Wednesday Forecast

7:14AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 1-5)
April arrives with a blocking pattern still in place. This pattern takes low pressure passing south of the region today and forces it to do a broad anticyclonic loop east of New England Thursday and Friday, which means lobes of moisture from it will back into the region Thursday into Friday with wet weather. Any rainfall is beneficial as it goes to lessening the deficit we have, reducing brush fire danger, and cutting down early-season pollen. Things will start to move the more traditional west-to-east way again when we get to the weekend, which will be dry, starting chilly then warming up slightly as a small area of high pressure moves across the region then offshore. A weak frontal boundary moving in from the west by Sunday night may trigger a rain shower.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. A brief snow flurry possible early. Highs 43-50. Wind N 10-20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind NE 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Highs 41-48. Wind NE 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Areas of drizzle and fog. Lows 37-44. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain, gradually diminishing west to east later in the day. Highs 43-50. Wind NE-N 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Risk of a rain shower evening. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 6-10)
A little more west to east movement may continue in the pattern with milder conditions overall and some unsettled weather mainly the middle 3 days of this period.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 11-15)
Low confidence again but still leaning a little more away from blocking and a milder more progressive pattern at this time.

93 replies on “Wednesday Forecast”

  1. Thanks tk. Hope all is ok.

    Jpdave: re that sterilize-x.com site I wrote this response:

    My rule of thumb is if a website looks like a scam – it’s a scam. That website fits my first criteria.

    Secondly – I can find very little about this website except one other site trying to claim it can kill the coronavirus. That makes it suspect.

    It claims it kills it with a combo of UV and ozone. Let’s check out the UV claim: https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200327-can-you-kill-coronavirus-with-uv-light

    Then let’s check out the ozone claim: https://www.epa.gov/coronavirus/will-ozone-generator-protect-me-and-my-family-covid-19

    1. The site is complete b.s. .. No better than the posts going around that you can kill it with a hair dryer. And even though technically the heat can probably do that, how logical is it to hair dryer every surface you have against something you CAN’T SEE with the naked eye, then know exactly how long you’d have to hold it there to accomplish the task you might be doing needlessly because it doesn’t happen to be there, but you can’t tell because you can’t see it. See where I’m going with this? The bullcrap being spewed on the net infuriates me.

    2. Good links, Dr. my son in law said this same thing about UV light last night. I had some Easter window decals for kids (and me). I sprayed outside packaging Ann’s put in sun to dry. SIL said I’d have to fry them for it to help. He just put an air purifier on our air supply for heat, etc. it has UV but is contained. We were going to do this a while ago and didn’t. Now, seemed like a good time.

      1. Re anything in packages: it’s likely anything wrapped in plastic has been inside the plastic long enough for any potential virus to die. But as mentioned a few times – only things like a thorough scrubbing with alcohol wipes will help otherwise leaving it on a deck for a few days works best (if one has access to an enclosed deck.) I’ve been seeing more people opening packages at their doorstep and leaving the cardboard on their stairs. I have a shed so thats where all the cardboard goes for a week.

        1. Absolutely, I had to get to older daughters home so left in package rather than touch and contaminate. The ones that stay here, we opened and tossed wrapping. We empty anything in a box or package and do just what you do with packaging. I did see in a few places a dousing with spray can be better than a wipe…BUT if the item is sealed so spray can not get in.

  2. The anchor on WBZ radio is concerned about the snowflakes impacting the commute…….

    Anyway.

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Re: Responses thanks TK and Doc
    I figured as much, but I thought I’d put it out there.

  4. Friend’s cousin is a NYC casualty of COVID-19.

    He was in his 50s with pre-existing health issues. It hit him very quickly and he did not recover. I did not know him personally.

  5. I am sorry to hear that TK. It is sad when you hear the best case scenario is anywhere from 100,000 to 240,000 Americans will lose their lives to this virus if everyone does what they are suppose to do. I am hoping this a big time bust but still way to many people have lost their lives so far.

  6. I remember the April fools blizzard very well. Ill share a funny memory I have about that storm. I had just started dating my wife, and we decided that it would be fun to bundle up from head to toe and go out for a walk around town in a raging blizzard. I think this is when she truly understood my passion for weather. So around 8:00pm or so we ventured outside and started walking down the middle of streets that were absolutely deserted, braving the gusts of wind and blinding snow, and when the wind died down for a brief moment there was that eerie muted silence that you get with heavy snow. We were about 30 minutes into it and just about done our walk completely covered in snow looking like a couple of yetis, when we came across the first vehicle we had seen the entire time, we looked at each other and laughed saying, what idiot would be out in this driving around? The pickup truck drove past us as we laughed, then about a minute later that same truck drove by us again but this time slowed down and pulled up next to us and rolled the window down and asked us if we needed any help, that’s when I quickly realized that it was my brother and he had no clue it was us, between being covered in snow and our scarfs and face coverings. I don’t know who was more surprised us or him. He told us that he had just bought the truck a couple of days prior and was testing it out in the snow. He said I was driving by and thought what are these two idiots doing out in this storm and then thought well maybe they got stranded and needed some help. Long story short we hopped in and drove to the dunkins down the street that was still open, laughing the whole way there.

