Sunday Forecast

67 Comments

8:10AM

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 20-24)
No changes so just a quick update. In the warm sector for a while today but a cold front brings a shower or thunderstorm to parts of the region this afternoon. Not cooling down much but just drying out for Monday. A bit cooler still Tuesday when a disturbance may bring showers. Fair weather returns midweek. Still watching a weak system for Thursday but that may end up as just a passing cloud event.
Detailed forecast…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny morning. Variably cloudy with passing showers and thunderstorms possible afternoon. Humid. Highs 65-72 coast, 72-78 interior. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, shifting to W late.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Less humid. Lows 52-58. Wind W shifting to NW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-73 South Coast, 74-79 elsewhere. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows from the middle to upper 50s. Highs from the middle to upper 60s.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the lower to middle 50s. Highs from the upper 60s to lower 70s coast, middle to upper 70s interior.
THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Lows from the middle to upper 50s. Highs from the middle 60s to lower 70s.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 25-29)
Not really making any changes here. This period we will have to watch tropical moisture to the south and a frontal boundary to the north. If both stay generally away it’s fairly dry and warmer than normal, but that may not be the case, so much refinement coming in future updates.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 30-JUNE 3)
Unsettled weather is possible to end May then a period of fair weather expected to start June. Temperatures near to slightly above normal but there may be a cooler period especially in coastal locations.

67 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  4. Happy birthday!

    Watching the weather as we need two consecutive dry weekend days to apply two coats of barrier coat and one of bottom paint on our sailboat. Fingers crossed for Memorial Day weekend!

  6. Happy Birthday TK!

    This morning on air Barry didn’t wish to discuss Memorial Day weekend. Not a good sign.

  7. Decided not to go fishing today. Weather? Nope.

    TICKS. There are so many of them this year. Plus I have a few things I need
    to get done today.

    Will evaluate as time goes on. 😀

    1. Since there are no stupid questions here I have one. Are ticks related to global warming in any way? I never heard of them when I was a kid and on camping trips no one ever mentioned them as a warning. We wore whatever clothes we wanted to.

      2. There is an awesome garden center in wayland….Russell’s. I spoke to a very knowledgeable man from there last year. He explained ticks are out in winter also. They are just less active

        My grandson has had two on him at school after recess. Two different occasions. I think Sutton may be the tick capital of the world. 😉

        1. As far as Lyme. Plum Island off of either CT or NY shore tests for animals diseases. No one will convince me that ticks with the disease ended up in Lyme CT ….not far from where folks come ashore….as a coincidence.

      3. warmer temperatures in winter means they are more active. as vicki has stated. The difference is those with lyme and other diseases are more common in summer and fall. So many things that use to just be pests around here, are dangerous now a days as more diseases/ bacterial and virus increased with increased temperatures.

    2. They are disgusting little vampires!!

      I hate them. I have had a few on me over the years. Luckily for me, no
      Lymes Disease.

      I would hate to bring any home with me. I really have to re-look at fishing.
      Where I like to fish is just loaded with ticks just to get to the spots.

      I guess I shouldn’t have discarded my boat. 😀 😀 😀

      Up to 74 here with DP of 65. I guess we’re in the tropical soup.

  13. Happy Bday TK!

    Btw, I may have just recruited a lovely woman for this blog. She is a weather enthusiast from Oklahoma and has had the opportunity to see tornadoes up close and personal. Hopefully, she will chime in.

      1. You’re welcome. I know I can often be misunderstood at times, I truly do care about this blog including TK and everyone who contributes to it 🙂

        1. Haha I just heard Joe Cocker’s version of “Don’t Let Me Be Misunderstood”. I’ll dedicate it to you. Joe was also born on May 20.

  16. TK – I understand your “safe” date for snow potential as May 10, but isn’t it fairly safe now to change the winter scene above? 😉

    I actually just noticed it today! 😀

    1. Yeah I know I hadn’t changed it yet. I am going to make a couple changes today. Spring picture and a different back ground color.

  17. Thanks TK, and happy birthday!!

    I graduated from Plymouth State yesterday. It was a great ceremony. The rain held off and in fact it was a very nice day. Hard to believe it’s been 4 years but now I can “officially” call myself a meteorologist. Thank you all for your kind words the other day! Here are a couple pictures from yesterday of my graduating class and some of the meteorology faculty. For reference, yours truly is the tall one in the group, wearing the white stole, which is given to the distinguished graduating student from the department.

    https://scontent.fbos1-2.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/32878835_1973742489303463_1198740482008547328_o.jpg?_nc_cat=0&oh=60686e84f3a703d72ac1b296ca7b48f9&oe=5B9752EF

    https://scontent.fbos1-2.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/32913833_1973743399303372_5173630004608630784_o.jpg?_nc_cat=0&oh=0a26543c812d08de6b7682b758c24bba&oe=5B8FE85A

    https://scontent.fbos1-2.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/32881749_1973743542636691_1973385276050898944_o.jpg?_nc_cat=0&oh=6356ecbf25fe7fb6f7d48b303ba68325&oe=5B85780C

    4. Congratulations. What an accomplishment! Good luck as you continue forward in your studies. You have a very bright future ahead of you!

