Saturday Forecast Update

123 Comments

11:18AM

SUMMARY…

No changes to the previous discussion at this time.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

THIS AFTERNOON: Sun and passing clouds. Clouds more dominant in areas north of Boston especially northeastern MA and southern NH with a slight risk of a light rain shower. Highs in the 50s. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny morning. Mostly cloudy afternoon with a chance of rain showers. Highs in the 50s. Wind N 5-15 MPH shifting to NE.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Episodes of drizzle and a chance of rain. Lows 40-45. Highs 45-50.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 35-40. Highs 50-55.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 40s. Highs around 60 but cooler coastal areas.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the 40s. Highs around 60, cooler coast.

123 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast Update”

  1. Thanks TK! I’m a bit more optimistic about late next week. The latest guidance takes an area of low pressure well south and east of New England. Once we get past Tuesday, the weather looks to improve with more seasonal temps. Looking way out, it looks to want to warm to above average temps the following week at least temporarily. Of course this is all subject to change 😀

    1. I can see that as a potential outcome. We did finally get that string of mild days while I was away visiting Summer in Florida, but now we’re a bit stuck in the cool. We’ll see if we can get things to flip around and stay that way for a while. One thing that would help is to reconfigure the upper pattern over western North America and the Pacific. Another thing we need is some warming of water, which of course takes pretty much forever around here. 😉

      1. I know. I’ve heard! I shall step aside and let people make some REAL guesses as to what is shown in the photo. 🙂

          1. Some gourmet magazine…..

            No I think you’ve mentioned it here in the past. 😀

            1. Don’t remember that. Maybe I did.

              I’m not any gourmet chef that’s for sure.
              My wife and I could make the same meal and trust me you would rather eat hers.

              Mine is passable, but not gourmet.

              I’m a functional cook is all.

    3. I can’t see photo as am out in sun so this doesn’t count as real guess but for now will say ash from volcano

        1. Daughter does it big. A carryover from horse days. That’s what the picture is on my FB page from last year…..hence the hats 🙂

  5. 55 in Taunton which is the “warm spot” around this area on a day like this.
    They never had a chance at 60 today. No chance.

  6. Today is almost the opposite of yesterday despite being the same…
    What do I mean?
    Yesterday, clouds were concentrated away from the coast until the very end of the day.
    Today, clouds are more concentrated within 25 miles of the coast. They are NOT ocean clouds, however. They are diurnal clouds developing due to cold air aloft.

  7. Coolish for mid to upper 50s. Car thermometer briefly read 57 in wayland late pm. I think my internal thermometer broke when I had norovirus. I wish it would fix itself. It never feels cool to me

  9. Chilly breeze by the water today. Spent the afternoon at Stodder’s Neck park in Hingham. Let the dog off leash for a bit but she had a mind of her own. Really nice park though.

  10. The latest CPC Outlook shows the entire CONUS (including NE for a change) with above normal temps heading into the month of May so after next week hopefully we should be all done with frosts/freezes/flakes until at least October.

    Do you agree on that TK?…and does Logan see 70 next weekend? 😀

  11. Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    A one inch diameter hail stone is about the size of a …
    A. Dime
    B. Pea
    C. Quarter
    D. Golf ball

    Answer later today.

  12. Next weekend warmth ……….

    I’m not fully in with this idea.

    These blocky patterns dont break down easy and late this week, there’ll be a coastal system sliding out underneath us, which might turn the surface winds NE and recovering from that alone in springtime can be tough.

    Heard 68F Saturday and 75-80 Sunday, but I think that might be pushing things for next weekend.

    1. I would be happy with 60-65 which I feel is obtainable for next weekend with moderating temps thereafter.

    2. Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi 2h2 hours ago
      Sudden Summer on the way. Places from N plains to northeast/ma still using heat this week, will have air conditioners humming next week!

      1. It may not be quite that drastic but certainly there are some signs that we finally bust out of this cool damp pattern next weekend and beyond.

