{"id":15672,"date":"2023-02-15T07:25:07","date_gmt":"2023-02-15T12:25:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/?p=15672"},"modified":"2023-02-15T07:32:26","modified_gmt":"2023-02-15T12:32:26","slug":"wednesday-february-15-2023-forecast-725am","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/?p=15672","title":{"rendered":"Wednesday February 15 2023 Forecast (7:25AM)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 15-19)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A warm front pushes through the region this morning with thicker clouds and perhaps a brief period of rain. Behind this front many areas top 50 degrees for a high temperature today, except maybe parts of the South Coast where a gusty southwesterly breeze will be coming off cooler water. Moisture from this area will result in some lower clouds for a while streaming across RI and southeastern \/ eastern MA which may limit the sun at times as it returns with the departure of the thicker middle clouds above. But overall not a bad afternoon despite the gusty wind picking up. As an initial wave of low pressure tracks to our north this evening, the boundary that went by as a warm front will be pulled somewhat back to the south and should bisect the region by morning, and it may sit there for a while Thursday. This along with a return of high and eventually mid level clouds will be a limiting factor in the entire area seeing record warmth. The greatest chance will be south of the boundary in eastern CT, RI, and interior southeastern MA. Again South Coast areas will be modified to the cooler side due to the wind off the water from the south and southwest, though it will not be as strong as today&#8217;s will be, so many of those areas should make it into the 50s, while areas north of the boundary may also fail to reach 60, with a narrow area of lower to middle 60s away from the shore and south of the front &#8211; kind of a needle-threading situation for the warmest temps. Boston&#8217;s record high for February 16 is only 60, so they do have a shot to tie, but may stay just below depending on how much sun \/ exact frontal position. A stronger low pressure wave moving through the eastern Great Lakes will pull the boundary back to the north as a warm front and put everybody into mild and more humid air by Thursday evening and night with a period of rain. A brief slice of rain-free, windy, and mild weather for early Friday just ahead of a strong cold front, which will be pulled through as the low center heads quickly down the St. Lawrence River Valley. After a windy and relatively brief period of rain showers, which may be heavy, the second half of the day will feature dry weather, a shifted but still gusty wind, and falling temperatures. This sets up a seasonably cold but breezy Friday night and Saturday as low pressure moves through eastern Canada and high pressure approaches from the west. But as many of our colder shots have been this winter, it&#8217;s a quick one, and as high pressure moves over and then south of the region Sunday, we&#8217;re fair again but milder&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TODAY: Cloudy with brief light rain possible this morning. Sun\/cloud mix east, sunnier west afternoon. Highs 45-52 Cape Cod \/ South Coast, 52-59 elsewhere. Wind variable under 10 MPH early, then SW increasing to 10-20 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TONIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>THURSDAY: Partly sunny early then mainly cloudy. Late-day rain possible. Highs 57-64, coolest in southern NH and the northern half of central and eastern MA, warmest southern interior MA, northeastern CT, and northern RI, with highs of 50-57 South Coast. Wind SW-S up to 10 MPH may shift to SE or E for a while in areas near and north of I-90.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely evening. Lows 50-57. Wind S-SW 10-20 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>FRIDAY: Mainly cloudy through midday including a period of rain showers, possibly heavy, from west to east across the region. Sun\/cloud mix thereafter. Highs 55-62 morning, then falling temperature afternoon. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts shifting to NW.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill below 10 at times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 17-24. Wind W under 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind W 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 20-24)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Large scale: La Nina has already shown signs of weakening and is forecast to weaken further as we head into late February. This, combined with other indices, have been giving indications of a weaker \/ flatter Southeast ridge which has dominated our winter with mild and nearly snowless weather. Regional scale: Expecting a minor system with light rain\/mix for February 20, a shot of cool air and gusty wind February 21, then watching the February 22-24 period for a larger low pressure impact with a variety of precipitation possible, with the obvious monitoring and fine-tuning to come.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 25 &#8211; MARCH 1)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As we head down the home stretch of February and reach March, the shift in weather pattern should be more evident with temperatures, while variable, less persistently mild and much closer to seasonal normals for this time of year, along with 1 or 2 storm systems to potential threaten, including the chance of frozen precipitation being involved. Yes, it&#8217;s still winter, and will still be winter when we reach the start of March too&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 15-19) A warm front pushes through the region this morning with thicker clouds and perhaps a brief period of rain. Behind this front many areas top 50 degrees for a high temperature today, except maybe parts of the South Coast where a gusty southwesterly breeze will be coming off cooler water. Moisture &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/?p=15672\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Wednesday February 15 2023 Forecast (7:25AM)<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15672","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15672","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15672"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15672\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15674,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15672\/revisions\/15674"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15672"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15672"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15672"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}