Tuesday Forecast Update

221 Comments

7:26AM

DAYS 1-5…
The old frontal boundary is just about gone, but today’s kicker for potential thunderstorms will be a disturbance or trough moving through from north to south during the afternoon and a couple of convergence zones between weak sea breezes and weak land breezes. The most likely chance to see activity today will be within 30 miles of the coast of NH and the eastern coast of MA. A few initial storms may fire up along a boundary in southeastern MA as early as noon or 1PM, but it’s unclear if storms will be able to form here because of a layer of warm/dry air at mid levels of the atmosphere. Eventually that layer should move away. Whether those initial storms form or not, another area of showers/thunderstorms should get going in southeastern NH and/or northeastern MA and redevelop their way south and southeast along the coastal plain of MA during the course of the afternoon. Because of the variability of convection, some storms may be strong to even marginally severe in some areas and barely impact others, so it will be important to follow the trends during the day. By tonight, all activity diminishes. Wednesday, a stronger layer of warm air above will probably impede any storm development, but by Thursday, an approaching cold front will bring a much better chance of showers/thunderstorms, possibly in squall line form, by later in the day or sometime at night, depending on timing. Some areas will see a heatwave today through Thursday, but Boston likely will not, as I don’t think they will make 90 due to the earlier onset of a sea breeze there. Friday/Saturday will both be very warm to hot days but with lower humidity than the next 3 days have.
TODAY: Partly sunny and hazy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly in southeastern NH and eastern MA midday and afternoon. Humid. Highs 78-85 coast, 85-92 interior. Wind light SW to W except coastal sea breezes developing.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy and hazy. Muggy. Lows 66-73. Wind light SW.
WEDNESDAY: Hazy sunshine. Humid. Highs 88-95. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy and hazy. Chance of late day and nighttime t-storms. Humid. Lows 68-75. Highs 88-95.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Less humid. Lows 65-72. Highs 85-92.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 63-70. Highs 86-93.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 2-6)…
Hot and humid with isolated thunderstorms August 2. Warm and humid with a daily risk of showers and thunderstorms August 3-5. Dry, warm, less humid by August 6.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 7-11)…
Ridges of high pressure in the central US and off the East Coast with a very weak trough between. This pattern is typically warm and humid here with a few episodes of showers and thunderstorms.

221 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast Update”

  1. The posts including links from OS earlier…

    Supercell Composite Parameter (SCP)

    A multiple component index that is meant to highlight the co-existence of ingredients favoring supercell thunderstorms. The SCP is formulated as follows:

    SCP = (muCAPE / 1000 J/kg) * (ESRH / 50 m2/s2) * (EBWD / 10 m/s)

    where ESRH = storm-relative helicity for the effective inflow layer using an assumed supercell motion, and the EBWD = effective bulk wind difference over the lower half of the storm depth (effective inflow base to EL height). The EBWD term is capped at a value of 1.5 (e.g., EBWD > 30 m/s is set to 30 m/s), and this same term is set to zero when EBWD 1 favor right-moving (cyclonic in northern hemisphere) supercells, while values of SCP < -1 favor left-moving (anticyclonic) supercells. The Left SCP uses an assumed left supercell motion. More information on left-moving supercell environments can be found in Bunkers (2002) and Edwards et al. (2004). For today at 21Z http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_SCCP_MEDIAN_MXMN__f018.gif

    Craven SigSvr Parameter

    The simple product of 100mb MLCAPE and 0-6km magnitude of the vector difference (m/s; often referred to as “deep layer shear”) accounts for the compensation between instability and shear magnitude. Using a database of about 60,000 soundings, the majority of significant severe events (2+ inch hail, 65+ knot winds, F2+ tornadoes) occur when the product exceeds 20,000 m3/s3.

    The index is formulated as follows:

    C = (mlCAPE J/kg) * (SHR6 m/s)

    For today

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_CB_MEDIAN_MXMN__f018.gif

    SREF Lifted Index

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_SFC_LI_f018.gif

    For the SREF, this is SUPER HIGH

    SREF CAPE

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_SFCCAPE_MEDIAN_MXMN__f018.gif

    For the SREF, this is high.

