Friday Forecast

47 Comments

7:13AM

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 13-17)
Variable temperature pattern, lack of rain, the themes for this 5-day period. High pressure from Canada brings a northeast air flow and cool/dry air today, then shifts offshore for a more humid, warmer southern flow ahead of a cold front Saturday. This front will cross the region early Sunday, but doesn’t have much cooler air behind it, so Sunday will be warm still, while being a little less humid than Saturday. But another disturbance will cross northern New England by early Monday and drag its cold front through from north to south, and cooler air will return courtesy high pressure from eastern Canada early next week.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 62-69. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 52-59. Wind E to SE up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a passing shower mainly late-day. More humid. Highs 78-85. Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with a passing shower or thunderstorm. Moderately humid. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Less humid. Highs 77-84. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 57-64. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. A passing shower possible. Highs 68-75. Wind W 5-15 MPH shifting to N with higher gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 47-53. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 18-22)
High pressure will be dominant at upper levels through the period with surface high pressure shifting southward allowing temperatures to warm back to above normal. We’ll need to watch for possible tropical activity near or off the coast, or south of New England, later in the period, as we will enter a pattern that makes our area more vulnerable to being impacted by it.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 23-27)
Pattern remains warm with high pressure aloft and surface high pressure to south at first, but disturbances coming along the jet stream as well as potential tropical moisture near the US East Coast will work on shifting the pattern to wetter and not quite as warm by mid or late period. This remains low confidence so there will be a lot to work out as these days get closer.

47 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  9. Good morning and thank you TK.
    Euro has had a change of hear re: the tropical for SNE
    Now just a tad farther East. 🙂 🙂 🙂

    https://imgur.com/a/uSrNk81

    Seriously, that is quite a correction.

    Here is where we let our guard down and write it off and it comes roaring back at us.

  11. Thanks TK.

    A couple of days ago I posted hurricane hunter Josh Morgerman’s account of his incredible experience in Marsh Harbour riding out a direct impact from Cat 5 Dorian.

    Yesterday, he posted a YouTube video of all the footage….the build up, the eyewall, the eye itself, the small school room he was holed up in for the first half of the storm, the crowded Government building where he relocated for the second half of the storm, and the devastating after effects. Just amazing.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DV-PLJq4HD4

    It’s a 30 minute video but hard to stop watching it once you start. The actual hurricane footage is in the first half.

  18. Current recon plane in disturbance perhaps finding circulation a bit better defined than yesterday and top flight level wind at or just above 30 knots. I don’t think this is a tropical storm yet at 5pm, but perhaps a depression ??

  21. Another cooler than average temperature day today. There have been several the first half of this month! Dew point is 40. Dry enough to create shocks when you get out of your car. Crisp feel of fall today for sure! In the shade there is a briskness to the breeze!

  22. I am loving this weather today. It looks like nice weather some real nice September weather with cool nights mild days. To me the September weather is the best of the entire year.

  23. You’ll all like the Euro then – days and days of nice weather over the next few weeks!

    Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz………………………

    1. We’ll probably have plenty of what some people call “boring” weather this winter too. I don’t find any weather boring, personally, except maybe if I lived in San Diego it might get a little redundant for months at a time. 😉

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