Thursday Forecast Update

50 Comments

7:32AM

DAYS 1-5…
An approaching disturbance will deliver lots of clouds today as a high pressure area moves away to the east. This disturbance won’t produce much in the way of rain and will then be pushed out of here by a cold front bringing a few showers during early Friday. High pressure builds in later Friday through Saturday with more nice weather. The next frontal system will approach on Sunday with a risk of showers/t-storms. We’ll have to continue to watch moisture from former Tropical Storm Bill that made landfall in Texas earlier in the week. This could enhance rainfall for some areas on Sunday. Drier weather returns by Monday.
TODAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Highs in the 60s coast, 70-75 interior. Wind E to SE 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Slight chance of very light rain. Lows around 60. Wind SE to variable up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Variably cloudy with scattered showers morning. Partly cloudy to mostly sunny afternoon. Highs in the 70s. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH early, shifting to W with higher gusts midday and afternoon.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 55-63. Highs 73-80.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Lows 60-65. Highs 68-75.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 70s.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 23-27)…
Fairly weather systems in a fast-moving jet stream. Dry start, wet middle, dry end to this period. Temperatures near to slightly below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 28-JULY 2)…
West to east jet stream in general over a ridge in the US Southeast. Cooler regime for eastern Canada. Southern New England will be near the battle zone with a few disturbances bringing shower and thunderstorm threats. Overall temperatures are expected to be near normal with rainfall near to below normal.

50 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast Update”

  4. Thank you very much. And TK even though I wasn’t first, I was sorta first thanks to you. Also thanks for a beautiful weather day 🙂

  5. John, I sent birthday wishes to Mrs John on the other blog but wanted to repeat them here in case you do not see them.

  7. Didn’t realize it is Vicki’s birthday. Happy Day to you!

    re: Weather
    Uninspirining ho hum.

    It’s funny, forecast calls for “cold” front to push out the cloudiness, when it’s already cold. I really do see the humor in that.

  11. Thank you all for the birthday wishes.

    I went to Google to look for something and noticed birthday cakes and cupcakes and fireworks in the header. I kidded my grandson that it was for me. Since Google typically uses graphics to depict a special day I hovered my mouse over it to see what it was for and Saw a happy birthday wish to me. I’m still laughing.

        1. hahaha – wiser….not so much. Well better not so much either. Thank you for your kind wish…it made me smile!

  15. I am watching the Open Vicki…. It feels like I am watching the British Open with this links style lay out. Its a public course and was a rock crorey. Mickelson is tied for the lead and I hope come Sunday night he is on top of the leaderboard.
    Were going to have prime time golf which is fun to watch. On the weekend FOX 2 pm – 10pm Saturday and Sunday 2-10:30pm
    FOX will also have prime time coverage tonight and Fri 8pm – 11pm.

    1. It is very exciting. I saw the players were not happy with the course but that always bothers me. I figure a good player should be able to play any course. And now I know why Mac asked me what channel FOX was on our TV.

      1. Generally speaking, they are all a bunch of pampered cry babies. There are exceptions to be sure.

        I have personally met and played some golf with an old school/old time PGA tour player, Chi Chi Rodriguez. I can tell you he is not
        anything at all like the current crop of players out there. He was and is a class act, down to earth guy. I actually enjoyed a couple
        of hot dogs with him. Yup regular ole hot dogs with mustard, relish and onions. 😀

        2. I’d love to see the photo and admired Chi Chi much. However, the one thing I do not see in golf is them being cry babies. It is the one sport where I see very little of that.

          1. Ok. All I will say in conclusion about cry babies is that I have been away from Golf for quite some time now. 😀
            Perhaps I am just jaded.

            Over the weekend I’ll see IF I can find the photo.

            1. Were you talking about pros or regular everyday golfers? I’d tend to agree in many cases for every day. Just not the pros.

    2. Enjoy the golf. I don’t have any particular player for whom I am rooting.
      I really don’t care who wins. Hope you all enjoy.

  17. In celebration of Vicki’s birthday today, CPC has issued their outlook for July, and each 3-month outlook from July-September 2015 through July-September 2016 today. I happen to agree with it almost completely.

    The current pattern (lack of heat) is not long term, but will last at least 2-3 more weeks before we flip to more of a classic Summer pattern starting with what was described in my Summer outlook and then transitioning more to a classic Bermuda High pattern for later July through early September.

    I like their idea of El Nino being dominant but not overly strong into next year. This is coming in a long-term regime where La Nina is actually more common than El Nino. If you look ahead in terms of our weather here in this area, this type of regime more often than not will mean a lower than normal amount of tropical threats, but a better shot at any storms that do reach the western part of the basin impacting the East Coast. Sounds contradictory, but think about it…

    Autumn will probably be mild and dry. Winter will probably be mild to seasonable and dry. Spring of 2016 would be dry and mild, with Summer 2016 being the classic hot Summer, starting dry and then being on watch for a drought-breaking pattern finally arriving at some point later in 2016. I know this looks way ahead and is subject to change, but wanted to share what I think could be in the cards going forward.

      1. Tom the cake was good we just had it. Thank you you had before suggested it. Perfect size for 3 of us.

        2. Girls were jealous you had Veronica’s. So glad you liked the cake John. Hope your wife’s birthday was perfect

    2. besides for the warmer than average winter and dry conditions in winter, I hope your correct.

    3. Awww thanks TK. And a great read. I’m hoping winter isn’t as undry as last year since it caused a lot of problems for many but I’d love winter storms. And by lower threats in tropics do I understand that fewer will develop out in the Atlantic but those that do and reach the coast may impact us OR some may actually develop closer to continental US

      1. I’m pretty sure the overall # will be lower than the average. As for the region they form, that will vary. Early this season it seems to favor the Gulf of Mexico. I think eventually a couple will get going in the favored area between Africa and the Lesser Antilles but it will have to be “just at the right time”.

  18. I wanted to sneak on and wish Vicki a Happy Birthday! I hope I made it:) And thanks for the outlook TK! Hope the HHH in July-Sept verifies. I realize that not everyone is a fan but I enjoy the extremes of New England weather. Major winter storms, HHH weather and severe weather including tropical systems (as long as no one gets hurt and property isn’t damaged).

  19. A couple of heavy showers just to my north.

    Perhaps the interaction with the cold front will bring some moisture north ….. but, if the rain area of “Bill” is destined to track somewhat south of us, I’m tending to lean towards not a lot of rain Sunday. Add in that we are in underachieve mode in most every system ……

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