Friday Forecast

48 Comments

7:19AM

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 23-27)
A change in the weather pattern means goodbye to summer heat, for now. Just like when we have a mild spell in late February and some jump the gun calling the snow season over, you definitely don’t call the summer heat season over when August still has time to go and September lies ahead. We all know better. And we’re not done with summer heat. We just won’t see any during this 5 day period. Instead as high pressure builds north of the region then gradually slips southeastward, we will start with a northerly air flow today into Saturday, becoming more easterly during late weekend and early next week. Aside of a wave of low pressure causing some morning showers in southeastern portions of the region this morning, and the risk of a patch of drizzle near the eastern coastal areas during Sunday, it will be mainly dry through Monday. Going to stay with a dry forecast for Tuesday but that will depend on the speed of a front creeping back in this direction from the south as well as potential low pressure off the Mid Atlantic Coast, which may or may not have some tropical characteristics to it. For now, I think neither of this are an impact for the end of this period. We’ll also be watching a broad trough in the Midwest by then but that should still be far enough west to not have any impact as well.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy early to mid morning with lingering showers eastern and southern MA, RI, and eastern CT. Clearing midday-afternoon. Drying out. Highs 78-85. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog interior low elevations. Lows 55-62. Wind light N.
SATURDAY: Sunny. Highs 75-82. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog interior low elevations. Lows 53-60. Wind light NE.
SUNDAY: Variably cloudy with areas of fog and a slight chance of patchy drizzle coast. More sun inland. Highs 68-75, coolest coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with areas of fog coast. Partly cloudy with patchy fog inland. Lows 55-62. Wind E up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly sunny with areas of fog coast. Mostly sunny inland. Highs 70-75 coast, 75-80 inland. Wind light E.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 58-65. Wind light SE.
TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 70-77. Wind light SE.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 28-SEPTEMBER 1)
The combination of a broad trough to the west, high pressure east of New England, and low pressure south of New England increases humidity and the risk of wet weather August 28-29 before we transition into a warmer regime with continued high humidity and drier weather but still the risk of a few showers/storms at times.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 2-6)
Midwest trough may flatten out and push eastward with a few showers then some drier air briefly, but the overall regime is still warm/humid with limited shower chances as it looks now. Still not the highest confidence forecast and will adjust as necessary.

48 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  5. Thank you, TK.

    Yesterday was oppressive in terms of humidity, but overall the heat this week was not as advertised on TV last weekend. And, the remainder of August doesn’t look especially warm. Yes, I do realize heat and humidity can happen in September. But, summer is on its last legs.

    While summer is waning it’s finale in Northwestern Europe – and perhaps other areas as well – is impressive and in some parts unprecedented for this time of year. 90s in parts of England the coming days. That is record-shattering territory. Same in parts of the Netherlands and Belgium. I lived in Holland for 15 years (1980 – 1995) and never experienced a 90F day after August 15th. Actually, not even close to 90F after August 15th. Nowadays it is a common occurrence. It’s also extraordinarily dry there and in parts of England.

  6. Thanks TK.

    Unfortunately, NO way is the summer heat season over. In fact, lately it now lasts through Columbus Day weekend and a bit beyond. I suppose the usual tv newscasters have been saying that summer is over. 😉 When dp’s get to 40 and below then I can declare fall has offically arrived.

  7. Thanks TK
    Big difference stepping outside today compared to the past couple days where it was really sticky.

  8. Thanks TK. Yes, my question at the end of the last blog was related to the outlook for north central Maine on Labor Day weekend. The wedding I am attending is in Lee Maine on Sunday the 1st.

    And of course I was joking with you about implying an above normal snow winter for New England based on your Canadian snowcover comment but having good early season snow pack up there might be helpful getting some early winter cold in here this year along with a few snow chances.

