Sunday Forecast Update

71 Comments

12:40PM

No major changes to previous discussion, so right to the forecast for today and next post will have more thoughts on the weather heading through the July 4 Weekend!

THIS AFTERNOON: Cloudy. Areas of drizzle, fog, and rain. Highs in the 60s. Wind E 15-25 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A lingering shower mainly northern MA and southern NH early. Patchy fog. Lows 55-60. Wind N diminishing to 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 70-75. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 55-60.
TUESDAY: Sunny morning. Increasing clouds afternoon. Chance of showers evening. Highs 70-75 coast, 75-80 interior.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy evening with a chance of showers. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows in the 60s.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the 80s except 70s South Coast.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 75-85.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 3-7)…
Heading through the holiday weekend, a shower and thunderstorm threat exists at some point on Friday July 3 with mainly dry weather to follow for Saturday and Sunday July 4 & 5. Showers/thunderstorms are possible around July 6-7. Temperatures a little closer to normal during this period.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 8-12)…
Temperatures and rainfall should average around normal for this period, with still no heatwaves in sight at this time.

71 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast Update”

  2. REPOST

    Today’s AccuWeather Trivia Quiz.

    The planet Venus is covered in clouds made of what gas?

    A. Water vapor
    B. Oxygen
    C. Carbon dioxide
    D. Hydrogen

  4. Thank you TK.

    Beautiful Sunday, NOT!

    It looked as though the Sun wanted to peek out awhile ago, but Nope.
    Nice try but no cigar.

    Maybe later, I hope.

  6. Thanks TK.
    Old Salty I am curious when the meteocentre comes out with 12z GFS EHI values what they show. The 12z NAM was showing a good chunk of SNE in the 1-2 range. NWS out of Taunton in their morning discussion was talking about the possiblity of some strong storms for Wed. The 12z runs of the American models shows enough instablity for a few strong storms to develop should everything line come together.

    1. They are certainly slow, aren’t they? Should be out any moment, certainly by
      2PM I suspect. 😀

      Looking at SREF, I don’t see tornadic storms as a threat. Hardly any helicity.
      Any EHI figures you are seeing are coming primarily from the Cape values.
      There is ample Bulk Shear and instability for Strong to perhaps severe storms, so it will need to be watched.

      1. Of course, sometimes there can be a spin up from differences
        in wind velocity with height, even so, Don’t see much of a threat
        for Wednesday. Suppose things could change, but right now,
        need to monitor for possible severe threat. Guessing storms will be sub-severe, perhaps with few strong storms. We shall see.

  7. With the 12z GFS its usually comes out around 2pm or shortly there after on meteocentre website.
    The severe parameters are not what they were for this past Tuesday which produced two EF 0’s in Massachusetts and a mircoburst here in CT. Let’s hope they don’t get to those levels for Wednesday.

  8. Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket are warm sectored.
    That’s about as far North as it gets.

    1. Logan’s been 59F for a while.

      This is the “average” high for both April 24th and October 24th.

      Today’s “average” high is 79.9F ……

    3. It’s a perfect replica of the Great Pyramid in Egypt.
      Scientists say it was formed by the elements on Mars, mainly wind.

      A raw image from the mission shows a rock that appears to be pyramid-shaped, leading some to speculate that it may be the result of intelligent sculptors. NASA, for its part, says it’s just an ordinary rock.

      A raw image from the mission shows a rock that appears to be pyramid-shaped, leading some to speculate that it may be the result of intelligent sculptors. NASA, for its part, says it’s just an ordinary rock.

      Bell says the pyramid-like structure is similar to angular volcanic rock surfaces you might see in Hawaii or Iceland. He says Mother Nature most likely played a part, with wind smoothing the rock over hundreds of thousands of years. He says the raw image shows there are a handful of other rocks that also could also be likened a jagged pyramid.

      In their latest bizarre claim, conspiracy theorists say they have found a replica of one of Egypt’s Great Pyramids on Mars.

      Citing the ‘near-perfect design and shape’, Alien hunters argue the ‘pyramid’ is evidence that an ancient civilization once lived on the red planet.
      While the pyramid is believed to be ‘car-sized’, alien-hunters say it may be just the tip of a much larger structure buried beneath.

      However, the YouTube channel – named ParanormalCrucible – claims the object’s “near perfect design and shape” means it must be “the result of intelligent design and certainly not a trick of light and shadow”.

      But viewers of the channel were not all convinced, with one suggesting it was the height of his knee, and others pointing to rock formations on Earth, and saying it could have been caused by wind.

      It is the latest in a string of “ancient civilisation-like” discoveries or formations in NASA images of Mars, including pillars, ruins, other pyramids, carved faces and a sphinx.

      Most scientists dismiss the “discoveries” on Mars as Pareidolia – a psychological phenomenon when the eye is tricked by the brain into seeing, faces, animal shapes and other recognisable objects in patterns, rock formations and clouds.

        1. Well that explains it a bit better as I was reading up and now see the connection. Oddly, my eight year old grand (the one we got a telescope for bday) noticed and commented on the pyramid

    1. We could hear fireworks from our house last night when we got home.
      It was somewhere 9:30 to 10PM.

      Don’t know where they were, BUT it was RAINING at the time.

