Monday Forecast

109 Comments

7:33AM

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 29-SEPTEMBER 2)…
Cold front moves offshore this morning after only producing a few isolated showers overnight. High pressure builds in today into Tuesday then moves offshore Wednesday ahead of a second cold front. This front also looks somewhat moisture starved by the time it arrives here so only isolated showers/storms are possible later Wednesday. A cooler air mass arrives behind this front for the first couple days of September, but don’t expect the cooler weather to last…
TODAY: Decreasing clouds / increasing sun. Less humid. Highs 77-85. Wind W 10-20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 58-66. Wind light NW.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-85, coolest at the coast. Wind light variable with sea breezes developing.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers/thunderstorms. Lows 62-70. Highs 82-90, cooler Cape Cod.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Lows 55-62. Highs 73-80.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Breezy. Lows 52-60. Highs 73-80.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 3-7)…
Labor Day Weekend September 3-5 looks dry with a warm-up. Isolated showers/thunderstorms possible September 6 with a cold front then fair and drier September 7.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 8-12)…
Dry pattern dominates. Temperatures above normal.

109 thoughts on “Monday Forecast”

  4. Thank you TK.

    A few rain drops splashed the windshield on the way in today.
    That’s it, I’m sure. Looking more and more likely we make this
    the driest Summer (June-August) since records were kept for Boston.

    I am certain that sometime in the distant past, it was drier.

    Even so, this proves just how dry it has been.

  5. Ok, so now the GFDL hurricane is finally on board for TD9. It took forever.

    Here is the GFDL rendition:

    http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfdl/2016082906/gfdl_mslp_wind_09L_15.png

    And here is it’s partner, the HWRF

    http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hwrf/2016082906/hwrf_mslp_wind_09L_21.png

    These are the kind of differences I had been used to seeing between these models.
    Not that they are the same, but at least sort of in the same ball park.

  6. I am curious as to how many MA Districts start school this week. Boston begins next week. Tom, what about Marshfield?

    1. Sutton and Uxbridge begin Wednesday. I’m thinking many in the area begin this week. Their last days (if no snow) are June 13 and 14, respectively.

      1. Interesting, Tom. I like the idea of Friday off and do not know why more schools do not adopt this. Many families have weekend plans.

        1. And if I were a parent, I would have checked first. I see Sutton goes Wed and Thurs and does have Friday off.

          When is your last day, Tom?

    5. Rockland started today, Plymouth starts tomorrow, Silver Lake district(Kingston, Halifax, Plympton) and Pembroke start tomorrow.

        1. And you get out June 14. This may interest me enough to do a comparison. Somewhere, the days are or are not being used.

            1. Oh, I know they aren’t part of Silver Lake but I have friends in Pembroke and they said they were starting on Wednesday. I better enlighten them. 🙂

  7. Thanks, TK.

    I have to say I get amazingly frustrated when people use those little weather apps…especially when they know WHW exists and at the very least Wunder 🙂

    1. I could say something clever OR perhaps not so clever, but what purpose would it serve? 😀 😀 😀

      BUT, I agree 100%

  9. Looking at the cold cloud tops and the Key West radar, I’m guessing there has to be some flooding on the western tip of Cuba. Hopefully, that part is not too populated.

  10. They take me kicking and screaming to three teacher meetings this week in the Middleborough Public Schools. We have Friday off so we can go to TPC-Boston for golf. Classes start for all on Tuesday, September 6. Last day (without snow or hurricane days) is Friday, June 16.

  12. I don’t ever remember a school year without a snow day in my life even in a mild snow less winter I remember that 11-12 school year there was one snow day during that winter but there were five snow days in the fall due to that freak snow storm in October. Three days for Irene to delay the start of the school year.
    Best of luck to all educators for a successful 2016-17 school year!

    1. I echo your sentiments re: best of luck to all educators for a successful 2016-17 school year. And yes, as a child and also as a parent of school-going children (at least during the time they went to school in the U.S.) I cannot remember a year without a snow day. My guess is that 2011-12 did not yield a snow day in the Boston area (the only meaningful snow occurred on MLK weekend), but my children were no longer in `school.’

      I am hoping and praying a bit for some rain, and also some cooler weather. I realize my hoping and praying is next to useless, but I’ll do it anyway.

