Friday Forecast

129 Comments

7:42AM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 30-JULY 4)
Humid air arrived with a passage of a warm front and will continue into the start of the holiday weekend. A disturbance approaching the region later today will bring the chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially to southern NH and northern MA. A cold front will approach late Saturday and pass through the region during the first half of Sunday with additional shower/thunderstorm opportunities. High pressure builds with later Sunday through Tuesday with great summer weather.
TODAY: Variably cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms possible southern NH and northern MA. Highs 78-85 South Coast, 86-91 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers/thunderstorms through late evening, favoring southern NH and the northern half of MA. Humid. Lows 65-72. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny and hazy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms possible. Humid. Highs 78-86 South Coast, 87-93 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers/thunderstorms, especially overnight. Humid. Lows 65-72. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
SUNDAY: Variably cloudy morning with a chance of showers/thunderstorms. Mostly sunny afternoon. Humid then drier late. Highs 82-92, coolest South Coast. Wind W 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Highs from the upper 70s to middle 80s.
TUESDAY – INDEPENDENCE DAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 80s except cooler some coastal areas.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 5-9)
Humidity returns along with a daily risk of isolated to scattered showers/thunderstorms. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 10-14)
Similar pattern continues.

129 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  2. Thank you, TK. We are having a family event/birthday Sunday in pm It seems to now be the better of the two days??????

    1. Hey! Back to this account much of the morning to early afternoon…

      Let me put it this way, I am having a cookout Sunday afternoon. 😉

      1. And we’re headed to Lakeville in the PM, so it best be nice.

        That’s an order and don’t screw it up just because you’re
        having a cook out! You got that? 😀 😀 😀

  4. Interesting blob of precip heading this way. I was just about to post how cloudy
    it was and thought I should check the radar first. 😀

    https://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=BOX&brand=wui&num=10&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&mapx=400&mapy=240&centerx=400&centery=240&transx=0&transy=0&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=Show&smooth=0&rand=24980440&lat=0&lon=0&label=you

    Does not appear to have any lightning associated with it. 😀

    2. That blob is weakening already.

      Seems almost every single time, convection weakens as it approaches
      the coast. We have had discussions about this in the past.

      Most of the time it is a SOUTH wind or component of the wind is South.
      Logan’s wind is straight SW. At this point, not sure how much that is
      contributing.

      Logan DP is 63, so that should not be it.

      Oh well.

      1. Is it possible that at this time of year the waters to our south are still on the cool side – and that in another few wks. the water will warm up enough so we might get more convection closer to the coast when the winds are southerly?

  8. That downpour that just went through the immediate northern suburbs was pretty impressive.

      1. Indeed I did, but talk about borderline. I said “northern MA” which basically means the northern half of the state. There is that old area of precip that survived further south that I thought for sure would have dried up. The downpour was in the correct forecast area though…barely.

  10. Thanks TK. I’m hoping tomorrow pans out as well. My brother and sister in law are here from CA and we are having a pool day/cookout.

  12. On occasional I’ve posted the zoomed in SPC maps, just because they are much easier to make out for this region. Here are the links to them for everyone (the links don’t change, it will always show the most current version):

    New England Regional Day 1: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/fema/images/fema01_swody1.png
    New England Regional Day 2:
    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/fema/images/fema01_swody2.png
    New England Regional Day 3:
    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/fema/images/fema01_swody3.png

    NWS Taunton Area Day 1: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/cwa/images/BOX_swody1.png
    NWS Taunton Area Day 2: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/cwa/images/BOX_swody2.png
    NWS Taunton Area Day 3:
    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/cwa/images/BOX_swody3.png

    Massachusetts Day 1: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/state/images/MA_swody1.png
    Massachusetts Day 2: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/state/images/MA_swody2.png
    Massachusetts Day 3: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/state/images/MA_swody3.png

    To get a different state, change the “MA” to whichever state you want, using capital letters.
    To get a different NWS, change the “BOX” to whichever office you want, using capital letters (i.e. GYX for Gray, ME, ALY for Albany, NY)
    To get a different region, change the “fema01” to whichever FEMA region you want (there are 10 total), using lower-case letters. The map of the regions can be found here: https://www.fema.gov/regional-contact-information

  13. Will be interested if the SPC in their update around 12:20 moves the marginal risk a little further east into SNE for today.

  16. Tweet from meteorologist Ryan Hanrahan
    Not a ton of instability today but quite a bit of shear. Certainly worth watching and all severe hazards possible.

    1. That is the 32KM NAM 0-3km helicity. The 0-1KM helicity is less.

      I would think the 0-3km could support rotating storms, but wouldn’t
      the 0-1km helicity be more important for a tornado to develop????

  19. Looks like there is a pre-frontal boundary moving in, currently in Western MA. We’ll see if that triggers any storms as it moves east.

    1. Actually extended a bit farther East than I expected.
      Wonder IF it will ever be extended even farther Eastward?

    1. And so it is. Looking carefully at the radars, it appears to have a bit
      of a Northward component to the motion. That could spare Eastern MA, at least
      Boston South. Will continue to monitor.

  23. HMMM, from SPC re: Severe Thunderstorm Watch

    * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until
    900 PM EDT.

    * Primary threats include…
    Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
    Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

    IF that verifies, pretty juicy/potent storms.

