The Week Ahead (Belated Edition, Again)

104 Comments

4:10PM

Well for the second week in a row I’m late on this one, but right now I’m feeling rather optimistic about the weather so let’s just say this week will be governed by high pressure mainly north of the region while low pressure stays too far south to give the area any wet weather, but may be close enough for some cloudiness later in the week. I’ll watch it…

One thing is for sure: No heat this week either.

FORECAST FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND…

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows in the 50s, near 60 urban areas. Wind light variable.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs in the 70s, near 80 some inland areas. Wind light SE.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Wind light variable.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs in the 70s, coolest coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 70s.

104 thoughts on “The Week Ahead (Belated Edition, Again)”

  1. Thanks TK. A few re-posts:

    Philip says:
    August 18, 2014 at 3:52 PM
    I believe that there was a character on the old Howdy Doody Show named “Princess Summerfallwinterspring”. The show ended the year I was born in 1960 but the show was briefly revived in the mid-1970s.

    Perhaps OS or Vicki or other “old timers” here can verify this character? 😉
    Reply
    Old Salty says:
    August 18, 2014 at 3:56 PM
    Yes indeed.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Judy_Tyler

    https://www.google.com/search?q=princess+summer+fall+winter+spring&tbm=isch&imgil=k9xOWdUxf0l2_M%253A%253BuUQHmzXE1WJfeM%253Bhttp%25253A%25252F%25252Fwww.sitcomsonline.com%25252Fphotopost%25252Fshowphoto.php%25252Fphoto%25252F198381%25252Fsize%25252Fbig&source=iu&usg=__-8bk9xb0vj4vEIFUkS0ZHq_2pKw%3D&sa=X&ei=5FnyU56SPIasyATrtYCADw&sqi=2&ved=0CCUQ9QEwAw&biw=1680&bih=949#facrc=_&imgdii=_&imgrc=k9xOWdUxf0l2_M%253A%3BuUQHmzXE1WJfeM%3Bhttp%253A%252F%252Fwww.sitcomsonline.com%252Fphotopost%252Fdata%252F2112%252FJudy_Tyler.jpg%3Bhttp%253A%252F%252Fwww.sitcomsonline.com%252Fphotopost%252Fshowphoto.php%252Fphoto%252F198381%252Fsize%252Fbig%3B1200%3B1120
    Reply
    Old Salty says:
    August 18, 2014 at 3:57 PM
    I think it MUST be the SEASON OF THE WITCH

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Season_of_the_Witch_(song)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3RJoLDFtpqU

    2. I’m not surprised.
      Spring is what the majority of people long for after the cold dark days.
      Summer, well vacation, pool, beach, etc. 🙂
      Fall, people tend to love when the cooler weather arrives after a hot Summer and the smell of leaves, wood smoke, etc. – the comfort season, anticipating the holidays.
      Winter? Well other than people like several on the blog here, the majority would rather not deal with frigid days and blowing snow. No surprise. You won’t get an argument from me on that one. There are just some of us who don’t mind it and others who flat out love it. 🙂

      1. It depends on which survey you check. Fall is also a favorite. It is hard to go by nationwide votes since there are many climate areas. I looked quickly for polls by area but didnt find any. I admit it isn’t high on my list 😀

  4. I have a bad feeling that we will certainly pay for this excellent stretch of weather we have been having this summer in these 3 “installments”: 😉

    1. HHH makes a brief appearance in September??
    2. Most snows stay to our south (remember this day next January/February)
    3. Next summer totally opposite with persistent HHH temps (UGH!)

      1. Bite your tongue young lad!!!! 😀

        I say NO,NO and NO!!!!!! NO, NO and NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  5. I like every part of the year except what I consider to be “winter”, that is mid November through mid-April.

  6. I could put winter beside fall but part of the reason fall is first is because it starts the anticipation to the holiday season.

    1. There’s definitely a nice series of festive holidays from Halloween to New Year’s Day. I would love it if Christmas could be moved to January 25th. That would help the White Christmas cause, and would distract us from the cold and snow a bit longer.