    In addition the 0-6 KM bulk shear is greater than 30 knots.

    Putting it all together, odds would favor the reasonable possibility of some severe
    storms today with possible damaging winds and large hail.

    SPC still has us in a Marginal risk for severe. I have a feeling that gets upgraded
    to slight or perhaps even enhanced at the next update, although SPC is pretty
    conservative, so who knows.

    “should” be a watch sometime today, perhaps around the Noon hour or so. We shall
    see.

    Could be an interesting day. Stay tuned and watch those radars.

    1. Original post by OS

      SREF Calibrated Probability previous 3 hours of severe thunderstorm.

      The SREF calibrated thunderstorm
      guidance as described in Bright et al . (2005)
      is computed on the 40 km AWIPS 212 grid
      (which is roughly equivalent to the probability
      of a thunderstorm within ~10 miles of a point)
      covering 3-hour time periods

      21Z

      http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_03HR_SVR_PROBS__f018.gif

      0Z

      http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_03HR_SVR_PROBS__f021.gif

      So this is in the 7-9 range, which seems low, but I have been looking at this
      with each threat and this is the Highest I have seen this year. It says probability, which I would read as 7-9 % chance. The scale only goes to 15.
      So the 7-9 then would appear rather high. Anyone have any more input on
      this? Did some more reading and this “appears” correct, but not totally sure.

  3. Thank you TK for the update and thanks for moving over the posts.

    Taunton NWS was actually quite tame concerning today’s possible convection.

    So, I am totally up in the air. Not sure what to make of it all.

    Certainly plenty of instability around. The question is will there be enough forcing/lift
    to sufficiently tap that instability. I guess we will find out soon enough. 😀

  8. Thanks TK.
    I am going to miss out on any thunderstorm action here in CT today. Will be interesting to see what if anything develops out there. SPC will come out with new update shortly.

  12. Not for nothing, BUT….

    Surface winds will be light South to even SouthEast or East along the Coast.
    925mb winds are South to SouthWest.
    850 Mb winds are West to WestNorth West
    700 Mb Winds are NorthWest
    500 Mb Winds are NorthWest

    HRRR is showing considerable 0-3KM helicity along Eastern MA.
    Not so much with the 0-1KM helicity.

    I think what saves us is the lighter low level winds.

    If we had this veering wind profile with stronger low level winds, we
    could be looking at the possibility of tornadoes.

  13. I was surprised Taunton did mentiong tornadoes for today in discussion. Past few times there has been severe weather threat they either mentioned or alluded to tornadoes.

  14. From Taunton NWS re: Today

    HOWEVER BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SHORT WAVE
    THERE IS WEAK MID LEVEL SUBSIDENCE WITH THE COLUMN DRYING FROM THE TOP DOWNWARD. IN FACT AFTER 18Z HEIGHTS ALOFT BEGIN TO RISE ALONG WITH H5 TEMPS WARMING. THIS MAY SUPPRESS CONVECTION SOMEWHAT. THE HI RES GUID SUPPORTS THIS IDEA WITH VERY LITTLE CONVECTION AND MAINLY CONFINED TO THE NH SEACOAST SOUTHWARD INTO CAPE ANN…BOSTON AND THEN COASTAL PLYMOUTH AND CAPE COD. WHAT/S LIKELY HAPPENING HERE IS LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE FROM SEABREEZE BOUNDARIES IN EASTERN MA IS PROVIDING THE ADDITIONAL FORCING FOR ASCENT ALONG WITH HIGHER DEW PT AIR/SBCAPES YIELDING GREATER INSTABILITY ALONG THE EASTERN MA COAST.

    HRRR is showing this elevated Cape along the coast.

    http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/hrrr/12/hrrr_east-us_00600_sfc_cape_cin.gif

    HRRR simulated radar

    http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/hrrr/12/hrrr_east-us_00600_sim_radar_comp.gif

    1. At 9AM NO sea breeze in Boston yet.

      Temp 76 Dew Point 69 Wind from 220 at 8 knots.

      Not “sure” if it’s going to turn around.

