Monday Forecast

54 Comments

7:20AM

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 26-30)
High pressure still centered in the Canadian Maritimes will continue to cause a northeast to east air flow and temperatures on the cooler side of normal through Tuesday, but other than some ocean-effect cloudiness and perhaps a sprinkle or some drizzle over parts of southeastern MA today, it will be dry. Low pressure, possibly a weak tropical system, will pass south and east of the region at midweek while a front approaches from the west. This will increase humidity in the region, along with surf along the coastline, and eventually the front from the west will arrive with a chance of showers, greatest chance from Wednesday night into Thursday. By Friday, a bubble of high pressure will build in via the Great Lakes with somewhat drier air.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Cloudiness for a time southeastern MA with a bit of drizzle possible this morning, otherwise partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Highs 68-73 coast, 73-78 interior. Wind E up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-62. Wind light SE.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 72-79, coolest coast. Wind light SE.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 60-67. Wind light S.
WEDNESDAY: Increasing clouds. Showers possible by late-day. More humid. Highs 75-82. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Humid. Lows 62-69. Wind light S.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Humid. Highs 76-83. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Showers ending. Clearing. Patchy fog. Less humid. Lows 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 76-83. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 31-SEPTEMBER 4)
A weak trough moves through with a remote risk of a shower August 31 and a front moves through with a slight risk of a passing shower sometime September 2 otherwise high pressure brings mainly dry weather with temperatures near to above normal during this period, which includes the Labor Day Weekend August 31-September 2. The warmest of those 3 days is expected to be August 31.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 5-9)
Pattern should be dominated by high pressure centered southwest of the region with limited shower chances and above normal temperatures.

54 thoughts on “Monday Forecast”

  5. Thanks TK.

    Worcester Public Schools begin today. I can sort of accept this since when I went to MBCC many years ago, the fall semester began the last week of August. I suspect Worcester does this to account for snow days. Otherwise the kids would be going through mid-July.

  6. I’ll be fairly absent from the blog today. Heading to Six Flags for both water park & regular park. My son also turns 20 today. Yeah, I guess he can come along too. 😉

  8. I see “The Farmer’s Almanac”, not to be confused with “The Old Farmer’s Almanac”, is predicting pretty much the worst winter ever, lasting through April. But they pretty much do that every year, so nothing to see here folks! 😉

  9. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Funny how a couple of days of NE wind drops the ocean temperature a full 5 degrees.
    Upwelling? Perhaps some, but my money it cooler surface temps being transported
    from the Gulf of Maine.

    Just does NOT feel like Summer any more and I LOVE IT!0

    I guess I would be happy in Canada. 🙂 🙂

    1. It was definitely transport, as upwelling is kicked off by offshore wind flow.

      That less-than-summer feel will continue for 2 more days, then it will transition back to a little more typical late August. But I’m starting to see signs of maybe a mini version of this again 1 or 2 times in the next 15 days (not as long-lasting).

      I have noticed the last several years we have put high pressure northeast of us in situations we used to put it overhead or just to the south. The cause is of course debatable, but the most likely major factor is AMO.

          1. If we have those Arctic Highs to our North
            like that, would that not set us up well for
            SNOW? (that is of course assuming we could get any systems to come up the coast and run into
            that Arctic air).

  11. Water temp Block Island water temp down to 71 degrees 54 miles south east of Nantucket 78.9. Degrees.

  12. Thanks TK
    The Farmers’ Almanac will get one or two things right for the winter when it comes to storms. You make enough predictions your going to get something right eventually.

      1. And the “Old Farmer’s Almanac isn’t much better. During the week of the 1978 Blizzard they had “sunny and mild”. That always stuck in my mind.

  13. I don’t buy the 80% accuracy The Farmers’ Almanac claims. I think the accuracy is around 20%. They do get things right occasionally but more wrong than right. What I should do is starting in December and going through March when the month is over look back and see what they got right and wrong.

        1. JpDave there a right people I know who look at that Farmers’ Almanac as their bible. I remember a guy came to change a flat tire for me and we were getting into a discussion about weather for the winter and he mentioned the Farmers’ Almanac and he was saying if the Almanac says its going to happen its going to happen.

            1. Well, at least the guy was able to help change your tire. His taste in reading, that is another issue. 😉

  20. Happy Birthday, Nate!

    Keith, I will tell you that I haven’t stopped laughing about Jack and Diane as your answer to Longshot’s trivia questions. I heard that song today and it made my day!!!!
    As Jimmy Buffett sings, “If we couldn’t laugh we would all go insane.”

    Also, Keith, thanks for your walk down radio memory lane on Saturday. I remember listening to rock ‘n roll on AM (WRKO, WPRO). In addition to Uncle Dale Dorman, I remember the Big Ang and Salty Brine on WPRO. As a young teen, I listened and recorded the Boston countdown on WBZ-FM with Capt. Ken Shelton.

    And, how about the radio play-by-play announcers…Ken Coleman and Ned Martin with the Red Sox on WHDH-850; Bob Wilson and the Bruins, Gil Santos and the Patriots and, of course, Johnny Most and the Celtics. Remember when Ken and Ned would do half of the game on the radio and the other half on TV when the games were televised? Just the weekend and special games were on TV if I remember.

    Lastly about radio: Someone mentioned WJIB. I found a faux WJIB “JIB on the Web.”
    Here’s the link:

    https://streema.com/radios/WJIB

    Thanks again, Keith. I have always loved the radio. I told you that I was on WRVU college radio as a DJ and a sports director when I was at Vanderbilt. Great times!

    Back to the classroom tomorrow with three days of teacher meetings.

    Heard this on the radio today, too:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QH35AWCnugg

    “If I could hit pause I would somehow
    But it don’t work like that…

    Man, it just goes too fast.”

    ‘Night, y’all!

    1. Thanks Captain!!! Appreciate the kind words.

      Salty Brine…Wow…I remember watching his show on TV as a kid (we could pick up Channel 12-WPRO at the time-in Dorchester fairly well).

      Checked to see if I had WRVU in my logs for either 90.3 or 91.1 but sadly I do not. I did note that checking their Wikipedia that they started out as a carrier current station broadcasting on 580 khz on the AM band. A lot of college stations started out this way including U Mass Boston (now on 91.9) and WMBR (MIT’s station) now on 88.1.

      I was listening to many of the new airchecks on http://www.northeastairchecks.com/ and thinking it’s great we have these recordings. I have well over 50 TB of recordings on the FM and AM band for the last 8 years or so recording large swaths of the both bands during openings on both bands using my Software Defined Radios (SDR) which allow one to do this. It will take me years to go through all the recordings and cull them out into airchecks such as the ones heard on this site but it will be well worth it. One of my favorite non SDR recordings however is one I made during what is called an Eskip opening 16 years ago. It was from Bermuda on 94.9 (Power 95).
      https://www.dropbox.com/s/hm7ggh5luyvqba9/94.9%20bermuda%20july%2019%20keith.mp3?dl=0

      1. My head is spinning. What a wealth of information you are, Keith.

        Thank you to both of you for this great discussion

          1. Keith I did exactly that, forwarded to 13:05. The DJ was pretty impressed with your setup and your listening in from Boston.

            Would love to understand the dynamics behind an Eskip opening or a tropo duct opening. You explained it a while ago; it was pretty interesting.

  21. Captain. What a GREAT post. And Luke Bryan……one of my favorite songs. Although, my youngest laughs because I always think it’s Blake

  22. Any know if this is a male or female bear? It looks rather skinny so I’m guessing within a year or two old.

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