DAYS 1-5 (MAY 23-27)
Memorial Day Weekend marks the “traditional” start of the summer season as far as tourism goes, ending with Labor Day Weekend in early September. There’s some sad irony in place this year with how the calenar happens to line up during a time when there are current and probable ongoing restrictions in place for many tourist activities due to the pandemic situation, and that is that for the first time in several years, the “season” is the longest possible, with the earliest possible Memorial Day (May 25) and latest possible Labor Day (September 7). But regardless of the situation, weather will still be happening, and knowing it will be necessary. As far as Memorial Day goes, traditional observances have either been cancelled or greatly modified this year, but I ask you to please pause at some point during this weekend to remember the brave souls who fought for your freedom and did not come home. We should never lose sight of that. Onward to the weather, we see no big changes in the generally outlook, with low pressure trying to make a run into the region today only to be thwarted by high pressure to our north, which will be strengthening against an already fairly weak low. Nevertheless the low had enough push to throw its shield of clouds across our area along with some pockets of shower activity. The shower threat, while concentrated to the south, exists anywhere, but will then retreat to the south during the course of the afternoon. All the while, a frontal boundary passing through the region this morning and midday will erase the lingering mild feel leftover from yesterday’s summer preview, and replace it with a much cooler maritime polar air mass which you will definitely feel arriving, if it hasn’t already made it to your location by the time your read this. However don’t expect a deck of low clouds and fog to plague the region Sunday, which will be a bright day due to enough dry air, but cool due to the air mass in place. As high pressure starts to sink southeastward, by Memorial Day it will have moved enough to create a southeasterly air flow which will tap into a bit more moisture and at that time may send some cloudiness in from the ocean, while at the same time we see a disturbance from the northwest sending some of its own cloudiness into the region. At this time keeping the forecast for Monday dry as well, but I can’t say the threat of brief rain is zero either. As we approach the middle of next week, high pressure will have positioned itself to pump warmer air and the feel of summer back in.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy morning-midday with spotty rain, favoring southern areas. Increasing sun north to south mid afternoon on. Highs 62-69 morning, falling into the 50s from northeast to southwest during the day. Wind SW-NW 5-15 MPH early, shifting to NE from north to south and increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts especially coastal areas.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 38-43 interior with coolest in valley locations, 43-48 coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH coast but near calm interior.
SUNDAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 58-65, coolest coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Patchy fog interior lower elevations. Lows 40-47. Wind SE under 10 MPH.
MONDAY – MEMORIAL DAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 62-67 coast, 68-73 interior. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 53-60. Wind S under 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-75 South Coast, 75-82 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 50-55 interior, 55-60 coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 70-77 South Coast, 78-85 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (MAY 28-JUNE 1)
Temperatures should spend a few more days above normal in the final days of May and may turn considerably cooler just in time to welcome June. Timing is obviously suspect that far out, but just the overall trend. A couple frontal boundaries may be in the region any time from May 29 onward to initiate this transition, at which time a couple rounds of showers/t-storms may take place. Will fine-tune going forward.
DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 2-6)
A cooler pattern for early June, but rainfall likely to average below normal as well.