harsh days of winter just ended. 😀

      1. True TK…but the ocean temps are still mighty cold. At last check the Boston Buoy is 41F. An onshore wind will still be quite brutal for Boston and most areas inside 128 for awhile yet.

        And not to mention any “last gasp” arctic air masses that come down from Canada…even for a very brief stay!

        1. I’ve heard some say that it’s warmer than expected. Not true. When I said we were in a cold regime and I agreed we could see below normal temps (overall) into May, I did not say we’d be stuck in the 40s and 50s the entire time.

          Of course there are warm days in between even in a longer term cool pattern. That can be hard for some people to realize. One or 2 days does not make a long term pattern. It’s weather. It varies day to day in this part of the world even in a stable pattern.

          Boston got to 60+ today for the first time since November!

            1. Many mild winters saw Boston hit 60 several times during Dec Jan & Feb. That type of thing was very absent this past winter.

    1. The upper level winds supported it. That’s why I kept showers in the forecast through the morning.

    1. It got really dark here this pm but a few minutes ago the wind really picked up. Sounds quiet now but we still have clouds so I can’t see mars. 🙁

    1. This is actually a pretty cool air mass that moved in tonight.
      I’ll give you a 56 tomorrow. 55 Boston, lower 50s in the hills NW of the city.

    1. They sure are struggling with 4 at NY Yankees this weekend.

      Thankfully, no one in the division has started out 7-1 or something to that effect.

  44. Mauna Loa CO2 level of 402.11 ppm on April 7th. It is a preliminary reading and often I have noticed that when you look a few days later, the value has been adjusted.

    FWIW, its the highest value I can recall seeing in watching it the past couple of years.

    When the blizzard of 78 occurred, the value was 335.26 ppm.

  45. Just read an article about the potential of el nino this year. (paraphrasing) they are saying that 2014 could be the warmest year on record and 2015 warmer than that. How could this be with the PDO in the cold phase?

  46. It depends on the strength of the El Nino. If it is a strong one than winter will be a dud across the country with a lot of mild air. However a weak El Nino or moderate El Nino things could be interesting around here next winter.
    With the cold PDO it seems to me the El Nino would not be a strong El Nino

    1. Weak El Nino, short lived.

      In fact it would not surprise me if the El Nino turned into an El NoNo. 😉

  47. Weak El Niño next winter if it went that way could be a snow producer. Wind is blowing out there.

  48. I loved how nice it was today. I have been cycling through four different jackets within the span of about week 😉 My winter jacket, my p-coat, my “rain jacket”, and my green fuzzy “it is mild but a little windy” jacket. 😀

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