EvoLOWtion

309 Comments

11:26PM

No big changes for this update. The evolution of low pressure is going to take place as described in the previous post, resulting in an unsettled to stormy period of weather Tuesday into Friday. The system has quite a bit of energy with it, so one change is to add a risk of thunder with some of the heaviest rain bands. There is still a little uncertainty as to where the heaviest bands will set up, but it appears that the most likely area for heaviest rain will be northern MA northward from the first impulse Tuesday night/Wednesday and anywhere in the region from a second impulse Wednesday night/Thursday. It should all wind down on Friday as low pressure starts to pull away to the east and the wind turns more to the north, pulling drier air in. It still looks like a breezy weekend, coolest on Sunday, but for this update going to ease up on the degree of the chill over what was forecast in the previous blog.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
OVERNIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Increasing chance of showers. Lows 50-55. Wind light S to SE.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Periods of showers, locally heavy, with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs around 60. Wind SE to E 5-15 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain, possibly heavy, especially northern MA and southeastern NH. Chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. Wind E to NE 10-20 MPH, higher gusts along the coast.
WEDNESDAY: Overcast. Periods of rain, possibly heavy. Chance of thunderstorms. Areas of fog. Temperatures steady in the 50s. Wind NE 10-20 MPH with higher gusts especially along the coast.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Periods of rain, possibly heavy. Chance of thunderstorms. Areas of fog. Temperatures steady in the 50s. Wind NE 15-25 MPH.
THURSDAY: Overcast. Periods of rain. Areas of fog. Temperatures falling to around 50. Wind NE 15-25 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Lingering rain showers. Low 45. High 55.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny and windy. Passing PM shower. Low 45. High 62.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy and windy. Low 40. High 53.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 38. High 59.

309 thoughts on “EvoLOWtion”

  3. Thanks TK !

    A wide range of cloud types in the sky morning.

    Plenty of mid and high level clouds.

    I can see a few low stratus towards the eastern horizon.

    And ….. where it wasn’t 100 % cloudy, could see what looked like a very tall cumulus cloud on the southeast horizon. The outline of the cloud was bright yellow due to the just risen sun. It made the cloud look quite ominous.

  6. If you would care to take in DT’s OFFICIAL Winter 14-15 forecast, click on
    his site and download a powerpoint presentation. Tons of details to back up his
    forecast. He may be wrong, but he does back up his forecast.

    http://wxrisk.com

    Click on his 2nd link for the details. It would be the link that states:

    PRELIM long Winter preview 2014-2015

    Have fun. It is intense. I do hope he is correct, but as we all know he can be
    extreme. 😀

    1. Extreme? That guy is wrong way more than he’s right, it came to a time when I couldn’t take it anymore 🙂

        1. I looked at it, but it’s the same just about every year or usually has a bias towards snow everytime 🙂

      2. I remember reading his stuff on the old ne.weather usenet group back in the mid to late 90s. He was intense back then (actually he was pretty nasty to anyone who dared disagree with him).

    2. I’m just not sure old salty . But I believe tk through out another hint at the end of last blog with the warm weather coming in the end of the month and into November. He is seeing somthing for sure for him to keep sticking his neck out like this it’s not his style. Time will tell. Need to get ready to bring my wife to hospital .

    1. And let’s hope January and February will as well . I think once Halloween hits the holidays are here and gone like that so I think November and December fly by.

  9. John good luck. Hope all goes well.
    As far as winter goes TK and NOAA are the only two I have seen calling for below normal snowfall and above normal temps.
    Everyone else is going with a colder and snowier winter including a meteorology professor at Western CT State University who is thinking snowfall will be 10 to 12 percent above normal.

    1. It’s just hard for me to go against tk right now. Yes I’ve heard the other forcasts but in a few weeks tk will explain his. Thanks for well wishes she is getting her defibulator replaced so mr mom and nurse till at least Thursday. I’ll let you all know how it went 1pm surgery.

  10. I think were going to get something in the middle from what TK is saying and the colder and snowier winter that the majority are predicting.
    The late meteorologist Dr. Mel Goldstein here in CT would always when October and November average below normal in temperature that is when we TEND to have our cold and snowy winters. The opposite happens when the temperatures of those two months average above normal. He would 75%-80% of the time this would happen for the winter.