      No Sea breeze “likely” means no convection today. We shall see.

        1. I thought we were supposed to have a potent short
          wave to ignite storms today? Where did that go?
          Looks like it is departing the coast of Maine right now.

  15. Latest from the SREF

    Calibrated Probability of Severe Thunderstorm

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_03HR_SVR_PROBS__f012.gif

    No in the 9-11 range, up from 7-9

    Crave-Brooks Significant Severe

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_CB_MEDIAN_MXMN__f009.gif

    About the same

    Super Cell Composite parameter

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_SCCP_MEDIAN_MXMN__f012.gif

    Significant tornado parameter

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_SIGTOR_MEDIAN_MXMN__f012.gif

    Greater than or equal to 1 ensemble member has a value of at least 1.

  16. OK, Boston “may” be getting their sea breeze

    10 AM conditions

    Temp 80 Dew 69 Wind Variable at 04 knots.

    I guess that is the precursor to switching on shore, no?

    1. Certainly agree based on 10 AM observations along coastal locations.

      Boston, Beverly and Plymouth all had variable winds at 4 knots. 😀

      With Ocean near 70, this sea breeze actually brings in a slightly higher
      dew point. Will the winds be strong enough to cause enough lift to
      fire convection?

      IF so, do you still feel there is potential for severe storms?
      Also, what do you think of rotational possibilities? HRRR
      is showing 01-km helicity of 50-100 with 0-3KM helictiy in the range of 300.
      Will the on shore flow be strong enough to cause rotating updrafts
      and who knows what else to go with that. Ironic that today is the 1-year
      anniversary of the Revere Tornado. A penny for your thoughts. 😀

  18. Thanks tk 🙂 now trump is going crazy mentioning boston on its disorganized bid for Olympics lol

    Tk I’m hoping for rain today 😉

    1. Trump is only just going crazy ;). One of sports stations said some pats scheduling announcement at 1:00. Prob Just a teaser

      1. Whatever he says gets across the entire country right now, not that I’m for him, but he’s gotta a lot of clout right now, just saying, I’ll say it right now, Hillary will not win if she’s the dem candidate.

        1. Hilary would wipe Trump all over the planet.
          I am not saying she would win against a legitimate
          Republican candidate, just that she would beat
          Trump if it ever came to that. Trump is NOT a legitimate
          candidate.

          Trump is a MORON!!!!!

              1. A record amount of republican voters r coming out this year, they r already gathering, we shall see, I’m a registered independent, I believe anybody that already knows who there voting for is the problem with this country. 🙂

                2. Well,,, I don’t, I know a few I wouldn’t vote for, but I know a few I would. I need more information. I need some debates. Then I will narrow my selections down.

                3. I said many should know who they are not voting for. You said you know some you are not voting for. That’s what I said. I have a list of six so far that I would not consider.

      2. I’ve gotten 4 emails busting already, 1 from Cali, 1 from Florida, and 2 from Texas. It looks bad as always ugh

        1. Although I do not believe four is representative of the entire country, would you sign an agreement with a contractor (or anyone) guaranteeing that you would pay any and all expenses over the expected cost?

          1. Just saying what the word is. What people believe, across an entire country, and what a small little state is saying are 2 different thing. Always a bad rap, no pun intended 🙂

    1. I missed something?? Just got back from picking up one set of tests at a hospital and dropping off another set at another hospital. Mind you, all of these hospitals are connected by the new epic computer system and not one can see actual scans from the other.

      What is a posting blitz? Can I join in the fun?

    1. The 12Z NAM Shows….

      Surface winds SW inland, Onshore on the Coast.
      850MB Winds are NorthWest.
      500MB Winds are NorthNorthWest.

      NAm does not show 925 MB winds.

      But even so, IF we were able to get a discrete cell to bust through and explode
      somewhere over Eastern MA, then it looks like there would at least be
      the “possibility” of a rotating storm. There are veering winds with height
      to be sure.

  21. 11AM Boston’s wind has gone SW again.
    Temp = 81 and Dew = 69. Pretty yucky

    At least it’s not 90 already.