  7. Thanks TK.
    Philip I think 2 of the 3 things you mentioned are going to happen. The one about the snow I hope does not.

  8. Good evening all: I was just wondering if anybody saw my post on the winter predictions for the upcoming winter. I was proposing to the group November 17th for deadline, any thoughts.

      1. I usually throw the date out and people seem to agree. It’s the end of November the second to last week. It can snow by than and it’s only fair to do it not too late.

        1. I’m always happy to record the dates john. Let’s see what everyone thinks. That date is fine with me

  9. I’m also guessing that we get the first heat wave early September and it goes 4 days. All a hunch .

  10. Great conversation today ranking our favorite seasons and reasons we love them. Fall is the only season out of the with the fewest complaints. The biggest complaint people say is fall is a reminder of what is to come. Of course I love what is to come and hope winter delivers a lot in the way of snow.

  11. My first would be summer as this has always been my favorite time of year since I was a kid . Growing up in marshfield with the beach right behind my house is probably why do you think . I love the warm weather and always have. I love every single thing about summer . My second would be the fall as it still offers mild days and nice cool nights. I love the start of my favorite sport football and the anticipation of the holidays starting with Halloween that’s big in this house. My third would be spring because winter is done and the weather starts to improve and gets me excited for my favorite season summer. Winter is absolutely last on my list as I hate everything about it, I hate winter!!! I hate the cold and the snow but I can handle it and try not to complain. I hate being cold .

  13. Could someone please give me there best shot on weather forecast on Mt Washington this coming weekend? Thinking of making the climb.

    2. Make it. It looks fabulous. More clouds than sun Saturday. More sun than clouds Sunday. Wind not too strong. 60s base, 40s summit.

  16. Jumping in for a quick read before school cranks up next week.

    Forgive me if this repetitive, but with the lack of heat this summer I heard one or two local mets reference the summer of ’92 and of course the snows of the winter ’92-’93. I do not think a single data point makes a trend, but I would not mind a repeat of ’92-’93. That winter kicked off a very snowy stretch where Boston got pummeled 3 out of 4 winters all landing in the top 5 all time (since records were kept):

    Greatest Seasonal Snowfalls
    1.) 107.6 1995-1996
    2.) 96.3 1993-1994
    3.) 89.2 1947-1948
    4.) 85.1 1977-1978
    5.) 83.9 1992-1993

    Source: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/climate/snowbos.html

    1. You are correct. A Summer with a lack of 90 degree days is in no way a portent of a snowy winter. The factors that go into the pattern are far too numerous, and more important as we go into and through Autumn, enough so that the amount of heat the Summer before is essentially negligible as a factor.

  17. Captain you making it? Anyone else just let me know so I have an idea how long to wait before we move to next location.

    1. I will be in CT on Thursday before heading to the Vineyard for the weekend.

      Will try to catch the next one!

    1. Hi, Emily! I hope you are enjoying the rest of the summer – when will you be starting school?

    1. Thats insane! Its august! Currently 49 in sharon. Just had to shut all the windows in the house, brrrr

  22. Good morning. Although the weather is very nice, IF I were on vacation
    at the beach I’d be so Angry words could not describe it. It is CHILLY for August.

    I am not complaining as this weather makes it tolerable for Mrs. OS. HHH is not.

    This is really September weather. 😀

    1. Again and respectfully, IDK. As I said, these are the two weeks we are always at the beach and I do not recall both mornings and nights where we didn’t often have to wear sweatshirts and slacks and winter PJs. There were days of the same also. I think this is quite typical of August.

      And I love the beach when it is cold as much as I love it when it is hot. The only difficult time at the beach for me is when it is so hot the sand burns your feet.

  23. Thanks, TK.

    It certainly feels cold enough to be Fall – but the sense of Autumn in the air just isn’t here yet – everything is still green and still many flowers and the light, ‘though beginning to fade (days are beginning to get shorter) I can’t smell Fall in the air just yet.

