Wednesday Forecast

7:33AM

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 18-22)
Seasonably cool but nice mid March weather today courtesy Canadian high pressure. But changes are quick to come and tomorrow will be a colder and unsettled day with a period of rain, starting as snow for portions of the region with minor accumulation possible (see below), as a low pressure wave approaches on a frontal boundary that still sits to the south. The passage of this wave will hold the chilly air in the region into the early hours of Friday but that will change in a big way as a stronger low travels from the Great Lakes down the St. Lawrence Valley and helps push much warmer air into the region. This will be accompanied by the chance of rain showers during Friday, and cannot rule out even a thunderstorm as a cold front approaches by Friday evening. This delivers chilly but dry air for the coming weekend.
TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clouding over. Lows 25-32. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Snow arriving except rain/mix South Coast, with accumulation of a coating to 2 inches possible mainly northwest of I-95 highest amounts hills of north central MA and southwestern NH, then changing to rain in all locations. Highs 43-50. Wind NE 5-15 MPH shifting to SE.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Temperatures steady 43-50 evening, rising into the 50s overnight. Wind SE up to 10 MPH evening, SW 10-20 MPH overnight.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 63-70. Wind SW 15-25 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of a shower or thunderstorm early, then clearing. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 15-25 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 23-27)
We will be vulnerable to unsettled weather at times during this 5-day period being near the border of cold air north and warm air to the south. Too early for specifics. But leaning toward March 23-24 and March 26 as the most vulnerable days for precipitation at this time.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 28-APRIL 1)
Look for drier weather much of this period, temperatures trending to above normal, but this remains a low confidence forecast at this point. It will not take much to return us to the pattern expected during the 6-10 day period.

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76 Responses to Wednesday Forecast

  1. Tom says:

    Thanks TK !

  2. North says:

    Thanks TK.

  3. JpDave says:

    Good morning and thank you TK.

  4. JpDave says:

    Here is the Covid-19 testing criteria for MA:

    https://www.mass.gov/doc/covid-19-pui-criteria/download

  5. Vicki says:

    Thank you, TK. Wonderful new for your mom. What a special warrior.

  6. JpDave says:

    My son is doing OK. Still a low grade fever.
    My wife is still not feeling well, but doing OK.

    thank you

    re: testing
    According to the above posted guidelines, they refused to test my son.

    This whole testing situation is a DEBACLE!!!!

    There was a report yesterday of a woman who was quite sick and was immune suppressed and because she had not knowing come in contact with a positive covid-19 and not traveled etc, they refused to test her. This is DISGRACEFUL!!!!!

    I am here to say that we should take the number of cases for Mass, now at 218 and multiple by at least a factor of 10 if not more to get the true number of cases in this
    state. There are so many un-diagnosed COVID-19 persons walking around that
    it is mind boggling!!! The numbers are going to explode.

    South Korea nipped this in the bud because they TESTED ALL that were sick.
    I repeat: ALL

    We cannot control this outbreak with the above posted criteria for testing. It is pure folly.

  7. Tom says:

    JpDave, glad to hear your son and wife, well not feeling well, are ok.

    Make sure you find a few minutes to take care of yourself too.

    • JpDave says:

      Thanks Tom. I’m fine.

      Working remotely for about 4-5 hours daily, monitoring Covid-19, doing things around the house, getting meals for us etc.

      This whole pandemic has been handled piss-poorly in this country. It is a crying shame because it needn’t have been that way.

  8. Longshot says:

    JpDave, as you know when new programs are ramping up they can be chaotic and overly bureaucratic, all wrapped inside layers of misinformation and sometimes with a blanket of incompetence thrown on top. Fortunately it sounds like your family is at least OK for now. More testing should be available soon and your persistence will win out.

  9. SClarke says:

    This song is 50 years old, yet seems to be about today. The lyrics are right below the video – click “show more.”
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QWhOdPyLefQ

  10. Tom says:

    Keeping an eye on NYC numbers today, felt like they really jumped there yesterday, even last evening. That’s obviously a lot of people crammed into a small area.

    • JpDave says:

      Tom,

      I just received a text from the City Of Boston:


      42 Boston Residents have tested positive for Coronavirus. Take actin to slow the spread. If you are sick, call your doctor or 311.

      311 is a city hot line to deal with any city/resident issues.

      Of course, there are way more than 42 residents who have COVID-19.

  11. JimmyJames says:
  12. JimmyJames says:

    From Ryan Hanrahan. Earthquake near Salt Lake City
    M5.7 earthquake near Salt Lake City.