  22. First cumulus starting to develop. They are very low topped …..

    Peaked at visible satellite, maybe seeing some cumulus around Boston’s westernmost suburbs ???

    Everything seems to be slowly moving N to S …

    Perhaps a narrow area of northernmost RI to 10 or so miles SW of Boston for a few storms in a couple of hours ??

    1. I dunno. Where is the lift? Where is the lift?
      I don’t think we have the short wave to provide lift.
      We need the convergence zone between sea breeze and land breeze to
      do the trick today. Not sure we get convection in any other manner.
      I suppose it’s possible with diurnal heating. Just don’t know.

  23. Hey Tom,
    What do you think of the veering wind profile?
    Really sharp NNW at 500MB and even NW at 850MB.
    Usually we have SW at 850MB. I really don’t like the looks of this, even
    though NOTHING has been said by anyone.

    As I said previously, I think the only thing preventing real trouble is
    light lower level winds.

    1. From Latest HRRR

      Surface

      http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/hrrr/14/hrrr_east-us_00545_2m_dewp_10m_wnd.gif

      925MB

      http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/hrrr/14/hrrr_east-us_00500_925_temp_wnd.gif

      850MB

      http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/hrrr/14/hrrr_east-us_00500_850_temp_ht.gif

      700MB

      http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/hrrr/14/hrrr_east-us_00500_700_rh_ht.gif

      500MB

      http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/hrrr/14/hrrr_east-us_00500_500_temp_ht.gif

      I think the missing ingredient there is a low level jet or at least some semblance of wind at the 925MB level. There’s nothing there at all.

      1. Those sound like good reasons to me OS ……

        I have a lot to learn on thunderstorms and severe weather, so, I dont think I could provide other reasons than you listed 🙂

  25. Hmmm

    Just looked out the window. Low topped cumulus drifting in from
    the North and NorthEast.

    Looks like the sea breeze will be at the 925MB level as well? Not sure
    I get this.

    I am headed out for a couple of hours. Will watch closely for any other clues.

    Current radar is Devoid of echoes.

  28. 84 with a 68 DP and clouds sure are building outside window facing north. I have to duck pretty far down to see the tops

  29. Just walked a good distance down Newbury
    St. Cumulus showing some verticle growth.
    Good sky coverage

  30. Sea breeze, a very light one, has kicked in and its gobbled up all the cumulus in the eastern half of the sky.

    There is one tall, dark based cumulus perhaps just west of Marshfield, drifting southward.

    It looks like it has a chance ….. Will depend if this seabreeze is going to help it continue to build or zap its heat intake and it falls apart ……

      1. It is … and that dark cumulus cloud just literally disintegrated …..

        But the ones on the western horizon look healthier.

  31. Thanks TK!

    In response to the comments above about Trump. The guys is a tool and I could care less what he as to say out our great city choosing to not host the Olympics.

    1. I agree, the point is 300M people heard it? It’s just bad publicity, he said something again about it this afternoon. To make a long story short, he said “what a joke”

          1. You didn’t answer my question. As far as trump, anyone believing him isn’t worth worrying about. Kind of like Brady. If he is proven 100% not guilty, the haters will hate him anyway.

  36. 12Z CMC-RDPS / Explorer

    CAPE

    http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemreg&run=12&stn=CAPE&hh=006&map=qc&stn2=LI&run2=12&mod2=gemreg&hh2=006&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo

    Lifted Index

    http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemreg&run=12&stn=LI&hh=006&map=qc&stn2=CAPE&run2=12&mod2=gemreg&hh2=006&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo

    EHI

    http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemreg&run=12&stn=EHI&hh=006&map=qc&stn2=LI&run2=12&mod2=gemreg&hh2=006&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo

    This model is picking up on something. Nice Sea breeze at Boston. Wind from 120.
    PERFECT. Walking down Bolyston and Newbury streets there was a good breeze.
    I mean good. With all of the buildings, it was impossible to know the direction.

