Thursday Forecast

46 Comments

6:48AM

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 25-29)
A shield of high cloudiness associated with an offshore front and wave of low pressure is hiding the sun in eastern areas to start today, but it will be back soon as that moves away. High pressure will dominate our weather through the coming weekend with a gradual warm up and gradual increase in humidity, rather typical July weather. We will have to watch for an isolated pop up shower today or tomorrow with the aid of a sea breeze boundary in southeastern NH, eastern MA, and possibly RI, but the risk is very low and not worth altering any plans.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Early cloudiness eastern areas departs for sunshine, then mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Slight risk of isolated showers afternoon.
Highs 78-85, coolest coast. Wind light N with coastal sea breezes.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 58-65. Wind light variable.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Slight risk of isolated showers afternoon. Highs 80-87, coolest coast. Wind light variable with coastal sea breezes.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 60-67. Wind light S.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 83-90. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 62-69. Wind light SW.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 85-92. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 65-72. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Highs 86-93. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 30-AUGUST 3)
Typical summer pattern to end July and start August, warm to hot, some humidity but not extreme, and a few opportunities for showers and thunderstorms, especially July 30-31 as an old frontal boundary gets close to the region before washing out. This pattern will be driven by a ridge of high pressure out West, a weaker one off the East Coast, and a northward-displaced jet stream with a weak mean trough in the Upper Midwest to Great Lakes.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 4-8)
A stronger front may cross the region August 4 or August 5 as the trough in the Upper Midwest gets a shot of energy from a Canadian disturbance and makes a run into the Northeast. This may set up a more seasonable temperature pattern but also provide greater opportunity for another round of showers/storms later in the period.

46 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

  1. Thanks TK!

    TK – Yesterday Ch. 7 listed the Cape tornadoes over the years. I noticed Katama Airpark in Edgartown on 12-18-1951. Can that date be correct??????????????

    2. https://r.search.yahoo.com/_ylt=A2KLfR9ZtDldt0wAeAlx.9w4;_ylu=X3oDMTBydDI5cXVuBGNvbG8DYmYxBHBvcwM2BHZ0aWQDBHNlYwNzcg–/RV=2/RE=1564091610/RO=10/RU=http%3a%2f%2fstormfax.com%2fmatorn.htm/RK=2/RS=nvCHom7.yujXIDaIlq70BucnH7g-

      See middle of the list.

      Yesterday, I tried to find more info on this particular tornado and could not.

      I did however, learn that the Midwest had tornadoes earlier in the month, so perhaps the pattern in December 1951 was conducive to severe weather.

        1. Mis amigos…Please see my post below. I think it answers your questions very well!

  4. Thanks TK
    We have been getting breaks this summer from the humidity where last summer they were few and far between. With that said after last weekend I am ready for fall.

  6. Paris, France per Eric Fisher’s tweet, has set an all-time record high of 40.8C.

    40C = 104F, so 40.8C probably around 105F or so.

    I understand a meteor came through the northeast US skies last night and produced a fireball.

  7. From what I am reading, 5% of homes in France have air conditioning, so, the lives lost to heat related deaths will probably be high, but hopefully not to the levels of 2003, when 14,802 heat related deaths occurred. The 100F temps lasted 8 days in a row that year.

    2. Wow – great detective work, Capt. I tried to find more info yesterday and gave up.

      I do recall Thanksgiving weekend, November 2008 (I think) that there was a tornado warning in the northeast. We were on the coast of Maine and it extended up that way from here.

  10. Hi Vicki…I want to thank you for staffing the WHW overnight desk Monday night with the wild lightning and storms heading for the Cape!

    I’ve watched and read a lot about the Apollo 11 throughout the past couple of weeks.
    One really amazing thing I found out is that Brian May, guitarist for Queen, is a doctor of Astrophysics!!! Never knew that!

    I found this on YouTube last weekend. Canadian astronaut Chris Hadfield is a musician and recorded a song with the Barenaked Ladies. It is believed to be the first duet from Space and Earth recorded in 2013.

    Vicki, I know you’ll love this:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AvAnfi8WpVE&list=RDAvAnfi8WpVE&start_radio=1

    1. Thank you, Captain, but as I recall, you and Tom were leading the staff reports! Off to watch the video!

    2. Wow – I have a combination of goosebumps and tears of amazement. Do you mind if I share this on FB? I fully understand if you would prefer I do not. I can’t wait to send to my son in law who is a huge fan of ISS and space and also my grands. Thank you.

      1. Please do share it.
        It is amazing how far we have come in our lifetime, Vicki
        From grainy shadows from the surface of the Moon on July 20 to this! Wow!

        1. It sure is. Even from grainy black and white tv shows on huge TV sets. Or word processors that took up an entire room to all sorts of tiny devices

  12. Thanks TK!

    It was very interesting reading the results of the survey work done by NWS Boston. I do have a couple questions about it, but will save those for when I hopefully see some of those guys and gals in person before too long. I also echo the sentiment that everyone at NWS Boston, as well as the broadcast mets who came on air, did an admirable job warning of and communicating the danger on Tuesday.

