Thursday Forecast

64 Comments

7:42AM

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 27-31)
A warm front combo today allows clouds to dominate, along with a risk of showers and later a few thunderstorms. This front pushes through far enough for fair weather to make a return for Friday, and then it will be about how close low pressure comes Friday night and Saturday, and how fast it departs. Staying with the same idea as yesterday for now for the weekend, with high pressure in control by Sunday, and into Monday as well.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Isolated thunderstorms later. More humid. Highs 75-82. Wind S 5-15 MPH becoming SW.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms early. Patchy fog. Humid. Lows 63-69. Wind light SW becoming W.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 77-84. Wind NW 5-15 MPH shifting to N.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain overnight. Lows 62-68. Wind light variable becoming E 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the morning. Highs 70-77. Wind E 5-15 MPH becoming variable.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 70s.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the middle 50s to lower 60s. Highs from the middle 70s to lower 80s.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 1-5)
A warmer pattern with westerly flow aloft and weak weather systems providing a risk of showers and thunderstorms a couple of times.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 6-10)
A similar pattern to the 6-10 day period is expected.

64 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

  8. Big time rainorama being shown on 12z NAM for anyone with travel plans to the Jersey shore Long Island for Saturday. If this was snow I would be so disappointed being so close to the action as the heaviest rain looks to stay shoreline of CT with a grazing where I am.

  9. Starting to worry that Tuesday may end up as another anomalously cool and damp day across eastern New England, thanks to another coastal low. The ECMWF had it to an extent last night, and now the GFS has jumped on board. GFS 2m temps stay in the upper 50s to lower 60s on Tuesday based in the 12z run.

    For the record, my forecasts written last night were similar to what TK has this morning, with mostly dry and warm conditions for next week. I will have to re-evaluate that tonight when I write my forecasts.

    1. I’m not keeping track. How anomalous is this weather for July in the southern part of New England

      1. “Normal” high temperatures for this area in mid/late July are in the lower to middle 80s (upper 70s on Cape Cod). So, if temperatures stay in the lower 60s all day, that’s roughly 15-20 degrees below normal.

        For example, using Logan Airport:

        Normal high 81
        Record high 98 (1975)
        Record low high 64 (1978)
        GFS Forecast high 66 (at midnight)

        1. Thank you and I apologize as my question was not clear. I was wondering how “un”normal this weather actually is for July. I tend not to notice because I don’t mind it. But I don’t seem to recall as many days as cool, etc in too many July’s. And my memory might be very incorrect.

          1. Still badly worded. Bottom line. Have we had many julys with this number of cool, etc days.

    1. Not too chilly in Plymouth but cloudy with some sprinkles. Tough to predict which week to take as vacation in the summer in New England. Mother Nature is a funny woman.

      1. I’m hearing rumblings from my family that is here this week. Last week was ideal. I’ve had just one day in the near two weeks that I could not sit out but that Day gave huge waves,etc which I love. I do get that parent’s with little kids want to be on the beach but they have also found fun things to do.

        I’m making plans to come down here in the winter. There is a new place that rents short term apartments…..all sparky new. 🙂

        1. That is great Vicki! We will hope for a good old fashion Nor’easter while you are here in the winter.

  11. Another beautiful summer week and day. 🙁
    This summer will rank just above 2009 in my book, so far at least. August needs to come through.
    What a disappointment so far.

    1. I’m beginning to wonder if 2009 was even this gloomy. Maybe I’m remembering wrong but I believe even on the coolest days at least the sun was out most of the time.

      1. 2009 June was awfully rainy. It didn’t rain much in terms of volume, but it was pretty gloomy and overcast. I think it was about 22 days with rain. Lots of highs in the 60’s with very little diurnal difference. Avg temp was 64.
        June 2017 had 17 days with rain. Avg temp was 70.
        July 2009 had avg temp of 71, 16 days with rain. July 7-9 was 3 straight days in the 60’s.
        So far the avg temp this years is 73. 12 days of rain. A little better, but not by much.

        1. There’s been more heat this July than in ’09, but in spurts, but has also been fairly unsettled. I’m hoping August is better.
          I saw a back to school ad yesterday 🙁
          By the calendar, summer isn’t even half over.

  12. I remember in 2009 last week of July and August summer finally decided to show up.
    Look on the bright side with the cooler than normal summer weather your saving money on the electric bill and who wouldn’t oppose to having a little more money in your wallet.

  13. At my home Town of Billerica Tally for this summer so far according to my weather station for temperature since memorial day
    100s: None
    90s: 6
    80s: 30
    70s: 15
    60s: 5
    50s 3
    Mean: is 81.2 Not bad if you ask me.

    I looked up Billerica’s conditions for the days
    Cloudy 7
    Partly Sunny 43
    Sunny 9
    Temperature average between June and July is around 79 degrees, So far this year, 81.2.

  15. I think it’s been closer than one might think. We haven’t had a decent summer since 12 and 13

    1. I’ve had 68 very decent summers. And I am forever grateful I am here to enjoy each and every one.

      1. This is my 52nd summer. I’m grateful to have experienced all 52. Some have been decent weather-wise. Others not so. But, we can’t control the weather. We can only complain about it. And, I am so guilty of the latter.