    1. Oh, someone is here. Hi JJ.

      You may see a potent storm or 2. Not expecting anything close to severe here, however, the HRRR is still advertising some heavy RAIN in the Boston area
      this evening. Has been doing so run after run after run. Does it mean it is correct? Not by a long shot. Just reporting that it is advertising it.

  26. Logan currently is at 82 with dp of 70 and wind almost due South with a slight
    Westerly component. About 190 or so.

  27. Western parts of SNE to me best shot at a strong or severe thunderstorm. Humidity will still be up tomorrow and no change with the SPC outlook for tomorrow when they updated at 1:30pm today.

      1. Popped up on wunder. I didn’t read it as was trying to get a job done before the weekend.

        Job is done and this is what it said

        Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385 remains in effect until 900 PM EDT

        MA
        . Massachusetts counties included are

        Berkshire Franklin Hampden
        Hampshire Worcester

          1. 😀 😀 😀

            I knew that was the situation. Just checking, in case I somehow missed something.

            Now let’s see who, if anyone, gets a juicy storm.

    2. If we use the 4pm obs, the highest heat content appears to be just east of the storms, so perhaps they may intensify more in the next hour. Springfield at 88F with a dp of 70F.

  32. Those storms in Western CT look to be particularly potent.

    Have fun JJ.

    heading out then out to dinner. May peek via mobile. 😀

  33. After stepping outside for a bit, I now want as much rain to fall as we can get. Not a fan of hot and humid conditions especially when I’m not used to them, we only just started summer! The radar looks amazing right now, not sure about thunderstorms but it looks like Mass Pike north will definitely see rain.

  34. Is there any meteorological reason why the band of moderate rain with this squall line is ahead of the actual line, instead of behind it like usual?

  35. Solid clouds to west with some larger clouds moving over them. Wind in Sutton picking up a bit

  37. I think warning will be allowed to expire west of Sutton. That area is weakening. Of course, as we saw tues, it can strengthen again. Humid here.

  40. The pressure has to be falling. I don’t have many headaches but feel as if an elephant is sitting on my head

                2. JRW and captain ….you are both way too funny. On top of a great laugh, I can’t stop smiling

  45. East Coast FIZZLE is all I saw. 😀 😀 o.12 this evening to go along with 0.02
    this morning. I expect more fizzle tomorrow evening/night as well.

    1. Not getting Paul George is big….not so much Blake Griffin who is injury prone and somehow reminds me Tim Tebow (potential never realized although that is much more evident with Tebow). Gordon Hayward is a must….He’s a premier scorer. Let’s hope the Brad Stevens connection works out.

      1. One other thing is that when the C’s and Indiana were talking about Paul George it seems Indiana’s asking price was huge (2 or 3 players plus two first round picks) which the C’s deemed way too high. Indiana then turned around and traded him to OKC for a hell of a lot less. Seems teams are trying to gouge the C’s due to their plethora of assets

  47. A little convection moving NE out of Northeastern Connecticut. Does that maintain
    itself?

    https://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=BOX&brand=wui&num=10&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=0.33043478260869563&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&mapx=400&mapy=240&centerx=548.2894736842104&centery=309.6052631578947&transx=148.2894736842104&transy=69.60526315789468&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=Show&smooth=0&rand=24981829&lat=0&lon=0&label=you

  48. Some wind damage reports from yesterday’s storms in CT. Waterbury which is the next town over from me. Thankfully I missed out on the damage.
    Some pics from twitter.
    https://twitter.com/kthellm/status/880932408601739264
    Interesting in the twitter chatter that goes with the pics meteorologist John Bagioni commenting on there was a solid area of enhanced velocity returns also brief rotational area. There were a couple storms that showed some rotation in western CT but none prompted a tornado warning.

      1. If it holds together, likely to pass North of me as well.
        I have a feeling it will go poof before reaching here. 😀

        More popping down around NYC.

  51. SAK was kind enough to provide us with links to zoomed in SPC convection outlooks for days 1,2 and 3 for our region. Here is a link to all of the zoomed in images.
    Our region is the link with fema01. THe 1,2 and 3 day outlooks are designated by
    swody1, swody2 and swody3.

    Easy to pull out whatever you need.

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/fema/images/

  54. I love the music posts. 🙂
    Any of you that know me, know how much music is part of my day and my life. 🙂

    I am taking a walk at 9AM and then will update the blog when I return…
    10AM hour.

      1. I have not been out but… The sun came out after the downpour and the wind is still. I may take out a knife and have soupy air for breakfast

        2. I usually try to listen to ZLX (100.7) at 7pm most weeks nights for their 3 songs from Led Zep …..

    1. Thank you. Robert Allen Zimmerman, aka Bob Dylan was/is one of my favorite artists. Great tune. Thanks again.

      1. It made me think of you. Glad you enjoyed. I was not a big fan of his music when younger but there is a story to that. Love his music now.

  58. 81 at Loagn, dp 72
    YUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK!
    YUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK!
    YUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK!
    YUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK!
    YUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK!
    YUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK!
    YUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK!
    YUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK!

  59. The inter mountain west looks like it’s going to roast for a while. When I see the projected temps in Montana and the Dakotas day after day after day, wonder if in the next 2 to 3 weeks, there will be a jet stream orientation that allows a piece of that to break off and in a classic WNW flow into the northeast, provides an opportunity at a 100F day ?????

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