  11. DT backs it up with good info, can’t just dismiss him. Read it and make it your own determination. But he provides a ton of good info.

    1. Hadi,

      Agree. That is why I stated that he at least backs up what he was saying
      with reasonable evidence. Still does NOT mean that he will be correct. 😀

      I, for one, Hope that he is.

      Can’t dismiss what TK and NOAA are saying either.

      Like I said several days ago, DART TIME!!!!

  13. Winter Forecast 2013-2014
    Posted on November 20, 2013 by Woods Hill Weather

    7:05PM

    This is it. A simple forecast without scientific explanations of why I think the winter is going to turn out the way I am about to describe. We can get into that type of discussion in the comments section below if anybody desires to do that.

    Last year, I forecast it to be chilly and dry to start the winter, and stormy/snowy the 2nd part of the winter. I didn’t quite get the first part right. It wasn’t overly stormy, but it was mild, so temperatures were under-forecast. The second half of the winter panned out pretty well.

    So, what’s coming this season? November can often be a sign of the pattern for at least the first half of the winter, and taking that into account along with the current and predicted states of the important atmospheric and oceanic parameters, I think what you see is what you get from now into if not through January. It’s a dry pattern, and I see that continuing. Temperatures will fluctuate but average below normal in the longer term. Most of our precipitation events will come in the form of rain showers at the end of brief mild spells when northern jet stream storm systems pass north of the region. Secondary cold fronts may produce snow showers and squalls from time to time. If a clipper type storm rides a little further to the south with cold air in place, that is when we will see most of our snowfall events, and they would be on the lighter side in general. The southern jet stream will be quieter than average, and when storms do get going down to the south, they stand a better than even chance of grazing the region or moving offshore and staying too far away to have major impact.

    The second half of the winter will likely have longer mild spells, but more significant blasts of cold air, balancing the overall temperatures out to near normal. With less certainty I say that we continue the drier than normal pattern, but with more activity than the first half of the winter resulting in a few chances for significant precipitation events. Most of the accumulating snow in southern New England will probably occur during February and the first half of March before dropping off as we head toward the start of Spring.

    Summary…

    Precipitation: Below normal.

    Snow: Near to below normal (25-35 inches Cape Cod and South Coast, 30-40 inches for Boston area, 40-55 inches elsewhere with highest amounts interior eastern MA and southern NH).

    Temperature: Below normal.

    Month-by-Month…

    December: Temperature near to below normal. Precipitation below normal. Snow below normal.

    January: Temperature below normal. Precipitation below normal. Snow near to below normal.

    February: Temperature near to below normal. Precipitation near to below normal. Snow near normal.

    March: Temperature near normal. Precipitation near normal. Snow near to below normal.

    3. TK was 50% accurate with his winter prediction for last year. I believe 50% is an above average grade for forecasting 4 months out.

      I got this info from the attached linked but not sure if I read it correctly. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=box

      Actual Records for Logan
      December 2013:
      Temp: -1.4 below normal (TK = Correct)
      Precip: +.84″ above normal (TK = Incorrect)
      Snow: +2.7″ above normal (TK = Incorrect)

      January 2014:
      Temp: -1.6 below normal (TK = Correct)
      Precip: -.12″ below normal (TK = Correct)
      Snow: +8.9″ above normal (TK = Incorrect)

      February 2014:
      Temp: -2.7 below normal (TK = Correct)
      Precip: +.88″ above normal (TK = Incorrect)
      Snow: +12″ above normal (TK = Incorrect)

      March 2014:
      Temp: -4.8 below normal (TK = Correct)
      Precip: +.16″ above normal (TK = Incorrect technically but darn close)
      Snow: -5.6″ below normal (TK = Correct)

  14. Definite coastal front in place …

    Fairly busy S and SE winds over Cape Cod and extreme southeast Mass, temps and dewpoints nearing 60F. North and west of that, very light winds, draining a bit from the north, temps in low 50s, dewpoints in upper 40s.

    Thus, I am interested in those showers around the Providence area. I don’t know if all the upper support went with that rain area just out to sea, but if there’s anything of upper support from the RI rain area, it certainly has a surface convergence boundary to work with.

