DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 7-11)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We’ve a case of the Aprils – the real Aprils, not the false Aprils. Often, this month is depicted as being a month full of sunshine, warmth, and emerging flowers. While we can have plenty of days with warm sunshine, and yes we are seeing our first flowers emerge and will see many more to follow, the reality is and has always been that our weather in April is variable, often cool, and frequently unsettled. We have a case of the latter – the real Aprils – right now, as we sit in a stretch of unsettled and fairly cool (but not overly cold) weather. It can be a lot worse, like on this day in 1982 when, the day after a major snowstorm, the temperature sat in the teens to lower 20s with wind chill dipping to the single digits – all day long – while we dug out from 10 to 16 inches of snowfall. What’s going on now is far more typical. Yesterday, one storm system scooted by to our south, bringing a period of rain, and just as that one has moved out, we are already under the cloud canopy of the next system, although breaks are allowing areas of sun early today. This next system consists of a large, mature low pressure area spinning in the Great Lakes, underneath its upper level low pressure partner. An occluded front arcs out from that low and approaches us from the west today. Where its triple-point is, we’ll see a new surface low pressure area develop today, and it is that low that will move north northeastward, right across our region, tonight and early Friday, with another round of rain and even some thunderstorms. Preceding that will just be a few showers that may wander into the area this afternoon. Once the new surface low passes our area early Friday, we’ll see improvement, some clearing, and milder air, but there still can be a few pop-up showers due to cooling air aloft during the afternoon on Friday. The weekend will be when that old surface low and upper level low pressure area have to drift eastward across our region, and this means a cooling trend with additional rain shower threats. The greatest threat for the rain showers will be Saturday as that is when we will see our most unstable air. So not a terrible weekend, but definitely at least partially unsettled, especially the first half. Once we get to Monday, high pressure is in control and it’s fair and slightly milder again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TODAY: Broken clouds allowing partial sunshine at times this morning. Generally cloudy with isolated to scattered rain showers this afternoon. Highs 47-54. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TONIGHT: Overcast. Scattered to numerous rain showers in the evening. Widespread rain showers and possible thunderstorms overnight. Fog areas. Temperatures steady 47-54. Wind SE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
FRIDAY: Cloudy with additional rain showers around during the morning. Partly sunny with a slight chance of a passing rain shower in the afternoon. Highs 57-64. Wind variable up to 10 MPH early becoming W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered rain showers mainly midday-afternoon. Highs 56-63. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH, gusty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated rain showers mainly afternoon. Highs 51-58. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind variable up to 10 MPH, coastal sea breezes possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 12-16)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I still don’t completely trust “the warm up” with fair weather all the way. Chances there for a disturbance and some cloudiness and even some rainfall threat during a transition or attempt for warmer air to move in early in the period. I think we do warm up for a day or two (target April 13-14), but by April 15 already see a rain shower threat with a frontal system moving through, leading to a drier but cooler end to the period. Still not a very high confidence forecast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 17-21)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Low confidence forecast of a zonal flow pattern and a couple minor disturbances bringing brief rainfall threats in a regime of mostly dry weather and seasonable though slightly variable temperatures.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 7-11) We’ve a case of the Aprils – the real Aprils, not the false Aprils. Often, this month is depicted as being a month full of sunshine, warmth, and emerging flowers. While we can have plenty of days with warm sunshine, and yes we are seeing our first flowers emerge and will … Continue reading Thursday April 7 2022 Forecast (7:22AM)<\/span>