Saturday Forecast

31 Comments

9:30AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 31-NOVEMBER 4)…
A disturbance will move eastward across northern New England and southeastern Canada, passing north of southeastern New England early Sunday. This approach and passage of this system will bring some cloudiness later today into Sunday as warmer air moves in aloft and at the surface. It looks like any rain showers will be light and scattered. After that we enter a multi-day stretch of dry weather and above normal temperatures as high pressure dominates.
TODAY: Bright morning and midday sun. Filtered afternoon sun with increasing high clouds. Highs in the 50s. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clouds gradually thicken. Trick-or-treat temperatures around 50. Overnight lows around 40. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. A few passing light rain showers possible. Highs around 60. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows around 45. Highs around 60.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows around 45. Highs around 65.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows around 50. Highs around 70.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 5-9)…
Mainly dry weather through the period. Temperatures much above normal November 5-6, cooling back to near to above normal November 7-9.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 10-14)…
The overall pattern favors dry and mild weather but watch for quick-passing disturbances which may produce brief unsettled weather events and temperature changes one or 2 times.

31 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast”

    1. I listened to Donovan’s Greatest Hits CD this morning which includes the studio version of that song. 🙂

      1. It wasn’t an especially great live version, but I chose it because
        you could actually see him. Heard the studio version the other day. Hadn’t heard it in a long time. 😀

  2. SST still holding at 60 off to the south and southeast.Looks like a slushy I-95 winter except possibly February maybe.

  5. Thanks TK !

    Bearing in mind that I think I’ve been off by an average of 50 inches in the snowfall contest the last few years, I’ll go with …..

    Logan : 30 inches
    Providence : 35 inches
    Hartford : 32 inches

    My contest prediction really doesn’t match how I truly feel. For the contest, I don’t want to be eliminated right off the bat, by going low and getting an early season whopper that eliminates me. If I truly played the contest by what I actually think, my numbers would be in the teens and low 20s, because I’d give more weight to a strong El Niño than I would to the autumn Siberian snow cover.

    1. Tom

      I still haven’t got a number just
      Yet.
      I want to go high But El Nino
      Haunts me. I may go with my gut and
      Go high. I have 2 weeks right?

  7. I believe we will have many storms this winter that places like Worcester and concord will receive much more snow than Boston and providence

  8. These are my totals

    Contest for 1st 1 inch of snow at Logan? I say 12/14/15
    My snow totals for the year:
    Boston 26.9
    Providence 23.3
    Worcester 51.4
    Hartford 37.6
    Concord 57.5
    🙂

  9. I also find the current system in the central US interesting.

    A northern stream piece and a southern stream piece.

    Looks like they remain separate with the southern stream energy passing south of us.

    Wonder if that’s a sign of things to come …..

  10. I’m currently thinking that we have a Winter season where most of the snow comes
    at the back end. I’m thinking below to Normal for Dec and JAN and above normal
    Feb, Mar and yes this Winter, April.

    Working on the numbers. I don’t “think” they will be as high as I was originally
    thinking, but they won’t be nearly as low as the early predictions coming in to WHW. I’m trying to fine tune them a bit.

    My current thinking for Logan is 81.6 inches, but please don’t put me down for
    this just yet. I will make my final prediction between 11/10 and 11/15, unless I feel
    more confident before that time. 😀

      1. Not final yet. Still subject to change in either direction.

        All I hear is doom and gloom about this Winter (if one likes snow)

        Every time I go with that, we get fooled again.

  11. All the signs that point to the milder/drier side of Winter are coming from the stronger indices right now. And November looks like a very mild month overall.

  12. Will have a post TOMORROW outlining the cities you have the option to guess on for the snow contest. From there we will have 15 days to record all the guesses.

    Likely cities: Boston, Worcester, Providence, Hartford.
    I also like the idea of a side contest for the date of the first 1 inch snowfall at Logan. That can be very tricky since the main city can have several 1 inch or greater snowfalls before Logan ever sees one.

  13. Looks like low precipitation totals this winter, could we be headed toward spring with below normal soil moisture that would lead to a scorching hot dry summer 2016? Any thoughts? Have a great weekend all.

    1. This would not surprise me at all. People have argued it but we are in a long term dry spell that started last Fall and INCLUDED the Winter, believe it or not. 🙂

      The majority of Summers coming out of El Nino have been on the hotter side here, and often dry as well. And if we don’t flip the pattern to wetter before the middle of Spring 2016, it’s going to be very easy to heat things up as we go deeper into Spring with dry ground, as it takes less energy to heat dry ground and nearby air than it does to heat up wetter ground.

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