DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 13-17)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
After a wet and wild Friday, we have a break in the action for a good number of today’s hours – basically the short daylight hours. With lingering low level moisture after yesterday’s rain, mild air, and humid conditions, this morning while dawning with a clear sky above has seen some fog patches in lower elevations. Any of these will burn off quickly as the sun climbs toward its low-angle peak in the mid November sky, but despite the low sun angle and short daylight, it will be a fairly nice day, temperature-wise, and with a relatively light wind. But things will start to change quickly as we head toward sunset. Clouds will advance from the west quickly ahead of a potent disturbance. This disturbance, as mentioned on yesterday’s discussion, is rotating around a large low pressure circulation in eastern Canada, and will dive through the Great Lakes early today before rounding the base of the circulation and heading east and northeast into our region, passing through in very quick fashion between about sunset and 8 p.m. An area of surface low pressure will be forming right as this crosses our area. What we can expect from it is 1 or 2 broken to solid lines of rain showers that may contain downpours, small hail, gusty winds, and possible lightning and thunder. As these move through, the worst of the weather will last literally a few to several minutes in any one location. Other locations may not see all that much if the line(s) contain(s) broken rather than solid convection. As the low center takes shape quickly, a lobe of wrap-around moisture on its back side may produce showers of rain and higher elevation snow from central and northern Worcester County into southwestern NH, which then would move eastward across the rest of southern NH and possibly northeastern MA as rain showers just before the system departs. With low pressure forming on the region, as you’d imagine, the wind direction will depend on where the low center is relative to any given location at a given time, but wind gusts of above 30 MPH are quite possible in the initial lines of convection, those likely being southerly to westerly winds, and briefly as the system departs, those likely being northwesterly winds. Later this evening and overnight we’ll see quieter weather, dry and chilly with a modest breeze. Expect a dry day on Sunday but with a cool and gusty westerly breeze as we feel the last of eastern Canadian low pressure. One more disturbance being pulled in this circulation will have a bit more independence as it approaches New England, spawning a new surface low near the northern Mid Atlantic Coast, which will then move northeastward, passing just southeast of New England by early Monday. This system will bring a period of rain late Sunday night and early Monday, and this may fall as a mix of rain\/snow over interior higher elevations, although no snow accumulation is expected. The rest of Monday will be drier, but breezy and cool as clouds break behind the departing low pressure system. When we get to Tuesday, except a dry but breezy and chilly mid November day between low pressure in the Canadian Maritimes and high pressure in the Great Lakes. While the center of this high likely passes south of our area Wednesday, it will extend far enough north to provide us with a tranquil day that starts rather cold followed by a nice temperature recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TODAY: Lower elevation fog areas dissipating by mid morning, otherwise mostly sunny this morning and increasing clouds west to east after noon. Highs 53-60. Wind SW up to 10 MPH shifting to SE.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy early-mid evening with rain showers and possible thunderstorms moving southwest to northeast across the region, some potentially producing small hail and strong wind gusts, and an additional area of rain showers and higher elevation snow showers possible from central MA to southwestern NH just behind the initial activity exiting as rain showers through southeastern NH and northeastern MA mid evening. Becoming partly cloudy late evening and mostly clear overnight. Lows 36-43. Wind variable 5-15 MPH but short-lived stronger winds with gusts above 30 MPH mid to late evening, becoming NW then W 5-15 MPH late evening and overnight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 48-55. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Possible rain late evening and overnight which may mix with snow in interior higher elevations. Lows 35-42. Wind variable becoming N to NE 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. A chance of rain and drizzle favoring eastern areas early morning. Highs 42-49. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 30-37. Wind N to NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 41-48. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 25-30 except 30-35 urban centers and immediate shoreline. Wind W up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind W 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 18-22)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Current expectations are for a breezy and milder November 18 ahead of a cold front from low pressure that will pass north of the region, dragging that front through here by early Friday with only a minor rain shower threat followed by cooler weather and a gusty breeze. Fair weather is expected for the November 20-21 weekend with a chilly start and milder finish. Watching for unsettled weather as low pressure arrives from the southwest at the end of this period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 23-27)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Some medium range guidance has recently presented a “scary” look to this period, which includes Thanksgiving on November 25, and while I feel we will have to watch for impact from one or two low pressure areas, I’m not seeing quite as stormy a pattern as some computer guidance “sees”. With colder air nearby and a general eastern US low pressure trough though, we will have to keep a close eye on it and work on the details going forward.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 13-17) After a wet and wild Friday, we have a break in the action for a good number of today’s hours – basically the short daylight hours. With lingering low level moisture after yesterday’s rain, mild air, and humid conditions, this morning while dawning with a clear sky above has seen some … Continue reading Saturday November 13 2021 Forecast (8:23AM)<\/span>