  15. Thanks Coastal 🙂
    I strive to do much better this year but I am in such a vast minority going this way so far…

  17. Remember that hurricane that hit Bermuda the other day. Well, in no time it raced across the Atlantic and is a major `south-wester’ storm (as the Dutch call it). Wind gusts approaching 65mph, with sustained gale-force winds all day.

    By the way, it is very cold in Moscow, and will likely stay that way for a while. By contrast, last year the cold in Eastern Europe never really got going until February. North America was the cold spot last year. Don’t think that will be the case this year. I think most of the extreme cold will remain in Asia and Eastern Europe, with almost no extreme cold outbreaks in the Continental 48. Does not mean no snow. Just means a very difficult weather pattern from last year. I also think it’ll be very wet most of the winter, and unfortunately a lot of it in the form of rain.

  18. I was about to post how pleasantly surprised i was that today has actually been a nice day and wondering where this big bad nor’easter was. It has recently started ti rain here, lol

    1. Actually ace Harvey lauded to this last night thinking rain would hold off till later in the day and said 60 most likely for boston but also said it will be warmest day of the week.

  20. 66 where I am! Much better than predicted…and they think they can predict an entire winter. 🙂

  26. JJ maybe he will have a hot hand and not turn over the ball. They are bad on defense due to so many injuries. On offense they have tons of talent but have not put it together and turnovers just kill you. I actually like Mcoy bc he doesn’t have much pressure on him. As I said the RGIII haters can go away bc clearly Kirk Cousins is not the answer. RGIII had a brilliant rookie year and never should have played last year so he can’t be judged yet. Not fair to say he’s a bust.

  27. I like our chances bc the pressure is on the Cowboys and these games are always good and close. I take the skins 28-21 on this one.

  28. I heard most mets say today would be the best of the next 3 last night on the news and warmest so I was expecting this.

  29. Most people missed last winter. I wouldn’t dismiss DT bc he is putting real science and real data behind his forecast. I would like to hear what TK ‘s analysis is for forecasting a warm and wet winter rather than just his forecast.

    1. And then the sun came out and while it was out we had some sprinkles. The sky is now part blue sky and part dark clouds. GREAT autumn day!

    1. Lots of upper level energy there, but not much going on at the surface, at least in our neck of the woods yet

  35. Actually today is going pretty much as expected. A bit more sun in some (not all) areas with the dry slot than I thought we’d see, but who’s gonna complain about that?

    1. It was never going to rain for 4 days straight though.
      🙂

      It was more that we’d be impacted by this complex system for those 4 days, and we will be. But you knew that anyway. 🙂

      1. Oh yeah, however, earlier on it was touted by some as
        a 4 day N’oreaster. 😀
        Not saying you, of course.

  37. At least on their websites …

    For next Tuesday, ch 5 is predicting 75F, ch 4 : 58F, ch 7 : 68F.

    I’ll take 85F, if someone wants to go with 45F and we should have it covered.

    2. Like I said, Put the numbers on the wall and THROW A DART AT IT!!!!

      As DT said, it sucks moose balls.

  38. Thanks guys for the well wishes. Just got home and she is resting comfortably, all went well. A neighbor is bringing by dinner.

  40. From DT re: The Weatherless Channel

    Wxrisk.com

    WEATHER CHANNEL OUT OF CONTROL… “MILLIONS THREATENED BY RAINSTORM..” MILLIONS???

  42. Hello!! Busy busy finishing up the year, the local lakes and ponds are up from last week, but still low for this time of year, if we could just receive 2-3 inches of rain over this 3 day period we could make up a lot of the deficit. Very unlikely ik 🙂

    1. To put it into perspective:

      Philadelphia, which received a whopping 68.9 inches last season, is forecast to close this season with snow totals just above normal. New York City will likely follow suit.

      The I-95 corridor and eastward could fall victim to changeover systems, which will provide a messy wintry mix at times.

  45. For a while today, at the surface, SE winds had made there way all the way up to Logan, I believe.

    Well, using TK’s title, I think were continuing to see some evolution of the low, because the surface winds are coming back around to the N. I dont know if its just the coastal front collapsing to the SE or the low getting its act together south and east of us, before it retrogrades back to the north and west tomorrow and tomorrow night.