  13. JimmyJames says:

    More on that 5.7 Earthquake Near Salt Lake City
    https://www.abc4.com/news/local-news/5-7-earthquake-reported-in-magna/

  14. JimmyJames says:

    I believe the Earthquake back in 2011 was a 5.8 in the Washington D.C. area and there was damage with that so no doubt in my mind when we starting see pictures there will be damage.

    • Vicki says:

      We felt that one in Humarock. I’ve said here that the house we stay in is on stilts so it was noticeably swaying but only if you were sitting for some reason. I felt it and my kids thought I was a bit nuts until they sat down.

  15. JimmyJames says:

    So far there have been 20 aftershocks felt across the Salt Lake Valley according to KTVU.

  16. Woods Hill Weather says:

    Earthquakes in that area, while less common than closer to the Pacific Coast, are not that uncommon.

    A lot of people will somehow try to connect this to other things, when in fact we know it’s unrelated.

  17. JimmyJames says:

    Is the SREF out to lunch for Friday afternoon??? It is highlighting a good chunk of interior SNE in that 5% tornado risk and northwest CT in the 15% chance. The SPC does have a marginal risk for thunderstorms for a good chunk of Upstate NY and the Berkshires. I apologize if I don’t post the SREF link correctly.
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/sref_old.php?run=latest&id=SREF_prob_combined_sigtor__

  18. Woods Hill Weather says:

    I would like to thank SAK for pointing out the last two days at least I’ve had the wrong temperatures for today by 10 degrees.

    * facepalm*

    Fixed it.

  19. Dr. Stupid says:

    Re numbers jumping in NY: the numbers will continue to jump dramatically as more tests become available. Same will happen here in Massachusetts. It is inevitable.

  20. South shore Kid says:

    Pembroke just ordered gyms , hair salons , day care centers ( except first responders & health care workers kids ) nail salons etc closed . Basically anything where you touch someone .

  21. Dr. Stupid says:

    I wanted to share a link for sports fans that was a welcome distraction when trying to unwind – Skip Bayless and Shannon Sharpe who do a sports talk show called Undisputed discussed all the Tom Brady news last night. https://youtu.be/OrhLoIPNXiM – they had stopped the show but after so much news came out shannon came over to skips house so they could discuss. It was refreshing seeing a stripped down less hyperbolic version of a highly produced show.

  22. Philip says:

    I am beginning to wonder now if the virus will be in the “leveling off” phase during the summer months. Will we have to wait until fall, if not next early winter? Scary thought, I know. Cases are still going up and up every day.

    • JpDave says:

      That is clearly not expected. The evidence suggests warmer weather
      will have little or no effect on the spread of this virus.

      There are 790 cases in Malaysia
      and 313 in Singapore
      and spreading.
      Both on or near the equator.

  23. JpDave says:

    The wordometers website re: Coronavirus has crashed with too many hits, Else
    they took it down?????

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

  24. Aidan says:

    My brother got tested . He will know in three days if he has it. He lives in Chatham Barnstable county

  25. JpDave says:

    These charts are about a day or so old, but dramatically depict the spread
    of coronavirus and the associated deaths.

    https://imgur.com/a/9DHgknn

    Oh, source is Worldometers, which seems to have been pretty good.

    • JpDave says:

      Main highlight of above:

      The total failure to ensure that adequate testing would be available will likely prove to be the single most important factor in why the United States has been unable to contain the outbreak. As previously reported by NPR, Hong Kong, Singapore and South Korea all deployed an aggressive testing strategy very early on. This allowed them to find the first few cases and isolate them, preventing unchecked community spread. Because our government and public health authorities were unprepared, we have missed that precious opportunity in the United States, and it is going to cost people their lives.

  26. JpDave says:

    Death rate in Italy up to 8.3% while here in the US it is much lower at a current 1.5%.

  27. JpDave says:

    My wife just called her PCP’s office. Waiting for a call back.
    Not sure they will test or not. We shall see.

  28. Philip says:

    All Day Care facilitates in MA will be closed as of Monday.

  29. Vicki says:

    Someone may have shared this and I hate that everyone is locked in homes. But on the positive side….how little time this took

    https://abcnews.go.com/International/venice-canals-clear-fish-coronavirus-halts-tourism-city/story?id=69662690

    • Woods Hill Weather says:

      The water quality is probably the same, but the sediment settles pretty quickly when the boat traffic is cut off, accounting for how clear it looks. Pretty neat to see!

  30. JpDave says:

    Just raining here. Too mild yesterday and overnight. Down to 40 now. Just not enough, plus don’t know what’s going on upstairs.

  31. Woods Hill Weather says:

    Coating to 2 inches occurred in areas it was expected to.

    New post!