          1. My only comment is that I hold an open mind on the subject. most likely absolutely nothing, but with a big what IF…..

            Wish we could send a crew to investigate close up.

  14. Yet another 580+ dm ridge forecast to return to Alaska in the long term.

    Barrow, AK has iced out already.

    I dont know, I may have to think about heading up to the NW Alaskan coastline for beach weather. Its destined to be sunnier and as warm up there than in these parts ….

  15. 57.7 here. Brrrr
    What is the date? June 28th you say? WOW! Then I’d say it’s a tad chilly today
    and what about 20 Degrees or so below average for the date. NICE!!
    What wonderful weather!! NOT! It SUCKS!!

    If you like it great. I HATE IT!!!!

      1. It must be because my ancestors are from the West of Ireland.

        Mist and temps in the 50s is pure heaven.

        1. Ah ha. Mine were from Scotland and then into Ireland. Now I understand. Thanks. And nice to have company

  16. Fireworks were excellent!
    It was raining very lightly, basically just drops. For my taste it did not interfere with the display whatsoever, and the overcast was mid-level so visibility was very good. If you check my Facebook page, I uploaded a video of the last 2 1/2 minutes of the display. 🙂 The rain date was today, and even if it is not raining, the overcast will be much lower than it was yesterday, with the possibility of fog and drizzle as well.

    1. That’s great TK and yes today would not have worked well. Hasn’t stopped drizzling here all day.

  17. CPC’s semi-automatic 6-10 & 8-14 day outlooks both now indicate above normal temps along the East Coast.

  19. Non weather related. Wife and I are having trouble thinking of name for our daughter who is due to arrive this summer. I can’t tell you how many blogs and books we have read through, only to come up with names we don’t mind but not completely in love with. So do you guys have any girl names you would like to share? I all ready ran by the names Flurry, evaporational cooling and sea breeze but the wife was not having it. 🙂 our other children names are Margaret and Liam. Appreciate and suggestions.

      2. Rylee or Ryleigh. Can you tell which is my favorite. Although I like Piper too. Reminds me of a delicate sand Piper.

        1. Wait…..have I mentioned Riley is irish and means courageous. Ok. I think I’m done now…..maybe 🙂

      1. It could, but not on a direct path.

        I’d think, for now, its destined more for the Ohio Valley and the mid Atlantic, following the U shaped trof in the eastern US.

        But western Canada is very, very dry and Alaska, which had some rains the last 2 days is supposed to dry out and warm up quickly and in discussions I read, they expect the fires to reintensify up there in the next several days.

  21. June 1st, 2nd, and 28th were about as cold as I’ve felt it in June in a long time. Today was `warmer’ than June 1st and 2nd, but that’s not saying much.

    Coastal, I’m a French name enthusiast: How about Sophie, Chloé, Juliette, Lisette …

  22. We were always going to name a little girl Joycelyn or some version of that… Jocelyn, etc…, but 4 boys later, all J’s – Julian, Jarrett, Jayden and Jyles, we gave up!

    TJ

  24. SREF is up to tricks for Wednesday.

    Every so slight risk of tornadic activity

    Ingredients

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_prob_combined_sigtor__f063.gif

    Parameter

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_SIGTOR_MEDIAN_MXMN__f063.gif

    helicity

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_1KMHEL_SSB_MEDIAN_MXMN__f063.gif

    Shear

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_0-6KMSHR_SSB_MEDIAN_MXMN__f063.gif

    Just the 40 knots of bulk shear suggests severe storms are possible.

    Limiting factors:

    Cape is not extremely high, only about 1,000 to perhaps 1,500 joules
    Lifted index about -4 or so.

    We’ll see what the 12Z runs show and next updated SREF which will be about 9AM
    or so.

  25. Cloud cover will be our friend on Wednesday. If we could stay in the clouds the threat of strong or severe storms will go down big time. If we do see sunshine then there are enough ingredients there for some strong to possibly locally severe storms.
    Thankfully as of now the severe parameters not what they were last Tuesday and lets hope that stays that way. This certainly worth watching.

    1. From NWS re: Wednesday

      THEN ON WED FORECAST DILEMMA
      BECOMES WILL WARM SECTOR AIRMASS OVERSPREAD SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND? IF SHALLOW COOL AIR IS DISLODGED AND LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA THE RISK
      FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS EXIST. HOWEVER IF SHALLOW COOL AIR IS MORE STUBBORN AND PERSIST OVER THE AREA THEN SUBSEVERE STORMS ARE MORE LIKELY. AT THIS TIME RANGE TOO EARLY TO SAY WITH ANY CERTAINTY.

  27. The SPC day 3 outlook won’t get updated till tomorrow where there will be two updates one around 2am the other around 1:30pm. On Wednesday there will be three updates around 2am around 9am and around 12:30pm.
    It feels like the winter pattern we had where every couple days there was a snow threat now there not snow threats but rather showers/thunderstorms threat every couple days.

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