        1. I sure hope so. It would be nice.

          Prior to that, not liking what I see for May 1st.
          Not one little bit. We’ll see what the 12Z runs show.

          1. I think it stays far enough away from us not to bother anyone. However, it is likely to result in another mostly cloudy cool raw day with NE winds.

            1. Hope you are correct. IF it’s still there on the GFS with the 12Z run, my UGH meter will be rising.

              1. Even so, remember…still 6 days away. Lot’s can change between now and then. I don’t take the models too seriously until we get within 48-72 hours of the event. No matter what happens, the pattern looks to change for the better thereafter. Nothing better than a good dose of rain prior to sun and warmer temps. The trees, flowers and grass will enjoy it 😀

                1. For sure. I’m just worried because it was there days ago, went poof and now it is back. When that happens, it often spells trouble. Doesn’t mean it will happen, but it has meant that before.

      1. That’s a 6Z run, but I was posting the maps for 18Z or with DST, 2PM. High temps probably realized between 19Z and 20Z.
        But they don’t have a map that far out for those times. 😀

      1. Jim Cantore ‏@JimCantore 5m5 minutes ago
        Should be an interesting week as models fine tune low pressure traveling along northern gulf to east coast potentially as a nor’easter…

          1. As long as it doesn’t get stretched out to another and another and another all the way to June. 😈

            It would help IF that water would warm.

            Water temp is 42 and 43 at the 2 buoys off shore.

            1. Agreed. It gets discouraging when warmth continues to get delayed. I do think we have a real shot of breaking out of this next weekend and beyond. For how long? Nobody knows.

            2. Ironically, I’m siding towards a hotter than normal summer, because the northern plains are drier than normal and I think there’s opportunity to cook up some very hot carcasses out there, that pieces occasionally will break off of and push through our area.

              In the meantime, iced over Hudson Bay and the Atlantic are ruling and I do find it frustrating because there are very few other similar latitude areas in the northern hemisphere that have to battle two similar cold control entities.

  16. M 6.7 Earthquake for 17km S of Kodari, Nepal
    6 hours ago · U.S. Geological Survey
    This alert has been updated.
    Posted 6 hours ago
    An earthquake with magnitude 6.7 occurred near KATHMANDU, Nepal at 07:09:08.90 UTC on Apr 26, 2015. (This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.)

    Geez, these poor people can’t catch a break. A 6.7 on top of the 7.8 or 7.9 yesterday.
    I can’t imagine the devastation.

    Death toll up to 1900 and still climbing.

      1. That is just horrific.
        I wonder how much today’s 6.7 after shock contributed?
        That’s when rescuers can get hurt or killed.

  17. C for the trivia answer.
    Those areas there and parts of the south and Gulf Coast have been getting hit left and right with showers and severe storms for a few days now. That is a seperate system that is affecting the Dallas Fort Worth area today.

      1. Agence France-Presse ✔@AFP
        AFP photographer Roberto Schmidt, at base camp on Everest when the quake struck, has sent back his first pictures

    1. He’s an injury waiting to happen.

      SHIP HIM OUT OF TOWN!!!

      The ironic thing is to make room for this BOZO, the Sox shipped Castillo to Pawtucket where he got injured. IF they kept him with the big club, then maybe
      he does not get injured. I HATE the way the Sox make personnel decisions!

      1. I believe they were hoping to move Victorino for value to another team, and that is one reason they played him. His injury changes that scenario. He is such a little bundle stuffed chock- full of big ego.

        You are right; it is a shame Castillo is injured.
        Now we have no true right fielder, the most difficult field to play at the Olde Ball Pahk.

        1. It cost them the game last night when Craig could not come up with the play. He looked like he had lead in his shoes. I want to see Castillo up here as soon as possible. I don’t know when that can be with the injury.