      My daughter’s helping a friend move from St. Paul to Baltimore, with a stop in Vermont and Boston. I advised the `Northern’ route. She and I share an aversion to 3-H and traffic. So, she and her friend set out for Sault Ste. Marie (Canadian side of town) and are on the Trans Canada highway as I write this, on their way to Ottawa. From there they will re-enter the U.S., traverse NY State and Vermont on their way to Norwich. She reported a refreshing breeze and cool temps in the low 50s yesterday evening in Sault Ste. Marie. Daytime highs are expected to be in the 60s. Apparently a front had just pulled through depositing quite a bit of rain. That part of the continent is not drought-stricken by any stretch.

      1. I smiled as I read. My in-laws would evacuate Charleston as soon as the HHH and the no seeums arrived. They would travel to daughter’s home which was then in Spokane. They took southern route once and only once as they said why drive into what they were trying to escape. They loved the northern route. My best to your daughter and friend. Absolutely spectacular country.

    1. And last day is June 26 if you have five snow days. You do early dismissal on Dec 23 which means it counts as a day which I think makes sense. Sutton has day off but then it still gets out on June 13 so I can’t argue with that. I far prefer after labor day starts for schools that do not celebrate Jewish holidays.

  17. I can recall one year in which I did not have a snow day and that was in 1972-73 as Boston only had 10.3 inches. Just for the record, I was in 7th grade that year.

    As for these August starts, I still disagree with the concept but I do understand the reasoning due to future snow days. Not that it matters to me personally, I hope Boston maintains its post-Labor Day starts.

    2. NEVER EVER should the children be starting school in August.
      That’s my opinion and I’m sticking to it.

      This 180 day rule is bullshit as well.

      They should set the school year from the Wednesday after Labor day
      and run until which ever Friday falls closest to 6/15. Period, end of discussion.
      No questions asked, not excuses. IF someone feels strongly that it is not enough days, then eliminate one of the vacation periods or shorten them.

      If I were in school and they made me return in August, I would have
      quit School or run away or something. Someone would have to DRAG
      me kicking and SCREAMING!!!

      I feel sorry for the school aged children of this day.

      1. I completely agree! The demands on kids at a very young age is overboard in some cases. There isn’t much “go out and play” time anymore during the week as there is too much homework.

        1. The only month of the year when the kids are not in school is July. There in school for at least half of June and last few days of August.

      2. I’ve said many times that we show our “United States” by refusing to emulate the best systems in the world. We are not one of them. In Finland, always ranked among the top, they have about 525 educational hours (not to mention no homework until very upper grades and then only minimal). I believe MA ranks among top in the US with somewhere around 900 educational hours. And don’t get me started on standardized tests and “milestones” that must be reached by every kid at a specific age.

        1. I wasn’t aware of that stat and it is very telling. Thanks for posting and I’m sure I would agree with your sentiments on standardized tests and milestones. Kids are stressed out at a much too young age.

  18. I would like to see all the schools start Tuesday after Labor Day and this way you get a long stretch to Columbus Day without interruption and get into a nice flow. I would also like to see the day before Thanksgiving off to give the families a full day prior to the holiday to get to where they need to. I enjoyed having the day before Thanksgiving off in high school and college.

    1. I always kept my kids out for the half day prior to Thanksgiving. Don’t tell Tom and Captain 😉 They spent the day helping cook and prepare.

      Many schools – at least in MA – have the Jewish holidays off (usually three) in the fall. If they begin after Labor Day, it makes a long June. From what I can tell Framingham, which does celebrate the Jewish holidays, began today…at least middle school.

      1. Here in CT there is talk about all the schools being on same schedule in couple years starting the same day and having same vacation time. The Jewish holidays would be up to the individual school systems. There is even talk of having the week off in March like the colleges instead of April.

  20. Would love to see that a little more offshore in the winter. Nice high to the north with that GFS run.

    1. Lovely pic. I have the same hook on my deck for feeder. I’ll have to see if I can figure a way to share son’s video of one of ours. These are amazing creatures.

  22. I absolutely agree with JP Dave’s school year schedule and should be statewide, if not nationwide IMHO. If the kids haven’t learned enough by 6/15 then shame on the teachers! I can’t believe that a handful of snow days is going to make or break a student’s career.