  39. Popping some more. Nice one by 495 South of the Pike, Hopkinton/Milford
    or there about.

  40. One just popped NE of Wobourn moving Westward on Sea breeze front or so it looks
    anyway.

  41. I have a feeling that somewhere INSIDE the old rt. 128 belt, all hell is about
    to break loose.

    1. I heard that may be the case.
      I “think” the reason is that the commissioner’s office was in touch with Brady
      re: deals etc. Goodell says I’ll reduce to 2 games. Brady says I’m still taking you
      to court. So Goodell says F you, it’s 4 games. Take me to court.

      So that’s where we are headed for sure.

      1. I also think Goodell can now say to owners he stood behind his decision and it was the courts that overturned it. He would be fool enough to think it’d save face for him

  46. And of course the real action gets going miles away from where I expected it. Frustrating yet fascinating. I blame Charlie. 😛

    2. Indeed and you are not the only one. Look what the NWS was saying.

      In looking at the radar, it almost looks like the sea breeze is knocking them
      down and having just the opposite effect of what NWS was saying.

      1. OR the sea breeze is penetrating farther inland and thus
        convection is there instead? I dunno

  48. Once again maine is getting hammered. Yesterday and today. It seems like they are getting more storms than us.
    .

      1. I used my iPhone but put on FB and then copied URL. I can only copy URL on my computer. Others do it another way.

      2. Yes.

        Snap the photo.

        Then go to Imgur.com

        Upload the photos you want. It should work.

        Good luck

  53. OS… The orientation of the sea breeze front is different than one might have expected. It came further inland north of Boston. I noticed that it started there earlier and had a stronger push. I believe I know why now and I said this was something I would not get surprised by and yet it happened. An overnight storm complex crossed Maine and went offshore in the early morning. The outflow boundary, though losing punch, had made its way down to the waters just offshore of the NH Seacoast. I bet anything that gave the sea breeze an extra punch.

    MUST watch for this in the future.

    1. Is it the sea breeze front that the line of storms are moving along just west of here? If so, OS could you just pull the sea breeze back about 30 miles. You can see how close it is in pics I posted

    2. Cool. I thought I saw that on the Radar. Will that totally prevent storms elsewhere? Or just delay it?

      Thanks

  56. Kane, you are right. Maine has been getting a steady diet of storms. Boston and vicinity not so much.

    Charlie, I have a friend in Providence who I visit periodically. That area, which includes where you live, has been getting more rain and storms than Boston. I can tell by looking at the vegetation, which appears chipper and happy as opposed to a little wilted at times in the Boston area.

    Roger Goodell and the entire NFL leadership are a major problem. They’ve been negligent on concussions. They’ve practically overlooked the pandemic of domestic abuse among many NFL players. And now in a qualitatively different case – in which they facetiously claim the “integrity” of the game is at stake – they’ve disproportionately punished a team and player because of ownership pressure. The appeal was a farce. Evidence was not examined. Fairness was never an integral part of the process. Shame on Goodell and his cronies. I don’t exonerate Tom B entirely. I said back in January that he handled the situation poorly by playing dumb at that press conference. Tom likes the footballs at the minimum, which is absolutely fine. It’s legal to want your football a certain way, even if it’s at a minimum psi. But, he should have stated it then, accepted the team fine and moved on. I don’t think there even would have been a Wells report (Ted Wells is a shyster in my book). But, once you dig in against an all-powerful, vindictive, arbitrary, and unethical NFL leadership it’s an unwinnable fight.

    2. I agree on a lot of what you have said, the crazy thing about this, the ratings will be higher than previous years. The NFL is just about indestructible, and they know it. It’s the empire of sports in America. 🙂

    3. Joshua I agree with a good amount also. However if the laws of air pressure say 1.5-2 lbs loss, I wonder why Brady would want a football that low. If he likes them at 12.5, wouldn’t he inflate? And wouldn’t the refs feel a ball at 10.5-11 psi?

      As far as destroying his phone, I clear my business phone and destroy it because I sign a bunch of confidentiality agreements. I don’t do it regularły because, unlike Brady, I cannot afford it. But I do not find that unusual. And in court, the txts can still be recovered from the server.

