DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 17-21)
An inversion in the lower atmosphere (a layer of warm air over a layer of cold air) will support a deck of cloudiness to start today, but this inversion will break down and clouds will break for sun as the day goes on. Sunday will start with sun which will then lose out to clouds advancing ahead of a disturbance approaching New England from the west, so while the days of the weekend are a bit opposite in terms of sky cover, they will be similar in that they are both dry. But by Sunday night and into a portion of Monday, we’ll have some rain and snow around from that disturbance as it passes and ignites a new low pressure area just offshore, but this will be a fairly weak and fast-moving system, and though minor snow accumulation may occur in some locations, nothing will be hanging around and clearing will follow. This will set up a cold pre-Thanksgiving period of weather for Tuesday and Wednesday that may feature a few snow showers due to a passing disturbance Tuesday and a reinforcing cold front arriving later Wednesday, although the weather these days will be largely dry and favorable for shopping and traveling despite the cold. Forecast details…
TODAY: Clouds give way to sun. Highs 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 25-33. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sun gives way to clouds. Highs 37-44. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Light rain/snow arriving west to east. Lows 28-36. Wind light variable.
MONDAY: Cloudy with rain/snow in the morning, minor accumulation of a coating to 1 inch most likely north and west of a Boston-Providence lien, with up to 2 inches possible in the higher elevations of north central MA and southwestern NH. Clearing during the afternoon. Highs 40-47. Wind light variable morning, W 5-15 MPH afternoon.
TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Risk of passing snow showers mainly early to middle part of Tuesday and again later Wednesday. Lows from the upper 10s to middle 20s. Highs in the 30s.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 22-26)
Dry but cold and possibly windy for Thanksgiving on November 22 as a delivery of arctic air may be perfectly timed to freeze the holiday. Dry with moderating temperatures following this for the remainder of the extended Thanksgiving weekend. A “Colorado Low” traveling across the country may tap enough Gulf of Mexico moisture to bring a soaking rain to the region by November 26 with fairly mild air in place, but at 10 days out this is not a forecast of high confidence.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 27-DECEMBER 1)
Colder, mainly dry, but a couple threats of snow showers would occur in a pattern dominated by disturbances passing in the polar jet stream dominated pattern.