    The weather is not typical of August – if it was 2 or 3 days of this, ok. But so far, practically all month. Weird! We still could get some HHH but as time goes on, I am beginning to doubt it.

  24. Normsl highs are in the upper 70’s to low 80’s depending on location so we really are only a couple degrees short of normal.

  26. I guess i look at it like this, after periods of heat and humidity during a more typical summer, i look forward to the cool crisp nights and comfortable days as a relief from the summer heat, a reward for making it through the dog days of summer. I appreciate it and enjoy it more. This year, its different. Its more of a reminder that fall and winter are just around the corner. Summer is NE is short enough and this weather albeit nice makes the summer feel much shorter this year. Waking up this morning and leaving for work, i could def smell fall.

  27. Starbucks to start serving pumpkin spiced lattes next week and most bars have already switched their taps from Sam Adams summer to Octoberfest.

    1. Too soon for both IMO, but a smart decision. They aren’t rushing a season just bc, they are reacting to the weather which i think it pretty cool

  28. The way this summer has been I am actually going to miss summer for I think will be the first time in my life. As I have said many times if it were not for the heat and humidity I would like summer a lot more. Fall is the reward for making it through the heat and humidity of summer with nice crisp days and a great display of fall colors.

  31. I believe Bob was the last hurricane to make landfall here in New England. I know here in CT we have not had a landfalling hurricane since Gloria in 1985 which until Irene created the biggest amount of power outages in CT ever.

    1. IIRC Bob left behind a rainy day on August 20th here in Boston even though the storm himself was long gone.

      1. 😀 I haven’t a clue. I remember the Bob day very clearly, but
        the day after. ????????????

        For Boston, Bob was just another rainy day. I believe the higest wind gust at Logan was 64 mph. At my house in JP, perhaps
        50 maybe 55. However, down the Cape it was a totally different story.

        The next weekend, we took a ride down to Falmouth. I couldn’t
        believe the destruction down there.

        1. I remember because it didn’t make sense to have rain the day after a hurricane passes by. I always thought that once a hurricane goes through, any precip shuts off immediately and skies at least partially clear.

          It has been a long time…maybe I am remembering wrong?? 😉

          1. I’m not suggesting that you are wrong.
            Just that I have NO Memory of the day after so I couldn’t possibly say one way or the other. 😀

  32. I am enjoying our Pacific Northwest summer here in New England, I have vacationed in Washington state in the summer a few times, mainly around Seattle and the Olympic range. Low humidity, mid 70’s to low 80’s by day and 50’s/60’s by night. Sweden is also similar albeit a tad cooler. Very comfortable and refreshing weather.

    1. Hi Captain – GREAT to see you here! Do I recall you have a new puppy?? Or am I thinking of someone else?

      That’s what we thought when we visited Spokane about 10 years ago. It was somewhere around 114 still at midnight. I know that is anything but typical but ugh it was hot. Mac’s cousin lives in Seattle overlooking Puget Sound and we have that on our list of visits in, hopefully, the near future.

  34. Alaska has been running well above normal in temps all summer. I have never been there, but I suspect the only saving grace is that there is no real humidity like in the deep south.

  35. Too early to call for a heatwave in early September. This reminds me of the projected warm-ups this past winter that never really materialized. I do see a subtle pattern shift for NE, a much more pronounced pattern shift (albeit brief) for the Midwest. We’ll be on the edge of cooler and much warmer air in 7 to 10 days, which likely means some storms, yes, but at the coast I don’t think we’ll hit 90F. We could use some rain.

    By the way, the cool summer continues throughout the Northern Hemisphere. The Netherlands KNMI site (weather) is reporting that today was the coolest August 19th in over 100 years, and thus far August has been the coolest in 90 years in the Netherlands. I don’t have the stats in front of me, but it’s safe to say that here in the U.S. parts of the upper midwest have also seen the coolest summer in many decades. My Northern Canadian friends (well, eskimo’s) are already seeing the return of ground frost in spots, after a very brief, cool and very wet summer up there).