  58. From NWS

    2 PM UPDATE…

    NO CHANGES MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. LATEST SPC MESO-ANALYSIS
    SHOWS 2000 TO 3000 J/KG OF CAPE WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OVER 50
    KNOTS ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND. LATEST MESOSCALE MODELS INDICATE
    HIGHEST RISK FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN
    NEW ENGLAND…ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST MA AND INTO RHODE ISLAND.
    HOWEVER…CAN NOT COMPLETELY RULE ONE OUT ANYWHERE AS A RESULT OF
    SOME TERRAIN INTERA

  59. There are clearly 2 boundaries. I believe the one firing the storms originated as an outflow boundary from the overnight storms in Maine.

  61. Wow!! What looked like it was beginning to get going, has gone poof. Picked up a trace, sun is back out.

    1. Not sure where you are at the moment but looks as if it went east of you. Still healthy cell around Deighton area

  64. Brady is already in the process of going to court, expect Brady to play week 1, report just came in.

    2. Where? Not sure if that’s possible given that the NFL appeal is completed. Court appeal will happen, yes, but I don’t think it impacts his ability to play. I could be wrong.

      By the way, I have no faith in the courts either. Not in this weird case.

        1. What’s a conjunction?

          An injunction is an equitable remedy in the form of a court order that compels a party to do or refrain from specific acts. A party that fails to comply with an injunction faces criminal or civil penalties, including possible monetary sanctions and even imprisonment.

          1. Yes my wife is yelling at me to correct it, she’s an attorney partner at Morris and Mahoney 🙂

      2. He will get an injunction allowing him to play until his court
        case is scheduled then completed. At that time should he lose, he will have to service his suspension. IF he wins, he’ll won’t have to serve it of course. Any luck and nothing even happens until
        after the season. 😀 Of course bad luck and he loses and has to serve during the meat of the season and/or the playoffs. Sure hope he wins and I think he will.

    1. As in Nada. Rien. Semmi sem. ничего не. Niets. Nichts. 什么都不. שום דבר

      1. LMAO! But yes indeedy!

        I still think there is slight hope. Storms still firing in Vt, NH and ME and out by Worcester. Who knows.

    1. POOF POOF POOF AND MORE POOF.

      A downright POOFORAMA from the get go!

      OK, let’s bring on Winter since we can’t get a storm in here
      for the life of us.

      1. Puff the Magic Dragon is such a nice American folk song for children. Thanks for the reminder.

        1. Used to sing to my oldest when she wouldn’t sleep. I am a big fan of Peter Paul and Mary

          OS other than one month we were saying POOF for winter storms too 🙁

  70. I think on the Taunton radar, you can see the sea breeze …….. and ……. also an outflow boundary working its way through northeast CT and central MA.

    Looking south, I can see the towering cumulus that are the thunderstorms south and southwest of Marshfield.

  72. The Patriots are back in headlines everywhere again, lol!! I love it, they are the most polarizing sports franchise in America. It’s a lot better than when I was 10 yrs old (mid 80’s) when nobody and I mean nobody talked about them. Anything Patriots talk is great. Football season is finally here. 🙂

    1. Fox,cnn,msnbc,every local station, ESPN, even cspan, what the patriots have done the last 15yrs has put them on the map for a looong time. 🙂

    2. So let me see if I understand this correctly ………….. Boston getting “all” that press nationwide regarding what happened yesterday with the Olympic bid is awful, but this kind of nationwide press for Tom Brady is great ???????

      1. Yes, because we won the Super Bowl. I will never forget that night butler intercepted and watched Brady jumping up and down. Gives me goose bumps. Everybody has to watch this team. That’s why they have the most national televised games allowed by the NFL. We didn’t win anything on the Olympic bid.

        1. Charlie you know that the press for the brady thing is far more critical than the olympics. It is actually the one time that I would agree boston gets the worst of the news….not agreeing but just stating the truth. We may love our team and with good reason but the majority of the country hates it

  75. How does Brady win in court after learning he destroyed his cell phone which contained thousands of “potentially” incriminating evidence against him?