  10. I’m glad I have no problem declaring low confidence. It’s ok to do that as a scientist. 😉

          1. It was just relating to my personal approach. Nothing more. It doesn’t always tie into media. 😉

  11. im hoping for good snow from 2 days after I get back for winter break through early/mid January so Skiing is good I want a few good Nor-Easters while I am there this winter

        2. HAHAHAHA!!! Good one. 🙂 Yes I have won them, but not here. Forecasting snow to the nearest 10th of an inch … not doable. It’s all luck. 🙂

  12. anyone seen the tropics lately? some models show a good storm passing east of new england. One of them have it going to Nova Scotia. Something to keep an eye on

      1. I think this one would be Dorian.

        Kane, you’re referring to the storm developing off of southern Florida now, right?

    2. Yes. I mentioned last week that the limiting factors were subsiding and things would become a little more active. It’s still not going to go nuts, but NHC will try to find as many storms as possible to verify their forecast. Unfortunately, the new director pushes that.

        1. You name things that are not actually tropical. It’s happened several times with NHC in recent years. They’ve also started using names for “subtropical storms” which they did not do in the past. Another practice I don’t agree with.

        2. Let me rephrase, the models show a potential storm Developing in the eastern cost. NHC has 30 or 40%chance of a storm developing. As of now, it looks like if a storm does develop it will pass to our east.

            2. I was gonna say, I was the one who confused her. Usually I do that easily with people. 🙂 Pretty much anything I say confuses at least somebody. 😉 Hard to break a 50+ year old habit.

  13. Ok folks. I’m off to Hampton Beach to start the celebration of my son’s birthday weekend. His actual birthday is Monday, which will be using to escape to a warmer inland location with a water park and regular amusement park. But tonight it starts with visiting Hampton for their Wednesday fireworks, postponed to Friday for the 3rd time in 4 weeks. 🙂 I’ll be updating the blog as usual but may have less time to comment, especially tonight & most of Monday.

  14. While it’s not my practice to promote any station (in general) I am going to give a shameless plug to 99.1FM from Plymouth, and pass this along for any of you who are nostalgic radio listeners. They have 4 great programs running (3 current, 1 old recordings as the host is no longer with us).

    I believe the station can be live streamed if you are not in its signal area…

    http://www.easy991.com/special-programs/

    The first show on the list focuses on 1980s music more than anything else. He takes requests sent in early (via email) and will often play more than 1 request from 1 person on a given show.

    1. Glad you like it. I work right near the station and often times it is the only channel we can get on radios. I could tune to 106.1 and still hear PLM. 🙂

    2. Yes I noticed they play different music there than they did before . Sounds decent I have it programmed in the truck

      1. Totally agree, TK…
        Easy Listening is awesome. Their PD is Scott Reiniche and he does a greta job! He runs “Back in the Day Easy Cafe” weekdays at noon. It’s a request show and he plays a lot of forgotten oldies from the 70s-80s.

        May I suggest WATD all day on Saturday from noon to midnight? Ron Dwyer is on at noon and then Yesterday’s Memories from 6-midnight? Great music from the 50s-80s.
        I love WATD because they are privately owned and not forced to play a specific playlist.

        I also found Ocean 104,7 from the Cape this summer and have listened in the car and in the deck.

        Both WATD and Ocean are on the web and on Alexa.

        2. My mother listens to WJIB on the weekends a lot, which is similar to the WATD format somewhat. It’s run by one guy, basically.

          2. WATD format is not like WJIB’s. Bob Bittner who owns WJIB along with a few stations in Maine. WJIB’s format is MOYL (Music of Your Life). Ed Perry owns WATD and the format is AC (Adult Contemporary). WATD’s weekend format is a bit more varied on weeknights and weekends. WJIB does play some classic country on Sunday I believe.

    1. He’s interested enough to follow the radar and love to chase with me when he can. But it falls short of a hobby for him. He’s definitely into other things more, but he loves weather & nature. He enjoys photography as well. But music is his main thing. He’s a composer and quite good at piano now.

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