Wednesday Forecast

71 Comments

7:33AM

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 27-OCTOBER 1)
High pressure hangs on today with fair and warm weather though clouds may be more stubborn near the South Coast. A cold front will cross the region late tonight and early Thursday while Maria takes a right turn far to the south of New England. It looks like a late link-up of moisture from Maria with the cold front will occur mostly just southeast of Cape Cod though a quick period of rain is still possible there, with just a few showers over eastern MA and RI with the front mainly in the pre-dawn to early morning hours Thursday. The end of the week will be cooler and mainly dry. We will have to watch for a disturbance to pass through which brings a threat of a few showers Saturday.
TODAY: Low clouds and areas of fog southeastern MA and South Coast and may linger near the South Coast much of the day with sun and some clouds elsewhere. Highs 74-81 coast, 82-87 interior. Wind light variable with light sea breezes then becoming S to SW 5-15 MPH late-day
TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Isolated showers overnight. Lows 62-67. Wind light S to SW.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy early morning with isolated showers mainly eastern MA and RI and a quick period of rain possible Cape Cod, then mostly sunny mid morning on. Highs 72-77. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the middle 40s to middle 50s. Highs in the 60s.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Isolated to scattered showers. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the upper 30s interior valleys to around 50 urban centers. Highs from the middle 60s to lower 70s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 2-6)
High pressure is likely to be in control with generally dry weather and above normal temperatures.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 7-11)
This period will likely see a warm/dry pattern continue to start out, and then rain chances may increase later.

71 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

  5. Good morning and thank you TK.

    It is really Warm out there as I just came in. Impressive for 9/27. 😀
    Yes I know, not unprecedented, but just the same, pretty warm for this
    time of year.

  7. rainshine, I am looking in the spring, but will need to see how my mom feels, it greatly depends on how she is. I need some time as well, I still have dreams of myself and Simba on the porch sitting in the sun watching the birds and doing homework. Still have dreams that he wakes me up in the morning just to find that it was a dream.
    I will probably feel better sooner than others in my family and be itching to rescue another kitten from a shelter come spring time. I feel like a piece of the house and family is missing. I do not know why, but I feel like if you have a pet that passes, and you get a new pet, your old pet has put some of him into your new pet, as you can always pin point the qualities of previous pets in new ones., hence why I am a believe that the cat chooses you not you choose the cat. We were looking at two kittens when we got Simba, but when I heard Simba purring in my arms and licking my arm he was the one. you never replace your pets, you add new spot and start a bunch of new memories.

    1. Matt, it is totally understandable. Take all the time you need. Before I was married and lived with my family, we lost 4 cats through the years. After we lost the 4th one my father was adamant – no more cats. And ‘though me and my mother and sister wanted to get another cat my father really felt the pain. Finally, once I went to college, they got a cat. And when that one died they got another they had for 21 years. No more after that. My husband and I through the years have had 3 cats – the first 2 each lived a happy 19 years or so and the 3rd for 1-1/2 years – she was not that well when we got her. Now we have our Princess. If and when we lose her – no more. I loved all the cats in my life – but when one was gone I needed another.

      I love your post. So nice and yet so sad. They do leave an empty spot in your life – and you never forget them.

      And yes, the cats choose you. Our kitty owns us. We don’t own her. 🙂

    3. Matt, my deepest, deepest condolences for Simba. I believe that those dreams you have been having aren’t dreams at all. They’re visits. He’s letting you know that he’s doing well and loves you very much. He’ll watch over you forever, as he’ll be in your heart forever. When you’re ready to welcome a new furry family member into your heart and home, you’ll know. Give yourself time, and listen to your heart.

  9. My classroom is a warm one today. I think the turkey will be done in about an hour.
    I just need a hand count of who wants white turkey meat and who wants dark.

    My classroom faces the south side and, unlike May or June, the sun angle is much lower and it’s shining right on the windows.

      2. Funny, now today’s forecast up there is clear, but still with snow tomorrow, Fri, Sat & Sun. So, please check back on the web cam and we’ll see how good or bad that openweathermaps.org
        weather service is. 😀 😀

  14. Like the extended summer weather – to a point. Totally ready for autumn now. Weather seems kind of weird. Prob’ly has been like this before. But still feels weird to me at this time of year.

  15. I am ready for cool crisp autumn days. I will get to enjoy a few before another big warm up. When the leaves are off the trees and I am done raking them all bring on the snow.

