Wednesday Forecast


DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 12-16)
High pressure brings fair, more seasonably chilly weather today. Low pressure charges into the region Thursday, and like many systems this winter, the cold air that’s around to start will not be held in, so a snow to rain situation will occur, with minor snow accumulation away from the South Coast mostly occurring before dawn Thursday. One thing we have not seen much of this winter is very cold air, but we will get a taste of that for 2 days behind the departing storm, only to see a quick rebound by Sunday ahead of an approaching frontal system, which may bring a few snow showers to the region.
TODAY: Patchy clouds southeastern MA and RI early, sunshine dominant, but increasing high clouds later. Highs 35-42. Wind N up to 15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clouding over. Snow arriving overnight, immediately changing to rain South Coast, then the rain/snow line progressing northward across the region through dawn after snow accumulations of a coating to 1 inch in the I-95 belt and 1-3 inches outside of I-495. Lows 23-30 evening, rising into the 30s overnight. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Overcast with rain except pockets of sleet north and west of Boston, ending late-day. Highs 36-43. Wind E-SE 5-15 MPH, few higher gusts especially coastal areas.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Rapid freeze-up of any standing water / wet surfaces. Lows 13-20. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 23-30. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill near 10 at times.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 0-7. Wind NW 5-15 MPH. Wind chill below 0 at times.
SATURDAY: Sunny. Highs 23-30. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 13-20 evening, rising overnight. Wind SW under 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Highs 35-42. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 17-21)
Fair weather starts the period and returns late in the period, around a low pressure area which will impact the region during the February 18-19 time frame. The track of this system, and resultant impacts, are uncertain at this time. Overall temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 22-26)
Very low confidence but still watching for possible storminess sometime this period. Mixed signals in guidance and the large scale pattern drivers have been so persistent its hard to argue against them. Will monitor.

44 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

  1. Thanks TK !

    After several cloudy mornings, a clear morning revealed early eastern sky brightness around 6:25 am. It was quite nice.

  2. Vicki, if I remember correctly, you posted last night that Ted Williams had owned some property in Islamorada. This is good, as I have 3 or 4 different Red Sox t-shirts ready to go. Didn’t know if this was Yankees country, but I guess not. πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚

    1. I think there is a huge Red Sox crowd in the area. I know they are at spring training.

      It’s such a love area. I know you will enjoy.

    2. I have a friend who lives is Islamorada and she grew up in Carver. There are lots of Boston sports fans in that area. I hope you have a great time!

    1. They will get something . I’m sure I’ll be told to report at midnight for standby & salting

  3. Thanks TK.

    GFS and Euro ensembles today both showing the MJO trending towards weak Phase 8 last week of February. PNA trending positive as well.

    Combatting that is continued positive AO and NAO with a continued strong PV, though not nearly to the extreme positive levels we have been seeing.

    What, if anything, this means remains to be seen but conditions perhaps a tad less hostile towards the end of the month?

      1. We’ll see. Current pattern isn’t going to last forever…it has got to start to ease up at some point πŸ™‚

  4. Good afternoon. I was at a meeting in West Boylston of all places. Went through part
    of Holden, so I think I have a better appreciation of Retrac’s commute.)(!@#&*@!&#&

    re: Weather
    Well, there isn’t much to say, is there. 0-2 inches overnight and I am being generous.

    18Z HRRR now has 1.6 inches for Boston.

    We shall see. Even so, an inch or 2….Big deal.

    1. 18Z NAMs both pretty much the same as the HRRR. Must be a certainty as we
      have model consensus. πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚

    2. Btw, while I was out there, there was a noticeable drop in the temperature
      as I got up in elevation. Was 38-39 traveling out there and when reaching
      the Worcester Hills elevated area, it dropped to 35. Just interesting, is all.

    3. Awesome! I live right in the center of town where rte. 31 crosses main street on the way to Princeton. And yes, my commute is bloody awful but I love my job so it makes it worth it. If I leave at 5am it’s ~65 minutes to the Back Bay. If I leave at 5:01 AM πŸ™‚ it can be two hours. And have to be out by 2:30 to 3:00 or I could walk from Mass Ave to Westborough on the roofs of cars and never touch the pavement.

  5. I don’t know it’s what 40 or so in Boston now with projected temps in the mid 30s tonight seems like a rain event to me Boston / south

    1. I believe the atmosphere will be β€œjust” cold enough for front end snow as the precipitation moves in. No more than a couple hours though. I am hoping the city can squeeze out a good coating – 0.5” from the intial (and only) burst.

    1. I was there. Great game. πŸ™‚

      I made a few catches, mostly with my camera and one with my arms.
      Got a picture of a hat flying by right after Pasta’s 3rd goal.
      Also the young girl (about 13) sitting in the seat next to me I had to catch after she was about to land in the row in front of us. πŸ˜› Horsing around with her friend.

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