  18. You have a brilliant mind. Always appreciate your analysis. Congrats and all the best!

  20. Does wearing long clothing help regarding ticks or do they attach themselves to you just the same? I have no intention of walking in the woods anytime soon, just wondering.

    1. They say tuck your pants into your socks. But they will still climb up your clothes. You need to a thorough check even when you are just in the grass. Our yard has them as much as Woods

      1. Back in my day all you only had to worry about was poison ivy. Our environment has certainly changed (for the worst).

        1. It has. Although I do remember my mom always worrying about eastern equine encephalitis. They have had a vaccine for EEE in horses for decades……yet nothing for humans. Makes you wonder

    2. Nope.

      They crawl up your leg and literally bite you on the ass, or at least
      that happened to me once.

  24. Thankfully ingredients are not there for severe weather today. As I said on the previous blog I drove through the towns of Southbury and Oxford who got hit by the EF1 Tornado on Tuesday. Unbelievable seeing big trees uprooted some roofs with tarps on them trees that landed in people’s properties some trees leaning on the house or on the roof. I saw one home in Oxford where there were trees surrounding the house.

  25. Thank you all again!

    Broken line of showers setting up across the region. It should become a little stronger and more coherent as it moves southeast. Lots of moisture in the air so there will be some brief downpours. Not a severe weather environment though. The HRRR looks to be handling things well.

  26. Pretty soupy here. Was just out running an errand.
    Care and home thermometer reading 81 with dp 64.
    Could see the storm to the North, but that one is a miss. More brewing.

  28. Heavy downpour for the past 15 minutes with a rumble of thunder where I am in Swampscott.

    1. Same mini complex that moved right across my area in the last hour. 3 rumbles here. All of them have been in-cloud. No CGs.

  31. Very nice spring format TK! Thanks! 🙂

    I will say though that there were times this spring, the old winter format did fit the bill in terms of “reel feel”. Hopefully we have finally turned the corner in terms of inland frost as well as coastal chills from the ocean.

    1. Oh we can still get the ocean chills but not to the degree we had. It’s all relative but that water is still cool out there into June before it really warms in earnest. If the weather is fair enough, I’ll toe-test it next Sunday and the following Friday (May 27 & June 1) as I have plans to be at Hampton Beach both of those dates (evening May 27, daytime June 1).

  33. Your pic could be from hill behind my house, TK. Lovely.

    In addition to flowering trees,….one of which we lost in biggest snow….we have a field of Siberian wildflowers starting to bloom and about six Lupines atop the hill. Son planted them last year and year before.

  34. While I was enjoying my birthday pizza, I was doing some looking ahead into the medium and longer range. These are ideas I currently like…

    Medium range…
    As per my forecast above, typical May week ahead, a bit warmer than normal on the temps, as WxW had been talking about, as we head down the home stretch of the month. It remains to be seen how much tropical moisture makes it up here as early as the late portion of the Memorial Day Weekend. It may never happen at all, or at least then. The models that have the system to the south now take it more into the Gulf and hang it up there for a while and if it was any threat to the East Coast as an indirect moisture-delivery system that would potentially be the very end of May or even early June. Again, nothing solid on this yet, so we’ll just keep an eye on things going forward. We may drop into a below normal temperature spell for the early part of June, but I do not expected that to last. Target dates are around June 4-14 for the stretch that averages below normal. After that we should start to swing the other way with some end of spring / early summer heat.

    Long range…
    ENSO-neutral, neither El Nino nor La Nina, for the summer. Some scientists jokingly refer to this as La Nada. 😉 I still feel that the summer is going to average slightly warmer than normal but spend a lot of time in the seasonable zone, but also be more humid than what would be considered normal. I’m still at a bit of a conflict on rainfall, and a lot of that may depend on the tropics. I can see activity averaging below normal in the Atlantic but the East Coast having a greater than average chance of an impact because of the pattern.

    Really long range…
    I didn’t think too much about this, but I do agree with CPC’s early idea of an El Nino emerging in the autumn of 2018 and continuing into if not through winter 2018-2019. Won’t be able to infer much from that until other indices are more clearly forecastable.

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