  47. Our friends at Accuweather and their 45 day outlook, now extends to December 4th.

    Some interesting news.

    Mark December 1st on your calendar ….. (a shocker, start of meteorological winter) as the first wintry event. Mixed rain and snow in Boston, but enter a suburb North and west of Boston and it looks like snow and ice (yes, ice … with an expected high of 42F).

    Make sure YOU are hosting Thanksgiving because its going to rain. Nothing like staying dry while the relatives get soaked.

    Just so thankful for all of this extra notice.

    1. ROTFLMAO 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆
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      😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆
      😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆
      😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆
      😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆
      😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆
      😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆

    1. Good lift there. That’s representing the development responding to the energy diving southeastward. This would be a slow-evolving but insane snowstorm if it were January.

        1. Slowly. It’s still going to be in patches and bands through the day tomorrow. It’s tomorrow night when the big stuff gets here (here being eastern MA and adjacent areas).

          2. And that’s exactly what Harvey said tonight it’s tomorrow night and Thursday morning that we get the heavy rains .

  49. TK. We are working with a client on the NH seacoast early thurs am. Is that still supposed to receive the lions share of the storm (perhaps a bit south of lions share). I was wondering how the drive will be thank you

    1. Current timing suggests heaviest rain will be over by shortly after midnight, but there still will be bands of light to moderate rain through Thursday.

  50. Just downloaded the mobile channel 4 weather app for android. Nice. Just watched Erics 6 pm forecast. Same as tk. Hmmm

        1. Haha, something tells me he would get a laugh out of it. I hope to meet him if he comes to the ski show in boston in a few weeks

          1. TK, is that Saturday meeting referring to the SNE Weather Conference? I’ll be there too, first time going 🙂

  51. BZ hired a new weekend morning meteorologist. Her name is Pamela Gardner and comes from a station in Indianapolis. She starts sometime in December.

  52. After tommorrow it appears everyday to finish out October should be 60+ degrees, could be a 70+ degree day in there, will c 🙂

    55.3 degrees pcloudy

    1. I don’t think Thursday or Friday will reach 60, and Sunday may not. Next week we may have a cooler finish (50s). Other days should be mild. If 70+ happens it’ll be Tuesday or Wednesday next week.

  53. SOLID game by the Bruins. 3 goals in the 3rd period to reverse a 3-2 deficit to a 5-3 victory. 🙂

  57. Couldn’t have asked for a worse case scenario with my driveway. I kept it spotless the last few days and ready for the rain (my driveway slopes down and there is a drainage grate outside the garage doors to collect water). Woke up this morning to find the driveway covered with leaves…I mean COVERED. The grate was clogged. I cleaned it the best I could which was hard as they were wet. Stopped by again after school drop off and new leaves took over. It’s a losing battle, but if the grate is clogged I get flooded. The damn wind keeps blowing more leaves in. Going to be a long few days.

      1. Thanks. At work watching the radar. Sounds like heavy rain will be later tonight…I am leaving work at 2pm today anyway so guessing I will be OK until I can get home again.

        1. Ugh!!! Good luck with that. Anyway you can put a barricade around the Drain to stop the leaves. Maybe take some of that orange fencing or chicken wire lay it over the drain. Put blocks on barrier so it won’t blow away. The drain would still be able to collect the water but prevent the leaves from plugging it up

  61. Even though the big rain area hasn’t made it up from the south, I can report that the drizzle is transitioning to some actual rain. So perhaps this south shore area is about to intensify as well.

  62. This would be on heck of a snowstorm in January. We have a high to the north and a”cut off” low just feeding moisture in. Please lets have a repeat,lets say for everyone on the evening of 12-24. I think that would make everyone happy, snoe lovers and haters.

    1. I for one don’t think it would make many people happy as it would keep families from being together. I’ll take another day please.

      1. I agree Vicki. To many families traveling and Christmas is a very special time of year nobody bad weather to wreck it. The perfect Christmas snow too me is a sugar costing Xmas morning with no travel disruption and all day flurry activity with nothing sticking.

        1. I absolutely agree re sugar coating. I understand that we have absolutely no control over when it will snow and how much but I sure won’t wish it for then.