    1. I wish it were clearer, but I had to take it zoomed as every time I got closer,
      they would fly away. Thanks

  24. From satellite looks like TD 9 is getting it’s act together in the gulf. This from a very untrained eye..

  25. Vicki, Thanks for the best wishes for my daughter and friend. Indeed, the northern side of Lake Superior is supposed to be grand. And their next stop – Ottawa – appears to be a nice, relatively small, quaint city. Canada is filled with quaint cities, one of which – St. John’s, NF – I’d like to visit at some point. Probably during one of our 3-H spells in the summer of 2018. To a Newfie 3-H just means hockey, hockey, and more hockey. Our version is foreign to a Newfie.

  27. TD 9 is still not well organized. A little better than it has been, but most of the convection is displaced southeast of the actual center due to shear.

    Meanwhile, two remarkably similar looking hurricanes, Lester (right) and Madeline (left) are heading generally towards Hawaii. Lester may scoot just north of there and Madeline just south.

    http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/tpac/vis-l.jpg

        1. It did, but we know they don’t grow that large, so upon
          closer examination…. 😀

          I liked it though. Thanks

  30. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-08-29/winter-s-hated-4-p-m-sunsets-may-become-thing-of-past-in-boston

    On so many levels I find the proposed change in time zones for Massachusetts unappealing and illogical, including substantial confusion as we travel from state to state within New England. But, the reasoning for changing time zones is utterly baffling. Massachusetts is hardly a state where people don’t want to live or go to college in. And surely most of those who do depart our state are not doing so because of 4pm sunsets in winter. And, if we get 5pm sunsets instead of at 4pm, it’ll be darker in the morning (as in dark until after 8:00am, which I found grueling when I lived in Europe). We can’t squeeze in more light hours during the day (the earth’s tilting away from the sun no matter what). Furthermore, I do wish articles like the one below would at least pretend to be more meteorologically accurate: Boston isn’t the warmest of climes but it has plenty of sunshine, even in winter: More than most major Mid-Western cities, about equal to NYC and most other cities along the Eastern Seaboard, more than the Pacific Northwest, and more than some cities in our Southeast, and more than any Western European city.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-08-29/winter-s-hated-4-p-m-sunsets-may-become-thing-of-past-in-boston

      1. An error in my statement on Boston’s amount of sunshine. I meant to say “more than any Western European city north of, say, the latitude of Geneva.” I’m aware that Lisbon, Madrid, Rome, Barcelona, and others have more sunshine.

  31. I agree that changing the time zone would be silly. A lot of people move between states fairly regularly during the week and certainly on the weekends. We go to providence a lot and that would be utterly a mess if the time was different 6 months out of the year.

    However, more people leave New England than you think because of the climate in the winter and the dark at 4:11 pm abomination. The higher cost of living and lack of affordable housing is the biggest driver of population loss though, I would guess. Although I have no stats on that.
    While each census year has shown an increase in population, relative to other states, though, its dropped. In 1900, we had 16 seats in congress. As of 2010, we are down to 9. And 3 of the seats lost have been since 1980. Just indicative of the migrative behavior of the population in general away from larger urban areas to more rural spots, or smaller cities.
    Honestly, if I weren’t in the career sector I’m in, I would think long and hard about going somewhere more affordable to live, and less snow of course 😉
    Unless you have lived in a home for 40 years, inherited the property, or make more than $200,000 a year, a family of 4 just cant buy a single family home in a safe neighborhood inside 128 and not be mortgage poor. And it’s hard to find one inside 495 anymore. I commute an hour and a half each way. It’s my choice obviously, but if I had the kind of house I want and the size property I want (and have now) inside 128, it would break me. Real estate in the greater Boston area is out of site expensive.

    1. Living in CT all my life it is a wonderful state and great place to raise a family. However it is still expensive to live here and number one reason when talking to people are leaving here. The second is the winter and I have been told by a lot of people you will get tired of the cold and snow when you get older. I love the four seasons we have here which is why I love living here.
      If I bring the thing up about taxes to some of the people I work with who live in Westchester County NY and Long Island they will say you don’t pay anywhere what we pay.

        1. I was surprised here on the blog how many people love the snow whether they be younger or older. The majority of people I talk to don’t like it. My question to those who don’t like the snow is were you like this your whole life or as you got older you don’t have the tolerance for it anymore? I know my mom loved the snow and she is going to be 66 this year and she is starting to get to the point where she doesn’t hate the snow but wants it in small doses.

  33. BlackstoneWx, You make some good points. This is a very expensive part of the country. And yes, I’ll concede that some may even leave for climate reasons.

