DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 21-25)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Thanksgiving Week has arrived and as we all know, the next few days are big travel days, locally, regionally, and beyond for people heading out, coming in, or just picking up last minute grocery items to cook dinner. Weather can have a big impact on getting around, but this year leading up to Thanksgiving it’s going to have very little impact, except maybe some solar glare for driving for a few hours combined – morning and afternoon. It’s not too often that we can look at 4 straight days in November this way, let alone those days being leading up to and including Thanksgiving. We’ll accomplish this with high pressure in control, its center generally to our south and west, and a new one centered to our north on the holiday itself. A weak trough will slide through the region tonight, keeping its snow showers north of our region. Temperatures will be at their coldest today, with slight moderation to follow, then a cold front will push through late on Wednesday, again with no impact other than shifting our wind direction and bringing in slightly cooler air for the holiday. Thanksgiving Day will start bright as the next 3 days will be, but clouds will be moving in ahead of the next storm system, which seems destined to bring a rain event for Black Friday, as the low center will be tracking to our west and northwest…<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 37-44. Wind W up to 10 MPH this morning, SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts possible this afternoon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 25-32. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to NW.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 5-15 MPH early, then W up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 23-30. Wind W up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind W up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 27-34. Wind N up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
THURSDAY (THANKSGIVING): Sunshine followed by increasing cloudiness. Highs 42-49. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
THURSDAY NIGHT: Thickening overcast. Lows 35-42. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
FRIDAY: Cloudy with periods of rain and areas of fog. Highs 43-50. Wind SE 5-15 MPH except 10-20 MPH coastal areas, higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 26-30)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
As we move into the remainder of Thanksgiving Weekend, my method of A.M.E. (anticipated model error) is being used heavily for this forecast. Expecting the low pressure that impacts the region on Friday with rain to be moving north of our region early Saturday with relatively mild air in place and additional rain showers, followed by a dry and breezy end to the day with the start of falling temperatures, leading to a windier, chilly finish to the weekend on Sunday November 27 with dry weather anticipated. Behind this another wave of low pressure brings the chance of rain for Monday November 28, based on current expecting timing of systems, followed by the return to dry weather and near to below normal temperatures for the last couple of days of the month. Obviously with inconsistency in guidance (disagreement between models and differences in each model run to run) the confidence in this forecast is limited – but this is how I think it plays out right now. Adjustments will be made as needed…<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 1-5)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Best I can gauge right now, December opens up with a fairly benign weather pattern, up and down temperatures averaging close to normal, and one or two minor precipitation events around air mass changes with a generally zonal flow pattern.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 21-25) Thanksgiving Week has arrived and as we all know, the next few days are big travel days, locally, regionally, and beyond for people heading out, coming in, or just picking up last minute grocery items to cook dinner. Weather can have a big impact on getting around, but this year leading … Continue reading Monday November 21 2022 Forecast (7:09AM)<\/span>