    1. Certainly. As it is, I don’t like the looks of some of the 850 mb charts.
      Will examine that in more depth as we get closer. FIM kept it warm enough.
      GFS marginal, but likely too warm. Euro colder still, in fact cold enough one would have to watch for the potential of at least “some” snow. Will monitor.

    1. We’re up to 55 at this hour. Heading for 60, unless the Atlantic cuts it off
      at the pass. 😀

  25. I think I heard that a Google executive died in the Mt. Everest avalanche generated by the quake.

  26. I see an aftershock of 6.7 occurred in Nepal. A scientist on the news yesterday said aftershocks up to 6.8 would be possible. I guess he was right on the money.

    That type of event is an vivid example of what the Earth can do, and how it can take away just as it gives.

  27. I often wonder if seismic events come in bunches. I know it’s halfway around the world but could the volcanic eruption in Chile last week somehow have had an indirect effect on the earthquakes in Nepal?

    1. Well, I surely do not know the answer to that; however, there was a significant tremor in Chile just days before Fukijima and there was some talk that perhaps that may have been a warning. The plate apparently is connected b/w Chile and Japan; I dunno ’bout Nepal.
      This stuff is beyond the imagination of someone in New England.

    2. Good questions Ace and good info MassBay. They are now saying fracking is adding to earthquakes so anything I suppose is possible. I don’t know if all plates are somehow connected.

    1. Am I correct that is May 2. Derby day? Better here than there, but would be happy if it were neither. Last year Derby Day here was glorious

      1. Bulk of system would come on Friday 5/1, not Saturday 5/2.
        Perhaps some lingering rain/showers Sat Am.

        0Z 5/2 is still 8PM on 5/1. 😀

      1. Saturday at 2PM, 46 bleeping degrees along the coast!

        46()!@#(&*()!@#(*!@)(#*!(*@#()!*@#()*!(@#*(!@*#(*

        http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015042612/gfs_T2m_neus_26.png

        Sunday 2PM

        Recovers to near 60

        http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015042612/gfs_T2m_neus_30.png

        Near 70 on Monday

        http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015042612/gfs_T2m_neus_34.png

        80 or slightly above on Tuesday

        http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015042612/gfs_T2m_neus_38.png

        Looks to be cooler therafter

  31. Thanks tk 🙂

    Mostly cloudy, not to bad for a day at Gillette playing flag football. 56 degrees 🙂 Good times 🙂

  32. The east coast of southern Florida ……..

    Has westerly surface winds, sunny skies and temps in the mid 90s !

    Heat indices over 100F.

  38. Vicki are you and Mac watching the golf right now? It looks like there is going to be another great finish. I was happy Jim Furuyk won last week for the first time since September 2010 Tour Championship.

    1. Mac is watchjng JJ. He said to tell you it sure is a great match. And also he was happy about Jim Fs win last week

  39. Answer to Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    A one inch diameter hail stone is about the size of a …
    A. Dime
    B. Pea
    C. Quarter
    D. Golf ball

    The correct answer is C.

    1. Saw that once in my life on Rt. 95 in the Walpole/Sharon area.
      Part of a storm that caused extensive damage in Millis among other towns.
      It was several years ago and it was an evening storm after dark.
      Those things really banged off the car. Luckily it did not last long.

      I can’t begin to imagine 3 1/2 inch hail like the one currently in Texas.

  42. That radar image right there shows a well defined super cell.
    If there are no other storms near it has all the instability to feed off of with no interference. That area I believe the SPC put under a moderate risk for severe weather today.

  44. Jim Cantore retweeted
    NWS Miami ‏@NWSMiami 2h2 hours ago
    Ft Lauderdale just hit 96 degrees, which breaks their all time April record high of 95 degrees set back in 1935 and 1939!! #Aprilheat

    How can it be that hot in April???

  47. Mily just improved his ERA. as Baltimore scores 18!!!!!!!!!!!!! NOT!!!!
    Way to go turd Boy!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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