          1. I guess I was trying to put a date that wouldn’t impact people so let’s say the following weekend on a Saturday night.

    1. Thanks. It does have an iron grate on it with wire mesh…problem is, leaves still blow and get stuck on it so they have to be removed manually. Next house will have a driveway that slopes AWAY from the house.

  64. Scary footage on CNN from Canada re the soldier shot at the memorial and then shots fired in Parliament in Canada (Ottowa)

          1. Thank you, Keith. I found it and it is much better than CNN. The woman reporting on CNN was driving me nuts.

  65. No Rain in Boston, just a steady, Yucky, Wind Driven DRIZZLE!!! 👿
    MISERABLE out there and the main event hasn’t even started yet. 😀

    1. I have a feeling if this were winter, most of us would be disappointed in the storm to this point. The heavy stuff may still get here, but its having a tough time. Looks like we might miss some of it to the south then again to the north, leaving us in the middle of a drizzly raw hole 👿

      1. drizzly raw hole

        ROTFLMAO

        Ace, you have been on a ROLL!!!!

        We shall see. BUT looking at the radar, the stuff from the South
        looks to be slowly rotating its way up here. I think it’s still coming.

  66. Does the new tropical depression coming out of the gulf have a chance to get close if it re-emerges east of cuba?

  67. Good afternoon, what a miserable raw kinda day, disgusting but I’m not gonna complain as there haven’t been many the last few months,

    Been drizzling off and on for the entire day thus far, temp is 53.3 degrees. Good day 🙂

  68. This is once again an overhyped event. My goodness, on Sunday or Monday anyone looking at the weather channel, accuweather, and some of the local forecasts as well, would have thought this week would bring flooding and misery. Thus far, it’s been very little rain and very little wind. Really nothing to write home about in the Boston area. I have my doubts Boston will even get an inch of rain out of all this (I mean for the duration of the event). Perhaps there will be lots of rain later this evening, but I’m skeptical.

  69. Hype? you be the judge. The NWS has issued a WIND ADVISORY:

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
    ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY.

    * LOCATION…NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING THE BOSTON
    METROPOLITAN AREA.

    * WINDS…NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH…MAINLY
    TONIGHT.

    * TIMING…NORTHEAST WINDS MAY GUST BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL COME TONIGHT WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE. THE HIGHEST OF THESE WINDS WILL BE ACROSS COASTAL ESSEX COUNTY.

    * IMPACTS…THESE STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN SOME DOWNED TREE
    LIMBS AND EVEN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. THE HEAVY RAIN COMBINED
    WITH MANY FULLY LEAFED TREES WILL LIKELY EXACERBATE THE
    POTENTIAL FOR DOWNED TREE LIMBS.

  70. Considering how large the gap between the sustained winds and gusts (15-25mph vs. 50mph) I’d have to guess the higher wind gusts would only come down during the heavier showers/thunderstorms.

    1. That can certainly be true, but I have to say, here in Boston it is pretty windy
      with some healthy gusts (I’d say to 35 mph or so) with only drizzle going on.

      Actually, the 3 PM Logan Obs indicates gusts to 39 mph.

    1. Last 2 obs at nearby airport show gusts to 34 and 35 kts.

      Out at Logan, its gusting to 39kts and if my memory is on target, Plymouth gusted to 42.

        1. It is, however, excruciatingly slow!

          If this was a snowstorm advancing I’d be going nuts, but then with this set up in Winter with an Arctic High, would probably be knee deep in Ocean effect snow anyway. 😀

  74. It is way out, but Eric Fisher is mentioning the 12Z GFS for Halloween showing snow all the way to the coast….I doubt it very much, but there is a history there as we all know with events this day..

    1. Who is this JAY guy. I may be reading it incorrectly, but that looks like
      a post from some guy named Jay and NOT from Eric.

      If data was from GFS, clearly NO SNOW on the coast.

      If it was another model, so be it. 😀

    1. Eric Fisher @ericfisher · 6m 6 minutes ago
      Wind Advisory has also been expanded to include the South Shore coastline through Plymouth. #wbz

  79. I’m in Boston. I’ve been outside. Not much wind, not much of anything except drizzle and maybe 15mph wind. Maybe it’s really windy right now? I don’t know. I’ll be outside in a half hour.

