11:25AM
COMMENTARY…
Good day all! A little interruption in the great weather for Independence Day yesterday reminding us again of the uncertainty of weather forecasting. Where I expected the rain to fall stayed the driest. Where I expected would stay the driest got the most rain, not that it was a soaker of a day all day long in those areas of interior MA north and west of Boston and southern NH, but it rained there enough to disgruntle some people with outdoor plans. However, if you were patient, or timed things correctly, you had a wonderful evening to enjoy! And that was true of all areas as drier air moved in behind the disturbance, proving that going into this situation, many of the computer models were incorrect on timing and had the activity taking place later than it actually did. And now, time to look ahead…
DAYS 1-5…
Beautiful Summer day today as high pressure dominates. This holds into Monday – another great day! By Tuesday, a warm front crosses the region with more cloudiness and the risk of a few showers, as well as an increase in humidity. This sets up Wednesday as a potential day for heavy to severe thunderstorms as a cold front pushes into a warm and muggy air mass. I’m not going to try to say we’re in for it here this far in advance, but only want to alert you a few days in advance of the possibility of some big boomers somewhere in the region at that time. By Thursday, we’re into a drier airmass though a disturbance nearby may still kick off a few showers.
THIS AFTERNOON: Sunshine. Highs in the 80s except 70s Cape Cod. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-60 interior valleys, 60-65 elsewhere. Wind light W.
MONDAY: Sunny. Highs in the 80s except 70s South Coast. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Risk of brief periods of light rain. More humid. Lows 60-65. Highs 70s South Coast, 80-85 elsewhere.
WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Lows 65-70. Highs 70s South Coast, 80s elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Lows 60-65. Highs 75-83.
DAYS 6-10 (JULY 10-14)…
Great Summer weather Friday July 10 and Saturday July 11 with fair and warm conditions. Episodic showers/thunderstorms becoming more likely July 12-14 as a trough moves through the Northeast. Still no heatwaves in sight with temperatures close to normal.
DAYS 11-15 (JULY 15-19)…
Flat ridge of high pressure from the South Central US through the Southeast and off into the Atlantic, still not far enough north to promote big heat in the Northeast, but jet stream far enough north to allow for near to above normal temperatures. Disturbances coming along the jet stream may produce occasional showers/t-storms typical of Summertime but overall rainfall will be near to below normal.