DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 10-14)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Discussion… <\/p>\n\n\n\n
In a drought, a modest rain event is a “big” rain event I guess. Given the pre-chatter about the one coming up today, you’d think we were about to get a flooding deluge. Well, that may not be entirely that far from the truth. However, a deluge over a relatively small percentage of the area for a relatively short amount of time, most of which runs off into the drainage system, is not going to do a whole lot to fix your drought situation. That is what we’ll be dealing with for the most part. But the rain may be heavy enough, in localized areas, to cause flooding. This renders the often-said phrase “any rain is welcomed rain” somewhat false. We’ll see how much that ends up applying today and this evening as a semi-feeble tongue of tropical moisture becomes the transfer point for the energy of a cold front heading southeastward into New England. It’s entirely possible that this energy transfer not only takes the legs (and ability to produce significant showers) away from the approaching front but then puts the new rainfall so far to the south that it barely hits the South Coast before departing. I’m opting for a scenario a little less dramatic than that, and this forecast will call for showers and maybe a band or 2 of downpours in a few locations from about mid afternoon to mid evening. Regardless of how many showers are on the frontal boundary itself, that boundary will indeed push through here tonight, and while some cloudiness may linger into the day Friday behind it, it will clear out and we’ll be in an entirely different, refreshing Canadian air mass, making the bulk of Friday feel different than today will. And this is good timing if you want dry weather for the weekend, because you’ll get dry weather for most of it, certainly Saturday as high pressure moves right over the region. On Sunday as the high slips offshore and it starts to become more humid, along with more cloudiness, we’ll have another front approaching, but over the last several days I’ve noted a slightly slower and weaker trend with this system, and I still feel this is the case, so that shower activity will be later in the day and evening and limited. Another batch of drier air will arrive behind this front by Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Details…<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TODAY: Mainly cloudy. Showers most likely near the South Coast this morning. Scattered to general showers anywhere during this afternoon. Any showers may be heavy and a few thunderstorms are also possible. Highs 73-80. Dew point upper 60s to lower 70s. Wind S 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely with slight chance of thunderstorms evening. A lingering shower possible overnight. Areas of fog. Lows 63-70. Dew point falling from near 70 to middle 60s. Wind shifting from S to W to N 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy start including a slight risk of a passing light shower. Sun and passing clouds by late morning on. Temperatures steady 63-70. Dew point falling from middle 60s into the 50s. Wind N 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Areas of ground fog lowest elevations. Lows 43-50. Dew point falling into 40s. Wind N under 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SATURDAY: Sunny. Highs 65-72. Dew point near 50. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 53-60. Dew point rising through 50s. Wind E to SE up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SUNDAY: Partly sunny morning. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers afternoon, favoring late-day. Highs 71-78. Dew point rising to lower 60s. Wind SE to SW 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 63-70. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
MONDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Temperatures steady 63-70. Dew point falling from lower 60s to upper 40s. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 15-19)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A large area of high pressure will govern the weather for a few days here, with us on the northwesterly air flow side and cooler\/drier September 15, then as the high slips to the south we warm up September 16 and 17, but another cold front, based on current timing, comes through without much rainfall but a shift back to cooler\/drier for the end of the period as a new, even larger high pressure area builds in from Canada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 20-24)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Overall pattern generally features zonal west to east flow at upper levels, high pressure in control most of the time with moisture-starved fronts providing air mass changes. On other words, the same overall pattern. However, as previously stated, we do need to keep an eye out for any tropical activity off of or approaching the East Coast.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 10-14) Discussion… In a drought, a modest rain event is a “big” rain event I guess. Given the pre-chatter about the one coming up today, you’d think we were about to get a flooding deluge. Well, that may not be entirely that far from the truth. However, a deluge over a relatively … Continue reading Thursday September 10 2020 Forecast (7:08AM)<\/span>