    1. Go to the coast after 9PM and you will see this event will live up to or beyond expectation. Only one outlet over hyped it and we know who that was. 🙂

  80. Joshua gusts are pretty decent out there, Boston had one at 39 and Plymouth at 43. I would say that’s pretty windy. I would also caution before saying a dud on precip is wait until the main bulk of precip that was forecasted for tonight and tomorrow morning.

    1. At 4PM Boston (Logan) reporting steady from North at 25 with gusts to 35 mph.

      Spoke to my wife awhile ago and she was reporting pretty good winds in JP.

      Looks windy outside my office.

      Blue hill gusting to 41
      Plymouth to 38
      Oddly Hyannis to 29

      Here’s another one:

      Chatham NE at 8 mph.

    1. Yes hadi it’s whipping here all day long. Just came from Braintree and the same there. If this cranks up tonight as planned maybe power issues here tonight. My son said the lights flickered all day in school.

  82. Cloudy Breezy, Drizle been going on all day, lots of leaves now down, temperature 46 degrees… wind is coming from the northeast and north direction

  85. Familiarize yourselves with NWS definitions for advisories etc if you are not familiar. It helps you to understand the information.

    1. I’ve been around here all day coastal and it’s been raining here since this morning with as I’ve been saying the strong winds.

  87. Logan 5:39 PM obs
    Wind gust to 44 knots = 50 mph.

    It’s surely getting there.

    Pretty impressively windy here.

  89. Driveway battle continues…have now cleaned it 5 times today. I don’t say this often but I would like the rain to start as it will stop the long wind ride the leaves are taking. It is spotless right now and hoping it won’t get too bad.

    1. I was trying to think what you could do. Can you make a rectangular wooden box with tall sides to keep leaves out. Actually that would probably trap them. It has to be horribly frustrating.

  90. There are some extremely intense looking echoes on radar southeast of Long Island, heading northwest. Wonder if they can maintain intensity to land.

        1. we’ll need a dopplar shot post storm that shows how much precip fell.

          It will have a 10 inch bullseye over the ocean south of us. 🙂

  93. Location Max wind time/date comments gust of mph measurement

    Massachusetts

    …Essex County… 5 WNW Beverly 47 520 PM 10/22 ASOS Rockport 46 455 PM 10/22 amateur radio

    …Norfolk County… 3 SSW Milton 49 504 PM 10/22 ASOS

    …Plymouth County… Scituate 48 509 PM 10/22 Humarock Beach 4 SW Plymouth 46 426 PM 10/22 ASOS

    …Suffolk County… 1 N East Boston 51 515 PM 10/22 ASOS Winthrop 47 452 PM 10/22 amateur radio

    Rhode Island

    …Washington County… Block Island 46 515 PM 10/22 AWOS

    1. I was very impressed by how quickly the winds ramped up.

      Our winds have certainly relaxed. It seemed that from 2 to 4pm was the craziest of the wind here.

  94. Just catching up here on the posts but first thought I would report that power is out in a good deal of Cohasset as well as parts of Hingham (not my area so far).

      1. Still whipping around pretty good here in the Hingham / Hull area…gusts of 41 and 47 were just reported at two different stations in Hull

      1. Lights are flickering at my location in Hingham…can’t tell if it’s the wind or if Hingham Light is switching relays.

  95. This storm looks to be ramping up more than expected? Even here in Plymouth NH the wind is howling. Mt. Washington has gusted near 90mph. Should be a fun night.

    1. The power outages and damaging winds weren’t expected as much as I am hearing. A least not from what I heard. I heard two trees down in Cambridge too.

  97. Special marine warnings all along the south coast for a line of severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and capable of producing a brief waterspout!!!! This system is starting to give some surprises.

    1. Yes for what has happened for the rain, but I didnt do a good job paying attention to the wind. That part has surprised me.

  100. As Ace accurately described earlier this afternoon, the rain is not really getting up here. Looks like it’s staying more south and to the west.

    1. Havent seen any real rains here yet, just a persistent heavy mist/drizzle all day. The wind has surprised me i gotta admit. Large limb just came down accross the street

  102. Top of Blue Hill gusting to 51 kts.

    Marshfield, Plymouth and Cape are also starting to see their temps crawl back up again, headed towards 60F.