  7. I had my one and only April snow day thanks to the April Fools storm. Since school was called the night before I was able to stay up late and watch the National Championship game between Arizona and Kentucky. Arizona won the game in overtime.

  8. Put out the recycle bin and trash barrel this morning.

    Also, spent a little time on the back deck.

    Its too cold for April ! I’d venture to guess that 60% of the days this ‘winter’ were warmer than today.

    Yes, a little complaining to offer some normalcy, though I really do understand that as long as your loved ones and friends are healthy, there is no complaining about the weather. But I am anyway !! 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

    1. At this point I could give a crap about the weather outside. It is there whether
      I go out or not or whether I like it or not. As the saying goes, there will be weather today, whether you like it or not. Get through each day the best you can. 🙂

  9. Looking at the 12z models and the 00z models that preceded them, this backlash later tomorrow and into Friday has the potential to be impressive, especially in the eastern third of Massachusetts in terms of both rainfall and wind gusts.

    1. Yes, and it is a shame we don’t have some cold air in place. Wouldn’t that be
      something. Just a miserable rain event instead. Oh well.

      1. Most models have it too warm above. RDPS hints that
        850MB temps might remain below freezing, however, 925 mb
        is marginal, thus precip type depicted as rain.

        Just wondering IF there might be room for a surprise?????

        1. Surface temps around here are hovering in the area
          where it could snow, IF it were cold enough above.

  10. Best day of the week so far and I am going to take advantage of it and go out for a walk this afternoon and get some fresh air.

  11. I heard on WEEI this morning that the town of Bourne has already cancelled their July 4th fireworks.

    1. We are not making decisions yet. I think you know I’m on the fourth committee and am responsible for the fireworks.

      1. We use the company TK recommended. I believe we can postpone to any time within this year. But who knows where this will go.

        1. They are good people. They will do whatever they can to work with their customers. I’m sure they have a busy stretch of rescheduling coming up when we know a bit more…

          1. They are amazing. They all know me by name when I call now. One of best companies I have had the pleasure to work with.

  12. NY closed playgrounds because people won’t listen. I would say it is beyond belief but this is not new. Too many literally cannot regulate themselves

  13. Florida Governor Ron Desantis finally issues statewide stay at home order after being pressured.

  14. Call me crazy, but I am still watching the situation for tomorrow for the possibility
    of “some” snow. Why you say? Well for one, temps are holding in the lower 40s and for this time of year that is cold enough. Secondly, HRRR is showing 850 mb temps
    staying well below freezing at least for the start of the event.

    So, we shall see. All forecasts are indicating rain, but that doesn’t mean
    that is what it will be.

    Continuing to monitor high resolution guidance.

  15. Look how close the Euro brings this thing as part of its loop

    https://m3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2020040112/042/prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_ne.png

    Showing some mix there.

    850 mb temps

    https://m3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2020040112/042/850th.us_ne.png

    925 mb temps

    https://m3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2020040112/042/925th.us_ne.png

    It would have to come down pretty hard to break through the warmer air ground level to 2-3000 feet.

  16. While I am not surprised some things as far out as July & August have been postponed or canceled, in many cases there can be some time yet to make those decisions with a clearer trend of where we are going and where we can go. I also understand that the logistics of some events make it impossible to wait too long before deciding.

    I’m fully expecting to hear of a postponement or cancellation of Boston’s July 4th celebration sometime this month, but we will see. The latter part of 2020 and the entirety of 2021 are going to comprise of a very long sorting project for lives and events, sadly with far too many casualties to get there. But we’ll need to do the best we can to pull it all back together. We can and will. 🙂

    1. Absolutely. For event here which is minuscule comparatively, we can’t ask for donations. And donations are all we have. So hard to sign up parade or vendor or any groups. Takes darn close to a year

  17. We will have to keep an eye on the April 9-15 period for a potential snow event in New England. I am not sure if it will involve southern New England yet, if it occurs. Pretty far out into the future but just something I see with the pattern’s potential line-up is consistent with mid spring snowfall. I’ll keep an eye on it as always.

  18. Vicki…I had no idea that you are on the fireworks committee for your town. Frankly though, I don’t forsee any normal summertime activities where people gather including concerts, local parades, etc. taking place. IMHO they shouldn’t, good move by Bourne.

    Besides…what is there to really “celebrate” right now? 🙁

    Thanksgiving/Christmas/New Year’s are times when folks get together. It would be a crying shame if we as a nation are still in widespread quarantine at those times if we don’t have to. Currently we are all living in fear, but I don’t want to still be living like this during our traditional end-of-year holidays above.