    When I moved back to the U.S. – at the time a family of 4 – the only way we could afford to live within 128 was to live at my parents’ house, in very small quarters. And now, the only way I can live in a nice part of Boston is to reside in a euphemistically named “garden level” (ie, basement) condominium of around 475 square feet.

    1. I agree with both you and Blackstone and also with JJ. Makes no sense unless it is nationwide and heaven knows we could never get an entire nation to agree on something even this straightforward.

      Something does have to be done about the affordability of houses. However, we are not the only state. We moved to Sutton for many reasons. One was that we could afford far more house for the dollar; and with all of us, we needed more house 🙂 But kids cannot get out of school with obscene loans and then face ridiculous housing costs. There is an increase in kids moving back to parents homes with their families or while paying loans. I happen to think the idea is bringing us back to “family” which has been lost for a while. I just don’t like the reason.

  34. Sad news re: Gene Wilder. While he lived to 83 that’s not particularly old in this day and age. Gosh, we’ve lost a lot of musicians, actors, and celebrities this year.

  35. Sadly, Gene Wilder passed away. From complications from Alzheimer’s and he was just 83. Looking at him or thinking about him has always made me smile.

      1. It said he was diagnosed 3 years ago but kept it private so he wouldn’t disappoint fans. Not only was he young but three years is short for Alzheimers. So tragic.

    2. I so 100% agree. A friendly face. Will always remember watching him as Willy Wonka in the Needham Cinema with my father in 1971.

      1. I saw that you posted just as I did, Joshua.

        There was always something in his eyes that just made me happy.

        And what a nice memory for you!

      2. Needham Cinema. Wow! does that bring back memories.
        Last time I was in that place was about 1953 or 1954. I remember it well, although I could not tell you the name of the movie I saw. I just remember standing at the concession stand trying to figure out what 1 item my Dad was allowing me to purchase. 😀

        Knowing my dad, it was probably some Western with Randolph Scott. 😀

  36. Unless something changes drastically, it is pretty obvious the 09L will pass
    harmlessly out to sea well south of SNE.

  37. I’ve had a busy day today including running errands with my mom and having to wash a week’s worth of laundry in a very nice laundrymat I have not been in before. The washer needs a new part and it will not be installed until Thursday morning, so I planned strategically to just have this big load to do and be all set until late week. And what a NICE laundrymat! I’ll go back there if I ever need to use one again. Many machines, all sizes and priced accordingly. And they are all in WORKING ORDER, not 75% broken like a nearby one. And there is someone on site all hours that its open to assist people of needed. The machine prices are a little higher than some of the other nearby places, but it’s totally worth it because of the cleanliness and availability of help! It’s also air-conditioned! Some are not, and we know how nasty that can be in the summer!

    Anyway, caught up on comments here and I must say it was one of the best conversations about weather (and a few side topics) that I have seen here. We’ve seen school year, time zones, etc., discussed, and a great link by SAK which I’m going to spread to other places.

    Thanks everyone for making this place a very nice place to “hang out”. 🙂

    1. Wow. Finding a laundromat like that is rare indeed. And I agree. The price is worth it. I love when you spend mom time too. 🙂

      And it is a lovely place to hang out. And I am happy you called attention to SAKs link. I went back up and have to say it is an excellent one!!

  38. Regarding the proposed MA time change:

    SUNRISES as late as 8:14 A.M.!!!!!!!!!!

    Kids would be leaving from home AND arriving to school in the DARK!!!

    Not to mention having to change clocks when going over the border states!

    1. Agree, Philip. I do hope Baker and others consider the fact that what you gain in the afternoon you lose in the morning.

    2. We did it in January mid 1970s I watched sunrise from my office every am. A bit tricky if there is snow for walking students

    3. So it’s the lesser of two evils. Most kids, with two working parents get home after dark so what’s the big deal about leaving in the morning after dark? It’s actually a great idea. Life is all about change. The neighboring states will catch on.

      2. But don’t those kids for the most part get picked up. Might be worth figuring how many walk to school at the early times vs how many walk home late.

  40. I am on the Oregon coast where a matter of driving a few miles you find unbelievable changes in temperatures. Drove down 101 for a ways. Beautiful. Sat on the beach having a beer and watched whales. Very livable area … from July through September.

    1. I’ve only driven San Francisco south. I always wanted to drive north. I understand the coast is ruggedly spectacular. Have a great time

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