    1. How do,you know it contains anything? If there were txts from him, they went to someone. All txts reside on the server. A Subpoena away and only obtainable if he goes to court

        1. Destroying the phone does not destroy the txts. However, it makes it darned near impossible for info on a phone to get into the wrong hands. I believe if there were thousands of txts they’d have surfaced on another phone just my opinion

    2. Perhaps his has (let me put this delicately) some “private” photos.
      We just don’t know.

      1. I would think any celeb would kill his or her phone. I do for confidentiality in business. I’d be surprised if someone in the medical profession didn’t so the same

    3. There was one in Maine as Well. I was worried about that possibility.
      Hopefully it NEVER made it to the ground.

        1. Got a nice visual on that cell and a series of pics as it ran out of steam. Posting on FB now, here in a while.

  79. It’s wonderful to be missed. The storms just don’t want any part of the Boston area this summer.

  80. You don’t want to hear what the rest of the country has to say about Brady. Sure he beloved here but disliked in the rest of the country. Not sure how that’s good news for NE?

  81. The NFL has proven 2 things:

    1) Circumstantial evidence is “good enough”.
    2) The punishment for “probable” (which actually should be “possible”) wrongdoing based on such evidence is equal to the punishment for domestic abuse/violence.

    The end. K-thanks-bye. 😀

  82. A quick note on a few things Brady….
    1.) Didn’t the NFL have the phones (and texts) from the two Patriots ball boys who supposedly were at the crux of Deflategate? Weren’t they supposed to have all the incriminating evidence that was needed since supposedly Brady was in contact with them via text?
    2) Which leads me to this thought…If that was the case then why did they need Brady’s phone….ya think maybe there wasn’t enough evidence on the ball boy phones?
    3) If Tom supposedly destroyed his phone on March 4th then why is the NFL just letting this info out now…oh yeah they supposedly only found out recently (Puking on that statement)
    4) Yes Brady has handled some of this rather poorly but you know what…any of us might.
    5) Yeah Brady is hated outside of New England…yet wasn’t (and I believe still is) his Jersey the biggest selling NFL clothing item? Funny how that works.
    6) Finally while the NFL may be “Indestructible” as Charlie puts it…but there are a lot things that are starting to pile up and it wouldn’t surprise me to see some major changes down the road by the owners before bad PR and other things get the best of them. Also the NFLPA is one of the weakest unions in pro sports…look for that to change in the future.

  83. Did Logan hit 90 today? We just made it to 90 in Brighton. Looks like we all have a better chance at 90+ tomorrow!

    1. 84. They had very little shot at 90 today. I think they get to 90 or 91 tomorrow, 92 or 93 Thursday.

  85. Mobile in newton
    Ho hum
    I thought for sure today was the day.
    Ha ha and ha ha ha ha

    And if you think thursday is the day
    Think again. Fat chance.
    There will be a turkey flapping its
    Wings at the top of the pru keeping
    Any storms out of here!!!!!!!!!

  86. Here is a series of photos showing the maturation and dissipation of a rain shower on the sea breeze front as it drifted from Billerica to Lexington MA, seen from Woods Hill in Woburn MA between 7PM and 8PM this evening…

    #1
    https://scontent-iad3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xpf1/v/t1.0-9/10982002_10153546562792265_555607841670130778_n.jpg?oh=7f4b54e296beb8235812367cf4c3d72f&oe=5659933D

    #2
    https://scontent-iad3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xat1/v/t1.0-9/11239652_10153546566747265_19053110501116541_n.jpg?oh=3856b3917468112b4b97e930043d6762&oe=5659B3A7

    #3
    https://scontent-iad3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xpt1/v/t1.0-9/11200606_10153546566787265_1161053979361080915_n.jpg?oh=0f811fde5387a17ac7f756cc2c99aaa3&oe=56135CB3

    #4
    https://scontent-iad3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xaf1/v/t1.0-9/11825907_10153546566832265_6443859596943278127_n.jpg?oh=95278765834ca2d666e39ce8b2f04a00&oe=56126EC9

    #5
    https://scontent-iad3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xpf1/v/t1.0-9/11753668_10153546566912265_1543394158525171377_n.jpg?oh=da15abb56c49d9692c4140e4ddee25ee&oe=561119F6