    1. To me there is a ton to celebrate now. So many positives are coming from this. We celebrate the people on the front line. The teachers who are working extra hard to keep our kids on track. The 23 minute parade of teachers who drove by my granddaughters house today just to wave. Folks seeing masks. Oh my…..too many to mention. But we can’t do with fireworks because we cannot assemble

      I truly hope folks have seen the link above and get out across Massachusetts in their front steps or porches at 7:00 Friday night to clap and cheer for all of these folks.

  19. Thank you, TK.

    This is classic early April. In recent years, we’ve had mostly cold starts to the month, with some snow mixed in. Gosh, this pattern would have been nice a couple of months ago. Alas, we don’t order such things from a menu. And, there’s something to be said about the randomness and unpredictability of weather from year to year.

    I’m very sorry to hear about your friend’s cousin in NYC.

    I just found out that my mother’s best friend from grade school passed away from Covid-19.

    France is also struggling mightily with this virus: https://www.forbes.com/sites/joshuacohen/2020/04/01/france-struggles-as-it-wages-war-against-covid-19/#15a38a1111ed

  20. Boston Top 10 Least Snowiest

    1. 9.0” = 1936-37
    2. 9.3” = 2011-12
    3. 10.3” = 1972-73
    4. 12.7” = 1979-80
    5. 14.9” = 1994-95
    6. 15.1” = 2019-20*
    6. 15.1” = 2001-02
    7. 15.5” = 1988-89
    8. 17.1” = 2006-07
    9. 17.5” = 1900-01
    10. 18.1” = 1985-86

    1. Yup no surprise there old salty . Brace yourself for April . Those who thought this hyped up beware you are about to get a massive wake up call . Plans in the making for makeshift hospitals around the city .

        1. The Governor does not have the guts to mandate it & I believe will come back & bite him in the ass .

          1. You may be right. I’m frankly amazed how much traffic I still see on Storrow Drive and Memorial Drive. I realize many folks are driving to work. Some are medical professionals. But, it just feels like we’ve let up on social distancing too soon. It’s certainly busier than 2 weeks ago. Charles Street was fairly crowded with folks, some just milling around in groups.

            Today’s aggregated reported new cases will be close to 27k – a new high. Today’s deaths will likely not reach yesterday’s high, but will still be well over 800. Some more glitches in reporting of data, so it’s really hard to have a firm grasp on what’s going on in the U.S.

            1. I’m leaving the garage in Boston at 3:30 & getting of the highway at like 4:03 in Marshfield.

          2. I agree although he is not alone. The responsibility lies at the top and he isn’t doing it or showing signs of being willing to.

            1. Please folks…call him. Call both. And for the record….my mantra is call rather than complain on social media. If anyone knows anything about me on here….that is absolute truth. For some reason when I mentioned calling the president a few days ago it was political…..and yet calling Baker or NWS or Mets isn’t.

                1. I know. And kudos. I have too multiple times also and am always always polite. Calls need to go to Washington.

            2. Agree I honestly believe this will come back to them both & hurt them for the way it was handled .

    1. Joshua,

      What do you think of Bloomberg news reporting that our intelligence agencies believe China has faked the amount of cases and deaths of the Coronavirus?

      1. Obviously not Joshua. I have no doubt they lied but that is my guess. Has we had boots on the ground, we may have known earlier. But if I knew to start preparing in December….

        Sadly, as many errors as China has made…..we can comfortably and sadly join the group

  21. Deadliest day in the US yet again with over 1,100 casualties. We just doubled are casualties in the last 72 hours. I couldn’t agree with Joshua more regarding the amount of cars on the road. I do not believe they are all essential workers. Each day it gets busier and busier. People continue to venture out and defy the odds. The “not me” attitude is stronger than ever. I pray for them. I pray for everyone who continues to think this virus is not a threat to civilization. And, I pray for everyone here.

    1. Thank you Arod. I do the very same. I’m glad to see you here. I was worrying. That’s on me. I am a worrier when if comes to friends. I hope you sleep well. Thank you and your wife for all you are doing.

  22. Dr stupid. I saved your dick van dyke clip till before bed. I knew it would be a wonderful way to unwind before sleep

    Can’t thank you enough

  23. The list of essential workers is expansive. I’d be curious to know what WHW readers would consider not to be essential that’s still operating. I’m of the mind if a business is considered essential there ought be mandated gloves and masks worn and social distancing enforced if plausible (obviously hospital workers can’t observe social distancing for example.) In Ireland you can’t go more than 2km from your home unless you are essential. I think something like that ought to be put in place here. Take a look at this took and see how far you’d be able to go: https://2kmfromhome.com/

    It’s going to get warm again soon enough which means a lot of travelers to beaches near me. Which means more people from other more impacted cities at the stores near me which are near the beaches. I’ve been stocking up a bit more because of this to limit any trips to the store because it will get worse just on that facet alone. Keeping people inside as a suggestion is hard in dreary wet early spring weather. Try doing it when it is warm and pleasant mid spring weather and not mandatory.

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