        1. 🙂 I’ve said a few times lately that people are like the Weather. It takes many layers to make life interesting. I figure we all have to own our views and never let another’s cause doubt….which, to your credit, you certainly do.

        1. I do know what you are saying. You expressed your view. I expressed mine. I have no idea where your further comment came from.

    2. I’ll pull up some stats this weekend that will show you that June & July 2009 were not that close to June & July 2017.

  16. Have not checked the temperature all day. The forecast on TV last night called for 80F in Boston. I doubt it reached 80F, as when I was doing errands early this afternoon it felt much more like low to mid 70s.

    I can recall several cool summers, but this one thus far feels like one of the coolest I’ve experienced. I’m sure I’ll be corrected by SAK and others with data on this, and that’s fine. It’s not as if there hasn’t been heat, but the cool days have been conspicuous and abundant; from those days in early June when it barely got to the low 50s to this week’s twofer of 60s and clouds.

    2. Very nice part of the world. Let us know if you see any early foliage. … I’m kidding, sort of. Parts of NH and Maine have been in the 40s at night in recent weeks, and this is what triggers changes in the colors of leaves. I always notice sporadic early foliage in Vermont by mid to late August.

      1. I think it may have to be coupled with shorter days. But I have been fishing in very northern Maine mid summer before and morning temps have required winter jackets on occasion.

  18. All about perception when it comes to summer weather I guess. July is running very close to normal on temps so far. It’ll end up below normal though with this cool stretch continuing through month’s end. June was above normal. August will probably be above normal, so meteorological summer will likely average near to a little above normal. However, it’s been wetter than normal as well, something we haven’t seen in awhile.

    I believe TK was looking around 8/1 for a pattern change to warmer. I think that’s very possible, but I don’t think we’ll be able to have much confidence on anything beyond the end of this month until we get this mess of a storm (or storms, as SAK alluded to) that’s upcoming out of here. Whether it impacts us or not (and at this stage big impacts on SNE are looking less likely at least from the initial storm), this pattern is wreaking total havoc on the models. Cold season events during the warm season do not jive well with our model guidance.

    2. Have saved the link and will contribute when home. I started but can’t use paypal and a bit nervous entering a credit card on unsecured wifi down here. I echo Sue in wishing your wife and all of you the very best

  20. Bit of a delay today (obviously) on the new post. Will let you know when it’s up. May be soon, may be mid afternoon. 😉

  22. Here is a link to what AceMaster mentioned
    https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/report-david-prices-forearm-issue-is-back-and-he-might-hit-the-dl-on-friday/

    They may end up going after a starting pitcher prior to the trade deadline since this does not sound good. The Nunez trade wouldn’t make me excited. I was saying this the other day this Red Sox team has underachieved big time and when they had a chance to bury the Yankees when they were slumping for a month they couldn’t do it.

  23. Price is such a loser. There are stronger words to use, but that’s as far as I’ll go…

    On the bright side, today is a thousand times nicer than the washout it was originally supposed to be. Even tomorrow is looking dry outside of possibly the South Coast and Cape. And, the potential follow up coastal storm early next week isn’t happening either.

  25. A tornado that happened around 945 in that morning which ended up being rated EF2.
    It was the first tornado to hit Suffolk County in 60 years.

  26. On David Price: He is a talented pitcher. Not worth $217 million. But, the fact that the Sox signed him is not Price’s fault. Where I do blame Price is his attitude. He is a smart, articulate man. He knows the Boston market. Yet, he acts as if the Boston market and fanbase are crazy and shouldn’t care as much as they do. Shrugging off his post-season woes and basically telling fans that it doesn’t matter will not fly here. Getting into altercations with the media, and in particular with a color commentator/former ballplayer is childish and selfish.

    I met Eckersley in 1978 when I was a kid. My Dad used to drive me to the airport (Butler Aviation where the charters came in) and I’d get autographs from almost all the players upon their return home from a road trip. Yes, I was (and am) a true fanatic.

    Then I met Eckersley in 1995 at what was then the newly opened Fleet Center. The circus was in town. It was October. I brought my two children to the circus. Eckersley and his children were seated a few rows away. I chatted with him briefly. Affable, funny man. Humble, too, and self-deprecating.

    1. David Price is useless.

      Speculation on talk radio that the 10 game dl amounts to a suspension.
      WHo knows, but that is where I went when I first read that above.

  27. I didn’t see giving a guy a 217 million dollar contract who can’t get it done in the postseason. As I said earlier this team is under achieving big time this season its going be very interesting if this team doesn’t make the playoffs or gets swept in the first round like last year if your going to see a change when it comes to the manager for 2018.

    1. If they make the postseason they should win one more game then the last year with Chris Sale. Beyond that, well… 😉

  28. If Porcello could get back to the pitcher he was last season the Red Sox would be dangerous in the divisional round best of 5 because you would have two dominate starters where you could pitch Sale in game one Porcello game two and Price game three with the hope is you win the first two games and if Price struggles like he always does in the postseason you would still have a 2-1 series lead.

    1. Beautiful week ahead from what I can tell. Next chance of any precip is Thursday and doesn’t look widespread.

      1. Awesome…thanks Hadi! I know there was talk of more rain and cool weather Monday into Tuesday so wasn’t sure if that was still in play. Boys have a mini football camp next Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday evening.

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