{"id":15252,"date":"2022-11-12T07:09:17","date_gmt":"2022-11-12T12:09:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/?p=15252"},"modified":"2022-11-12T07:09:17","modified_gmt":"2022-11-12T12:09:17","slug":"saturday-november-12-2022-forecast-709am","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/?p=15252","title":{"rendered":"Saturday November 12 2022 Forecast (7:09AM)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 12-16)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A weekend of unsettled weather ushers in a new weather pattern. If you were up early today, you may have seen a glimpse or two of sunshine in eastern MA and RI with breaks in the clouds between last night&#8217;s rainfall and the final chapter of the remains of Nicole coming through this morning. The remnant low, combined with a cold front, associated with a large scale trough moving in from the west, will sweep across the region this morning with another round of showers and downpours, a few of which may result in damaging wind gusts, before it all exits by midday. As for the specifics regarding today&#8217;s rain, one swath of moderate to heavy showers sweeps from RI through southeastern MA up to about Boston now (before 9AM), and another swath to the west sweeps east northeastward covering most locations from the I-90 belt northward as we move through the morning, exiting via northeastern MA and the NH Seacoast late in the morning. The second half of the day will feature improvement with breaking clouds, increasing sun, a shifting wind, and drying air replacing the almost summer-like humidity we start the day with. Tonight is dry, and cooler, but the colder air holds off for a bit. Once upon a time I forecast a sunnier day for Sunday, in belief that a follow-up area of energy would ignite rainfall mainly offshore, but it&#8217;s going to happen further west, so the forecast for Sunday now shares some similarities with today&#8217;s in that we&#8217;ll have a wet weather threat in the morning to midday hours before improvement. Finally, the colder, dry air overtakes the region Sunday night and Monday. Tuesday, we&#8217;ll remain chilly and dry, but clouds will start to increase ahead of the next low pressure system which will be heading rapidly northeastward and is destined to pass not far south of here on Wednesday. This will be close enough to give us a period of rain, but this rain may start as the first snowflakes of the season for parts of the region, especially away from the coast, depending on how quickly it comes in. Just a reminder that winter, while not here yet, is on its way&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TODAY: Mainly cloudy with showers likely during the morning, including a slight chance of thunder. Clouds break for sun afternoon. Highs 65-72 early, then cooling through 60s. Dew point 60+ morning, falling quickly afternoon. Wind S 5-15 mph with gusts 25-35 MPH, isolated stronger gusts possible, shifting to W 10-20 MPH with some higher gusts in the afternoon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TONIGHT: A few passing clouds evening, then more clouds overnight. Lows 43-50. Wind W 5-15 MPH and gusty, becoming variable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with periods of rain showers until midday, then a sun\/cloud mix. Highs 48-55 by midday then turning colder west to east. Wind variable becoming NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 42-49. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind N diminishing to under 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 43-50. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain toward dawn, except possible mix\/snow interior locations. Lows 32-39. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with periods of rain, may be mixed with snow early well inland and higher elevations. Highs 41-48. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts near the coast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 17-21)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The weather pattern will favor below normal temperatures during this period and right now it looks like any follow-up low pressure systems to the midweek one will stay to the south, keeping our weather generally dry, other than a rain or snow shower which may visit with any northern jet stream disturbances passing by.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 22-26)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Medium range timing speculation brings me to a forecast of briefly milder weather with a rain shower threat to start this period, a quick return to cool\/dry weather behind it, then the possibility of another unsettled weather system about Thanksgiving (Nov 24) but very low confidence on this part of the forecast as guidance has not been consistent with that system&#8217;s existence. Dry weather would be favored either way for later in the period with near to below normal temperatures. With this being a huge travel time there will be a lot of scrutiny on the forecast so much refining will be needed as we get closer to it. You know how that goes by now&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 12-16) A weekend of unsettled weather ushers in a new weather pattern. If you were up early today, you may have seen a glimpse or two of sunshine in eastern MA and RI with breaks in the clouds between last night&#8217;s rainfall and the final chapter of the remains of Nicole coming &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/?p=15252\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Saturday November 12 2022 Forecast (7:09AM)<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15252","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15252","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15252"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15252\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15253,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15252\/revisions\/15253"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15252"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15252"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15252"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}