    What’s happening in and around Paris today is rather remarkable. To see all time heat records not just broken but obliterated like this is perhaps unprecedented in the modern era.

    1. I neglected to mention the on air mets who stayed with everyone. They sure were excellent. Thank you for the reminder.

  13. WXWatcher…we are heading to New Jersey on August 4th to his Six Flags for a couple of days. Can you arrange for some good weather for us? 🙂

    1. We’ll try! It sure looks like the very active severe weather pattern we’ve been in is long gone, and that we’ll be mainly dry for awhile. Wouldn’t surprise me if that general theme holds right into your days, though there may be a frontal system somewhere in there like TK described in his forecast. Sounds like a fun trip!

      1. Thank you!!! I had relatives that used to live in Delanco NJ and spent many summers down there. Always loved the safari at Great Adventure so we figured we would bring our boys. Looking forward to a little get-away!

  14. Really nice sea breeze here in JP.
    Still 80+ here. Cumulus building
    overhead and to west. a few towering a tad.

  15. The most talked about number in several countries in Western Europe today was 40, as Tom mentioned above. At least 7 countries saw the mercury climb to over 40C. Records were absolutely shattered. This wasn’t just a matter of a tenth of a degree. In the Netherlands, for example, in the past 200 years of data collection 40C had never been recorded. In fact, the highest temperature prior to today was 39.3C (which would have been extremely rare, as it’s very unusual in Holland for the temperature to rise above 33C). Today, it got to 40.9C, and not just in the usual `hot spots.’ Less than 5% of households in Holland have air conditioning. Institutions, like nursing homes, tend to have AC, thankfully. Still, it’s really brutal, especially since the heat was accompanies by excessive humidity.

  17. I meant to post this sooner, but it is certainly relevant to the discussion the past few days on tornado damage. I visited Sleeping Giant State Park in Hamden, CT on Sunday 7/14 for some hiking. Sleeping Giant was hit directly by the May 2018 tornadoes in CT and only recently re-opened after a 13-month cleanup process.

    There is still a ton of visible tree damage around the park and it is very evident picking out the areas where the tornado crossed. They did a tremendous job opening up and clearing all the trails. However, there are still downed trees in many locations and the main entrance to the park doesn’t even look the same. It used to be shaded with many tall trees but now is completely barren. All the trees near the entrance are gone, it has been seeded grass and has 100% sunlight. Pretty sad actually but still happy to see that the majority of the park outside the main tornado swath has recovered nicely.

    Here are a few pictures I took…some HUGE trees came down!

    https://i.imgur.com/9cHWqa3.jpg

    https://i.imgur.com/aWToIzy.jpg

    https://i.imgur.com/uLo9gwG.jpg

    https://i.imgur.com/F0o0zgy.jpg

    Needless to say, it is going to take the Cape awhile to recover.

  18. By the way, my son (who is 12 now) had been aching to get down there since the park re-opened to see the tornado damage. He’s fascinated by the weather and is always pulling up the myradar app and the tropical tidbits model page on his phone. Says he wants to be meteorologist when he grows up. We’ll see if that holds and maybe some day I can live vicariously through him 🙂

  19. Mark does your son have a favorite meteorologist in CT? Mine was Dr. Mel growing up. I loved his passion for weather or always had a smile when a big storm was coming. It is a shame he lost his battle to cancer at 66 years old. I remember meeting Joe Furey when he worked at channel 3. The teacher who taught a summer class called The Weather Question knew Joe Furey and brought us up to the studio to meet him and tour the forecast center.

    1. Most of his weather watching is on his phone (different day and age than when we were growing up) though he does like Ryan Hanrahan and turns on the TWC when there is a severe weather event going on as he likes to watch the coverage. He likes Jim Cantore and some of the other personalities on there as well.

      Growing up in the Albany area, I knew all the on air personalities and met a few of them in person (Steve Caporizzo who is still on ABC10 there) and John Cessarich (who is now in NC). I still remember as a kid (I might have been 10?) when Cessarich came to Amsterdam and did the weather in front of a grocery store (forgot why he was there of all places). I had my mom drive me down there and I watched him do the 6PM weather from the parking lot. He mentioned there was a depression in the Gulf that he was watching for possible development. Of course, I was home watching TWC right before I went down there and heard John Hope say it had just been updated to a tropical storm. So I corrected him when he was done with the forecast. He got a kick out of that.

      I even had my mom drive me to the NWS in Albany one day when we were nearby shopping and the office was still at the airport. We just showed up at the door and walked in. I was fascinated. You’d think the staff would be ticked off but they actually gave us a tour on the spot. Nice folks!

    2. And yes, Dr Mel was a class act, liked him as well. Joe Furey is good too but don’t care for his delivery too much….he is not very smooth and polished when he presents. When I watch the news (which isn’t often), I always watch Ryan.

Comments are closed.