Tuesday Forecast

24 Comments

7:30AM

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 25-29)
The final 5 days of February, also the final 5 days of “Meteorological Winter” will display the theme of the winter: Relatively mild air, a stretch of unsettled weather that is mainly rain, and a return of dry weather once the cold air comes back. This will take place as we have 2 wave of low pressure pass through the region, the first a weaker one moving south of the area today with very limited rainfall around, the second more potent with a more solid shot of rain mainly Wednesday night and early Thursday. The cold air arrives as the precipitation moves away Thursday and will be around with dry weather for the end of the week.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Light rain possible Cape Cod and Islands until mid morning. Highs 40-47. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Periods of drizzle. Chance of light rain. Lows 33-40. Wind NE under 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Periods of drizzle. Chance of light rain at times, then rain likely late-day which may start with a snow/sleet mix north central MA and southwestern NH with no accumulation. Highs 38-45. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely. Temperatures steady 38-45. Wind E 10-20 MPH becoming variable.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Scattered rain showers morning. Isolated snow showers afternoon. Temperatures steady 38-45 morning, falling through the 30s afternoon. Wind variable becoming W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 21-28. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 11-18. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 1-5)
Fair, cold March 1. Low pressure passing to south brings clouds March 2. High pressure brings fair weather March 3. Low pressure likely passes west of the region with a warm-up and risk of rain showers during the March 4-5 time frame.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 6-10)
Continued low confidence, but still looks like boundary setting up nearby between cold to north, warm to south, and several opportunities for unsettled weather.

24 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

    1. Yes, very common there, but always fascinated me. I wish I could reiterate the explanation that my mentor gave me for why that happens there.

  3. Thank you, TK…

    It was four years ago last night/early this morning of that very impressive overnight severe weather outbreak. Thanks to JimmyJames for putting that in your 2010s weather highlights on December 31. I had forgotten that crazy night!

    I went deep into the WHW vault from that night and found this entry from Keith at 4:10 am:

    It’s like a war zone. Haven’t been able to sleep all night long. Between the wind and everything else it will be interesting to see what kind of damage we might have come daylight.

  4. Good morning and thank you TK.
    Another very mild day out there. Surely seems like Spring.

    And this colder air moving in doesn’t appear to have all that much bite to it
    based on forecast highs. 🙂

  5. Widespread wind damage reports across SNE on that overnight severe weather outbreak four years ago. I said it at the time these were the strongest wind gusts I have experienced since Superstorm Sandy. The lights flickered multiple times but I never lost power. We don’t get overnight severe weather often in SNE but to have it take place the time of year it did was quite something.

  7. This has been one of the most boring Winters I have ever experienced.

    Let’s just get on with SPRING and forget about Winter!!

      1. Lol …..

        I was looking at this map though, they really have the added challenge of elevation and multiple shadowing outcomes (based on wind direction) that greatly exceed the magnitude of those effects that occur in southern New England.

  9. Yikes. Quiet day on the blog. Just catching up

    Thank you TK. Lovely evening in the 50s. Got to sit out with son on deck and catch up.

  10. The fact that Blue Hill, Worcester, and Providence are running their 14th, 11th, and 7th warmest Dec-Feb time periods, respectively, and Boston’s Logan is running it’s 2nd warmest, speaks absolute volumes about the invalidity of Boston’s temperature information at this time.

  11. Thank you, TK.

    For the second day this week I saw bugs, flies, and bees outside. That’s a first for me, in February. For those who know me on this blog the one thing I really like about winter is the fact that insects of all kinds are not around. Well, this year that period was very short indeed.

    On the flip side they say warmth drives out coronavirus. So, bring on the warmth. Regarding the virus, the news from South Korea is not encouraging. They experienced a 28% increase in numbers of cases in one day. That my friends is not good. Italy has been experiencing similar increases. It’s more or less inevitable that a pandemic is brewing and will occur on all continents, except Antarctica. I was not concerned two weeks ago. But, now I am.

  12. Have to keep an eye on the March 6-8 period. Eye the indices to start with. There’s a subtle hint that something “sneaky” can materialize in there. Not high confidence or anything. Just seeing a few clues to at least make me take note.

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