Saturday May 23 2020 Forecast


DAYS 1-5 (MAY 23-27)

Memorial Day Weekend marks the “traditional” start of the summer season as far as tourism goes, ending with Labor Day Weekend in early September. There’s some sad irony in place this year with how the calenar happens to line up during a time when there are current and probable ongoing restrictions in place for many tourist activities due to the pandemic situation, and that is that for the first time in several years, the “season” is the longest possible, with the earliest possible Memorial Day (May 25) and latest possible Labor Day (September 7). But regardless of the situation, weather will still be happening, and knowing it will be necessary. As far as Memorial Day goes, traditional observances have either been cancelled or greatly modified this year, but I ask you to please pause at some point during this weekend to remember the brave souls who fought for your freedom and did not come home. We should never lose sight of that. Onward to the weather, we see no big changes in the generally outlook, with low pressure trying to make a run into the region today only to be thwarted by high pressure to our north, which will be strengthening against an already fairly weak low. Nevertheless the low had enough push to throw its shield of clouds across our area along with some pockets of shower activity. The shower threat, while concentrated to the south, exists anywhere, but will then retreat to the south during the course of the afternoon. All the while, a frontal boundary passing through the region this morning and midday will erase the lingering mild feel leftover from yesterday’s summer preview, and replace it with a much cooler maritime polar air mass which you will definitely feel arriving, if it hasn’t already made it to your location by the time your read this. However don’t expect a deck of low clouds and fog to plague the region Sunday, which will be a bright day due to enough dry air, but cool due to the air mass in place. As high pressure starts to sink southeastward, by Memorial Day it will have moved enough to create a southeasterly air flow which will tap into a bit more moisture and at that time may send some cloudiness in from the ocean, while at the same time we see a disturbance from the northwest sending some of its own cloudiness into the region. At this time keeping the forecast for Monday dry as well, but I can’t say the threat of brief rain is zero either. As we approach the middle of next week, high pressure will have positioned itself to pump warmer air and the feel of summer back in.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy morning-midday with spotty rain, favoring southern areas. Increasing sun north to south mid afternoon on. Highs 62-69 morning, falling into the 50s from northeast to southwest during the day. Wind SW-NW 5-15 MPH early, shifting to NE from north to south and increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts especially coastal areas.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 38-43 interior with coolest in valley locations, 43-48 coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH coast but near calm interior.

SUNDAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 58-65, coolest coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Patchy fog interior lower elevations. Lows 40-47. Wind SE under 10 MPH.

MONDAY – MEMORIAL DAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 62-67 coast, 68-73 interior. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 53-60. Wind S under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-75 South Coast, 75-82 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 50-55 interior, 55-60 coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 70-77 South Coast, 78-85 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 28-JUNE 1)

Temperatures should spend a few more days above normal in the final days of May and may turn considerably cooler just in time to welcome June. Timing is obviously suspect that far out, but just the overall trend. A couple frontal boundaries may be in the region any time from May 29 onward to initiate this transition, at which time a couple rounds of showers/t-storms may take place. Will fine-tune going forward.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 2-6)

A cooler pattern for early June, but rainfall likely to average below normal as well.

35 replies on “Saturday May 23 2020 Forecast”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK.

    That cool NE wind is here already. Down to 63 at Logan. Still 69 here, but I expect it
    to start dropping anytime now.

  2. Thanks TK !

    NE wind has arrived here. Took 10F off the temp in a matter of minutes up at the seawall.

    That’s ok, yesterday was awesome !

  3. The dewpoint change behind this back door front is huge. Low to mid 60 dewpoints still in SE Mass, mid 30 to low 40s at Boston, points north.

    1. This is exactly why we are not getting a solid deck of stratus and falling into the upper 40s along the shoreline today. 🙂

  4. Thank you, TK.

    I miss seeing the flags on the Boston Common to commemorate soldiers we’ve lost. I consider the tradition truly magnificent. Let’s hope it can return to the Common during next year’s Memorial Day weekend. The headline in this article is somewhat misleading, as the flags are not on the Common this year. Rather, individual celebrations are being held.

  5. Thanks, TK…Good morning, everyone!

    Very soupy here in Taunton right now.