  16. We’ve gone to the oppressive dewpoint level in SE Mass and it is rough. My room’s A/C simply can’t keep up after noon-time.

    1. Then it’s not an air conditioner, but rather a fan disguised as an air conditioner.
      OR, it’s truly an air conditioner, but the BTU rating is not nearly sufficient
      enough to handle the load, else it is and has lost coolant or needs a filter cleaning or otherwise needs to be maintained.

      SAD, very sad indeed. IF it were I, I would go out to LOEWS and purchase
      an AC with the proper BTU ratings. 😀

        1. Of course, I was neglecting the fact that on a teacher’s salary there might just not be enough disposable income
          left over for such a purchase. My bad. Sorry.

          Wish conditions in the class room were better for you.

              1. Teachers contract. Multiple rows, but columns too like masters, masters +15, etc. pay scale based on where you are.

  17. MARSHFIELD MOSUNNY 82 75 78 SE8 29.87F
    PLYMOUTH MOSUNNY 84 72 67 S7 29.88F
    TAUNTON PTSUNNY 84 71 65 S6 29.86F
    NEW BEDFORD CLOUDY 81 74 79 SE6 29.87F

    2 pm obs. Yikes! 75 DP, Tom!!!!
    Feels like it should be the last day of school!

  19. Don’t like the trend on the euro with next week’s temps : 3 more days of 850 temps of 15c and ….

    The circulation in the gulf, which looks large.

    1. Blocking not done yet. We’re on the warm side this time while the West is cold and puts down early snow. We heat up again next week with a few records possible.

      This is like a smaller version of 1983, only without the super hot/dry summer preceding the very warm early autumn. 😉

  21. Hopefully we won’t get a smaller version of the 1983-84 winter. It was only “average” snowfall (43.0″) as it was. 😉

  22. A La Nina is developing over the equatorial Pacific. This will gradually strengthen over the next few months, and is likely to be one of the dominant forces driving global weather patterns this winter.

    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean/

    The 1983-1984 winter had a weak to moderate La Nina. That one occurred directly following one of the strongest El Nino events on record in 1982-1983. This go around we’re a year further removed from the historic 2015-2016 El Nino. We did have a weak La Nina for part of last winter (16-17) as well, similar to 83-84 (which were both average snow winters) before going neutral through this summer. The same thing happened back in 1984, with a period of neutral conditions following the 1983-1984 La Nina, followed by a somewhat stronger but still only moderate strength La Nina for the 1984-1985 winter. So in an ENSO sense, if the trend continues 1984-1985 may be a very good match for the coming winter. That was a very dry, largely cold winter after New Year’s. Not a lot of snow, as was the case for many years in the 80s. Many, many more factors go into it than that, and I haven’t made any attempt at a winter outlook yet, but I think the parallels between our current multi-year ENSO regime and the 1982-1985 period are interesting.

    1. In fact, the 1980’s were rather pitiful in terms of snow. Only two winters in that decade had above average snowfall (1981-82 = 61.8″) and (1987-88 = 52.6″) respectively.

      1. Good info, Philip. Thank you! I wonder how much of the snow each year came in multiple smaller storms or a couple of larger storms. I have a recollection of Mac threatening to move south in the early 80s. And then there was the March storm of 1984 which may have been more destructive because of its late arrival and water-filled snow which put power out for days around the area. That was preceded by another March storm of about 8-12 as I recall.

      1. I should add…for me also. I’m looking forward to the feel of fall and windows open. But more for all of you in the schools.

  30. Boy was the HRRR and the NAMS OH SO Wrong regarding convective precipitation
    for early this morning. Both of them showed some pretty decent convection rolling
    through. Harvey even showed a “future cast” radar view of the showers moving
    through. His only caveat was that it was from a model and he was not sure
    it would happen so let his audience be aware that it “could” happen. Now there’s
    a forecast for you.

    Well, it did NOT happen. That front came through as dry as the SAHARA!

  31. That sure looks like a vigorous 500 mb feature for Saturday.

    Wonder if we see some convection with small hail ?????

    1. I don’t think nasty.

      Cloudy with showers and perhaps isolated low top convection. Somewhat of an onshore breeze and if there’s no sun, perhaps not getting to 60F ???

      I believe Sunday is looking superb.

      1. Hmmmm – I’m working but neighborhood is having its annual Oktoberfest. 50s is a nice October feel but not sure about the rest.

        Might not work out well with Ace’s little guy either.

        As for now, I am on break from an all day phone conference and just opened all windows and the slider……ahhhhhhhhhhh

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