DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 23-27)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A “not-too-bad” weekend will be followed by a stretch of cloudy, wet weather. We are now undergoing the transition into the blocking pattern that has been speculated about for a while with uncertainty as to the timing and exact orientation. Well, the timing is now, and the type of blocking pattern is known as a “Rex block” which is high pressure to the north, in this case centered over eastern Canada, especially Quebec, and upper level low pressure to its south, in this upcoming case generally over New England. Before we get to the unsettled weather though, the weekend won’t be all that bad. We have a weak disturbance moving through the region this morning with lots of clouds around but as the disturbance departs there will be enough drying of air to provide more episodes of sun mixed with clouds during the day. It will be noticeably cooler than the last several days, in face cooler than it has been much of this very mild month, but with the lack of wind it won’t feel that bad outside. Tonight’s sky is expected to end up mostly clear and with high pressure moving overhead, we have a set-up for strong radiational cooling, so it should be a chilly night and some interior locations will likely see their first frosts which are coming late this season. Sunday will feature more sunshine with high pressure over the region, but high cloudiness will begin to increase as we go through the afternoon in advance of approaching low pressure as our blocking sets up. And then it’s time for a period of wet weather with rain moving into and across the region late Sunday night into Monday, which likely tapers off for a while during the day Monday as the initial thrust of moisture moves to the north. But low pressure is going to move eastward and spin itself up across the region Monday night and Tuesday when a more widespread and significant rain is likely. By Wednesday, the low will be on a weakening trend while slowly departing, but improvement in weather will be slow and that day may end up remaining overcast and occasionally wet as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TODAY: Lots of clouds, then a sun\/cloud mix. Highs 56-63. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Mostly clear overnight. Frost possible interior lower elevations. Lows 32-37 interior lower elevations, 38-43 elsewhere except 43-48 urban centers. Wind calm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny then increasing high cloudiness later in the day. Highs 56-63. Wind W under 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SUNDAY NIGHT: Thickening overcast. Rain arriving overnight. Lows 42-49. Wind calm evening then NE up to 10 MPH overnight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
MONDAY: Cloudy with rain tapering off during the morning. Mostly cloudy afternoon. Highs 52-59. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
MONDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Rain returns. Areas of fog. Lows 41-48. Wind E 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TUESDAY: Overcast with rain and areas of fog. Highs 48-55. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TUESDAY NIGHT: Overcast with periods of rain and areas of fog. Lows 41-48. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with periods of rain and drizzle. Highs 50-57. Wind NE to N 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 28 – NOVEMBER 1)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
An unsettled weather pattern will continue with the block still in place, only starting to break down toward the end of the period. Currently I expect an intrusion of slightly drier air for October 28 before the next low pressure system impacts the region with more wet weather October 29 into October 30. This low should be weakening and pulling off to the east by late in the period with gradual improvement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 2-6)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A more zonal (west-to-east) upper pattern is expected to become established during this time frame with fair weather more dominant, and variable but mostly near to slightly above normal temperatures. Given guidance performance in medium ranges of late though, this forecast is only low to moderate confidence.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 23-27) A “not-too-bad” weekend will be followed by a stretch of cloudy, wet weather. We are now undergoing the transition into the blocking pattern that has been speculated about for a while with uncertainty as to the timing and exact orientation. Well, the timing is now, and the type of blocking pattern … Continue reading Saturday October 23 2021 Forecast (8:58AM)<\/span>