    Noticing feisty thunderstorms off the New Jersey coast.

  6. Thanks TK. Tom, my dew point went from 66 to 50 when the front went through and still dropping. It was very uncomfortable this am.

  7. DP dropped to 38 here…..hmmm that doesn’t sound right??? But most nearby Wunder stations have it at 38.

    Wind is active. I had to close all windows and sliders as the house was filling with pollen. I detest having to close windows but felt nasty from allergies last night so lesser of two evils.

  8. Thank you TK!
    Vicki what a spectacular video, thanks for posting it.
    I was so happy to hear the rain this morning. I spread I ton of grass seed thinking that we were going to be influenced by those two systems this past week, but that all changed quickly by Sunday, but by then it was too late. I’ve spent the last 7 days watering. Ended up with .09” so far today.

    1. Hi SC. Thank you. I hope you and yours are well. I set the sprinklers to go on last night but don’t think they did. We apparently didn’t get enough rain to register. Darn. Good luck with your lawn!!!

  9. Today is such an fascinating weather day. For me, this is why I love all weather and can be just as active talking weather on Memorial Day Weekend as MLK weekend.

    I went for my run at 9:00am – 70 degreees and a dew point of 65 with calm conditions. At noon it is 75, dew point of 39, partly sunny conditions with an east wind of 10 gusting to 20. Northern CT and throughout Western MA it is 73-77 at noon with partly sunny skies.

    Compare to Logan or even Norwood or Bedford. 50s and 60s with conditions highly variable within a few miles of each observation station. Today is one of those days that presented precip, cloud cover, and temp challenges for all and that makes it kind of fun.

  10. Down to 53 at my house in Hingham. Winds are pretty light right now with a deck of stratus to my NE and higher clouds (but still overcast) to my south.

  11. 55 At Logan. My thermometer is definitely wacked out and not just due to direct sunlight. There’s nothing to speak of out there now and my thermometer is reading 59.
    It’s 57 at Norwood, so I should be at 56, 57 tops, but 59????? gimmie a break.

    1. I hear this all the time….and the rest of the country laughs at us when we say things like this. Places in the Plains drop 40 degrees in the span of an hour or two when a cold front moves through, and can drop from 90s to snow in less than 12 hours. Why do people think a 20-degree drop in 6 hours here is the “only” place it happens?

      One of the places I forecast for at work is the San Francisco Bay area. On Memorial Day, temperatures will range from the lower 60s right along the Pacific Coast to the middle to upper 90s across the East Bay, just 30 miles inland. That’s a typical summer day out there. I was out there in 2007 from the MLB All-Star game. After attending the A’s/Mariners game in Oakland on the Saturday, my uncle and I went into Berkeley for a meal. Leaving Berkeley, we drove through the Caldecott Tunnel, which goes through the Berkeley Hills, on our way to Walnut Creek. When we entered the tunnel, on the Bay Side, it was 67 degrees (early July). When we came out on the other side, about 3/4 mile away, it was 92. Same day, when we were down near Sears Point (and the NASCAR track), on the northern edge of the Bay, it was 71 on his car thermometer. At his home in Sonoma, just 8 miles to the north, it was 98.

      My point is, none of this is unique to New England, yet everytime this happens, someone will invariably say “only in New England”.

  12. Thanks TK!

    Been looking for any signs that a more active severe weather pattern may start to develop for the Northeast. May 15 was definitely a solid event by any standards, but right now it looks to be a one off. The pattern going forward is pretty dry, and the few shower/storm chances don’t look like anything special. Maybe during the first week of June things become more favorable for northwest flow events, but those always seem very tough to come by. So all in all, probably rather quiet times in the weather department for awhile, though as JMA talked about with all the quirks of today, there’s always something to look at.

  13. Very chilly day down this way . I’m actually thinking about burning my extra wood in the fireplace tonight .

  14. Martha’s Vineyard at 2.62 inches of rain and counting, Nantucket at 1.49 inches and counting.

    Stuck in a thin convergence zone all day.

    1. Sorry Tom that your holiday got off to a wet start.

      Imagine though, if this was February with the same scenario: 😉

      Logan = 0.00”
      Cape = 15-30”

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