COMMENTARY<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Well, very few lessons get learned these days when it comes to communication and interpretation of weather information. I’ve already seen people wake up early this morning, as I predicted would happen, and ask “so, where’s the snow?” Ask that question if it’s supposed to be snowing in your area this evening and it isn’t. That’s when most of this event occurs. I’m sure there are people out there who saw a model run with many inches of snow for today several days ago and will still expect that to verify. Yes, we still have a problem with information \/ communication when it should be much easier. Apparently there’s still a lot to work on. Those snow maps that were posted on the TV weathercasts last Saturday night for today certainly are not going to verify. There’s a reason why it’s not wise to do such a thing. How many more “events” are going to be incorrectly presented and\/or misinterpreted before these people learn? Good question…<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 8-12)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We sit in the midst of the active December pattern we were anticipating. Today’s event will be a minor one, a result of a weak area of low pressure passes south of New England later today and this evening. It will start to gather some strength as it interacts with an upper level disturbance as it begins to pull away this evening, and that combination along with cold enough air in place will result in some accumulating snow, most of which will occur near and after sunset until late evening. The best combination of steadiest precipitation and coldest air to result in “the most snow” (which will still not be a lot – let’s keep this in perspective) will occur mostly over the region from north central to northeastern MA and into southern NH. Although areas that get little or no accumulation or are rain for a portion of the event will have to watch for some black ice formation overnight into early Thursday morning as the temperature drops below freezing. Keep that in mind if you have to be outside at those times. High pressure brings fair and chilly weather Thursday. On Friday, dissipating low pressure will make a run at the region, bringing clouds and maybe some light and insignificant precipitation. The next stronger low pressure area that will impact the region this weekend will take a track similar to Monday’s system, north of New England. You may have already heard this event touted as a significant rain-producer by some media (I know I have), but it’s not really going to be the case. We’ll have a warm front move through, expected timing early Saturday, with some rainfall as it will have warmed up enough by then, and we’ll spend some time in a breezy warm sector on Saturday which the majority of ends up rain-free. After that we’ll watch for a cold front to move across the region between late Saturday and early Sunday with rain showers and gusty winds. That precipitation ending as a mix or snow is a potential but would likely be insignificant if it happened. Colder air does return to the region on Sunday, but modified, not arctic air.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TODAY: Cloudy. Scattered areas of snow except rain in some coastal areas especially south of Boston. Spotty coatings of snow possible interior higher elevations. Highs 31-38. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TONIGHT: Cloudy evening with snow of a coating to 2 inches, with isolated amounts up to 3 inches possible favoring northern MA and southern NH, and rain\/mix changing to mix\/snow with a coating possible closer to the South Coast. Breaking clouds overnight. Watch for black ice formation. Lows 24-31. Wind N 5-15 MPH gusting up to 20 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
THURSDAY: Sun\/cloud mix. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, diminishing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain and snow. Highs 35-42. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain overnight, may start as a brief mix with sleet and snow interior higher elevations. Lows 28-35 evening, rising temperature overnight. Wind W up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SATURDAY: Cloudy with a chance of rain early, then variably cloudy. Highs 52-59. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 10-20 MPH and gusty shifting to W.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Temperatures steady 42-49. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 13-17)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
While the upper atmosphere supports above normal temperatures with mainly fair weather, we’ll have to watch the surface pattern for a bubble of high pressure in eastern Canada that may send a cold front southward at some point, putting a lid on what could otherwise be a warmer stretch. Low confidence forecast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 18-22)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hints of a colder trend that may eventually lead to a winter precipitation chance or two. This is still a very low confidence outlook. Any medium range guidance remains very unreliable.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
COMMENTARY Well, very few lessons get learned these days when it comes to communication and interpretation of weather information. I’ve already seen people wake up early this morning, as I predicted would happen, and ask “so, where’s the snow?” Ask that question if it’s supposed to be snowing in your area this evening and it … Continue reading Wednesday December 8 2021 Forecast (7:53AM)<\/span>