      1. You’re right. I do think the jet-stream will shift as a result and bring us MUCH more humid air by the end of the month. It’ll feel weird after a fall-like August. This said, I see the shift as: a. Somewhat muted at the coast w/ temps in the 80s and not 90s; b. Short-lived. It’s the mirror image of a vigorous cold front in March. Sure, it can make it feel like mid-winter for a bit, but only for a bit. In the end the forces of seasonal change, less sunlight, earth’s tilt, win out, just as the forces of seasonal change in March win out (more sunlight, earth’s tilt). Summer’s on its last legs, and this year those legs have been mighty thin.

  36. While the temps haven’t been spectacularly low, the humidity has, practically all summer. I’ve put my AC on in my car twice all summer: TWICE. Had my windows and moon-roof open on many occasions, but almost no need for AC. That is remarkable.

    Did someone say Pumpkin Spice latte? Not my favorite drink, but its return heralds fall, as well as the signs posted at CVS for Halloween candy.

    Early foliage this year for sure. I’m seeing signs of that already. Probably due to: a. Cooler weather, especially at night; b. Lack of rainfall.

  37. Nunavut cam:

    http://www.camcentral.com/camviewer.php?script=listings&task=list&item=location&show=Canada&page=5&id=17446

    Don’t be fooled by the forecast that suggests the temps will rise into the mid to upper 50s later this week. Environment Canada has been saying that for a long time. It’s been damp, cold, and miserable in Nunavut for a long time. Today it’s especially bad, with temps in the low 40s. The people up there really look forward to summer as a chance to thaw out. This year they’ve barely tasted summer, and it’s already headed in the opposite direction.

  38. Philip mentioned that Alaska has been warm this summer. That is true, at least for interior sections. Also, parts of Scandinavia have been warm this summer. There haven’t been many other areas that have reported warmer than average temps in the Northern Hemisphere. Different story in the Southern Hemisphere, and also near the equator. It’s been well above average across most of the Southern Hemisphere as well as the equatorial region of Africa.

  39. Fascinating stuff Joshua. Thank you for sharing.

    Frankly, I’d be surprised by 90+ temperatures in September. It certainly happens, but this year? We shall see. At this point, who needs it.

        1. With the GFS, it is not portrayed to be particularly strong.
          It would mostly be a rain event, which presents its
          own problems.

          Again, 3 models, 3 completely DIFFERENT solutions
          at this time. 😀

    1. They’re due, that’s for sure. Will it be this one? Who knows? Time will tell.

      I’ll say one thing. From observing the CMC during Hurricane season the last several years, I see it as being far superior to both the GFS and the Euro in predicting the strength and path of tropical systems. In some cases, it has even outperformed the hurricane models! 😀

      1. I agree OS on the CMC becoming a superior model for tropical systems. It can be a slightly overdone in the strength dept at times but it has been much better than EURO and GFS. Euro has been abysmal in medium-long range tropical activity.

        1. Yes, I’ve seen it overcook a few times, but it has been great on catching onto to a wave even developing and has
          been pretty good at predicting the path. I can live with
          the strength variability as long as we know that is what it does. Let’s see how it does with this one.

            1. HI! I’ve been reduced to my non admin self for a short while. 😉

              Server work means I can’t get in as WHW or do any admin. But I’m out here anyway… 😛

  43. Once I am able to log on as WHW I will be updating the blog. 🙂

    In the mean time I’m just playing fan-boy. 😉

    1. For a bit, you’re actually like one of us. 😀

      Please keep the HHH away for the rest of the Summer, even IF the trade off
      is less SNOW for the Winter.

    2. Listen TK, didn’t I tell you to stay away from my site, you troll! 😉

      Sorry just having some fun. 😀

        1. It was just I. I couldn’t decide what I wanted to be as a kid and it still shows… 😉

  45. Ok back up and running! Working on an update!

    Hey we might have 1 or 2 days that feel like Summer next week!

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