  105. Parts of pembroke without power and just flickered here. Like I’ve said the wind has been crazy here all day but has now ramped up even more.

    1. Yes …… I guess I set my personal expectations for the biggest winds north of Boston, so …. I’m surprised how windy it still is south of Boston and ….. for a couple of hrs in mid afternoon and again in the last hour, the winds have been quite intense. Driving back from errands this evening, there are some decent size branches down on the roadsides.

      1. I believe I just heard thunder. I’m not exaggerating on the wind here it is just intense. It realy is at a high level.

  110. If we go by the obs, Marshfield and PTown just had their highest gusts of the day.

    Perhaps these convective showers can transport the winds aloft down to the surface even more then we’ve seen today.

    Radar ….. Noticing another shower or two developing just north of Nantucket.. Thinking the next several hours see the generation of SE to NW oriented lines of convective showers/storms.

  111. Really nasty here in Hingham….Like John said it’s raining sideways. Thunder heard just a minute ago. Lights still on here.

  117. Convective showers mixing winds to surface ….

    at 9:16pm, under heavy rain, New Bedford gusted to 48 kts !! Most recently, under light rain, the wind gust is back in the mid 20s.

    The speed at which the showers/storms are moving NW are indicative of the winds above and as long as storms keep going through the night, no wind gust directly under an intense shower will surprise me.

  118. 10/22/2014 0714 PM

    Cambridge, Middlesex County.

    Non-thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio.

    Tree down blocking Memorial drive near Harvard University

    10/22/2014 0716 PM

    Cambridge, Middlesex County.

    Non-thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio.

    Tree down on Alewife brook Parkway at mass Avenue

    10/22/2014 0737 PM

    Billerica, Middlesex County.

    Non-thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio.

    Trees down on treble Cove Road and Middlesex Turnpike

    10/22/2014 0757 PM

    Wakefield, Middlesex County.

    Non-thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio.

    Tree down on aborn Avenue

    10/22/2014 0757 PM

    Lowell, Middlesex County.

    Non-thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio.

    Tree down on Railroad tracks

    10/22/2014 0805 PM

    Belmont, Middlesex County.

    Non-thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio.

    Tree and wires down on school street at Bow Road

    10/22/2014 0810 PM

    Waltham, Middlesex County.

    Non-thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio.

    Two large trees down on Waverly Oaks Road at Shirley Road

    10/22/2014 0814 PM

    Ashland, Middlesex County.

    Non-thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio.

    Tree down on four unoccupied cars on Butterfield drive

    10/22/2014 0830 PM

    Natick, Middlesex County.

    Non-thunderstorm wind damage, reported by amateur radio.

    Tree down blocking Woodland Road

  124. Deep rolls of thunder right now here in the Hingham area…sounds totally different than the usual thunder. No lightning noted. Really eerie kind of night.

      1. I was thinking the same thing John. My wife went to bed but I think I’ll sack out on the couch and read for awhile. Looks like another line pivoting NW through our area shortly. Doesn’t look quite as strong as the last one.

        1. Still pouring here but again thunder and lightning has gone away as for at least now. I suspect it will be back. Like u said this just seems to be a pattern repeating itself.

  125. In winter, we’re now into the part of the storm (ahem, cough … that has arrived after the storm has busted comments 🙂 🙂 🙂 ) …. which ends up delivering thundersnow, 2-3 inch snow rates per hour and usually verifies or overacheives the snowfall forecasts.

  126. Winds are howling here in Quincy. Heavy downpours and then back to drizzle. Its a good night to lay in bed and listen to the wind. Looking forward to the winter. Good Night All!

    1. Or scary night to lay in bed as I’m about to do. Just insane here. I’m in my bedroom and it’s like I’m outside with the sound of that wind. Crazy but I’ll admit kinda cool. Only here lol.

  127. Keith oddly it is exact opposite here. Vivid lightening but thunder pretty weak with only a few exceptions. Sounds as if you guys are having one heck of a night.

  129. Watch this be the biggest and strongest nor’easter of the season. Anyway off to bed and nothing better than falling asleep to the rain and wind.

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