    #6
    https://scontent-iad3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xtf1/v/t1.0-9/11693988_10153546567002265_4296315128936107950_n.jpg?oh=962c32c30e69fa6cd94a32b30b8775ec&oe=5652BFDC

    1. The pooforama brought to you by tk.
      Pathetic day around here. Pathetic.
      Happy I dont have a garden.

  88. The NFL is sort of killing the goose that laid the golden egg. During the reign of the Patriots, and TB in particular, the sport has surged ahead in popularity, showcased perhaps the greatest QB rivalry ever, and had some of its most dramatic moments (often with a Patriot or Patriots involved, both on the winning and losing end) in its history. There is a peculiar bit of East Bloc socialism that afflicts the NFL at times. First in its drafting rules, salary cap, and franchise tag. Second, in its dictatorial tendencies towards winning teams – knock them down a peg or two. The Patriots are not the only great team to have suffered at the hands of a league that is hell-bent on egalitarianism, or else (Cuba’s mantra “socialism or death” sums up Goodell’s strange ways of governing. And, like Castro, he allots himself the grand prize of $40 million).

    I do think TB dug himself a hole back in January. Yet, I think the league’s draconian measures make it, and not TB, the laughing stock. Sure, people around the country may be happy that Brady’s suspended. But, after reviewing the fine print and doing some reflection people will realize how tyrannical and unfair the NFL has been towards TB, and how utterly inconsistent its approach has been in cases of domestic abuse and concussions. Looking the other way, or pretending that everything is fine in cases of domestic violence, is unethical and harms the integrity of the game far more than the purported deflation of footballs (assuming they were deflated).

      1. Yes, I included that above, but should have emphasized it. The concussions saga is truly and fundamentally at odds with the “integrity of the game.” Players’ health was and is at stake. The NFL did not care. In fact, they waged a campaign to suppress dissent. Again, my Cuba analogy sort of fits. Goodell would be a good Marxist-Leninist. His wooden speeches remind me of a Soviet politician.

  89. My final comment on the Pats: I very much look forward to seeing frowns and scowls on the faces of national commentators (who have almost all appeared to be anti-Patriot, even before deflategate) when the Patriots continue their dominance of the AFC East and march towards another playoff run. I don’t think they have a Superbowl in them, but they will be a contender for the AFC championship, and possibly Superbowl. Belichick and his staff blows away the competition in terms of intelligence and preparedness. I think the NFL and many around the country are jealous of this, and suspicious of intelligence.

    1. I loved today. I thought the process which caused the showers to form further west was fascinating, even if it meant I blew the forecast. It was also very picturesque. And being outside this evening doing some watering was very nice. I love Summer evenings. 🙂

      1. It was exactly what I picture when I think of summer days. I walked out of a store and just stood for a while. It felt great

      2. This evening was very nice. Not too hot or muggy. I enjoyed my walk around the neighborhood.

      1. I loved 2013! But, with the kind of money spent on the team (and it is partly my (our) money, because I (we) pay for the highest-priced tickets in the league, concessions, NESN), being in last place 3 out of 4 seasons and collapsing in 2011 is not acceptable.

    2. Mailing it in on July 28th. Plus, from top to bottom they’re perhaps the least talented (but rich) squad in the American League. Fitting that they’ll likely wind up with the worst or near worst record in the AL.

  92. TK, you did NOT blow the forecast. You’re careful to couch your forecast in probabilistic terms, which is good. So, instead of on Tuesday getting statements like these: “We’re going to have a snowstorm on Friday and the snow will start piling up by rush hour”, from you we get “there’s a good chance the region gets impacted by accumulating snow on Friday. Still need to check on the very latest model runs for adjustments and timing.” I prefer your style. Less hype, more accuracy, allows for uncertainty.

    2. Well thank you. 🙂

      I guess what I was referring to was more that the initial cluster of showers and storms formed near 495 when I expected them to form much closer to 95. And though I did explain why this took place, I think my disappointment was in that I did not catch what could cause a boundary much further inland, given that I was burned by an almost identical occurrence just last Summer. 🙂

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