DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 29 \u2013 DECEMBER 3)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I cannot stress enough how important it is, if you are a model-watcher, or watching\/reading a forecast that may be largely model-driven, to not pay grand attention to anything beyond day 3, as it should be very general and if there is too much detail apparent, take it with a grain of salt (as much as I don’t really care for that phrase). I’ve noticed some glaring issues with all guidance with the current pattern and will be trying to work out what is more reliable and what isn’t, which in itself carries risk in making a forecast. Long story short: We’ll have a series of mostly weak systems impacting the region in a pattern of near to below normal temperatures (with one day that is warmer – pay attention). So, one system, originally forecast as some guidance to be an important snowstorm, is departing this morning in the form of … clouds … with a few snow and rain showers having fallen in parts of the region in the 24 hours leading up to its departure. A second weakening clipper system will race toward the region Tuesday sending some more clouds in, and maybe brief very light snow in a few locations with no impact. November ends with a chilly couple of days, and December begins with moderating temperatures midweek, slightly on Wednesday, and more noticeably on Thursday as a warm front approaches Wednesday with more clouds moving in, and a cold front then approaches Thursday before pushing through later in the day (based on rough current timing). This system may produce a few rain showers but will be more of a cloud producer than anything else. Dry, colder air is expected for Friday behind that cold front as we should be in a stronger northwesterly air flow at that time, based on best educated guess with this weather pattern.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TODAY: Variably cloudy, then more sun. Brief sprinkle of rain or flurry of snow possible mainly in areas to the south of Boston during the morning. Highs 35-42. Wind N to NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill near 10 at times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TUESDAY: Sunny start, then more clouds. Brief very light snow possible mainly in areas to the southwest and west of Boston mid to late afternoon. Highs 36-43. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 23-30. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 40-47. Wind S up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 30-37. Wind S 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 46-53. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 4-8)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
With significant forecast model uncertainty in play, we’ll continue to watch a pattern of fast-moving systems with eyes on what will likely be a weak one passing by with a minor precipitation threat early in the period, and a weak to moderate system that brings some threat mid to late period. Temperatures overall are expected to average near to below normal. Timing\/details of any systems that threaten will fine-tuned when in proper range to do so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 9-13)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Essentially the same forecast as DAYS 6-10 with even more emphasis on model uncertainty in the medium range. The only take-away we have a little hold on is variable temperatures averaging fairly close to normal overall, and at least the good chance of a couple low pressure systems to track with potential impact on the region, the level of which is impossible to determine so far in advance.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 29 \u2013 DECEMBER 3) I cannot stress enough how important it is, if you are a model-watcher, or watching\/reading a forecast that may be largely model-driven, to not pay grand attention to anything beyond day 3, as it should be very general and if there is too much detail apparent, take it … Continue reading Monday November 29 2021 Forecast (9:05AM)<\/span>