August Exits Quietly, Nice Start To September

36 Comments

1:38AM

High pressure will continue to be the dominant player in the weather during the next several days as the quiet weather continues for the last day of August and the early days of September. Nice weather will carry into a good part of the Labor Day Weekend.

Boston Area Forecast…

TODAY: Mostly sunny. High 80-85 but cooling back through the 70s along the coast in the afternoon. Wind NW 5-15 MPH shifting to E during the afternoon.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low 55-60. Wind light E.

THURSDAY: Sun mixed with clouds. High 75-80. Wind E under 10 MPH shifting to S.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Low 59. High 76.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 57. High 80.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Low 61. High 81.

MONDAY – LABOR DAY: Chance of showers. Low 63. High 79.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 55. High 69.

36 thoughts on “August Exits Quietly, Nice Start To September”

  1. Thanks for update TK. You really thinking Sat and Sunday are dry? It appeared to me that both GFS and Euro swing a front in on Sunday though the GFS is a little faster.

    1. I’m still wondering about the same thing. Trying to schedule the weekend BBQ by the end of today.

  2. I got power back while I was sleeping so I am very happy. It looks like Sunday is the day for any showers during the holiday weekend. Monday looks nice at this point.
    Tropics we have Katia but as I said yesterday I have a feeling the front coming through is going to keep it as a fish storm.
    The system in the Gulf of Mexico will be slow to develop and if named will be called Lee.

  4. 06Z GFS at 216 hours has Katia Closer this run than previous runs, which
    doesn’t make me feel good. However, it is still a long long ways off and hopefully,
    it will keep well off shore and OTS. Mets last night “almost” wanted to kiss it good bye but wouldn’t quite go that far.

    Here it is:

    http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Model&MainPage=index&image=&page=Param&cycle=08%2F31%2F2011+06UTC&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=850_temp_mslp_precip&pdesc=&model=GFS&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=216&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M

  6. Like I said 2days ago I think katia comes much closer to the east coast than we anticipate, right now they have it going right over or just to the west of Bermuda, I think in the end it’s closer to the east coast than Bermuda, I’m not sure just how close to east coast it gets.

  7. Charlie,

    I sure hope you are wrong. We shall continue to monitor it.
    Pretty scary how close the latest GFS took it. Keep thinking OTS!

  8. Until Katia makes that turn to the north it needs to be watched closely. Still forecasted to become a major hurricane.
    That disorganized wave in the Carribbean will be another one to watch especially for the Gulf Coast States because if it could organize there is very warm water there and once systems get into the Gulf of Mexico there going to hit land.

  10. Average hi and low temp at the beginning of the month in my area is 75/58. That changes to 66/48 towards the end of the month.

  11. I think I posted the GFDL indicating in was 06Z when it was 0Z.

    Here is the GFDL 06Z run indicating a MAJOR hurricane at 940MB with top winds of 124 knots. I used an actual convert to come up with: 143 mph.

    http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2011083106-katia12l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=126hr

    I don’t like the position. Also, viewed an accuweather video on KATIA.
    They indicated that one of the possible outcomes was for a pass up the
    East Coast. We DON’T need this one. OTS! OTS! OTS!

    Thankfully, there is still time. We’ll keep on watching….

  12. That is the only we can do at this point is to watch Kataia. I noticed with the latest track from the hurricane center it starts to take that northward turn in the direction of Bermuda which is good news so far that a turn is being indicated instead of a westward progression towards the Bahammas and the U.S.

    1. Take this with a grain of salt but Accuweather has the high temperatures reaching the 80’s three of the next fourteen days. It also shows 70’s on eleven days and 60’s one day.

  15. I agree that it turns toward NW but models r hinting at a more wnw at about 160 hrs as suppose to NW

  16. Well, the 12z GFS run is intriguing. I wonder if a Gulf of Mexico system could back the flow along the east coast and way out at 384 hrs, it has another one zeroing in on the east coast…… Day 1 of school is in the books. 🙂

  17. That system now in the Gulf of Mexico is up to a 30% chance of developing into something.
    Its hard to believe today is the last day of meteorological summer. I must say from the heat and humidity stand point this was not as bad as last summer. I hope we have a great fall and winter and The Farmers’ Almanac is wrong like they were today calling for 100 degree heat in many areas. In case you missed it is saying above normal temperatures stormy and wet for us but says there could be some potent east coast storms in February. Most storms will be a mix or rain which leads me to believe there thinking a lot of inside runners.

  19. …Yes I do think we’ll make it thru both Saturday and Sunday with no rain, other than possibly a few isolated showers, but nothing I would cancel outdoor plans over. Monday looks unsettled to me.

    1. TK, I think we all need another BBQ forecast. Suddenly I’m back to Sunday and maybe not having it Monday.

    1. Yea me to but I have no choice. I just havto go in next tuesday, than I am off the rest of the week. The last few weeks at work have seemed long.

      1. John husband played pembroke today. One of the foursome was On HS golf team. Husband said he was really nice as were the other two he was grouped with. Course a bit dry but very improved from last time he played. 60 trees came down on course from irene.

        1. Hi Stranger- I believe you on those 60 trees, I told you trees were dropping like nothing in my neighborhood, and around town. No school till Tuesday. So as I told you before a former NHL hockey player bought the Pembroke country club ( Geremy Ronick ) and has so far been doing a great job. I know he is an avid golfer and brought people in from California to improve the coarse. I have heard he has big plans for the course, he golfed there as a kid, as he grew up in Marshfield. Tell your husband If he did enjoy It, should keep checking back. I live about 5min from the club.

          1. I didn’t have a phone today. Husbands got left home when we returned from Irene so he took mine to golf. I had withdrawals. It took 3.5 hours for back 9. The foursome in front was more than slow but he liked the course. He plays south shore CC tomorrow with our son

    1. Gayle I have to say that these past two weeks have been the nicest weeks weatherwise I’ve ever had.

    2. I have seen your name pop up a few times here, welcome to the blog. And I think from previous posts you are on vacation this week, if so enjoy. Friday can’t come quick enough for me as I am off next week, 3am start tomorrow.

  22. The crescent moon is enormous tonight. When my brother and I were little my mom would call it Gods fingernail. My grandkids call it that now – or great nanas moon 🙂

  23. 60% chance that tropical disturbance near the Gulf of Mexico could become a depression. It started the day at only a 10% chance of development. As I said earlier once these systems get into the Gulf it is going to hit land. I hope this moves towards Texas as tropical depression or storm and give that state some rainfall it desperately needs.

  24. Katia now a category 1 hurricane with winds of 75 mph. This just the second hurricane of the season. Plenty of time to watch this system but it is forecasted to become a major hurricane with the latest advisory.

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